{"id":75897,"date":"2025-04-08T00:34:40","date_gmt":"2025-04-07T22:34:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=75897"},"modified":"2025-04-07T18:24:44","modified_gmt":"2025-04-07T16:24:44","slug":"jiri-paroubek-politicke-zemetreseni-v-klicovych-zemich-zapadni-evropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/08\/jiri-paroubek-politicke-zemetreseni-v-klicovych-zemich-zapadni-evropy\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Politick\u00e9 zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zem\u00edch Z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dlouh\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o programu a slo\u017een\u00ed budouc\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy mezi klerik\u00e1ln\u00edmi stranami CDU\/CSU a soci\u00e1ln\u00edmi demokraty (SPD), m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledek dal\u0161\u00ed posilov\u00e1n\u00ed nekonformn\u00ed strany Alternativa pro N\u011bmecko (AFD). AFD by ji\u017e dnes z\u00edskala v parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dtvrtinu n\u011bmeck\u00fdch hlas\u016f (24%). V\u00edt\u011bz voleb, kter\u00e9 se uskute\u010dnily v N\u011bmecku v \u00fanoru, tedy CDU\/CSU, je na tom v pr\u016fzkumech zhruba stejn\u011b, jako tzv. populistick\u00e1 AFD.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee bude z\u00e1le\u017eet na kvalit\u011b vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed nov\u00e9 koali\u010dn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1me trend posilov\u00e1n\u00ed AFD, by\u0165 nikterak siln\u00fd. A naopak sledujeme trend pom\u011brn\u011b rychl\u00e9ho poklesu popularity CDU\/CSU.\u00a0 Tento jev se ale jen tak snadno p\u0159ekonat ned\u00e1, ani kvalitn\u00edm vl\u00e1dnut\u00edm…<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o Velkou\u00a0Brit\u00e1nii, pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed naprosto katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj pro Labouristickou stranu. Ta by z\u00edskala v p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch nov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch do Doln\u00ed sn\u011bmovny nyn\u00ed pouh\u00fdch 180 mand\u00e1t\u016f. Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed stranou ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii by se stala Reformn\u00ed strana Nigela Farage (!), kter\u00e1 by z\u00edskala v Doln\u00ed sn\u011bmovn\u011b dokonce 227 mand\u00e1t\u016f. Konzervativci by v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch z\u00edskali 133 mand\u00e1t\u016f, Liber\u00e1ln\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 49 mand\u00e1t\u016f. Skotsk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed strana (SNP) by si p\u0159ipsala 30 mand\u00e1t\u016f. P\u0159ipomenu jen, \u017ee Labourist\u00e9 v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch z\u00edskali 411 mand\u00e1t\u016f. Konzervativci 121 mand\u00e1t\u016f, Liber\u00e1lov\u00e9 72 mand\u00e1t\u016f, SNP 9 mand\u00e1t\u016f a Reformn\u00ed strana pouh\u00fdch 5 mand\u00e1t\u016f. Prost\u011b, Labourist\u00e9 mus\u00ed v\u011bnovat velkou pozornost anal\u00fdze sv\u00e9 dosavadn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a vnit\u0159n\u00ed politiky, proto\u017ee tak katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed pokles volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed b\u011bhem jednoho roku\u00a0 nem\u00e1 pam\u011btn\u00edka.<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o Francii, prezidentsk\u00e9 volby by nyn\u00ed s\u00a0naprost\u00fdm p\u0159ehledem vyhr\u00e1la M. Le Penov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 ov\u0161em byla kontroverzn\u00edm rozhodnut\u00edm soudu vyoutov\u00e1na z\u00a0politick\u00e9 sout\u011b\u017ee.<\/p>\n

Pokud by se uskute\u010dnily prezidentsk\u00e9 volby ve Francii nyn\u00ed, zv\u00edt\u011bzila by Le Penov\u00e1 rozd\u00edlem nejm\u00e9n\u011b 15 % hlas\u016f, a to vlastn\u011b proti jak\u00e9mukoliv protikandid\u00e1tovi. Lze jen odhadovat tak\u00e9 to, \u017ee se posiluje politick\u00e1\u00a0 pozice s\u00a0n\u00ed spjat\u00e9 politick\u00e9 strany, tedy N\u00e1rodn\u00edho sdru\u017een\u00ed. Pokud dojde ve Francii na podzim k\u00a0p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00fdm parlamentn\u00edm volb\u00e1m, lze\u00a0 d\u016fvodn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vat\u00a0vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed volebn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch strany M. Le Penov\u00e9.\u00a0 Za ur\u010dit\u00fdch, extr\u00e9mn\u00edch\u00a0 okolnost\u00ed to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i v\u011bt\u0161ina mand\u00e1t\u016f z\u00edskan\u00e1 v nov\u00e9m\u00a0 N\u00e1rodn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed. To by znamenalo hlubokou politickou krizi t\u00e9to, jedn\u00e9 ze dvou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zem\u00ed EU, kter\u00e1 by mohla dokonce vy\u00fastit v\u00a0odchod prezidenta Macrona z\u00a0funkce…<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

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Dlouh\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o programu a slo\u017een\u00ed budouc\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy mezi klerik\u00e1ln\u00edmi stranami CDU\/CSU a soci\u00e1ln\u00edmi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61523,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[83,283,1503,8861,122],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75897"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75897\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}