{"id":75776,"date":"2025-04-07T00:16:09","date_gmt":"2025-04-06T22:16:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=75776"},"modified":"2025-04-06T16:56:16","modified_gmt":"2025-04-06T14:56:16","slug":"velke-mainstreamove-lzi-poslednich-dnu-fatalni-krach-akcioveho-trhu-kvuli-trumpovi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/07\/velke-mainstreamove-lzi-poslednich-dnu-fatalni-krach-akcioveho-trhu-kvuli-trumpovi\/","title":{"rendered":"Velk\u00e9 mainstreamov\u00e9 l\u017ei posledn\u00edch dn\u016f: fat\u00e1ln\u00ed krach akciov\u00e9ho trhu kv\u016fli Trumpovi?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Chrlen\u00ed nen\u00e1visti v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi Donaldu Trumpovi je pova\u017eov\u00e1no za dobrou formu v mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch, kter\u00e1 jsou nekriticky loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed ke globalismu. Cla uvalen\u00e1 Trumpovou administrativou by vedla ke skute\u010dn\u00e9mu krachu akciov\u00e9ho trhu. Ale je to skute\u010dn\u011b pravda? Jak se srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdkonnost akciov\u00fdch trh\u016f v posledn\u00edch letech?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump zv\u00fd\u0161il cla pro v\u0161echny zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve zavedly mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cla na americk\u00e9 produkty. V z\u00e1sad\u011b by spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed bylo, \u017ee USA reaguj\u00ed, n\u00e1sleduj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad a vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed rovn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti. Aby o tom mohl pod\u00e1vat zpr\u00e1vy, musel by mainstream pod\u00e1vat zpr\u00e1vy vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00fdm, objektivn\u00edm a spravedliv\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem. O to nen\u00ed z\u00e1jem.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e je pravda, \u017ee \u201etrhy\u201c na vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed tarif\u016f v\u00fdrazn\u011b zareagovaly a v\u00fdsledkem byl n\u00e1hl\u00fd pokles cen, jde o jednor\u00e1zovou akci? Jak si vedou \u201etrhy\u201c v del\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m obdob\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy plat\u00ed stejn\u00fd princip jako pro rakovinu v lidsk\u00e9m t\u011ble: dobr\u00fd je pouze nekone\u010dn\u00fd a neomezen\u00fd r\u016fst. A tak v\u0161e roste a mno\u017e\u00ed se, pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed z\u00e1soba i ceny akci\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd p\u0159edn\u00ed index DOW JONES se pro \u0161ikovn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed mana\u017eery od dubna 2020 do sou\u010dasnosti vyv\u00edjel celkem pozitivn\u011b. Zat\u00edmco 9. dubna 2020 byla hodnota 23 719, nyn\u00ed se vy\u0161plhala na 45 073. To je dvojn\u00e1sobek za pouh\u00fdch 5 let. Kv\u016fli opat\u0159en\u00edm Donalda Trumpa aktu\u00e1ln\u011b klesla na 38 314. To se m\u016f\u017ee v tuto chv\u00edli zd\u00e1t dramatick\u00e9, ale st\u00e1le je to v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e hodnota v roce 2020. Mimochodem, v den, kdy se 20. ledna 2021 dostal k moci Joe Biden, byl Dow Jones na 38 307.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Hav\u00e1rie v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 byla b\u011bhem sledovan\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e1. \u0160lo z maxima kolem 33 700 na 28 700. Mimochodem, nebyla to chyba ani tarify Donalda Trumpa, i kdy\u017e tenden\u010dn\u00ed, otev\u0159en\u011b levicov\u00fd extremistick\u00fd Google to v rozporu s fakty a logikou vid\u00ed jinak. Um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligenci vycvi\u010den\u00e9 lev\u00e1ky nelze nikdy v\u011b\u0159it \u2013 l\u017eou stejn\u011b jako jejich p\u00e1ni.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Pozad\u00edm propadu akciov\u00e9ho trhu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 byla inflace, zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb ze strany FEDu a ECB, zejm\u00e9na pak zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb FED a obavy z recese. D\u0159\u00edve se tak\u00e9 hodn\u011b vyb\u00edralo zisky, proto\u017ee trhy byly do t\u00e9 doby dob\u0159e rozvinut\u00e9. Finan\u010dn\u00ed zasv\u011bcenci tak\u00e9 r\u00e1di naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed proces n\u00e1hl\u00e9ho poklesu cen po dlouh\u00e9m obdob\u00ed r\u016fstu \u201ekorekcemi\u201c. N\u011bco takov\u00e9ho se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b d\u011bje pouze tehdy, kdy\u017e jsou v \u00fa\u0159adu ameri\u010dt\u00ed \u201edemokrat\u00e9\u201c \u2013 pokud bude vl\u00e1dnout Donald Trump, mus\u00ed to b\u00fdt drama a konec sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKorekce\u201c akciov\u00e9ho trhu se t\u00fdk\u00e1 poklesu cen akci\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 10 a\u017e 20 procent z posledn\u00edho maxima, ani\u017e by do\u0161lo k medv\u011bd\u00edmu trhu (minus 20 procent nebo v\u00edce). Odborn\u00edci to pova\u017euj\u00ed za p\u0159irozen\u00fd pohyb trhu, kter\u00fd vrac\u00ed nadhodnocen\u00e9 ceny zp\u011bt do rovnov\u00e1hy. \u010casto je spou\u0161t\u011bn nejistotami, jako je zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb, geopolitick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed nebo slab\u00e1 firemn\u00ed data. Na rozd\u00edl od krachu, ke kter\u00e9mu doch\u00e1z\u00ed jako panika, se n\u00e1prava obvykle vyv\u00edj\u00ed postupn\u011b. Pro investory to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost, jak se levn\u011b dostat dovnit\u0159 \u2013 za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee si udr\u017e\u00ed nervy. Historicky jsou korekce b\u011b\u017enou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed cyklu akciov\u00e9ho trhu.<\/em><\/p>\n

DAX do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry sledoval mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj. V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 do\u0161lo tak\u00e9 k velk\u00e9mu minimu na n\u011bmeck\u00e9 burze cenn\u00fdch pap\u00edr\u016f. Analogicky k Dow Jonesovi lze uv\u00e9st n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

DAX se v dubnu 2020 pohyboval kolem 10 500, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed hodnota od t\u00e9 doby byla 23 476, tedy v\u00edce ne\u017e dvojn\u00e1sobek. Rychl\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst za\u010dal v lednu 2025, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b proto, \u017ee globalist\u00e9 doufali v obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b velk\u00e9 zisky z pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Zav\u00edrac\u00ed cena 4. dubna na 20 641 je zhruba stejn\u00e1 jako cena na p\u0159elomu roku a p\u0159ed n\u00e1stupem Donalda Trumpa k moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 m\u00e1te z\u00e1jem kriticky zpochybnit tvrzen\u00ed hlavn\u00edho proudu a uv\u00e9st jejich prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed na pravou m\u00edru. Je tak\u00e9 velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 informovat o skute\u010dn\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji dal\u0161\u00ed lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed moment\u00e1ln\u011b jen v panice pob\u00edhaj\u00ed a k\u0159i\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee Donald Trump zni\u010dil jejich pen\u00edze. Neud\u011blal to.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chrlen\u00ed nen\u00e1visti v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi Donaldu Trumpovi je pova\u017eov\u00e1no za dobrou formu v mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75777,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[4157,1026,59,276,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75776"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}