{"id":75601,"date":"2025-04-04T00:28:22","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T22:28:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=75601"},"modified":"2025-04-03T14:00:21","modified_gmt":"2025-04-03T12:00:21","slug":"andrew-korybko-zelenskyj-nema-zadnou-schudnou-alternativu-jak-prijmout-trumpovu-zvracenou-dohodu-o-zdrojich","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/04\/andrew-korybko-zelenskyj-nema-zadnou-schudnou-alternativu-jak-prijmout-trumpovu-zvracenou-dohodu-o-zdrojich\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Zelenskyj nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou sch\u016fdnou alternativu, jak p\u0159ijmout Trumpovu zvr\u00e1cenou dohodu o zdroj\u00edch"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ob\u011btoval by svou politickou kari\u00e9ru, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fd odkaz v o\u010d\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f a \u010d\u00e1st ekonomick\u00e9 suverenity sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, ale odvr\u00e1til by mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, ne\u017e kdyby tuto dohodu odm\u00edtl.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump minul\u00fd v\u00edkend\u00a0varoval\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee Zelenskyj bude m\u00edt \u201en\u011bjak\u00e9 probl\u00e9my \u2013 velk\u00e9, velk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my\u201c, pokud se \u201epokus\u00ed vycouvat z dohody o vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin\u00e1ch\u201c, mezi\u00a0zpr\u00e1vami\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed verze t\u00e9to dohody je velmi pok\u0159iven\u00e1. \u00dadajn\u011b to nut\u00ed Ukrajinu, aby p\u0159isp\u011bla polovinou sv\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f ze v\u0161ech projekt\u016f na zdroje a souvisej\u00edc\u00ed infrastruktury do investi\u010dn\u00edho fondu kontrolovan\u00e9ho USA, splatila ve\u0161kerou pomoc USA od roku 2022 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm t\u011bchto prost\u0159edk\u016f a poskytla USA pr\u00e1vo prvn\u00ed nab\u00eddky na nov\u00e9 projekty a pr\u00e1vo veta na prodej zdroj\u016f ostatn\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Tyto tvrd\u0161\u00ed podm\u00ednky lze pova\u017eovat za trest za to, \u017ee si Zelenskyj\u00a0vybral sv\u016fj nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fd souboj\u00a0<\/a>s Trumpem a Vancem v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b na konci \u00fanora, ale cel\u00fd bal\u00edk je prod\u00e1v\u00e1n Ukrajin\u011b jako \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruka\u201c z USA. Argumentem je, \u017ee Amerika nedovol\u00ed Rusku ohrozit tyto projekty, kter\u00e9 zahrnuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 ropovody a p\u0159\u00edstavy, co\u017e povede k tomu, \u017ee p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm v roce 2023 obnov\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 vojensko-zpravodajsk\u00e9 pomoci a mo\u017en\u00e1 dokonce p\u0159\u00edmo eskaluje s Ruskem, aby ji dostal zp\u011bt dol\u016f.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina u\u017e m\u00e1 takov\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky podobn\u00e9 \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 od USA a dal\u0161\u00edch velk\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO na z\u00e1klad\u011b bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch pakt\u016f, kter\u00e9 si s nimi zajistila b\u011bhem lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku, jak je vysv\u011btleno\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>, ale toto navrhovan\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed d\u00e1v\u00e1 USA hmatateln\u00e9 s\u00e1zky na odrazov\u00e1n\u00ed nebo okam\u017eit\u00e9 zastaven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed. Kompromisem v\u0161ak je, \u017ee Ukrajina mus\u00ed ob\u011btovat \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 suverenity, co\u017e je politicky nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9, proto\u017ee Zelenskyj \u0159ekl sv\u00fdm krajan\u016fm, \u017ee bojuj\u00ed za zachov\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00ed pln\u00e9 suverenity.<\/p>\n

Pokud Zelenskij p\u0159istoup\u00ed na Trumpovu naklon\u011bnou dohodu o zdroj\u00edch, pak by se optika jak\u00e9hokoli\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>, p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed nebo m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy spojila s de facto glob\u00e1ln\u00edm uzn\u00e1n\u00edm rusk\u00e9 kontroly nad p\u011btinou ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed p\u0159ed rokem 2014, kter\u00e9 Kyjev st\u00e1le prohla\u0161uje za sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed, aby vytvo\u0159il vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9ho asymetrick\u00e9ho rozd\u011blen\u00ed. Nejen\u017ee by Zelensk\u00e9ho politick\u00e1 kari\u00e9ra mohla skon\u010dit, pokud by Ukrajina byla nucena uspo\u0159\u00e1dat\u00a0skute\u010dn\u011b svobodn\u00e9 a spravedliv\u00e9 volby\u00a0<\/a>, ale tak\u00e9 by bylo zni\u010deno jeho p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 d\u011bdictv\u00ed v o\u010d\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f jako\u017eto nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho \u201ebojovn\u00edka za svobodu\u201c tohoto stolet\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Nem\u00e1 v\u0161ak \u017e\u00e1dnou sch\u016fdnou alternativu, proto\u017ee j\u00edt za Trumpov\u00fdmi z\u00e1dy a dos\u00e1hnout srovnateln\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed dohody\u00a0s Brity\u00a0<\/a>a\/nebo Evropany by nevedlo k \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm z\u00e1ruk\u00e1m\u201c, o kter\u00fdch je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee Ukrajina pot\u0159ebuje, aby mohla dos\u00e1hnout kompromisu s Ruskem. Nikdo jin\u00fd ne\u017e USA nem\u00e1 \u0161anci Rusko vojensky p\u0159evz\u00edt, nato\u017e politickou v\u016fli, a nemluv\u011b jen o sv\u00fdch investic\u00edch ve v\u00e1lkou zm\u00edtan\u00e9 t\u0159et\u00ed zemi, jej\u00ed\u017e bohatstv\u00ed zdroj\u016f je\u00a0\u00fadajn\u011b sporn\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Pokud bude Zelenskyj pokra\u010dovat v dilydalismu, pak by Trump mohl znovu\u00a0do\u010dasn\u011b pozastavit\u00a0<\/a>vojenskou a zpravodajskou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b jako p\u00e1ku, zat\u00edmco se chop\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b trestuhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch podm\u00ednek jako pomsty. Konflikt s Ruskem by tak\u00e9 p\u0159irozen\u011b pokra\u010doval, co\u017e by Ukrajin\u011b znemo\u017enilo rozvoj pr\u016fmyslu surovin a souvisej\u00edc\u00ed infrastruktury, i kdyby se dohodla s n\u011bk\u00fdm jin\u00fdm. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le bude konflikt trvat, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed je pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Rusko zni\u010d\u00ed v\u00edce stejn\u00fdch aktiv.<\/p>\n

Ale pokud Zelenskij p\u0159ijme posledn\u00ed nab\u00edzenou dohodu, pak by z\u00edskal \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky\u201c, kter\u00e9 hled\u00e1, co\u017e by mu zv\u00fd\u0161ilo pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee p\u0159ijme p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a pak to mo\u017en\u00e1 povede k tomu, \u017ee Trump vyvine dal\u0161\u00ed tlak na Putina, aby n\u00e1sledoval p\u0159\u00edklad, jako je\u00a0uvalen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdch sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>na rusk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 klienty. Zelenskyj by ob\u011btoval svou politickou kari\u00e9ru, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fd odkaz v o\u010d\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f a \u010d\u00e1st ekonomick\u00e9 suverenity sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, ale odvr\u00e1til by mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, ne\u017e kdyby tuto dohodu odm\u00edtl.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ob\u011btoval by svou politickou kari\u00e9ru, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fd odkaz v o\u010d\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f a \u010d\u00e1st ekonomick\u00e9 suverenity sv\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75602,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,26,37,3290],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75601"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75601"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75601\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}