{"id":75000,"date":"2025-03-26T04:09:16","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T03:09:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=75000"},"modified":"2025-03-26T04:09:16","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T03:09:16","slug":"mirove-sily-na-ukrajine-lzi-evropske-impotence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/26\/mirove-sily-na-ukrajine-lzi-evropske-impotence\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eM\u00edrov\u00e9\u201c s\u00edly na Ukrajin\u011b: L\u017ei evropsk\u00e9 impotence"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>N\u011bkolik dn\u00ed pot\u00e9, co britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Keir Starmer ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee pl\u00e1n \u201ekoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c vstupuje do \u201eopera\u010dn\u00ed f\u00e1ze\u201c, se 20. b\u0159ezna na p\u0159edm\u011bst\u00ed Lond\u00fdna se\u0161li z\u00e1stupci v\u011bt\u0161iny zem\u00ed NATO, aby projednali vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch sil\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b a vypracovali pl\u00e1ny jejich p\u016fsoben\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Lond\u00fdn je po Washingtonu hlavn\u00edm vin\u00edkem rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed i udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se do nov\u00e9 koalice zapoj\u00ed a p\u0159isp\u011bje v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 zem\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b v\u0161ech \u010dlen\u016f NATO.<\/strong><\/p>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">Na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci dohodli, \u017ee \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9\u201c s\u00edly na Ukrajin\u011b budou zahrnovat stejn\u011b tolik pozemn\u00edch vojsk jako leteck\u00fdch a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil. Zejm\u00e9na britsk\u00e9 a francouzsk\u00e9 jednotky budou rozm\u00edst\u011bny ve m\u011bstech i v p\u0159\u00edstavech a kritick\u00fdch infrastruktur\u00e1ch; v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i budou operovat hl\u00eddkov\u00e9 lod\u011b a minolovky NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Emmanuel Macron ze sv\u00e9 strany 27. \u00fanora uspo\u0159\u00e1dal v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei nov\u00fd summit Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho s v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi partnery: \u201e<i>S Brity jsme odvedli spoustu pr\u00e1ce na podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch r\u00e1mcov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a mysl\u00edm, \u017ee toto bude p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost je prodiskutovat a vyjasnit<\/i>,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil francouzsk\u00fd prezident.<\/p>\n<p>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee kdy\u017e se hovo\u0159\u00ed o koalici a rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m vojensk\u00e9m nasazen\u00ed sil Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance, sotva se jedn\u00e1 o 30denn\u00ed akci pokr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed navr\u017een\u00e9 Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty americk\u00fdmi, ale o dlouhodobou strategickou operaci.<\/p>\n<h2>Zoufal\u00e9 pokusy o zachov\u00e1n\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159e<\/h2>\n<p>Vzne\u0161enost ambic\u00ed vysloven\u00fdch my\u0161lenek a pl\u00e1n\u016f vypracovan\u00fdch anglo-francouzskou koalic\u00ed lze srovnat pouze s propastnou hloubkou jejich odtr\u017een\u00ed od reality.<\/p>\n<p>Takzvan\u00e9ho \u201eudr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru\u201c na postkonfliktn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b se nikdy nez\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 s\u00edly ze zem\u00ed NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Pot\u00e9, co se zem\u011b star\u00e9ho kontinentu odm\u00edtnut\u00edm sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti u stolu budouc\u00edch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 se budou konat pouze mezi dv\u011bma skute\u010dn\u00fdmi v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edmi mocnostmi, demonstrativn\u011b vr\u00e1tily na sv\u00e9 prav\u00e9 m\u00edsto \u2013 m\u00edsto vazal\u016f p\u00e1na za Atlantikem: Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed pora\u017een\u00e9ho t\u00e1bora proti Rusku nejsou ni\u010d\u00edm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e neobratn\u00fdmi a zoufal\u00fdmi pokusy zachr\u00e1nit zbytky sv\u00e9 pov\u011bsti vojensk\u00e9 mocnosti v o\u010d\u00edch sv\u011bta, kter\u00fd je sleduje s rostouc\u00ed skeps\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Na rozd\u00edl od l\u017e\u00ed a iluz\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch od lond\u00fdnsk\u00e9 sch\u016fzky o budouc\u00edm p\u016fsoben\u00ed takzvan\u00fdch \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch\u201c sil na Ukrajin\u011b v pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed je m\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed o nemo\u017enosti \u00fa\u010dasti ozbrojen\u00fdch sil zem\u00ed NATO na \u201eudr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b jednozna\u010dn\u00e9 a zalo\u017een\u00e9 na nezpochybniteln\u00fdch pr\u00e1vn\u00edch z\u00e1kladech.<\/p>\n<p>Existuje \u0159ada kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 iniciativu Z\u00e1padu \u201e\u0159\u00eddit\u201c m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b po skon\u010den\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu zcela znemo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2>Podm\u00ednka Moskvy\u00a0<i>sine qua non<\/i>*<\/h2>\n<p>Bez podpisu m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody mezi Moskvou a Kyjevem se ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost i toho nejmen\u0161\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho kontingentu jedin\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed bude rovnat p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu vstupu Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance do v\u00e1lky proti Rusk\u00e9 federaci.<\/p>\n<p>Moskva u\u010dinila na t\u00e9ma vztah\u016f mezi Kyjevem a NATO \u0159adu prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se nikdy nezm\u011bnila: jednou z podm\u00ednek sine qua non pro podpis m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody bude protistranou podepsan\u00fd a ratifikovan\u00fd z\u00e1kaz p\u0159\u00edtomnosti ozbrojen\u00fdch sil z bloku NATO na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Jin\u00fdmi slovy, pr\u00e1vn\u011b to bude Kreml a nikdo jin\u00fd, kdo bude rozhodovat o p\u0159\u00edtomnosti nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho t\u00e1bora na sv\u00fdch jihoz\u00e1padn\u00edch hranic\u00edch. P\u0159\u00edtomnosti, ke kter\u00e9 nikdy nedojde: pouh\u00e1 jej\u00ed hrozba byla jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d Moskva vstoupila do v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 trv\u00e1 ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159i roky.<\/p>\n<p>Jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak naplnit p\u0159edstavy v\u016fdc\u016f NATO o p\u0159\u00edtomnosti jejich \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch\u201c sil na Ukrajin\u011b, je j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem a importovat ji.<\/p>\n<h2>Modr\u00e9 p\u0159ilby<\/h2>\n<p>Modr\u00e9 p\u0159ilby jsou s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 p\u016fsob\u00ed jm\u00e9nem Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f (OSN) v r\u00e1mci m\u00edrov\u00fdch operac\u00ed (PKO). Je proto logick\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee by mohly b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edtomny na pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>O nasazen\u00ed takov\u00e9 mise v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout pouze hlavn\u00ed org\u00e1n OSN, Rada bezpe\u010dnosti. Rada, jej\u00edm\u017e je Rusk\u00e1 federace st\u00e1l\u00fdm \u010dlenem a jako takov\u00e1 m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo veta, kdy\u017e je t\u0159eba hlasovat o rezoluc\u00edch.<\/p>\n<p>O vysl\u00e1n\u00ed \u010di nevysl\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil na Ukrajinu tedy op\u011bt rozhodne Moskva.<\/p>\n<h2>Hl\u00eddkov\u00e9 \u010dluny a minolovky v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i<\/h2>\n<p>Na zased\u00e1n\u00ed v Lond\u00fdn\u011b 20. b\u0159ezna bylo jedn\u00edm z p\u0159ijat\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed budouc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost hl\u00eddkov\u00fdch lod\u00ed a minolovek NATO v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160i\u0159itel\u00e9 dezinformac\u00ed z Lond\u00fdna \u201ezapomn\u011bli\u201c zm\u00ednit existenci \u00famluvy z Montreux. \u00damluva z Montreux, podepsan\u00e1 20. \u010dervence 1936, upravuje provoz v Dardanelsk\u00e9m a Bosporsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu (Turecko) a v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Ustanoven\u00ed \u010dl. 18 odst. 2 je jednozna\u010dn\u00e9:<\/p>\n<p>\u201e<i>Bez ohledu na \u00fa\u010del sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i se v n\u011bm v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b neriparsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed nesm\u011bj\u00ed zdr\u017eovat d\u00e9le ne\u017e dvacet jedna dn\u00ed<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Jin\u00fdmi slovy, nem\u016f\u017ee zde b\u00fdt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e1 dodate\u010dn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva bloku NATO. Krom\u011b plavidel sousedn\u00edho Rumunska, Bulharska a Turecka, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e p\u0159\u00edtomna jsou a mohou voln\u011b plout ve sv\u00fdch teritori\u00e1ln\u00edch vod\u00e1ch a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vod\u00e1ch \u2013 tak jako v\u017edy.<\/p>\n<p>Evropsk\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o budouc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti lod\u00ed NATO operuj\u00edc\u00edch v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i v r\u00e1mci \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch sil\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b nejsou proto ni\u010d\u00edm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e pr\u00e1zdnou r\u00e9torikou.<\/p>\n<h2>Ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u00fastava<\/h2>\n<p>S ohledem na ka\u017edodenn\u00ed hrub\u00e9 poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fastavy od roku 2014 a zejm\u00e9na za posledn\u00ed 3 roky ze strany po sob\u011b jdouc\u00edch zlo\u010dineck\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f dosazen\u00fdch v Kyjev\u011b je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nem\u00edstn\u00e9 zmi\u0148ovat existenci \u00fastavy v t\u00e9to zemi zlo\u010dinc\u016f a je\u0161t\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b zmi\u0148ovat existenci \u010dl\u00e1nku 17 uveden\u00e9 \u00fastavy, kter\u00fd je jednozna\u010dn\u00fd:<\/p>\n<p>\u201e<i>Rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed ciz\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed je zak\u00e1z\u00e1no<\/i>\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Je zcela jist\u00e9, \u017ee jedno dal\u0161\u00ed poru\u0161en\u00ed \u00fastavy, mezi mnoha jin\u00fdmi, rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm ozbrojen\u00fdch sil NATO na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed by z\u016fstalo zcela bez pov\u0161imnut\u00ed. Nav\u00edc existence \u00dastavn\u00edho soudu, kter\u00fd je jedin\u00fdm org\u00e1nem s \u00fastavn\u00ed jurisdikc\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, byla Zelensk\u00e9ho re\u017eimem zredukov\u00e1na na existenci pouze na pap\u00ed\u0159e.<\/p>\n<h2>Postscriptum<\/h2>\n<p>Ponech\u00e1me-li stranou fantazie \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 evropskou slo\u017ekou Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance, vra\u0165me se do reality:<\/p>\n<p>Je nevyhnuteln\u00e9, \u017ee m\u00edr na \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny m\u016f\u017ee skute\u010dn\u011b zaru\u010dit pouze Rusk\u00e1 federace. M\u00edr nebude, pokud podm\u00ednky bezpe\u010dnosti a ohleduplnosti k rusk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm, kter\u00e9 Moskva po\u017eadovala tolik let p\u0159ed vypuknut\u00edm v\u00e1lky, nebudou nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm t\u00e1borem respektov\u00e1ny. A kdy\u017e \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m nep\u0159\u00edtel, sotva mluv\u00edm o ukrajinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b, kter\u00e1 nikdy nebyla ni\u010d\u00edm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e pom\u00edjiv\u00fdm n\u00e1strojem v rukou anglosask\u00fdch tahoun\u016f za nitky.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd a ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1sah sebemen\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 slo\u017eky jedin\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO na ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b se bude rovnat jej\u00edmu vstupu do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem se v\u0161emi d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 to bude m\u00edt pro sv\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se takov\u00e9 situaci pe\u010dliv\u011b vyh\u00fdbalo v nejtemn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch v\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy demokrat\u016f nad B\u00edl\u00fdm domem, rozhodn\u011b k n\u00ed nedojde z\u00edtra v r\u00e1mci archaick\u00e9ho a impotentn\u00edho p\u00f3zov\u00e1n\u00ed star\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed, jejich\u017e \u201ezlat\u00fd v\u011bk\u201c nav\u017edy upadl v zapomn\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><i>* Sine qua non lze doslovn\u011b p\u0159elo\u017eit jako &#8222;Bez \u010deho ne.&#8220; I kdy\u017e to m\u016f\u017ee zn\u00edt jako bl\u00e1bol, znamen\u00e1 to v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b &#8222;Bez (n\u011b\u010deho) to (n\u011b\u010deho jin\u00e9ho) nebude mo\u017en\u00e9.&#8220; Sine qua non zn\u00ed lehce liter\u00e1rn\u011b a nem\u011blo by se pou\u017e\u00edvat jen tak n\u011bkde. Ale ve skute\u010dnosti se to projevuje v mnoha kontextech, v\u010detn\u011b byznysu (\u201eSiln\u00e1 z\u00e1kaznick\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna je nezbytnou podm\u00ednkou \u00fasp\u011bchu\u201c), showbyznysu (\u201eDobr\u00fd agent je pro kari\u00e9ru herce nezbytnou podm\u00ednkou\u201c) a politiky (\u201eJeho podpora byla pro jej\u00ed kandidaturu skute\u010dn\u011b sine qua non\u201c).<\/i><\/p>\n<p><strong>Oleg Nesterenko<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mondialisation.ca\/forces-de-maintien-de-la-paix-en-ukraine-les-mensonges-des-impuissances-europeennes\/5697223?doing_wp_cron=1742936501.3370690345764160156250\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Forces de \u00ab maintien de la paix \u00bb en Ukraine : les mensonges des Impuissances europ\u00e9ennes<\/a> vy\u0161el 25.3.2025 na mondialisation.ca. P\u0159eklad\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/zvedavec.news\/komentare\/2025\/03\/10441-mirove-sily-na-ukrajine-lzi-evropske-impotence.htm\">Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u011bkolik dn\u00ed pot\u00e9, co britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Keir Starmer ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee pl\u00e1n \u201ekoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c vstupuje do&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75001,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[80,5956,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75000"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75000"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75000\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}