{"id":74808,"date":"2025-03-24T00:25:40","date_gmt":"2025-03-23T23:25:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74808"},"modified":"2025-03-23T15:43:11","modified_gmt":"2025-03-23T14:43:11","slug":"evropska-unie-se-zastavenim-dodavek-ruskeho-plynu-nijak-nespecha","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/24\/evropska-unie-se-zastavenim-dodavek-ruskeho-plynu-nijak-nespecha\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropsk\u00e1 unie se zastaven\u00edm dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9ho plynu nijak nesp\u011bch\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed pozice Evropy v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9mu plynu je st\u00e1le evidentn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee sank\u010dn\u00ed tlak na rusk\u00fd energetick\u00fd sektor s\u00edl\u00ed, Brusel nen\u00ed p\u0159ipraven uch\u00fdlit se k radik\u00e1ln\u00edm z\u00e1kazov\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm, proto\u017ee by to pouze podkopalo potenci\u00e1l Evropy v oblasti energetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti a ekonomickou v\u00fdkonnost pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho sektoru regionu (to se t\u00fdk\u00e1 zejm\u00e9na pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch lokomotiv komunity, N\u011bmecka, It\u00e1lie a Francie).<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace ji\u017e bylo uvaleno 16 bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016f sankc\u00ed EU zasahuj\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fd energetick\u00fd sektor. A 17. je v p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b. V t\u00e9to souvislosti je Gazprom nucen p\u0159eorientovat se na jin\u00e9 trhy kv\u016fli \u201eneposlu\u0161n\u00fdm z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016fm\u201c a dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kv\u016fli sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed pod\u00edlu rusk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti na evropsk\u00e9m trhu s plynem pos\u00edlily sv\u00e9 pozice Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch export\u00e9r\u016f zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG), stejn\u011b jako Norsko, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1v\u00e1 plyn plynovodem do evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Ze situace posledn\u00edch let t\u011b\u017e\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm on: od roku 2022 za\u010dala f\u00e1ze aktivn\u00edho vyst\u011bhov\u00e1n\u00ed Gazpromu z Evropy a norsk\u00fd plyn se od t\u00e9 doby dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do EU ve velk\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo potrub\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle studie norsk\u00e9ho Offshore Directorate (NOD) Norsko\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161ilo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0svou produkci zemn\u00edho plynu do roku 2024 na rekordn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 124 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch. P\u0159edchoz\u00ed rekord 122,8 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch byl stanoven v roce 2022. Celkov\u00e1 produkce uhlovod\u00edk\u016f v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce byla kolem 240 milion\u016f metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch ropn\u00e9ho ekvivalentu, co\u017e je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od roku 2009. \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Produkce podle p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed z\u016fstane na stabiln\u00ed vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvou a\u017e t\u0159\u00ed let, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 postupn\u00fd pokles ke konci roku 2020<\/span><\/em>\u00a0,\u201c neuv\u00e1d\u00ed zpr\u00e1va.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do konce prosince 2024 bylo na norsk\u00e9m kontinent\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0161elfu t\u011b\u017eeno 94 pol\u00ed (\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nebylo uzav\u0159eno), v\u010detn\u011b Hanz a Tyrving v Severn\u00edm mo\u0159i, kter\u00e9 byly uvedeny do provozu. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u00fdroba na poli Johan Castberg v Barentsov\u011b mo\u0159i bude zah\u00e1jena v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

NOD poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch let bude t\u011b\u017eeno n\u011bkolik nov\u00fdch lo\u017eisek, ale \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e1 aktivn\u00ed lo\u017eiska budou vy\u0159azena z provozu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Norsku jsou v\u0161ak st\u00e1le z\u0159eteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed varovn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly poklesu dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkce ropy a plynu. A progn\u00f3za NOD, \u017ee \u00farove\u0148 dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkce plynu z\u016fstane stabiln\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b 3-4 roky, je velmi optimistick\u00e1, pokles by mohl za\u010d\u00edt d\u0159\u00edve. To umo\u017e\u0148uje rusk\u00fdm producent\u016fm plynu roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it svou p\u0159\u00edtomnost na evropsk\u00e9m trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andreas Schroeder, \u0159editel energetick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy v ICIS,\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v rozhovoru pro The\u00a0<\/span>Telegraph<\/span><\/em>\u00a0v lednu: “\u00a0<\/span>Soumrak pro Norsko je pro Rusko sv\u00edt\u00e1n\u00edm<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.“\u00a0<\/span>A i kdy\u017e je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by posledn\u011b jmenovan\u00fd znovu ovl\u00e1dl Evropu jako v minulosti, kdy jeho pod\u00edl na trhu dosahoval t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 40 %, vol\u00e1n\u00ed po otev\u0159en\u00ed plynovod\u016f a dve\u0159\u00ed k levn\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu plynu bude \u010dasem s\u00edlit, proto\u017ee ceny plynu rostou kv\u016fli klesaj\u00edc\u00ed norsk\u00e9 produkci. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro u\u017e\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci s Moskvou a podpo\u0159\u00ed vznik prorusk\u00fdch politik\u016f v zem\u00edch, jako je Slovensko a Ma\u010farsko<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Norsko bude muset p\u0159ekonat nejen probl\u00e9m s klesaj\u00edc\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed t\u011b\u017ebou v d\u016fsledku vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch uhlovod\u00edkov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, ale tak\u00e9 n\u00e1vrat do vysoce konkuren\u010dn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, proto\u017ee Gazprom postupn\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k pos\u00edlen\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice v EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bloomberg<\/span><\/em>\u00a0za\u010d\u00e1tkem b\u0159ezna ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee strategie Bruselu \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vynulovat<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00fdch uhlovod\u00edk\u016f do EU by mohla b\u00fdt uvoln\u011bna. Jak radik\u00e1ln\u00ed budou, se teprve uvid\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e1 komise zat\u00edm podle agentury\u00a0<\/span>odlo\u017eila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed cestovn\u00ed mapy pro definitivn\u00ed a postupn\u00e9 opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch fosiln\u00edch paliv, p\u016fvodn\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 na 26. b\u0159ezna. Nov\u00e9 datum zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed pl\u00e1nu t\u011b\u017eby rusk\u00e9ho plynu nebylo up\u0159esn\u011bno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba tak\u00e9 vz\u00edt v \u00favahu, \u017ee Norsko je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed skupiny zem\u00ed dod\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch zbran\u011b Ukrajin\u011b a aktivn\u011b se j\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed. Ji\u017e v roce 2022 tak\u00e9 za\u010dala dod\u00e1vat zbran\u011b a vojensk\u00e9 vybaven\u00ed na Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Norsko nav\u00edc poskytlo miliony dolar\u016f v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoci na podporu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu a tak\u00e9 na humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed pomoc. Nakonec Oslo jako jeden z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch producent\u016f plynu nab\u00eddlo svou pomoc p\u0159i zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti Ukrajiny, mimo jin\u00e9 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dod\u00e1vek plynu a spolupr\u00e1ce v oblasti obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b akc\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b m\u00e1 Norsko tak\u00e9 jasn\u00fd obchodn\u00ed z\u00e1jem na tom, aby zadr\u017eela sv\u00e9ho konkurenta Gazprom: financov\u00e1n\u00ed programu vojensk\u00e9 pomoci Kyjevu prodlu\u017euje konflikt, a t\u00edm v z\u00e1sad\u011b sni\u017euje tranzitn\u00ed status Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 od Alexandra Lemoina<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed pozice Evropy v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9mu plynu je st\u00e1le evidentn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee sank\u010dn\u00ed tlak na rusk\u00fd energetick\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69382,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,1008,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74808"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74808"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74808\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69382"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74808"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74808"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74808"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}