{"id":74721,"date":"2025-03-23T00:11:28","date_gmt":"2025-03-22T23:11:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74721"},"modified":"2025-03-22T14:08:26","modified_gmt":"2025-03-22T13:08:26","slug":"thomas-roper-zmatene-predstavy-koalice-ochotnych-o-mirovych-silach-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/23\/thomas-roper-zmatene-predstavy-koalice-ochotnych-o-mirovych-silach-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Zmaten\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy \u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c o \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee Rusko nep\u0159ijme evropsk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 jednotky na Ukrajin\u011b, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee to je pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy skute\u010dn\u00e1 posedlost. A navrhovan\u00e9 n\u00e1pady jsou \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l t\u00edm \u0161\u00edlen\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00e1\u017en\u011b by m\u011b zaj\u00edmalo, jak\u00fd smysl maj\u00ed diskuse v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch jednotek\u201c na Ukrajinu. Obvykle se mluv\u00ed o tom, \u017ee \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b by m\u011bly monitorovat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 nejhlasit\u011bji po\u017eaduj\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly\u201c, jsou tak\u00e9 nejhlasit\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi odp\u016frci p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee Rusko se stalo vojensky aktivn\u00edm na Ukrajin\u011b z jednoho hlavn\u00edho d\u016fvodu: zabr\u00e1nit Ukrajin\u011b ve vstupu do NATO a zabr\u00e1nit rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed jednotek NATO na Ukrajin\u011b. Pro\u010d by tedy Rusko m\u011blo souhlasit se vstupem evropsk\u00fdch jednotek, voj\u00e1k\u016f NATO na Ukrajinu po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed? Pak by z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu bylo v\u0161e marn\u00e9, proto Rusko opakovan\u011b\u00a0<\/span>velmi jasn\u011b prohl\u00e1silo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky na Ukrajin\u011b za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed a pod \u017e\u00e1dnou z\u00e1minkou nep\u0159ijme.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b diskuse v Evrop\u011b o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch jednotek\u201c na Ukrajinu pokra\u010duje. Bu\u010f evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici nepochopili, co je na Ukrajin\u011b v s\u00e1zce, nebo cht\u011bj\u00ed z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b vyvolat v\u00e1lku s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch dnech jsou zpr\u00e1vy na toto t\u00e9ma st\u00e1le absurdn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Lond\u00fdn po\u0161le voj\u00e1ky na Ukrajinu pouze s palebnou podporou Washingtonu,\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a020. b\u0159ezna pro Times Radio n\u00e1m\u011bstek britsk\u00e9ho ministra obrany Luke Pollard:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Premi\u00e9r dal jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee jednota evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edch spojenc\u016f z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta k sestaven\u00ed sil k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed m\u00edru vy\u017eaduje podporu a \u00fa\u010dast Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. O tom diskutoval s prezidentem v Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovn\u011b.“<\/em><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Na ot\u00e1zku, co by Brit\u00e1nie ud\u011blala, kdyby USA odm\u00edtly poskytnout podporu, Pollard \u0159ekl, \u017ee britsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se USA nakonec pod\u00edl\u00ed na rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f. Po t\u011bchto slovech pana n\u00e1m\u011bstka moder\u00e1torka rozhlasu usoudila, \u017ee tento p\u0159\u00edpad nen\u00ed v pl\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ti v Evrop\u011b, kte\u0159\u00ed spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na americkou podporu evropsk\u00fdch \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch sil\u201c, nepochopili, \u017ee snad jedin\u00fdm bodem v ot\u00e1zce Ukrajiny, na kter\u00e9m se Bidenova a Trumpova administrativa shoduj\u00ed, bylo, \u017ee USA za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed nepo\u0161lou voj\u00e1ky na Ukrajinu, proto\u017ee by to p\u0159edstavovalo jednozna\u010dn\u00e9 riziko sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Dokonce i Bidenova administrativa v\u017edy takov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy odm\u00edtala, kdy\u017e p\u0159ich\u00e1zely z Evropy. A Trump bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fsledn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Urychluj\u00ed Britov\u00e9 tempo?<\/span><\/h3>\n

P\u0159esto se 20. b\u0159ezna v Lond\u00fdn\u011b se\u0161li n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edci gener\u00e1ln\u00edch \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f z p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 zem\u00ed \u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c, aby projednali operativn\u00ed detaily vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajinu po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Po jedn\u00e1n\u00ed Britov\u00e9 nezve\u0159ejnili \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed k p\u0159ijat\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve stejn\u00fd den britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Starmer \u0159ekl z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00e9mu opera\u010dn\u00edho velitelstv\u00ed Royal Air Force, \u017ee Brit\u00e1nie p\u0159ipravuje pl\u00e1ny pro vojensk\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed a vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b, aby zajistila, \u017ee po vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu bude dodr\u017eov\u00e1na m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda. Britsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve uvedla, \u017ee Lond\u00fdn a Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee z\u0159\u00edd\u00ed \u201em\u00edrov\u00fd sbor\u201c s 10 000 a\u017e 30 000 voj\u00e1ky, \u00fadajn\u011b k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody na Ukrajin\u011b. Bylo tak\u00e9 pouk\u00e1z\u00e1no na to, \u017ee podle dohody by st\u00edha\u010dky britsk\u00e9ho letectva mohly startovat z Polska a monitorovat ukrajinsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polsko jako centrum?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci ze zem\u00ed \u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c vyv\u00edjej\u00ed a diskutuj\u00ed o n\u011bkolika variant\u00e1ch sv\u00e9ho nasazen\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, \u0159ekl agentu\u0159e PAP n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu polsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Wieslaw Kukula. Kukula\u00a0<\/span>uvedl, \u017ee<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se „p\u0159ipravuje operace s v\u00edce variantami, kter\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry z\u00e1vis\u00ed na pr\u016fb\u011bhu m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b,“\u00a0a up\u0159esnil, \u017ee do pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed variant se budou zapojovat p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e1 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed velen\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zopakoval v\u0161ak, \u017ee Polsko v r\u00e1mci takov\u00e9 operace nepo\u0161le voj\u00e1ky na Ukrajinu. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee takovou operaci nelze prov\u00e9st bez \u00fa\u010dasti Polska. Gener\u00e1l uvedl, \u017ee \u00fa\u010dast Polska by mohla zahrnovat logistickou podporu a vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdcvik. To zapad\u00e1 do britsk\u00e9 my\u0161lenky nechat britsk\u00e1 letadla vzl\u00e9tnout z polsk\u00fdch leti\u0161\u0165, aby monitorovala ukrajinsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ani to v\u0161ak Rusko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nedovol\u00ed, proto\u017ee by to de facto znamenalo, \u017ee by po Ukrajin\u011b l\u00e9tala \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed letadla NATO, kter\u00e1 by nejen monitorovala situaci na Ukrajin\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 \u0161pehovala hluboko do Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Financial Times tak\u00e9 s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zdroje uvedly, \u017ee \u201ekoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c nyn\u00ed diskutuje o leteck\u00fdch hl\u00eddk\u00e1ch a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti Ukrajiny, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e o vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f. Podle Jacka Watlinga, vedouc\u00edho v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9ho pracovn\u00edka z Royal United Services Institute, zm\u011bna zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed rozhovor\u016f odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nedostate\u010dnou kapacitu britsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil vyslat na Ukrajinu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det voj\u00e1k\u016f, jakmile boje skon\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pod rou\u0161kou m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil OSN?<\/span><\/h3>\n

The Daily Telegraph s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zdroje uvedl, \u017ee francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron navrhl na summitu EU 20. b\u0159ezna ud\u011blit Koalici ochotn\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b status m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil OSN.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u0159ejm\u011b \u0161lo o Macron\u016fv pokus z\u00edskat dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty EU do \u201ekoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c, i kdy\u017e argument mo\u017en\u00e1 nebyl nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00fd pot\u00e9, co rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve jasn\u011b prohl\u00e1silo, \u017ee pro Rusko je \u201enaprosto nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9\u201c umis\u0165ovat jednotky ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed \u201epod jakoukoli vlajkou\u201c na Ukrajin\u011b. Ani pod rou\u0161kou OSN nebude Rusko souhlasit s jednotkami na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e9 poch\u00e1zej\u00ed ze zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou v\u016f\u010di Rusku otev\u0159en\u011b nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bloomberg s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zdroje uvedl, \u017ee v EU je mnoho zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nepodporuj\u00ed n\u00e1vrh Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie poslat na Ukrajinu voj\u00e1ky z \u201ekoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c. Nap\u0159\u00edklad italsk\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka Giorgia Meloniov\u00e1 se vyslovila proti rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdch jednotek\u201c ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina ostatn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 se z\u00fa\u010dastnily jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c, tak\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila svou neochotu p\u0159\u00edmo se pod\u00edlet na vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajinu a omezila se na poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed podpory zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 se tam rozhodnou rozm\u00edstit voj\u00e1ky. \u201eKoalice ochotn\u00fdch\u201c zjevn\u011b nen\u00ed tak ochotn\u00e1, jak by si Lond\u00fdn a Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e p\u0159\u00e1ly.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je v souladu nap\u0159\u00edklad s postojem Polska, kter\u00e9 zat\u00edm kategoricky odm\u00edt\u00e1 nasazen\u00ed vlastn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajinu a m\u00edsto toho nab\u00edz\u00ed pomoc v podob\u011b logistiky. P\u0159esto\u017ee se objevila ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed politik\u016f z evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed podporuj\u00edc\u00ed tuto my\u0161lenku, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 velk\u00e1 zem\u011b EU zat\u00edm nesouhlasila s vysl\u00e1n\u00edm voj\u00e1k\u016f na samotnou Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak jsem psal na za\u010d\u00e1tku, nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, \u010deho p\u0159esn\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed Britov\u00e9 a Francouzi sv\u00fdm n\u00e1padem dos\u00e1hnout. \u0160patn\u011b odhaduj\u00ed realitu, nebo jsou p\u0159ipraveni riskovat v\u00e1lku s Ruskem? Nebo pokorn\u011b odvolaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 velkolep\u00e9 sliby, pokud se k nim nep\u0159idaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b a USA tak\u00e9 odm\u00edtnou chr\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly\u201c?<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee Rusko nep\u0159ijme evropsk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 jednotky na Ukrajin\u011b, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73821,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[8744,1503,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74721"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74721"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74721\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74722,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74721\/revisions\/74722"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}