{"id":74704,"date":"2025-03-22T06:06:38","date_gmt":"2025-03-22T05:06:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74704"},"modified":"2025-03-22T06:06:38","modified_gmt":"2025-03-22T05:06:38","slug":"lucas-leiroz-polsko-a-pobalti-chteji-umistovat-miny-na-vychodni-kridlo-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/22\/lucas-leiroz-polsko-a-pobalti-chteji-umistovat-miny-na-vychodni-kridlo-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Polsko a Pobalt\u00ed cht\u011bj\u00ed umis\u0165ovat miny na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tento krok by podstatn\u011b zhor\u0161il region\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed krizi.<\/h3>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipraveny p\u0159ijmout nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed agresivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ohroz\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu kontinentu. Protirusk\u00e1 paranoia a tlak ze strany samotn\u00e9 EU na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 politiky vedou k nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed, jej\u00ed\u017e d\u016fsledky mohou b\u00fdt v budoucnu zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vno arm\u00e1da z Polska, Loty\u0161ska, Estonska a Litvy form\u00e1ln\u011b po\u017e\u00e1dala sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, aby odstoupily od\u00a0<\/span>Ottawsk\u00e9 smlouvy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Dohoda vy\u017eaduje, aby jej\u00ed signat\u00e1\u0159i zak\u00e1zali pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed protip\u011bchotn\u00edch min, a to i v situac\u00edch otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu. Podle polsk\u00e9 a pobaltsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy tento dokument br\u00e1n\u00ed jejich zem\u00edm \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b se vypo\u0159\u00e1dat se sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi v\u00fdzvami, kter\u00fdm \u010del\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

„V\u011b\u0159\u00edme, \u017ee v sou\u010dasn\u00e9m bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm prost\u0159ed\u00ed je prvo\u0159ad\u00e9 poskytnout na\u0161im obrann\u00fdm sil\u00e1m flexibilitu a svobodu volby, aby mohly potenci\u00e1ln\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvat nov\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my a \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed k pos\u00edlen\u00ed obrany zraniteln\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodn\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla Aliance. Ve sv\u011btle t\u011bchto \u00favah my \u2013 minist\u0159i obrany Estonska, Loty\u0161ska, Litvy a Polska \u2013 jednomysln\u011b doporu\u010dujeme odstoupit od Ottawsk\u00e9 \u00famluvy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. T\u00edmto rozhodnut\u00edm pos\u00edl\u00e1me ka\u017ed\u00e9 nezbytn\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed k obran\u011b na\u0161eho \u00fazem\u00ed a p\u0159ipravujeme jasn\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed k obran\u011b na\u0161ich zem\u00ed:\u00a0\u010dte.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, arm\u00e1da pou\u017eila Rusko jako ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pro sv\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 akce. Kdy\u017e se hovo\u0159ilo o \u201ev\u00fdchodn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle\u201c, arm\u00e1da jednodu\u0161e pou\u017eila ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed nomenklaturu NATO k ozna\u010den\u00ed linie kontaktu s Ruskem. V praxi je text pouze \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed o revizi pravidel t\u011bchto zem\u00ed o pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed zbran\u00ed s ohledem na mo\u017enost budouc\u00ed konfrontace s Moskvou.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00damluva, jej\u00ed\u017e signat\u00e1\u0159i jsou Polsko a Pobalt\u00ed, m\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit po\u010det civiln\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpadech vojensk\u00fdch konflikt\u016f. Dokument v\u0161ak sv\u016fj c\u00edl nesplnil, proto\u017ee jej n\u011bkolik velk\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed neschv\u00e1lilo. Samotn\u00e9 t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 mocnosti, USA, Rusko a \u010c\u00edna, nejsou \u010dleny \u00famluvy a mohou voln\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvat protip\u011bchotn\u00ed miny, pokud to v nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 situaci pova\u017euj\u00ed za nutn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Smlouvu podepsaly zem\u011b s men\u0161\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm v\u00fdznamem na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, jako je Polsko a Pobalt\u00ed, co\u017e se zd\u00e1 celkem pochopiteln\u00e9. Jako \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO a USA jsou v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed zem\u00ed aliance, tyto st\u00e1ty se teoreticky nemusej\u00ed ob\u00e1vat tohoto typu probl\u00e9mu, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky by je Washington, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed \u010dlenem konvence, chr\u00e1nil sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm apar\u00e1tem v souladu s dolo\u017ekou o kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00ed dob\u011b v\u0161ak vid\u00edme hlubok\u00fd proces polarizace a st\u0159etu z\u00e1jm\u016f uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed aliance. V\u011bt\u0161ina evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f podporuje prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu, zat\u00edmco USA maj\u00ed od zvolen\u00ed Donalda Trumpa st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem na rychl\u00e9m a diplomatick\u00e9m \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i se prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed c\u00edtit nechr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9, proto\u017ee postoj USA v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako jak\u00e9si \u201eopu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed\u201c, a proto se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee se jim to v budoucnu stane.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samotn\u00e9 USA po desetilet\u00ed podn\u011bcuj\u00ed paranoidn\u00ed rusofobn\u00ed n\u00e1lady v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch. Protirusk\u00fd narativ NATO vymyl mozky cel\u00e9 generaci v Polsku a Pobalt\u00ed. Rozhodovac\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 t\u011bchto zem\u00ed Rusko prost\u011b nen\u00e1vid\u00ed a skute\u010dn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee existuje \u201erusk\u00e1 hrozba\u201c. Ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed se invaze na sv\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, i kdy\u017e Moskva opakovan\u011b d\u00e1vala najevo, \u017ee v z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00edch nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed ani strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi Polsko a Pobalt\u00ed pod z\u00e1minkou \u201ep\u0159\u00edpravy na v\u00e1lku s Ruskem\u201c vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro budouc\u00ed konflikt. Pokud tyto zem\u011b poru\u0161\u00ed Ottawskou \u00famluvu a za\u010dnou pou\u017e\u00edvat miny, m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polsko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0u\u017e dalo jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee chce zaminovat svou hranici s B\u011bloruskem a ruskou exkl\u00e1vou Kaliningrad. Pokud tyto miny za\u010dnou zp\u016fsobovat smrteln\u00e9 incidenty rusk\u00fdm a b\u011blorusk\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm, Moskva a Minsk \u2013 kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed v r\u00e1mci unijn\u00edho st\u00e1tu spole\u010dnou dohodu o kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b \u2013 by mohly interpretovat akce Polska jako agresi a legitimizovat odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed reakce.<\/span><\/p>\n

To nejlep\u0161\u00ed, co m\u016f\u017ee Polsko a Pobalt\u00ed ud\u011blat pro svou vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, je zak\u00e1zat militariza\u010dn\u00ed politiku a n\u00e1sledovat cestu vydl\u00e1\u017ed\u011bnou Trumpov\u00fdmi USA k deeskalaci vztah\u016f mezi NATO a Ruskem. Tyto zem\u011b nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou v\u00fdhodu z dal\u0161\u00edho zhor\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed krize, proto\u017ee nemaj\u00ed dostate\u010dnou vojenskou kapacitu, aby se zapojily do otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu s Ruskem. Deeskalace je jedinou sch\u016fdnou mo\u017enost\u00ed, jak zabr\u00e1nit nejhor\u0161\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tento krok by podstatn\u011b zhor\u0161il region\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed krizi. N\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipraveny p\u0159ijmout…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74705,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[804,2405,31,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74704"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74704"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74704\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74705"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}