{"id":74510,"date":"2025-03-19T06:36:35","date_gmt":"2025-03-19T05:36:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74510"},"modified":"2025-03-19T06:36:35","modified_gmt":"2025-03-19T05:36:35","slug":"michael-svatos-washington-a-moskva-se-dohodly-o-rozdeleni-ukrajiny-uz-na-podzim-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/19\/michael-svatos-washington-a-moskva-se-dohodly-o-rozdeleni-ukrajiny-uz-na-podzim-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Washington a Moskva se dohodly o rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny u\u017e na podzim 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Washington a Moskva se dohodly o rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny u\u017e na podzim 2022. V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 b\u011bsn\u011bn\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, Starmera, i Macrona po telefon\u00e1tu Trump-Putin je t\u0159eba ch\u00e1pat jen za projev d\u011btinsky naivn\u00edch osobnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm telefon\u00e1tem definitivn\u011b p\u0159i\u0161ly o svoji zamilovanou hra\u010dku \u2013 v\u00e1lku, a jejich n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 zpovykan\u00e9 bzu\u010den\u00ed net\u0159eba br\u00e1t nijak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. Z rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edru a v\u00e1lce jsou u\u017e vyautov\u00e1ni. Anal\u00fdza.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u010dera po skon\u010den\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho telefon\u00e1tu Trump-Putin za\u010dalo b\u00fdt v Evrop\u011b n\u00e1ramn\u011b veselo.\u00a0Zelenskyj na sebe nam\u00ed\u0159il kameru, a se v\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enosti prohl\u00e1sil<\/a>, \u017ee Ukrajina nen\u00ed ani sal\u00e1t, ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 pochutina, aby byla na Putin-Trumpov\u011b j\u00eddeln\u00ed\u010dku, a holedbal se, \u017ee bez p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho zapojen\u00ed Kyjeva do vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed o budouc\u00edch m\u00edrov\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd m\u00edr nikdy uzav\u0159en nebude, v\u00fdslovn\u011b pokud v dohod\u011b nebudou zakotveny tzv. \u201cspravedliv\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky\u201d.\u00a0A aby dodal sv\u00fdm no\u010dn\u00edm v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00fdhru\u017ek\u00e1m je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enosti, nechal se dnes v 00.54 r\u00e1no sly\u0161et<\/a>, \u017ee Putinova ultim\u00e1ta se od roku 2022 nijak nezm\u011bnila, a \u017ee podm\u00ednky skute\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, zastaven\u00ed vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny Z\u00e1padem a p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed jej\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 mobilizace, oboj\u00ed po dobu chystan\u00e9ho Trump-Putinova p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, jsou pro Kyjev i jeho evropsk\u00e9 spojence zhola nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9. Podporu Zelensk\u00e9ho no\u010dn\u00edm ultim\u00e1t\u016fm pro p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a m\u00edr s Ruskem v\u010dera hromadn\u011b vyjad\u0159ovali,\u00a0jak Macron<\/a>,\u00a0tak Scholz<\/a>, tak Starmer, i dal\u0161\u00ed politici. Aktivn\u00ed\u00a0byli hlavn\u011b Estonci, Loty\u0161i a \u0160v\u00e9dov\u00e9<\/a>, a ti\u00a0stejn\u011b jako Fiala<\/a>\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u011b stra\u0161ili sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany, \u017ee Putin chce nespravedliv\u00fdm m\u00edrem na Ukrajin\u011b jen z\u00edskat \u010das pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00edmi tzv. \u201cspravedliv\u00fdmi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi podm\u00ednkami\u201d pro m\u00edr s Ruskem jsou nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po\u017eadavky, kter\u00e9 lze shrnou do t\u0159\u00ed oblast\u00ed:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Ukrajina si ponech\u00e1 ta nov\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed Ruska, kter\u00e9 st\u00e1le vojensky kontroluje. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed tak m\u00e1 kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu prim\u00e1rn\u011b slou\u017eit jako rafinovan\u00fd \u0161t\u00edt pro trval\u00e9 zachov\u00e1n\u00ed kontroly t\u011bch rusk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed, je\u017e jsou je\u0161t\u011b v jeho moci, proto\u017ee bez p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed boj\u016f by z nich ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da byla v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nemilosrdn\u011b vyhn\u00e1na. Krom toho dnes nad r\u00e1nem dokonce Zelenskyj ve v\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enosti po\u017eadoval, aby se Rusko st\u00e1hlo z \u00fazem\u00ed kolem z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, a elektr\u00e1rnu i \u00fazem\u00ed okolo n\u00ed p\u0159edalo do moci Kyjeva. Ukrajina nav\u00edc podle Zelensk\u00e9ho v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouv\u011b neuzn\u00e1 nov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed za rusk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed, ale pouze za \u00fazem\u00ed okupovan\u00e1 Ruskem.<\/li>\n
  2. Ukrajina se bu\u010f stane \u010dlenem NATO, nebo vojska NATO budou na jej\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bna.<\/li>\n
  3. \u00a0Ukrajina bude Z\u00e1padem masivn\u011b a modern\u011b vyzbrojena, a Z\u00e1pad j\u00ed bude transferovat miliardy EUR na vydr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00ed nov\u00e9 obrovsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Rusko tyto ukrajinsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky s ur\u010ditost\u00ed hrani\u010d\u00edc\u00ed s jistotou odm\u00edtne, proto\u017ee jejich p\u0159ijet\u00edm by prohr\u00e1lo v\u00e1lku, a bylo by n\u011bkdy v budoucnosti Ukrajinou podporovanou minim\u00e1ln\u011b Evropou spolehliv\u011b p\u0159epadeno, pokud by p\u0159ed t\u00edm dobrovoln\u011b nekapitulovalo, a nesplnilo tzv. \u201cspravedliv\u00e9 podm\u00ednky\u201d, v\u010detn\u011b vr\u00e1cen\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, odzbrojen\u00ed, vyplacen\u00ed tu\u010dn\u00fdch reparac\u00ed, a uzn\u00e1n\u00ed nutnosti rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ruska na d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed st\u00e1ty. Jak jsou tyto \u201cspravedliv\u00e9 podm\u00ednky\u201d, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed za v\u00fdsledek m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed prosadit p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kolektivn\u00ed sme\u010dka fialov\u00fdch probruselsk\u00fdch politik\u016f vyzn\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lku proti Rusku za absolutn\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mravn\u00ed hodnotu lidstva, naivn\u00ed a po\u0161etil\u00e9, ukazuj\u00ed ud\u00e1losti podzimu 2022, kdy se Washington i Moskva pragmaticky dohodly, \u017ee Ukrajinu rozd\u011bl\u00ed, aby zabr\u00e1nily jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lce mezi NATO a Ruskem.<\/p>\n

    A\u010dkoli dohoda o rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny, kterou spolu v roce 2022 uzav\u0159el Washington a Moskva, nebyla nikdy ve\u0159ejn\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1na, a z\u0159ejm\u011b ani nem\u00e1 p\u00edsemnou podobu, je logick\u00e9, \u017ee uzav\u0159ena byla, a \u017ee je v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b vnit\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed a projevem vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 d\u016fv\u011bry rusk\u00e9ho i americk\u00e9ho \u201cDeep State Apar\u00e1tu\u201d, a \u017ee nyn\u00ed teprve nastaly vhodn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, ji institucion\u00e1ln\u011b, legislativn\u011b i politicky uv\u00e9st do ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b-politick\u00e9 praxe a reality.<\/p>\n

    Pro uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody existuj\u00ed tyto nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 d\u016fkazy:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Gener\u00e1l Zalu\u017enyj ned\u00e1vno ve\u0159ejn\u011b p\u0159iznal<\/a>, \u017ee na p\u0159elomu srpna a z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022, kdy m\u011bla Ukrajina zmobilizovanou silnou arm\u00e1du, a za\u010dala \u00fato\u010dit na po\u010detn\u011b zna\u010dn\u011b slab\u0161\u00ed Rusy, mu USA n\u00e1hle bez vysv\u011btlen\u00ed p\u0159estaly dod\u00e1vat po\u017eadovan\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00fadern\u00e9 a obrn\u011bn\u00e9 zbran\u011b, vybaven\u00ed a munici, kter\u00e9 byly pro j\u00edm pl\u00e1novanou ofenz\u00edvu sm\u011brem ze Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed k Azovsk\u00e9mu mo\u0159i nezbytn\u011b nutn\u00e9, a nav\u00edc mu na\u0159\u00eddili, aby dostupn\u00fdmi silami nejd\u0159\u00edve za\u00fato\u010dil na Cherson, br\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fd siln\u00fdm kontingentem elitn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159\u016f.<\/li>\n
    2. Obdobn\u011b jako Zalu\u017enyj se v minulosti vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili i ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9, a ti svorn\u011b tvrdili, \u017ee v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9m okam\u017eiku, kdy se jim u\u017e da\u0159ilo prolamovat obranu rusk\u00fdch v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159\u016f kolem Chersonu, a mo\u017enost, \u017ee je za\u017eenou do \u0159eky a utop\u00ed, se za\u010dala jevit re\u00e1lnou, byly jejich jednotky na z\u00e1klad\u011b americk\u00fdch informac\u00ed a po\u017eadavk\u016f\u00a0p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny z chersonsk\u00e9ho sm\u011bru na charkovsk\u00fd<\/a>, a ru\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159i tak z\u00edskali \u010das se beze ztr\u00e1t p\u0159esunout na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed b\u0159eh Dn\u011bpru.<\/li>\n
    3. Jakmile porovn\u00e1me \u010dasovou osu, v n\u00ed\u017e tyto ud\u00e1losti 1 a 2 prob\u00edhaly, snadno zjist\u00edme, \u017ee\u00a0tou dobou prob\u00edhala rusk\u00e1 referenda o p\u0159ipojen\u00ed nov\u00fdch oblast\u00ed k Rusku<\/a>, a \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva napl\u00e1novan\u00e1 Zalu\u017en\u00fdm p\u016fvodn\u011b ze Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed k Azovsk\u00e9mu mo\u0159i, by mohla m\u00edt potenci\u00e1l tato referenda zhatit. Respektive, Ameri\u010dany vynucen\u00e9 p\u0159esuny ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil ze Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed na Cherson, a po n\u011bjak\u00e9m \u010dase zase ze Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed na Charkov, a pozdr\u017een\u00ed dod\u00e1vek kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 v\u00fdzbroje o n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f, vytvo\u0159ily \u010dasovou kapsu, aby referenda prob\u011bhla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b, \u00fazem\u00ed se form\u00e1ln\u011b stala rusk\u00fdmi, a rusk\u00e1 vojska mohla m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti t\u011bchto \u00fazem\u00ed relativn\u011b spo\u0159\u00e1dan\u011b opustit.<\/li>\n
    4. Jakmile porovn\u00e1me \u010dasovou osu, v n\u00ed\u017e prob\u00edhaly ud\u00e1losti 1 a 2 a 3, s tajn\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi vysok\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f obou Deep State Administrativ, a s vystoupen\u00edmi Joe Bidena, snadno zjist\u00edme, \u017ee\u00a0ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b prob\u00edhala tzv. podzimn\u00ed jadern\u00e1 krize<\/a>. Rusko tehdy\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u011b i d\u016fv\u011brn\u011b sd\u011blovalo, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hroz\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eky Ruska okam\u017eit\u011b proti Ukrajin\u011b pou\u017eije nejm\u00e9n\u011b taktick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b<\/a>, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b j\u00ed celou rychle smete, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by se ji pokou\u0161ely, pro rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1m\u011bry ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, podporovat, nebo j\u00ed p\u0159ij\u00edt na pomoc.<\/li>\n
    5. Sou\u010det v\u0161ech t\u011bchto ud\u00e1lost\u00ed dohromady je pak ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed: USA nejm\u00e9n\u011b dvakr\u00e1t na podzim 2022 zabr\u00e1nily Ukrajin\u011b pokusit se u\u0161t\u011bd\u0159it Rusku drtivou por\u00e1\u017eku. A z\u00e1rove\u0148, utajenou manipulac\u00ed s dod\u00e1vkami v\u00fdzbroje pro ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du tak, aby dorazila pozd\u011b. A z\u00e1rove\u0148, na\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00edm sm\u011br\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f tak, aby zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed jejich \u010das\u016f vyhovovalo rusk\u00fdm st\u00e1tn\u00edm z\u00e1m\u011br\u016fm. Vytvo\u0159ily podm\u00ednky proto, aby ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed p\u0159e\u0161la relativn\u011b leg\u00e1ln\u011b \u2013 referendy \u2013 pod ruskou st\u00e1tn\u00ed legislativu, a stala se tak i s jejich obyvateli sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.<\/li>\n
    6. Z\u00e1v\u011br je potom jasn\u00fd: USA skryt\u011b, ale de facto, na podzim 2022 respektovaly pravidla pro odvr\u00e1cen\u00ed jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi ob\u011bma mocnostmi, jak je definuje Kissingerova doktr\u00edna, a pomoc\u00ed \u0159et\u011bzce c\u00edlen\u00fdch manipulac\u00ed vym\u011bnily ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed Chersonsk\u00e9, Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9, Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti, a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i Krym, za\u00a0rusk\u00e9 zdr\u017een\u00ed se jadern\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>, tedy za odsunut\u00ed konce v\u00e1lky a\u017e na pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dobu, ov\u0161em se stejn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem, ale za pou\u017eit\u00ed pouze konven\u010dn\u00edch zbran\u00ed. Pokud do cel\u00e9 logick\u00e9 konstrukce dopo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me zn\u00e1mou neochotu USA za celou dobu administrativy Bidena dod\u00e1vat Ukrajin\u011b tanky, d\u011bla, rakety i dal\u0161\u00ed pomoc, a z\u00e1kazy st\u0159\u00edlet dalekonson\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi na \u00fazem\u00ed Ruska, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee podm\u00ednky m\u00edru byly s Ruskem domluveny u\u017e d\u00e1vno, a nyn\u00ed se pouze hledaj\u00ed cesty, jak je uv\u00e9st do praxe. Snahy Starmera, Macrona, Fialy, Lipavsk\u00e9ho, \u010di dal\u0161\u00edch naivn\u00edch, ale v\u00e1lkychtiv\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f, jsou tak odsouzeny k nezdaru, proto\u017ee ob\u011b mocnosti se u\u017e domluvily, a ani jedna nep\u0159ipust\u00ed, aby EU jejich dohodu naru\u0161ovala.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      (Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza je vlastn\u011b dokon\u010den\u00edm anal\u00fdzy o gener\u00e1lu Gerasimovi. Kdo jin\u00fd ne\u017e on, nechal rusk\u00e1 vojska rozm\u00edstit koncem l\u00e9ta 2022 tak, aby se Ukrajinc\u016fm jejich ofenz\u00edva podle americk\u00fdch na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed zda\u0159ila? A kdo potom nechal Ukrajince metodiky hubit na front\u011b, aby klasick\u00fdmi metodami dos\u00e1hl \u00fa\u010dink\u016f proti \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edle rovnocenn\u00fdch pou\u017eit\u00ed taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed? A kdo raketami zni\u010dil celou ukrajinskou ekonomiku a i energetiku s v\u00fdsledkem odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm taktick\u00e9mu jadern\u00e9mu bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed ?\u00a0\u00a0Podrobn\u011b v\u0161e rozeberu ve \u010dtvrtek s Ivanem Kratochv\u00edlem na TV Bure\u0161<\/a>).<\/p>\n

      Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

      \"\"<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Washington a Moskva se dohodly o rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny u\u017e na podzim 2022. V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 b\u011bsn\u011bn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74510"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74510"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74510\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74511,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74510\/revisions\/74511"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}