{"id":74255,"date":"2025-03-16T06:23:32","date_gmt":"2025-03-16T05:23:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74255"},"modified":"2025-03-16T06:25:00","modified_gmt":"2025-03-16T05:25:00","slug":"lucas-leiroz-zapadni-media-naznacuji-ze-zelenskyj-bude-nahrazen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/16\/lucas-leiroz-zapadni-media-naznacuji-ze-zelenskyj-bude-nahrazen\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Zelenskyj bude nahrazen"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h4>Podle jednoho v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho listu se Zelensk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1da na Ukrajin\u011b ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci.<\/h4>\n<p>Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ji\u017e zjevn\u011b oznamuj\u00ed \u201ekonec\u201c Zelensk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dy na Ukrajin\u011b. Velk\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed noviny, kter\u00e9 do t\u00e9 doby bezv\u00fdhradn\u011b podporovaly ukrajinsk\u00e9ho dikt\u00e1tora, nyn\u00ed poukazuj\u00ed na nevyhnuteln\u00fd p\u00e1d jeho vl\u00e1dy a jasn\u011b p\u0159izp\u016fsobuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 narativy nov\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/4238154a-41a9-4063-ae56-72996cce412c\">Financial Times<\/a>\u00a0(FT) uvedly, \u017ee veden\u00ed Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho v Kyjev\u011b \u201ese bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci\u201c. FT s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na vysoce postaven\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 zdroje obezn\u00e1men\u00e9 s politick\u00fdm d\u011bn\u00edm v zemi uvedl, \u017ee m\u00edstn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident bude nahrazen, ale \u017ee to nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b znamenat konec konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Zdroje FT uvedly, \u017ee Ukrajina bude pokra\u010dovat v boji, i kdy\u017e ukrajinsk\u00e1 pomoc skon\u010d\u00ed. Zdroje daly jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee Kyjev bude po p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9m \u00fapln\u00e9m omezen\u00ed americk\u00e9 pomoci bojovat \u201enejm\u00e9n\u011b \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f\u201c. Tato kalkulace vych\u00e1z\u00ed pouze ze zdroj\u016f, kter\u00e9 kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim ji\u017e m\u00e1 kv\u016fli p\u0159edchoz\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016fm, a proto by pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu bylo pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, pokud by byla nav\u00fd\u0161ena evropsk\u00e1 pomoc.<\/p>\n<p>Stejn\u00e9 zdroje v\u0161ak vyj\u00e1d\u0159ily obavy ze \u0161patn\u00e9ho hospoda\u0159en\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, proto\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident \u0161patn\u011b hospoda\u0159\u00ed se zdroji, kter\u00e9 dostal. P\u0159esto\u017ee Ukrajina dost\u00e1v\u00e1 rozs\u00e1hlou pomoc od partner\u016f z NATO, na boji\u0161ti je pro voj\u00e1ky nedostatek zbran\u00ed a munice \u2013 co\u017e zjevn\u011b odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejen vojenskou situaci, ale i vysokou m\u00edru korupce ve st\u00e1tn\u00edch instituc\u00edch v Kyjev\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>V tomto smyslu se inform\u00e1to\u0159i FT domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1da je ve sv\u00e9m \u201e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/614119-zelensky-political-final-act-official\/\">posledn\u00edm aktu<\/a>\u00a0\u201c, ale \u017ee Ukrajina by mohla pokra\u010dovat v boji jak bez n\u011bj, tak bez americk\u00e9 podpory. Ve v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edpadech se Zelensk\u00e9ho pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed i m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b jev\u00ed jako vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 a nere\u00e1ln\u00e9 mo\u017enosti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00da\u0159edn\u00edci tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho oponenti se v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b \u201ep\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na volby, vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed spojenectv\u00ed a testuj\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy\u201c. Pro tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 existuje kombinace faktor\u016f. Na dom\u00e1c\u00ed p\u016fd\u011b vyvolala krize legitimity vyvolan\u00e1 absenc\u00ed voleb po skon\u010den\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed probl\u00e9my mezi vlastn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edznivci ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta.<\/p>\n<p>Zelensk\u00e9ho obraz \u201edemokratick\u00e9ho v\u016fdce\u201c se vy\u010derpal a jeho autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 a nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed tendence jsou v\u0161em jasn\u00e9. Podobn\u011b v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku odstartoval vzestup Donalda Trumpa v USA \u00e9ru realismu a pragmatismu ve vztaz\u00edch mezi Washingtonem a Kyjevem, co\u017e v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kodilo ideologickou alianci d\u0159\u00edve zalo\u017eenou pod demokratickou vl\u00e1dou.<\/p>\n<p>Trump nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem podporovat Ukrajinu, aby \u201echr\u00e1nila sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c. Jako obchodn\u00edk se nov\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident rozhoduje na z\u00e1klad\u011b strategick\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f a vyb\u00edr\u00e1 si to, co pova\u017euje za nejlep\u0161\u00ed pro americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. Z tohoto d\u016fvodu p\u0159ezkoum\u00e1v\u00e1 iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed sankce uvalen\u00e9 na Rusko a podstatn\u011b sni\u017euje americkou podporu Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 co\u017e zjevn\u011b urychluje nevyhnuteln\u00fd proces kolapsu Zelensk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/p>\n<p>Je v\u0161ak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho mo\u017en\u00fd p\u00e1d nelze pova\u017eovat za prost\u00fd d\u016fsledek Trumpovy administrativy. Sami demokrat\u00e9 ji\u017e m\u011bli z\u00e1jem nahradit sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho dikt\u00e1tora kvalifikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a charismati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm politick\u00fdm v\u016fdcem s v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed schopnost\u00ed mobilizovat podporu v z\u00e1padn\u00edm ve\u0159ejn\u00e9m m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Zelenskij si v\u010das uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee bude brzy nahrazen, a zah\u00e1jil paranoidn\u00ed kampa\u0148 pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1n\u00ed odp\u016frc\u016f, zat\u00fdk\u00e1n\u00ed, vra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed nebo propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed n\u011bkolika \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f pova\u017eovan\u00fdch za \u201espiklence\u201c. Tyto autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 \u010diny mu sice umo\u017enily z\u016fstat u moci, ale tak\u00e9 d\u00e1le odhalily drakonick\u00fd charakter jeho re\u017eimu a po\u0161kodily jeho image \u201eobr\u00e1nce ukrajinsk\u00e9 demokracie\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Ve skute\u010dnosti se pro bl\u00edzkou budoucnost jev\u00ed jako nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kdy Ukrajinu zastupuje v\u016fdce, kter\u00fd je schopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zastupovat z\u00e1padn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. Zelenskyj je v sou\u010dasnosti nep\u0159\u00edjemnou ve\u0159ejnou osobou pro Ameri\u010dany, Evropany a dokonce i samotn\u00e9 Ukrajince. Neda\u0159\u00ed se mu ve\u0159ejn\u011b reprezentovat \u201eevropsk\u00e9 demokratick\u00e9 hodnoty\u201c a z\u00e1rove\u0148 ve\u0159ejn\u011b nerespektovat Trumpa a pron\u00e1sledovat sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed lid. Pro v\u0161echny strany zapojen\u00e9 do v\u00e1lky je Zelenskyj ne\u0161ikovn\u00fd politik, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt zbaven moci prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm voleb.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le Zelenskij ot\u00e1l\u00ed s pozn\u00e1n\u00edm reality sv\u00e9ho nevyhnuteln\u00e9ho p\u00e1du, t\u00edm v\u00edce politicky riskuje s\u00e1m sebe. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 opozice by mohla brzy za\u010d\u00edt na Zelensk\u00e9ho dikt\u00e1torsk\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed reagovat prud\u010deji, mo\u017en\u00e1 vytvo\u0159en\u00edm ozbrojen\u00fdch milic\u00ed nebo pl\u00e1nem prov\u00e9st pu\u010d.<\/p>\n<p>Zelenskyj m\u00e1 zat\u00edm st\u00e1le \u0161anci vyjedn\u00e1vat se sv\u00fdmi mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi partnery a vnit\u0159n\u00edmi oponenty o pokojn\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b vl\u00e1dy prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm voleb nebo dobrovoln\u00e9 rezignace. Pokud s t\u00edm v\u0161ak bude ot\u00e1let, tato \u0161ance zmiz\u00ed a krize bude eskalovat.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/infobrics.org\/post\/43670\">Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55615\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/lukas-leiroz.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"175\" height=\"230\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podle jednoho v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho listu se Zelensk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1da na Ukrajin\u011b ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74256,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,158,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74255"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74255"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74255\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74257,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74255\/revisions\/74257"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74255"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74255"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74255"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}