{"id":74130,"date":"2025-03-15T00:22:50","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T23:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=74130"},"modified":"2025-03-15T04:51:46","modified_gmt":"2025-03-15T03:51:46","slug":"jiri-paroubek-primeri-neni-mir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/15\/jiri-paroubek-primeri-neni-mir\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed nen\u00ed m\u00edr\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tolik asi cht\u011bl sd\u011blit rusk\u00fd prezident Putin v reakci na n\u00e1vrh Ameri\u010dan\u016f na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b. Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed ud\u011blat stejnou chybu, jakou ud\u011blali uzav\u0159en\u00edm Minsk\u00fdch dohod, kter\u00e9 ve sv\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch znamenaly p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi vojsky a rusk\u00fdmi separatisty Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 oblasti. Ned\u00e1valy v\u0161ak \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky toho, jak se bude toto \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c dodr\u017eovat.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusov\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee od roku 2014 do roku 2022, zahynulo p\u0159i \u00fatoc\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na Don\u011bckou a v Luhanskou oblast, zhruba 14 tis\u00edc civilist\u016f. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee kdo chce,\u00a0 tak to m\u016f\u017ee br\u00e1t jako ruskou propagandu.\u00a0 Ale kdy\u017e jsem vid\u011bl z\u00e1b\u011bry z\u00a0dokument\u00e1rn\u00edch film\u016f se z\u00e1b\u011bry z\u00a0h\u0159bitov\u016f s\u00a0\u010derstv\u00fdmi hroby civiln\u00edch obyvatel (a \u010dasto i d\u011bt\u00ed), kte\u0159\u00ed nalezli smrt po st\u0159el\u00e1ch dalekonosn\u00e9ho d\u011blost\u0159electva a dal\u0161\u00edch zbran\u00ed vyst\u0159elen\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdmi voj\u00e1ky na separatistick\u00e9 oblasti, mohl jsem m\u00edt p\u0159ed o\u010dima mlhu, kter\u00e1 mne om\u00e1mila…<\/p>\n

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Mimochodem, Minsk\u00e9 dohody, po schv\u00e1len\u00ed Radou bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, se staly sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va. P\u0159ed n\u011bjakou dobou jsme se ov\u0161em, u\u017e v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b dozv\u011bd\u011bli od n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00edch garant\u016f t\u011bchto dohod, n\u011bmeck\u00e9 exkancl\u00e9\u0159ky Merkelov\u00e9 a francouzsk\u00e9ho exprezidenta Hollanda, \u017ee zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 dohody byly vlastn\u011b jen n\u00e1strojem k oblafnut\u00ed Ruska. A \u017ee m\u011bly slou\u017eit jen k\u00a0z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dasu pro vyzbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Rusko v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0 \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na v\u0161ech front\u00e1ch. Ukrajinc\u016fm se nedost\u00e1v\u00e1 lidsk\u00fdch z\u00e1loh\u00a0 a tak p\u0159edstava, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 uzav\u0159ou p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, aby byli op\u011bt oblafnuti, je jen podcen\u011bn\u00edm inteligence prezidenta Putina. Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee je to ale p\u0159\u00edpad prezidenta Trumpa a jeho moment\u00e1ln\u00edho p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0Rusku.<\/p>\n

Rusko bude p\u0159ed jedn\u00e1n\u00edm o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u00a0 cht\u00edt pochopiteln\u011b z\u00e1ruky, tak jak o tom ostatn\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed prezident Putin, \u017ee po uzav\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed bude nastolen skute\u010dn\u011b m\u00edr. A m\u00edr, kter\u00fd bude udr\u017eiteln\u00fd. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, m\u00edrov\u00e1 smlouva mus\u00ed b\u00fdt v\u00a0hrub\u00fdch rysech dohodnuta je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezidenta nabyl d\u016fv\u011bru v\u00a0kon\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta pot\u00e9, co se provalilo, \u017ee Minsk\u00e9 dohody byly m\u00edn\u011bny l\u00eddry nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed jen jako \u0161alba a klam.\u00a0 Proto pochopiteln\u011b nem\u00e1 k\u00a0t\u011bmto zem\u00edm a jejich p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm Rusko ji\u017e d\u016fv\u011bru.<\/p>\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Putin bude trvat na tom, aby mu z\u016fstala v\u0161echna \u00fazem\u00ed s\u00a0ruskojazy\u010dn\u00fdm obyvatelstvem, kter\u00e1 zabrala v\u00a0posledn\u00edch 3 letech rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da. A k\u00a0tomu pochopiteln\u011b ji\u017e v roce 2015 anektovan\u00fd Krym. Um\u00edm si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee jako jist\u00fd \u00fastupek, bude Rusko souhlasit s\u00a0plebiscitem uspo\u0159\u00e1dan\u00fdm v\u00a0t\u011bchto oblastech anektovan\u00fdch Ruskem. Tedy, zda obyvatelstvo chce z\u016fstat v\u00a0Rusku \u010di na Ukrajin\u011b. Ale v\u00a0takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u016f\u017ee Rusko cht\u00edt tak\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed podobn\u00e9ho plebiscitu v\u00a0Charkov\u011b \u010di Od\u011bse, tedy ve m\u011bstech s\u00a0p\u0159evahou rusk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva. Na plebiscitu bude tedy dobr\u00e9 z\u00a0obou stran netrvat.<\/p>\n

Zcela nepochybn\u011b Rusko bude trvat na tom, aby se Ukrajina nestala \u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem NATO. Co\u017e nevylu\u010duje bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed garance poskytnut\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b nap\u0159. Franci\u00ed, N\u011bmeckem, Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 t\u0159eba \u010c\u00ednou a Tureckem. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se do poskytnut\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch garanc\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b nehrnou….<\/p>\n

A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mus\u00ed b\u00fdt propracov\u00e1n syst\u00e9m kontroly p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a pozd\u011bji i dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed dohody o m\u00edru na hranici styku obou arm\u00e1d. Tedy, na nov\u00e9 hranici Ukrajiny.\u00a0 Nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodiskem by bylo alespo\u0148 p\u0159echodn\u00e9 anga\u017em\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch sil OSN na Ukrajin\u011b. Rusko s\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed nebude souhlasit s\u00a0um\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm vojsk zem\u00ed NATO na Ukrajin\u011b. To by pop\u0159elo sv\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem to, pro\u010d vedlo na Ukrajin\u011b po t\u0159i roky v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

Je pot\u0159eba si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vcelku vy\u010derpaly sv\u016fj reperto\u00e1r mo\u017en\u00fdch sankci v\u016f\u010di Rusku. Bl\u00e1boly mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed \u010ceska a r\u016fzn\u00fdch quasiodborn\u00edk\u016f v nich o tom, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pod veden\u00edm Trumpa, dohodnou se zem\u011bmi OPEC, aby tyto zem\u011b dramaticky nav\u00fd\u0161ily t\u011b\u017ebu ropy. A \u017ee by tak srazily cenu t\u00e9to suroviny, co\u017e by dramaticky sn\u00ed\u017eilo cenu ropy na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch a tedy i p\u0159\u00edjmy rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, jsou \u00faplnou chim\u00e9rou. Rusko je s nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi zem\u011bmi OPEC tak \u0159\u00edkaj\u00edc jedna ruka. Dlouh\u00e1 l\u00e9ta d\u011blaj\u00ed spole\u010dnou obchodn\u00ed politiku. A p\u0159edstava, \u017ee by si tyto zem\u011b samotn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eily p\u0159\u00edjmy z\u00a0prodeje ropy, je sci-fi. A stejn\u011b tak je sci-fi dal\u0161\u00ed bl\u00e1bol \u201estrat\u00e9g\u016f\u201c z\u00a0\u0159ad na\u0161ich publicist\u016f, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee Rusko by nesouhlasilo s\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00fdm ujedn\u00e1n\u00edm, vyzbroj\u00ed Ukrajinu tak siln\u011b, \u017ee to zm\u011bn\u00ed rychle situaci na front\u00e1ch ve prosp\u011bch ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Tak\u00e9 toto p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed je jen a jen chim\u00e9rou. Ukrajinci nemaj\u00ed dost voj\u00e1k\u016f a nemaj\u00ed ani dost kvalifikovan\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f na to, aby zvl\u00e1dli nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 a zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 technologie. A pokud by se to snad n\u011bjak\u00fdm z\u00e1zrakem poda\u0159ilo, bude sv\u011bt balancovat na okraji jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. A to jist\u011b prezident Trump nechce….<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b te\u010f nastane n\u011bkolikat\u00fddenn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Ruskem o podob\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy. A a\u017e teprve pot\u00e9 bude vyhl\u00e1\u0161eno p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tolik asi cht\u011bl sd\u011blit rusk\u00fd prezident Putin v reakci na n\u00e1vrh Ameri\u010dan\u016f na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ve…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73452,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,4199,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74130"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74130"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74130\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73452"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}