{"id":7409,"date":"2022-01-08T11:32:38","date_gmt":"2022-01-08T10:32:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=7409"},"modified":"2022-01-08T11:32:38","modified_gmt":"2022-01-08T10:32:38","slug":"jan-campbell-zpetna-vazba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/01\/08\/jan-campbell-zpetna-vazba\/","title":{"rendered":"Jan Campbell: Zp\u011btn\u00e1 vazba"},"content":{"rendered":"
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D\u011bkuji v\u0161em \u010dten\u00e1\u0159\u016fm za z\u00e1jem, toleranci, akceptov\u00e1n\u00ed formula\u010dn\u00edch deficit\u016f, reakce, ot\u00e1zky a p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed k\u00a0nov\u00e9mu roku 2022, kter\u00e9 dost\u00e1v\u00e1m. K posledn\u00edm t\u0159em p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvk\u016fm \u2013 Kdo se bude sm\u00e1t (1), (2)<\/em> a Kazachst\u00e1n se n\u00e1s net\u00fdk\u00e1<\/em>, reaguji stru\u010dn\u011b na dotazy n\u00e1sledovn\u011b:<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky zve\u0159ej\u0148ovan\u00e9 na serveru Seznam, kter\u00e9 mi n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edznivci pos\u00edlaj\u00ed s\u00a0prosbou okomentovat je, ne\u010dtu. S regionem Centr\u00e1ln\u00ed Asie jsem se prvn\u011b sezn\u00e1mil p\u0159ed cca 40 lety, pozd\u011bji v\u00a0r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edpravy na pracovn\u00ed pobyt v\u00a0regionu. P\u0159ed 31 roky jsem pracoval v\u00a0Bi\u0161keku, zalo\u017eil Koordina\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 TACIS EK a byl jej\u00edm vedouc\u00edm do nazna\u010den\u00ed do funkce osobn\u00edho poradce dvou premi\u00e9r\u016f se smlouvou s EK. S\u00a0ex-prezidentem Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu Askar Akajevi\u010d Akajevem (1944) jsem se setk\u00e1val pravideln\u011b v\u011bt\u0161inou ve dvou, s\u00a0ex-prezidentem Nursultan Abi\u0161uly Nazarbajevem (1940) nepravideln\u011b.<\/p>\n

Mnoholet\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dast v\u00a0Eurasijsk\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru Astana, kter\u00e9 spoluinicioval b\u00fdval\u00fd rektor Uralsk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 univerzity v\u00a0Jekaterinburgu Michal Vasijevi\u010d Fjodorov (1951), na kter\u00e9 jsem mj. p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161el podobn\u011b jako na st\u00e1tn\u00ed univerzit\u011b Al-Farabi v\u00a0Almaty a jinde, r\u016fzn\u00e9 dotazy a prosby delegace EP a jin\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch instituc\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv a jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m Urum\u010di, hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b dnes z\u00e1padem kritizovan\u00e9 Ujgursk\u00e9 autonomn\u00ed oblasti Sin-\u0165iang, mn\u011b dovolili obohatit se ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi a neofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi informacemi, dojmy a zku\u0161enostmi, kter\u00e9 v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 EU, v\u010detn\u011b \u010desk\u00e9 kotliny paradoxn\u011b nikoho nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Co se t\u00fd\u010de hodnocen\u00ed d\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u00a0Kazachst\u00e1nu, Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu, Uzbekist\u00e1nu a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i severoz\u00e1padu \u010cLR dovoluji si doplnit aspekty, kter\u00e9 jsem v\u011bdom\u011b podrobn\u011bji nepojedn\u00e1val v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvc\u00edch: Turecko, Olympijsk\u00e9 hry v\u00a0\u010cLR, ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e1 Ujgursk\u00e1 autonomn\u00ed oblast Sin-\u0165iang a jedn\u00e1n\u00ed RF s\u00a0USA a NATO, bez EU. Zku\u0161enost a v\u00fdvoj v\u00a0regionu mi dovoluj\u00ed tvrdit, \u017ee v\u00a0Kazachst\u00e1nu se jedn\u00e1 o pokus zab\u00edt dv\u011b mouchy jednou ranou: velmi \u0161ikovn\u011b, pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na\u010dasovan\u011b, aby se jednalo o b\u011bh na del\u0161\u00ed tra\u0165 (pro RF) nehled\u011b na to, zda se poda\u0159\u00ed rychle uklidnit a vz\u00edt pln\u011b pod kontrolu situaci a dob\u0159e organizovan\u00e9 demonstrace.<\/p>\n

Co se t\u00fd\u010de aspektu Turecko, nevylu\u010duji, \u017ee Ankara m\u00e1 podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee ur\u010dit\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st kaza\u0161sk\u00e9 elity hraje hru. Jakou? Turecko m\u00e1 pro podez\u0159en\u00ed jist\u011b sv\u00e9 d\u016fvody. Nezn\u00e1m je, proto nebudu spekulovat. V\u00edm ale, \u017ee v Turecku existuje potenci\u00e1l, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 rychle a neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u011b vzplanout a vybouchnout. Obsahuje mj. inflaci, sucho, ropu, plyn, v\u00edcesm\u011brnost zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, hru s\u00a0ohn\u011bm na Ukrajin\u011b, Kavkazu a Balk\u00e1nu. Zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 dopl\u0148uje o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed prezidentsk\u00e9 moci a vedouc\u00ed role Turecka ve Svazu turkick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f <\/em>(STS), n\u011bkdy zvan\u00e9m tak\u00e9 Unie turkick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f<\/em> (UTS).<\/p>\n

Den\u00edk Daily Sabah p\u00ed\u0161e, \u017ee image (Kazachst\u00e1nu) dlouho pova\u017eovan\u00e9ho za jednu z nejstabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch b\u00fdval\u00fdch sov\u011btsk\u00fdch republik ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii dostala velkou r\u00e1nu.<\/em> Takov\u00e9 konstatov\u00e1n\u00ed nut\u00ed pt\u00e1t se: Od koho byla r\u00e1na, jak\u00fd sm\u011br ude\u0159en\u00e9mu napov\u00edd\u00e1 nebo dokonce ur\u010duje? V\u00a0kontextu cit\u00e1tu a ot\u00e1zky p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1m listopadov\u00fd summit (2021) Svazu turkick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f (STS). Na n\u011bm bylo jasn\u011b vysloveno p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed zformovat hospod\u00e1\u0159kou a vojensky \u2013 politickou alianci Kazachst\u00e1n-Turecko. Prezident Erdo\u011fan v t\u00e9to souvislosti p\u0159edlo\u017eil tezi \u0161esti st\u00e1t\u016f a jednoho n\u00e1roda<\/em>. Proto asi tureck\u00fd politolog Benjamin Eshil tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee ti, kdo si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Kazachst\u00e1nu ur\u010dit\u00e9 s\u00edly zas\u00e1hly pouze Rusko, aby ho oslabily a torp\u00e9dovaly integraci v postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostoru<\/em>, se m\u00fdl\u00ed<\/em>. Podle n\u011bj \u00fader je nam\u00ed\u0159en i proti Turecku.<\/em> STS se tak i tak mus\u00ed hodnotit tak\u00e9 jako jeden s\u00a0n\u011bkolika n\u00e1stroj\u016f Z\u00e1padu proti RF a \u010cLR.<\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed potvrzuj\u00ed tureck\u00e9 noviny Habert\u00fcrk, kter\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u011b p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee v\u011bci teprve za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed<\/em> a V\u00fdchodn\u00ed Turkest\u00e1n se brzy stane d\u011bji\u0161t\u011bm velk\u00e9 hry.<\/em><\/p>\n

V\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru dne\u0161n\u00ed zp\u011btn\u00e9 vazby uv\u00e1d\u00edm kr\u00e1tk\u00fd v\u00fdta\u017eek z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku z\u00a0roku 2018, se kter\u00fdm doporu\u010duj sezn\u00e1mit se, a dv\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti, beze jmen osob a jeden p\u0159\u00edklad z Balk\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

T\u0159i d\u016fvody cesty do Kazachst\u00e1nu (zve\u0159ejn\u011bn 23.4.2018): GP Kazachst\u00e1nu za\u010dala v dubnu 2017 realizovat dvoulet\u00fd projekt nazvan\u00fd Ke spole\u010dnosti bez t\u00fdr\u00e1n\u00ed. Projekt je zalo\u017een na n\u011bmeck\u00e9m modelu vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Pro informaci uv\u00e1d\u00edm: V dubnu 2018 se nach\u00e1zelo v Kazachst\u00e1nu celkem 3670 osob ve vy\u0161et\u0159ovac\u00ed vazb\u011b, z nich 505 na dobu 72 hodin, 3143 na dobu 48 hodin a 22 mladistv\u00fdch osob (do 18 let) na dobu 24 hodin\u2026Projekt navazuje na Koncepci 10 opat\u0159en\u00ed ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dtu v\u011bzn\u011bn\u00fdch v Kazachst\u00e1nu (z roku 2013). Jedn\u00edm z probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00fd osobn\u011b vid\u00edm, je, \u017ee hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 kriminalita nepodl\u00e9h\u00e1 zat\u010den\u00ed podez\u0159el\u00fdch s v\u00fdjimkou 7 kategori\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je velice obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 a n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 dok\u00e1zat, nen\u00ed-li politick\u00e1 v\u016fle a ochota na geopolitick\u00e9 \u00farovni: raidering, money laundering, counterfeit money, forcing to make deal, pyramid scheme, smuggling and organized crime .<\/em><\/p>\n

Osobn\u00ed zku\u0161enosti: 1) Kdy\u017e jeden z\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u0161\u00e9f\u016f KNB (analog KGB, BIS) p\u0159edlo\u017eil \u2013 podle slov rodinn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edka, kter\u00e9ho jsem znal deset let, prezidentovi Nazarbajevovi p\u0159ehled \u017eivotopis\u016f cizinc\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b britsk\u00fdch, kte\u0159\u00ed vedli univerzity a podobn\u00e9 instituce, bylo mu \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee to nen\u00ed jeho v\u011bc. Byl odvol\u00e1n a p\u0159eveden do Moskvy, pokud si vzpom\u00edn\u00e1m, EAHU. Pro\u010d?<\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina \u017eivotopis\u016f neodpov\u00eddala pravd\u011b, mj. neobsahovala vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed a pr\u00e1ci v\u00a0z\u00e1padn\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch slo\u017ek\u00e1ch. 2) P\u0159ed jedn\u00edm vystoupen\u00edm prezidenta Nazarbajeva v\u00a0r\u00e1mci Astaninsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra sed\u011bl z\u00e1stupce Exxonu, mysl\u00edm dokonce prezident spole\u010dnosti, se zk\u0159\u00ed\u017een\u00fdmi nohami a ukazoval podr\u00e1\u017eku sv\u00fdch nov\u00fdch a drah\u00fdch polobotek. P\u0159i vstupu prezidenta se mu necht\u011blo ani vst\u00e1t. Takov\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0Asii je rovno ur\u00e1\u017ece. Proto jsem oslovil jednoho \u010dlena\u00a0ochranky prezidenta a po\u017e\u00e1dal sd\u011blit mu, \u017ee od t\u00e9to chv\u00edle pova\u017euji Exxon za v\u00edce mocn\u00e9ho v\u00a0Kazachst\u00e1nu, ne\u017e je prezident, a proto se nebudu d\u00e1le anga\u017eovat. M\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed se obe\u0161lo bez n\u00e1sledk\u016f. P\u0159\u00edklad z\u00a0Balk\u00e1nu: Kdy\u017e Angloamerick\u00e1 koalice ukon\u010dila pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed kone\u010dn\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ot\u00e1zky Srbska, \u0161\u00e9fem CIA se stal George John Tenet (1953). Za pozornost stoj\u00ed dv\u011b v\u011bci: 1) GJT se narodil v\u00a0rodin\u011b migrant\u016f (Evangelia a John Tenet), p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jeho otec se narodil\u00a0 Northern Epirusa<\/em>, dnes \u010d\u00e1st Alb\u00e1nie. 2) Po jmenov\u00e1n\u00ed GJT \u0161\u00e9fem CIA se aktivovala v\u00a0cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b \u010cR alb\u00e1nsk\u00e1 mafie. Nem\u00e1m pochyb, \u017ee tuto skute\u010dnost zaregistrovali i n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9, BIS a dal\u0161\u00ed slu\u017eby \u010cR. Souhlasu net\u0159eba.<\/p>\n

Jan Campbell
\n07.01.2022<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D\u011bkuji v\u0161em \u010dten\u00e1\u0159\u016fm za z\u00e1jem, toleranci, akceptov\u00e1n\u00ed formula\u010dn\u00edch deficit\u016f, reakce, ot\u00e1zky a p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed k\u00a0nov\u00e9mu roku…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":650,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1338,29,122],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7409"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7409\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}