{"id":7398,"date":"2022-01-08T07:09:42","date_gmt":"2022-01-08T06:09:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=7398"},"modified":"2022-01-08T07:09:42","modified_gmt":"2022-01-08T06:09:42","slug":"barevna-revoluce-v-kazachstanu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/01\/08\/barevna-revoluce-v-kazachstanu\/","title":{"rendered":"Barevn\u00e1 revoluce v Kazachst\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"perex\"><strong>Z\u00e1pad jedn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 lstiv\u011b na to, aby byl p\u0159\u00edmo odsouzen.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1znamy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem masov\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f v Kazachst\u00e1nu bylo zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed ceny plynu. Okam\u017eit\u011b v\u0161ak za\u010dalo doch\u00e1zet k z\u00e1sah\u016fm zven\u010d\u00ed a \u0159ada kaza\u0161sk\u00fdch nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch organizac\u00ed financovan\u00fdch Z\u00e1padem vydala \u0159adu po\u017eadavk\u016f, kter\u00e9 byly sp\u00ed\u0161e politick\u00e9 ne\u017e soci\u00e1ln\u011b-ekonomick\u00e9 povahy. Koment\u00e1to\u0159i se rozch\u00e1zej\u00ed v n\u00e1zoru na to, co bylo skute\u010dnou p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou nepokoj\u016f. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed poukazuj\u00ed na skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Kaza\u0161i jsou sebeorganizovan\u00ed a solid\u00e1rn\u00ed, tak\u017ee soci\u00e1ln\u00ed ot\u0159esy byly mo\u017en\u00e9 a byly nam\u00ed\u0159eny proti \u00fa\u0159ad\u016fm, proto\u017ee rodina Nazarbajev\u016f ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdnosn\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed zem\u011b. Dal\u0161\u00ed upozor\u0148uje na geopolitick\u00e9 faktory, proto\u017ee nepokoje vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed ohnisko nestability v bl\u00edzkosti hranic Ruska a \u010c\u00edny a po\u0161kozuj\u00ed z\u00e1jmy t\u011bchto dvou zem\u00ed. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b je velmi pochybn\u00e9, \u017ee v\u0161echny protesty jsou \u010dist\u011b spont\u00e1nn\u00ed. Distribuce ru\u010dn\u00edch zbran\u00ed z kufru auta a obsazen\u00ed leti\u0161t\u011b sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o \u00famysln\u00e9 sabot\u00e1\u017ei a organizovan\u00e9 sabot\u00e1\u017ei.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">\n<h2>Chronologie ud\u00e1lost\u00ed<\/h2>\n<p>V \u00fater\u00fd 4. ledna do\u0161lo v \u017danaozenu k prvn\u00edm st\u0159et\u016fm s polici\u00ed. Shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed se zd\u00e1lo b\u00fdt spont\u00e1nn\u00ed. Pot\u00e9 v\u0161ak se k protest\u016fm p\u0159ipojili i obyvatel\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bst v regionu Mangistau &#8211; region\u00e1ln\u00edho centra Mangistau a Aktau. Protestuj\u00edc\u00ed zablokovali silnice. P\u0159idali se k nim obyvatel\u00e9 Alma-Aty.<\/p>\n<p>\u00da\u0159ady z\u0159\u00eddily zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed komisi a okam\u017eit\u011b u\u010dinily \u00fastupky. To zahrnovalo i rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy. To v\u0161ak protestuj\u00edc\u00ed nezastavilo.<\/p>\n<p>Muchtar Abljazov, uprchl\u00fd oligarcha a opozi\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v Lond\u00fdn\u011b, vyhl\u00e1sil na 5. ledna v\u0161eobecn\u00fd den protest\u016f a z\u0159\u00eddil koordina\u010dn\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b pro p\u0159evzet\u00ed moci.<\/p>\n<p>5. ledna za\u010daly v r\u016fzn\u00fdch m\u011bstech pogromy a obsazov\u00e1n\u00ed administrativn\u00edch budov. Sou\u010dasn\u011b za\u010dalo doch\u00e1zet k rabov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Policie a arm\u00e1da nebyly schopny nepokoje potla\u010dit a byly v\u00fdtr\u017en\u00edky p\u0159emo\u017eeny a odzbrojeny.<\/p>\n<p>Leti\u0161t\u011b Alma-Aty bylo obsazeno. \u0158ada zahrani\u010dn\u00edch leteck\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b rusk\u00e9ho Aeroflotu, b\u011blorusk\u00e9 Belavie a n\u00edzkon\u00e1kladov\u00e9ho dopravce Uveit Jazeera Airways, do\u010dasn\u011b pozastavila lety.<\/p>\n<p>Do ve\u010dera 5. ledna bylo p\u0159i nepokoj\u00edch v Kazachst\u00e1nu zabito osm policist\u016f a voj\u00e1k\u016f N\u00e1rodn\u00ed gardy a 317 dal\u0161\u00edch bylo zran\u011bno.<\/p>\n<p>Kaza\u0161sk\u00fd prezident Tokajev zah\u00e1jil person\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bny v bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch slo\u017ek\u00e1ch a p\u0159evzal funkci \u0161\u00e9fa Rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, kterou d\u0159\u00edve zast\u00e1val Nursultan Nazarbajev.<\/p>\n<p>Ve sv\u00e9m t\u0159et\u00edm televizn\u00edm projevu uvedl n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed:<\/p>\n<p><em>Teroristick\u00e9 gangy se zmocnily velk\u00fdch infrastrukturn\u00edch objekt\u016f. Dokonce obsadili leti\u0161t\u011b v Alma-At\u011b, kde bylo poni\u010deno p\u011bt letadel, v\u010detn\u011b zahrani\u010dn\u00edch.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b pokra\u010duje \u0159\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed gang\u016f v Alma-At\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bstech. Zab\u00edraj\u00ed budovy a infrastrukturu, a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm sklady, kde jsou ulo\u017eeny ru\u010dn\u00ed zbran\u011b. Budovy br\u00e1n\u00ed kadeti bojov\u00e9 \u0161koly. Moment\u00e1ln\u011b prob\u00edh\u00e1 u Alma-Aty st\u0159et s v\u00fdsadkovou jednotkou ministerstva obrany. Je to urputn\u00fd boj.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ve skute\u010dnosti nejde o hrozbu, ale o \u00fatok na integritu st\u00e1tu a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o \u00fatok na na\u0161e ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011b jako hlavu st\u00e1tu \u017e\u00e1daj\u00ed o nal\u00e9havou pomoc.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee tyto teroristick\u00e9 gangy jsou v podstat\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed a pro\u0161ly d\u016fkladn\u00fdm v\u00fdcvikem v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, jejich \u00fatok na Kazachst\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee a m\u011bl by b\u00fdt pova\u017eov\u00e1n za akt agrese.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>V t\u00e9to souvislosti jsem se dnes s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na Smlouvu o kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti obr\u00e1til na hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f CSTO, aby Kazachst\u00e1nu pomohly p\u0159ekonat tuto teroristickou hrozbu.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u010clenov\u00e9 CSTO Tokajevovu \u017e\u00e1dost podpo\u0159ili. Bylo vyd\u00e1no n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed komunik\u00e9:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eS ohledem na v\u00fdzvu prezidenta Kazachst\u00e1nu Tokajeva a na ohro\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a svrchovanosti Republiky Kazachst\u00e1n zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 mimo jin\u00e9 vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed rozhodla Rada kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti OSKB vyslat do Kazachst\u00e1nu na omezenou dobu kolektivn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly OSKB s c\u00edlem stabilizovat a normalizovat situaci v t\u00e9to zemi. P\u0159edseda Rady kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti CSTO Nikol Pa\u0161injan\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Provokat\u00e9\u0159i<\/h2>\n<p>Je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee informa\u010dn\u00ed kampa\u0148 o protestech v Kazachst\u00e1nu na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch, Telegramu a WhatsAppu je sponzorov\u00e1na z Pobalt\u00ed, Polska a Ukrajiny. Nepokoje propaguje i notoricky zn\u00e1m\u00fd polsk\u00fd kan\u00e1l Nexta, kter\u00fd se tak\u00e9 pod\u00edlel na podn\u011bcov\u00e1n\u00ed nepokoj\u016f b\u011bhem pokusu o p\u0159evrat v B\u011blorusku v roce 2020.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cetn\u00e9 propaga\u010dn\u00ed skupiny a kan\u00e1ly, kter\u00e9 se objevily od ve\u010dera 1. ledna, vznikly p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v Pobalt\u00ed a Polsku. Z Ukrajiny p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed koment\u00e1\u0159e obsahuj\u00edc\u00ed texty na podporu kaza\u0161sk\u00e9ho lidu.<\/p>\n<p>Existuje tak\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9ho vzestupu islamismu. Je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee mnoho zradikalizovan\u00fdch Kazach\u016f se zapojilo do zahrani\u010dn\u00edch teroristick\u00fdch organizac\u00ed a z\u00edskalo zku\u0161enosti v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku. Vyrabov\u00e1n\u00ed skladi\u0161\u0165 zbran\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee pos\u00edlit islamistick\u00e9 gangy, kter\u00e9 se budou sna\u017eit vyhl\u00e1sit vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u201echal\u00edf\u00e1tu\u201c a povolat na pomoc sv\u00e9 sympatizanty z jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Riziko \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed terorismu v Kazachst\u00e1nu je nyn\u00ed pom\u011brn\u011b vysok\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2>Kdo z toho m\u00e1 prosp\u011bch?<\/h2>\n<p>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee prosp\u011bch z oslaben\u00ed suverenity zem\u011b (k n\u011bmu\u017e v\u017edy doch\u00e1z\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 barevn\u00e9 revoluce) bude m\u00edt Z\u00e1pad, kter\u00fd n\u00e1sledn\u011b do vedouc\u00edch funkc\u00ed st\u00e1tu bude moci dosadit sv\u00e9 nominanty z nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch organizac\u00ed a st\u00e1\u017eisty\/spolu\u017e\u00e1ky vy\u0161kolen\u00e9 v EU a USA. Nav\u00edc se samotn\u00e9 politick\u00e9 elity Kazachst\u00e1nu integruj\u00ed do z\u00e1padn\u00edch struktur. P\u0159es v\u00fdroky o eurasianismu, kter\u00e9 Nazarbajev v prvn\u00edch letech samostatnosti zem\u011b aktivn\u011b prosazoval, \u0161lo ve skute\u010dnosti jen o \u010d\u00e1st agendy.\u00a0Multivektorov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, kter\u00fd implikoval p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed nejen s Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou, ale tak\u00e9 s EU a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, vedl k nejistot\u011b v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice.<\/p>\n<p>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 barevn\u00e1 revoluce, pokud nebude brzy potla\u010dena, by mohla v\u00e9st k p\u0159imknut\u00ed k z\u00e1padn\u00edm struktur\u00e1m a nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b ze strany dosazen\u00e9ho nov\u00e9ho veden\u00ed zem\u011b. Proto by Moskva m\u011bla p\u0159i poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed pomoci (nejen) prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm CSTO vytvo\u0159it jasn\u00fd r\u00e1mec spolupr\u00e1ce a podm\u00ednit svou pomoc z\u00e1vazky, v nich\u017e by se Kazachst\u00e1n jasn\u011b a jednozna\u010dn\u011b p\u0159eorientoval na euroasijskou integraci. Ekonomick\u00e9 aspekty by m\u011bly b\u00fdt podpo\u0159eny politick\u00fdmi z\u00e1vazky (v\u010detn\u011b povinn\u00e9ho boje proti rusofobii v Kazachst\u00e1nu) a nejl\u00e9pe politicko-vojensk\u00fdm spojenectv\u00edm.<\/p>\n<p>Pro odkaz (a d\u011bdice) Nazarbajeva v\u0161e kon\u010d\u00ed pon\u011bkud smutn\u011b.\u00a0Tokajev pom\u011brn\u011b rychle vylou\u010dil Elbasy z rozhodovac\u00edch mechanism\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zabr\u00e1nil gerontokracii (s charakteristickou klanovost\u00ed) definitivn\u011b zni\u010dit zemi.\u00a0A po skon\u010den\u00ed protiteroristick\u00e9 operace (r\u00e1no 6. ledna pokra\u010dovala v Alma-At\u011b) se veden\u00ed st\u00e1tu bude muset vypo\u0159\u00e1dat se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi agenty, aby vy\u010distilo zemi od budouc\u00edch ohnisek destabilizace.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/katehon.com\/ru\/article\/cvetnaya-revolyuciya-v-kazahstane\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">\u0426\u0412\u0415\u0422\u041d\u0410\u042f \u0420\u0415\u0412\u041e\u041b\u042e\u0426\u0418\u042f \u0412 \u041a\u0410\u0417\u0410\u0425\u0421\u0422\u0410\u041d\u0415<\/a> vy\u0161el 6.1.2021 na katehon.com. P\u0159eklad Zv\u011bdavec.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>P\u0159evzato:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zvedavec.org\/komentare\/2022\/01\/8984-barevna-revoluce-v-kazachstanu.htm\">Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Z\u00e1pad jedn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 lstiv\u011b na to, aby byl p\u0159\u00edmo odsouzen. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1znamy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1338,29,703,835],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7398"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7398"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7398\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7399"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}