{"id":73873,"date":"2025-03-08T07:42:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-08T06:42:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=73873"},"modified":"2025-03-08T07:42:06","modified_gmt":"2025-03-08T06:42:06","slug":"zasobniky-plynu-v-evrope-jsou-v-pohotovosti-hrozi-exploze-cen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/08\/zasobniky-plynu-v-evrope-jsou-v-pohotovosti-hrozi-exploze-cen\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu v Evrop\u011b jsou v pohotovosti \u2013 hroz\u00ed exploze cen"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Energetick\u00e1 krize v Evrop\u011b nab\u00edr\u00e1 nov\u00fd sm\u011br. Po prvn\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 zim\u011b po t\u0159ech letech \u010del\u00ed kontinent neb\u00fdval\u00e9 v\u00fdzv\u011b: z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u011b pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 a je t\u0159eba je pod vysok\u00fdm tlakem znovu naplnit. Ale to bude asi drah\u00e9. Opravdu drah\u00e9.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>S \u00farovn\u00ed napln\u011bn\u00ed pouh\u00fdch 37 procent jsou evropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby plynu hluboko pod \u00farovn\u00ed p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let. Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed: V b\u0159eznu 2023 a 2024 byly sklady je\u0161t\u011b z v\u00edce ne\u017e 60 procent pln\u00e9. Tato dramatick\u00e1 situace je d\u016fsledkem ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00e9 kombinace n\u011bkolika faktor\u016f: n\u00edzk\u00e1 produkce v\u011btrn\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren (\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/windkraft-fiasko-deutschland-im-griff-der-dunkelflaute\/\"><span>temn\u00fd klid<\/span><\/a><span> ), konec tranzitu rusk\u00e9ho plynu p\u0159es Ukrajinu od ledna 2025 a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm neobvykle studen\u00e1 zima.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eEvropa m\u016f\u017ee v l\u00e9t\u011b pot\u0159ebovat a\u017e 250 dal\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f na LNG, aby doplnila sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby na 90 procent,\u201c\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/europes-lng-summer-buying-binge-puts-market-razor-edge-2025-03-03\/\"><span>varuje energetick\u00fd expert Ron Bousso<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0. Toto \u010d\u00edslo vych\u00e1z\u00ed z p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed EU po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00ed do 1. listopadu napln\u011bn\u00ed z 90 procent nebude uvoln\u011bno a \u017ee z\u00e1soby plynu budou do konce b\u0159ezna na 35 procentech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura (IEA)\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/european-gas-market-volatility-puts-continued-pressure-on-competitiveness-and-cost-of-living\"><span>bije na poplach<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0: glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trh LNG bude v roce 2025 nad\u00e1le klesat. A\u010dkoli se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky LNG vzrostou o 5 procent \u2013 \u200b\u200bta\u017eeno expanz\u00ed severoamerick\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren na LNG \u2013 tento n\u00e1r\u016fst bude \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b kompenzov\u00e1n ztr\u00e1tou dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9ho plynu p\u0159es Ukrajinu. A restart Nord Streamu po koupi Ameri\u010dany z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 ve vzduchu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Shell, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd obchodn\u00edk s LNG, potvrzuje ve sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.shell.com\/news-and-insights\/newsroom\/news-and-media-releases\/2025\/lng-demand-expected-rise-by-sixty-percent-by-2040.html\"><span>ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edm v\u00fdhledu LNG 2025<\/span><\/a><span> , \u017ee Evropa mus\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it sv\u016fj dovoz LNG, aby doplnila z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 do\u0161lo v Evrop\u011b v roce 2024 k poklesu dovozu LNG o 19 procent, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm d\u00edky siln\u00e9 v\u00fdrob\u011b obnoviteln\u00e9 energie a pouze omezen\u00e9mu o\u017eiven\u00ed popt\u00e1vky po pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9m plynu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na energetick\u00fdch trz\u00edch se objevuje znepokojiv\u00fd v\u00fdvoj: ceny futures na zemn\u00ed plyn v l\u00e9t\u011b 2025 jsou vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v zim\u011b 2026 \u2013 obrat v obvykl\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 struktu\u0159e. Tato anom\u00e1lie zp\u016fsobuje, \u017ee skladov\u00e1n\u00ed plynu je ekonomicky neatraktivn\u00ed a mohlo by v\u00fdrazn\u011b brzdit \u00fasil\u00ed o dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed skladovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V N\u011bmecku a dal\u0161\u00edch kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch ekonomik\u00e1ch ji\u017e nyn\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby a oper\u00e1to\u0159i trhu volaj\u00ed po vl\u00e1dn\u00ed podpo\u0159e na dopln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu p\u0159ed zimou 2025\/2026. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se objevuj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee EU diskutuje o zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed celoevropsk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f pro pln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dobr\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va pro Evropu: Kontinent zat\u00edm dok\u00e1zal cenov\u011b p\u0159ed\u010dit Asii. Adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky a utlumen\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka zabr\u00e1nily skokov\u00fdm cenov\u00fdm skok\u016fm u spotov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek LNG do severov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie. V\u00edce ne\u017e 80 procent exportu LNG z USA sm\u011b\u0159ovalo letos v lednu a \u00fanoru do Evropy, kde byly ceny vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v Asii a v \u00fanoru dokonce dos\u00e1hly dvoulet\u00e9ho maxima.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Navzdory ned\u00e1vn\u00e9mu poklesu nizozemsk\u00fdch futures na zemn\u00ed plyn TTF, benchmarku pro evropsk\u00e9 obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s plynem, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 americko-evropsk\u00e1 arbitr\u00e1\u017e naklon\u011bna v\u016f\u010di Evrop\u011b, uvedla Spark Commodities na za\u010d\u00e1tku tohoto t\u00fddne. IEA p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy s plynem \u201enepolev\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b a\u017e do roku 2026, kdy se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed trhy zas\u00e1hne obrovsk\u00e1 vlna nov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek LNG\u201c. Do t\u00e9 doby mus\u00ed Evropa po\u010d\u00edtat s napjatou situac\u00ed na trhu a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b vysok\u00fdmi cenami.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-71983\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/aaa.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"89\" height=\"23\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Energetick\u00e1 krize v Evrop\u011b nab\u00edr\u00e1 nov\u00fd sm\u011br. Po prvn\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 zim\u011b po t\u0159ech letech \u010del\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1872,283,371,1008,4062],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73873"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73873"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73873\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}