{"id":73852,"date":"2025-03-08T00:22:50","date_gmt":"2025-03-07T23:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=73852"},"modified":"2025-03-07T16:23:26","modified_gmt":"2025-03-07T15:23:26","slug":"jiri-vyvadil-trumpuv-svet-a-nova-liga-tri-cisaru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/03\/08\/jiri-vyvadil-trumpuv-svet-a-nova-liga-tri-cisaru\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil: Trump\u016fv sv\u011bt a nov\u00e1 liga t\u0159\u00ed c\u00edsa\u0159\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

J.V. To co si \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me del\u0161\u00ed dobu v na\u0161\u00ed redakci, \u017ee Trump impulsivn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed se zcela nov\u00fdm modelem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u011bta, v\u010dera na v\u00fdznamn\u00e9m americk\u00e9m port\u00e1lu The National Interest, p\u0159inesl v\u00fdznamn\u00fd koment\u00e1tor Paul R. Pillar, mnohalet\u00fd pracovn\u00edk na r\u016fzn\u00fdch analytick\u00fdch a mana\u017eersk\u00fdch pozic\u00edch, mimo jin\u00e9 jako vedouc\u00ed analytick\u00fdch jednotek CIA, pokr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch \u010d\u00e1sti Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a ji\u017en\u00ed Asie. Poctiv\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee jeho pohledy p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m rozvalu Bidenovy koncepce v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rusku, jsou tyto pohledy povzbuzuj\u00edc\u00ed a mnou necenzurovan\u00e9, jakkoliv n\u011bkter\u00e9 jeho pozn\u00e1mky neberu. Ale p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed k lep\u0161\u00edmu pochopen\u00ed jeho p\u0159\u00edstupu\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Amerika Donalda Trumpa, Rusko Vladimira Putina a \u010c\u00edna Si \u0164in-pchinga, trio, kter\u00e9 rozd\u011bluje sv\u011bt na sektory vlivu.<\/p>\n

Jak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0jeho b\u00fdval\u00fd poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost John Bolton,\u00a0Trump \u201enem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou zast\u0159e\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed filozofii n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti\u201c a \u201ejeho rozhodnut\u00ed jsou transak\u010dn\u00ed,\u00a0ad hoc<\/em>\u00a0, neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed a epizodick\u00e1\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ji\u017e ve sv\u00e9m druh\u00e9m funk\u010dn\u00edm obdob\u00ed a\u00a0bez omezen\u00ed\u00a0dosp\u011bl\u00fdmi v m\u00edstnosti, kte\u0159\u00ed kontrolovali n\u011bkter\u00e9 z jeho nitern\u011bj\u0161\u00edch impuls\u016f v prvn\u00edm funk\u010dn\u00edm obdob\u00ed, Trumpova politika vykazuje n\u011bkolik opakuj\u00edc\u00edch se t\u00e9mat, kter\u00e1 jsou v\u00fdrazn\u00fdmi odchylkami od tradice zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky USA.<\/p>\n

Pes je mimo vod\u00edtko<\/strong><\/h3>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e1 z t\u011bchto t\u00e9mat jsou zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky toho, co Trump d\u011bl\u00e1 doma. Nejz\u0159ejm\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je jeho z\u00e1liba v autorit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed a pohrd\u00e1n\u00ed demokraci\u00ed a pr\u00e1vn\u00edm st\u00e1tem.<\/p>\n

Vnitrost\u00e1tn\u011b to zahrnovalo jeho\u00a0pokus svrhnout\u00a0v\u00fdsledky prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2020 a jeho sou\u010dasn\u00e9\u00a0ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0mnoha z\u00e1kon\u016f, kter\u00e9 upravuj\u00ed postaven\u00ed agentur, kter\u00e9 ni\u010d\u00ed nebo deaktivuje. Mezi jeho odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sklony pat\u0159\u00ed jeho dlouhodob\u00e1\u00a0\u00facta\u00a0k autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu vl\u00e1dci Vladimiru Putinovi a ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va s takov\u00fdmi v\u011bcmi, jako je jeho navrhovan\u00e9 p\u0159evzet\u00ed\u00a0P\u00e1sma Gazy USA .<\/p>\n

Cel\u00fd Trump\u016fv zp\u016fsob vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho m\u011bs\u00edce ve funkci charakterizuje Trump\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup \u201emohou d\u011blat n\u00e1pravu\u201c, kter\u00fd zahrnuje aplikaci surov\u00e9 moci.<\/p>\n

V zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice je nejv\u00edce \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00edm projevem tohoto p\u0159\u00edstupu jeho\u00a0obr\u00e1cen\u00ed\u00a0americk\u00e9 politiky ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b z opozice na\u00a0de facto<\/em>\u00a0schvalov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho pokusu podrobit si Ukrajinu ozbrojenou silou.<\/p>\n

K tomu se p\u0159idalo t\u00e9ma, kter\u00e9 lze nal\u00e9zt v minul\u00e9 tradici zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky USA, ale pouze n\u00e1vratem do doby Williama McKinleyho, kter\u00e9ho Trump podle sv\u00fdch slov\u00a0obdivuje\u00a0. T\u00edm t\u00e9matem je n\u00e1vrat k americk\u00e9mu imperialismu, zejm\u00e9na na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, jak ilustruj\u00ed Trumpova expanzivn\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o\u00a0Gr\u00f3nsku\u00a0,\u00a0Kanad\u011b\u00a0a\u00a0Panam\u011b\u00a0.<\/p>\n

V kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku destabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed<\/strong><\/h3>\n

A\u010dkoli velk\u00e9 a dob\u0159e definovan\u00e9 vize nemus\u00ed \u0159\u00eddit Trumpovu zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, spole\u010dn\u011b tyto politiky sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ke sv\u011btov\u00e9mu \u0159\u00e1du, kter\u00fd lze skute\u010dn\u011b definovat a kter\u00fd se v\u00fdrazn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od p\u0159edchoz\u00edch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, o kter\u00fdch v\u011bdci a v\u011bdci diskutuj\u00ed, jako je\u00a0liber\u00e1ln\u00ed internacionalismus\u00a0, bipol\u00e1rn\u00ed\u00a0studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka nebo \u201eunipol\u00e1rn\u00ed \u00a0moment\u00a0v USA\u201c po studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u00a0.<\/p>\n

Tomuto nov\u00e9mu rod\u00edc\u00edmu se sv\u011btov\u00e9mu \u0159\u00e1du by dominoval autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd triumvir\u00e1t Ameriky Donalda Trumpa, Ruska Vladimira Putina a \u010c\u00edny Si \u0164in-pchinga.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd triumvir\u00e1t by nebyl form\u00e1ln\u00edm spojenectv\u00edm, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jak\u00fdmsi glob\u00e1ln\u00edm sd\u00edlen\u00edm moci, ve kter\u00e9m by velk\u00e1 trojka uzav\u00edrala mezi sebou\u00a0transak\u010dn\u00ed dohody\u00a0, nad hlavou v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch, a p\u0159itom by respektovala sf\u00e9ry vlivu toho druh\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Triumvir\u00e1t by byl zalo\u017een na siln\u00fdch podobnostech, po\u010d\u00ednaje autorit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00edm zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdm na druh nespoutan\u00e9ho osobn\u00edho pravidla, kter\u00e9ho dos\u00e1hli Putin a Si \u0164in-pching a o jeho\u017e dosa\u017een\u00ed se Trump sna\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V\u0161echny t\u0159i re\u017eimy jsou imperialistick\u00e9, jak ilustruje Putinovo\u00a0\u00fasil\u00ed\u00a0o obnoven\u00ed vl\u00e1dy Moskvy nad n\u011bkter\u00fdmi b\u00fdval\u00fdmi dr\u017eavami Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu a expanzivn\u00ed aktivity \u010c\u00edny v\u00a0Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i\u00a0.<\/p>\n

Ozv\u011bny z minulosti<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tento rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se \u0159\u00e1d p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 podobn\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edhlav\u00e1 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 evropsk\u00e9 monarchie zavedly v devaten\u00e1ct\u00e9m stolet\u00ed. Nej\u010dasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed verz\u00ed byla\u00a0Svat\u00e1 aliance\u00a0, ve kter\u00e9 absolutn\u00ed monarchie v Rakousku, Prusku a Rusku na\u0161ly po napoleonsk\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch spole\u010dnou v\u011bc v potla\u010den\u00ed jak\u00fdchkoliv krok\u016f k demokracii nebo sebeur\u010den\u00ed pro pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 n\u00e1rodnosti v r\u00e1mci sv\u00fdch \u0159\u00ed\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Toto trio se vr\u00e1tilo dohromady v 70. letech 19. stolet\u00ed jako ned\u00e1vno vznikl\u00e9 N\u011bmecko, du\u00e1ln\u00ed monarchie Rakousko-Uhersko a Rusko vytvo\u0159ily\u00a0Ligu t\u0159\u00ed c\u00edsa\u0159\u016f\u00a0. Tato aliance m\u011bla n\u011bkter\u00e9 ze stejn\u00fdch motiv\u016f jako p\u0159edchoz\u00ed v boji proti liberalismu a udr\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1rodnost\u00ed, jako jsou Pol\u00e1ci, pod c\u00edsa\u0159skou botou, a\u010dkoli n\u011bmeck\u00fd kancl\u00e9\u0159 Otto von Bismarck tak\u00e9 vid\u011bl toto uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed jako zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed N\u011bmecku, aby skon\u010dilo na kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m konci jak\u00e9hokoli budouc\u00edho p\u0159eskupov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch alianc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Liga netrvala d\u00e9le ne\u017e do 80. let 19. stolet\u00ed kv\u016fli st\u0159et\u016fm rakousk\u00fdch a rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f na Balk\u00e1n\u011b.<\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dovou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed p\u0159i zhroucen\u00ed Bismarckova evropsk\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd zahrnoval Ligu t\u0159\u00ed c\u00edsa\u0159\u016f, bylo\u00a0odvol\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0kancl\u00e9\u0159e c\u00edsa\u0159em Vil\u00e9mem II. v roce 1890. C\u00edsa\u0159 se domn\u00edval, \u017ee nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed by m\u011bl d\u011blat on s\u00e1m, a m\u011bl nadsazenou p\u0159edstavu o sv\u00e9 schopnosti \u0159\u00eddit slo\u017eit\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti t\u00e9 doby.<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee diplomatick\u00fd maestro Bismarck ji\u017e nebyl zapojen, slo\u017eit\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed struktura, kterou navrhl, se o n\u011bkolik desetilet\u00ed pozd\u011bji rozpadla ve zhoubnou v\u00e1lku, kter\u00e1 ukon\u010dila v\u0161echny t\u0159i monarchie, kter\u00e9 vytvo\u0159ily Ligu.<\/p>\n

Lze spekulovat o tom, zda rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se americko-rusko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 verze c\u00edsa\u0159sk\u00e9 ligy naraz\u00ed na podobn\u00e9 t\u0159enice na hranic\u00edch sf\u00e9r z\u00e1jmu. Trump t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u0159epustil Evropu rusk\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e, a to nejen sv\u00fdm obr\u00e1cen\u00edm americk\u00e9 politiky v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 sv\u00fdm\u00a0rozvratem NATO\u00a0a\u00a0povzbuzen\u00edm Rus\u016fm,\u00a0aby si d\u011blali \u201eco sakra cht\u011bj\u00ed\u201c kter\u00e9mukoli \u010dlensk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu NATO, kter\u00fd nesplnil sm\u011brnice o v\u00fddaj\u00edch.<\/p>\n

D\u00e1le nikdo neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee by se Putin pokusil o chru\u0161\u010dovovskou invazi na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, jako je vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0raket na Kubu\u00a0.<\/p>\n

T\u0159en\u00ed mezi ruskou a americkou sf\u00e9rou je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jinde. Jedn\u00edm\u00a0z<\/a>\u00a0takov\u00fdch m\u00edst je Arktida\u00a0. Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod je dal\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd vztah USA s Izraelem ve skute\u010dnosti roz\u0161i\u0159uje Trumpovu verzi americk\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry do tohoto regionu, jak podtrhuj\u00ed jeho n\u00e1vrhy na P\u00e1smo Gazy.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enosti t\u0159en\u00ed mezi sf\u00e9rami zahrnuj\u00ed \u010c\u00ednu a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. V Trumpov\u011b funk\u010dn\u00edm obdob\u00ed je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy na to, abychom odhadovali, jak by se mohl pokusit nakreslit hranice mezi americkou a \u010d\u00ednskou sf\u00e9rou vlivu nebo reagovat na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pod\u00e9l hranic t\u011bchto sf\u00e9r. Mo\u017en\u00e9 st\u0159ety v\u0161ak mohou poch\u00e1zet z\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 expanze v Tichomo\u0159\u00ed\u00a0a n\u00e1jezd\u016f Pekingu\u00a0do Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky\u00a0.<\/p>\n

I zde existuje paralela s\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdm c\u00edsa\u0159em\u00a0v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b, kter\u00fd p\u0159em\u011bnil americk\u00e9 prezidentstv\u00ed v osobn\u00ed vl\u00e1du, sv\u00fdm\u00a0\u00fatokem\u00a0na veden\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a svou spole\u010dnost\u00ed ano-man\u016f.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e1koli \u00fat\u011bcha, kterou by Trump mohl c\u00edtit sed\u011bt na vrcholu sv\u011bta po boku sv\u00fdch dvou autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch vl\u00e1dc\u016f, je fale\u0161n\u00e1 \u00fat\u011bcha. Riziko \u0161patn\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu sf\u00e9r vlivu,\u00a0kter\u00e9 povede k n\u00e1siln\u00fdm zhroucen\u00ed\u00a0, jako tomu bylo u evropsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu p\u0159ed v\u00edce ne\u017e sto lety, je vysok\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\u0160patn\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt u takov\u00fdch poruch ani nutn\u00e9. Potla\u010den\u00e9 nacionalistick\u00e9 aspirace nutn\u011b podkopaly evropsk\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e devaten\u00e1ct\u00e9ho a po\u010d\u00e1tku dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed, i kdyby ve V\u00eddni a dal\u0161\u00edch hlavn\u00edch m\u011bstech zv\u00edt\u011bzila v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed moudrost a nap\u011bt\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na nacionalismus\u00a0bylo spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem\u00a0prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n

V jednadvac\u00e1t\u00e9m stolet\u00ed nebudou Ukrajinci, Palestinci a mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1rod\u016f spokojeni se sv\u011btem \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdm novou Ligou t\u0159\u00ed c\u00edsa\u0159\u016f.<\/p>\n

Dominantn\u00ed autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd triumvir\u00e1t by byl jist\u011b \u0161patnou zpr\u00e1vou pro svobodu, demokracii, sebeur\u010den\u00ed a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed st\u00e1t. Je to tak\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u0161patn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va z hlediska mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed stability a ot\u00e1zek v\u00e1lky a m\u00edru.<\/p>\n

J.V. Ponechal jsem v\u011bt\u0161inu kritick\u00fdch koment\u00e1\u0159\u016f v\u00a0textu, i kdy\u017e s\u00a0nimi nesouhlas\u00edm. Domn\u00edv\u00e1m se toti\u017e, \u017ee autor, jak je u koment\u00e1tor\u016f tohoto typu obvykl\u00e9 podporuje sou\u010dasn\u00fd model dominance euroatlantick\u00e9ho sv\u011bta i se zapojen\u00edm neblah\u00e9 \u00falohy EU a NATO, kter\u00fd naopak zp\u016fsobil nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krizi projevuj\u00edc\u00ed se ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b a kter\u00fd v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu poklidn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho sv\u011bta by m\u011bl b\u00fdt odstran\u011bn.<\/em><\/p>\n

P\u0159eji p\u011bkn\u00e9 po\u010dten\u00ed…<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

J.V. To co si \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me del\u0161\u00ed dobu v na\u0161\u00ed redakci, \u017ee Trump impulsivn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73255,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,122,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73852"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73852\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}