{"id":73353,"date":"2025-02-28T06:34:15","date_gmt":"2025-02-28T05:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=73353"},"modified":"2025-02-28T06:34:15","modified_gmt":"2025-02-28T05:34:15","slug":"ma-trump-skutecne-plan-pro-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/28\/ma-trump-skutecne-plan-pro-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e1 Trump skute\u010dn\u011b pl\u00e1n pro Ukrajinu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Na pl\u00e1nech prezidenta Trumpa ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, \u017ee nikdo nev\u00ed, jak\u00e9 vlastn\u011b jsou.<\/h2>\n

V posledn\u00edch dnech jsem se sna\u017eil pochopit, \u010deho se sna\u017e\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout. Neda\u0159\u00ed se mi p\u0159ij\u00edt s teori\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by d\u00e1vala smysl. Jeho chov\u00e1n\u00ed je nekonzistentn\u00ed. Neexistuj\u00ed ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky z B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu nebo \u00faniky informac\u00ed do tisku. Tu a tam se objev\u00ed frenetick\u00e1 akce a pomp\u00e9zn\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. Ale jak\u00e9 jsou celkov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny?<\/p>\n

Prof. Mearsheimer podobn\u011b\u00a0\u0159\u00edk\u00e1<\/a>\u00a0(vid), \u017ee Trumpovo chov\u00e1n\u00ed ned\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl. Vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny, aby uzav\u0159ela dohodu o t\u011b\u017eb\u011b surovin, nen\u00ed realistick\u00fd postoj. Nen\u00ed ani merkantilistick\u00fd. Nen\u00ed tam co prod\u00e1vat a jak\u00e1koli dohoda bude pod tlakem oligarch\u016f zma\u0159ena soudy. Nem\u00e1 to smysl.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00fd je tedy d\u016fkaz, \u017ee Trump m\u00e1 n\u011bjak\u00fd pl\u00e1n? Jak\u00e9 jsou d\u016fkazy, \u017ee s Ruskem skute\u010dn\u011b vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1? Co fakticky d\u011bl\u00e1 pro to, aby zastavil v\u00e1lku, jak tvrdil, \u017ee ud\u011bl\u00e1?<\/p>\n

Yves Smith, kter\u00fd cituje protich\u016fdn\u00e9 n\u00e1zory Briana Berletica a Johna Helmera, si podobn\u011b\u00a0klade ot\u00e1zku<\/a>, o co Trumpovi jde:<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee Trumpova administrativa nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou jasnou p\u0159edstavu o tom, co chce, pokud jde o kone\u010dnou hru na Ukrajin\u011b, krom\u011b toho, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee tvrdit, \u017ee Trump ukon\u010dil v\u00e1lku, a proto je velk\u00fdm tv\u016frcem dohody, hroz\u00ed j\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 riziko, \u017ee se dostane do chov\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159ed kter\u00fdm varoval Sun Tsu: \u201eV\u0161echna taktika a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 strategie je hluk p\u0159ed por\u00e1\u017ekou.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b se budeme zab\u00fdvat t\u00edm, jak podivn\u011b podhodnocen\u00e1 hodnocen\u00ed Briana Berletica a Johna Helmera ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch obl\u00edben\u00e1 p\u0159edstava, \u017ee Trump p\u0159edstavuje velk\u00fd zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fd zlom oproti minulosti, je p\u0159ehnan\u00e1. Jeho odli\u0161nost v metod\u00e1ch je nepr\u00e1vem zam\u011b\u0148ov\u00e1na s odli\u0161nost\u00ed v c\u00edlech.<\/p>\n

Nejprve se v\u0161ak budeme zab\u00fdvat t\u00edm, jak je nov\u00e1 obl\u00edben\u00e1 fixace administrativy, toti\u017e vymoci na Ukrajin\u011b dohodu o nerostn\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch\/jin\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch pr\u00e1vech, v rozporu s c\u00edlem dos\u00e1hnout dohody s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

…<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tato dohoda o nerostn\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159\u00edkladem Trumpov\u00fdch zvyk\u016f, kter\u00e9 funguj\u00ed v jeho neprosp\u011bch. Uva\u017eme, jak Trump\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup maximalizovat sv\u016fj mo\u017en\u00fd vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed prostor prosazov\u00e1n\u00edm nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch k\u00e1drov\u00fdch posun\u016f nen\u00ed tak \u017ehav\u00fd n\u00e1pad, pokud se prov\u00e1d\u00ed reflexivn\u011b, jak se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Trumpa 2.0, na rozd\u00edl od z\u00e1m\u011brn\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

S\u00e1m Trump pravideln\u011b vyhro\u017euje radik\u00e1ln\u011b extr\u00e9mn\u00edmi akcemi, jako je etnick\u00e1 \u010distka v Gaze, a obhroubl\u00fdmi v\u00fdroky se sna\u017e\u00ed prosadit sv\u00e9. Nejen\u017ee tam Trump nedostane sv\u016fj rozvoj Rivi\u00e9ry, ale d\u00edky sv\u00e9mu \u0161ikanov\u00e1n\u00ed vypad\u00e1 jako malichern\u00fd blbe\u010dek. Pro\u010d by m\u011bl n\u011bkdo cht\u00edt navazovat jak\u00e9koli vztahy s partnerem, kter\u00fd si libuje nejen v hrub\u00fdch projevech dominance, ale dokonce i v poni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed hlav st\u00e1t\u016f (sv\u011bdkem je jord\u00e1nsk\u00fd kr\u00e1l Abdull\u00e1h) a je mu lhostejn\u00e9, \u017ee destabilizuje cel\u00fd region? Takov\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed je v rozporu s budov\u00e1n\u00edm d\u016fv\u011bry a jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s jin\u00fdmi ne\u017e pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi stranami.<\/p>\n

…<\/p>\n

Nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 Trump a jeho agenti st\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 probl\u00e9my s udr\u017een\u00edm sv\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed, a tak pos\u00edlen\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti a anga\u017eovanosti USA povede Rusko k \u00fastupk\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Ani jeden z p\u0159\u00edstup\u016f, o nich\u017e si lze myslet, \u017ee je Trump zauj\u00edm\u00e1 \u2013 vyu\u017e\u00edt dohodu o ukrajinsk\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch k udr\u017een\u00ed USA na Ukrajin\u011b a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky, nebo vyu\u017e\u00edt dohodu o ukrajinsk\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch k definitivn\u00edmu rozchodu s Ukrajinou \u2013 neodpov\u00edd\u00e1 realistick\u00e9mu hodnocen\u00ed skute\u010dnost\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b. P\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm ne, pokud je c\u00edlem hry uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edru.<\/p>\n

Trump mo\u017en\u00e1 jen p\u0159eskupuje \u017eidle p\u0159ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm ve star\u00e9m imperi\u00e1ln\u00edm programu:<\/p>\n

Brian Berletic tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch koment\u00e1tor\u016f nalet\u011bla na humbuk kolem MAGA\/America First, kdy\u017e Trump p\u0159edstavuje strategickou kontinuitu pro USA, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet si dominanci, zejm\u00e9na v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Berletic zejm\u00e9na na z\u00e1klad\u011b sledov\u00e1n\u00ed kompletn\u00edch sly\u0161en\u00ed k potvrzen\u00ed Trumpov\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f na obranu a zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby popsal, \u017ee USA se nezbavuj\u00ed apar\u00e1tu USAID pro zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu\/zpr\u00e1vy, pouze ru\u0161\u00ed jeho DEI a dal\u0161\u00ed prvky neschv\u00e1len\u00e9 MAGA.<\/em><\/p>\n

…<\/em><\/p>\n

Net\u0159eba dod\u00e1vat, \u017ee toto hodnocen\u00ed, zalo\u017een\u00e9 na tom, co Trumpova administrativa prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee hodl\u00e1 s operacemi USAID ud\u011blat, je ve velk\u00e9m rozporu s tradi\u010dn\u00edm, samolib\u00fdm n\u00e1zorem, \u017ee Trump vy\u0159adil USA ze hry na zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu. Pro\u010d by to, pros\u00edm v\u00e1s, m\u011blo b\u00fdt ve strategick\u00e9m z\u00e1jmu USA? Nen\u00ed to tak, \u017ee bychom za odstran\u011bn\u00ed tohoto apar\u00e1tu mohli z\u00edskat n\u011bjak\u00e9 \u00fastupky.<\/em><\/p>\n

N\u00e1zor Yvese Smithe na anal\u00fdzu Johna Helmera:<\/p>\n

Helmer na z\u00e1klad\u011b sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch zku\u0161enost\u00ed z Carterovy administrativy i informac\u00ed z rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f potvrdil, \u017ee z v\u00fdrok\u016f r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f [jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v Rij\u00e1du] lze vyvodit, \u017ee z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu bylo toto zased\u00e1n\u00ed ztroskot\u00e1n\u00edm. I kdybyste nem\u011bli k dispozici n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm na to USA \u0161ly, byl \u0161\u00edlen\u00fd. Americk\u00e1 strana po\u017eadovala okam\u017eit\u00e9 zased\u00e1n\u00ed na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni, a\u010dkoli k t\u011bm obvykle nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e je provedena odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravn\u00e1 pr\u00e1ce. K tomu v\u0161emu byli kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9ho t\u00fdmu teprve instalov\u00e1ni. A vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee DOGE jezd\u00ed buldozerem po St\u00e1tn\u00edm departmentu, nen\u00ed to tak, \u017ee by Rubio a jeho kolegov\u00e9 m\u011bli n\u011bjak\u00e9 odborn\u00e9 znalosti (nap\u0159\u00edklad od kari\u00e9rn\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed tam byli p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edchodem Bidenova t\u00fdmu), o kter\u00e9 by se mohli op\u0159\u00edt.<\/em><\/p>\n

…<\/em><\/p>\n

V\u00a0rozhovoru<\/a>\u00a0s Nimou z Dialogue Works zopakoval n\u011bkter\u00e1 sv\u00e1 zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed a p\u0159idal nov\u00e9 post\u0159ehy.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00dapln\u011b naho\u0159e:<\/em><\/p>\n

Helmer: Rusov\u00e9 to vn\u00edmaj\u00ed tak, \u017ee americk\u00e1 strana je ka\u0161e, ka\u0161e, ka\u0161e. Ale je t\u0159eba neb\u00fdt nezdvo\u0159il\u00fd a \u0159\u00edkat to…..P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm, co by m\u011bla rusk\u00e1 strana d\u011blat d\u00e1l?<\/em><\/p>\n

Tento probl\u00e9m je skute\u010dn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd. USA svolaly sch\u016fzku na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni a v\u016fbec nev\u011bd\u011bly, co pak d\u011blat, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd program, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 po\u017eadavky, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy.\u00a0Zd\u00e1lo se, \u017ee jde o to vytvo\u0159it dojem hybnosti a p\u0159edst\u00edrat, \u017ee Trump d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd pokrok v ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/b>\u00a0Helmers poukazuje na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zoufalstv\u00ed americk\u00e9 strany, kdy\u017e \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee skute\u010dnost tohoto setk\u00e1n\u00ed dokazuje, \u017ee Trump je jedin\u00fdm mu\u017eem, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e1lku ukon\u010dit… nam\u00edsto toho, aby m\u011bl cokoli jin\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edci.<\/p>\n

Pro m\u011b z toho vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee v\u016fbec neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd Trump\u016fv pl\u00e1n na uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Konflikt se \u2013 v d\u016fsledku toho \u2013 bude muset rozhodnout na boji\u0161ti.<\/p>\n

Moon Of Alabama<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\n

Does Trump Really Have A Plan For Ukraine?<\/a> vy\u0161el 25.2.2025 na moonofalabama.org. P\u0159eklad\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na pl\u00e1nech prezidenta Trumpa ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, \u017ee nikdo nev\u00ed, jak\u00e9 vlastn\u011b jsou. V…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1505,452,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73353"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73353"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73353\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73353"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73353"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73353"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}