{"id":73221,"date":"2025-02-27T00:24:10","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T23:24:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=73221"},"modified":"2025-02-26T17:58:12","modified_gmt":"2025-02-26T16:58:12","slug":"evropske-lesni-pozary-na-historickem-minimu-klimaticky-poplach-v-kontrole-faktu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/27\/evropske-lesni-pozary-na-historickem-minimu-klimaticky-poplach-v-kontrole-faktu\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropsk\u00e9 lesn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry na historick\u00e9m minimu: Klimatick\u00fd poplach v kontrole fakt\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Sez\u00f3na lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f v ji\u017en\u00ed Evrop\u011b v roce 2024 bude nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed od za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1znam\u016f v roce 1980 \u2013 skute\u010dnost, kter\u00e1 je v mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zcela ignorov\u00e1na. Zat\u00edmco titulky \u201eklimatick\u00e9 katastrofy\u201c a \u201eho\u0159\u00edc\u00ed kontinenty\u201c dominuj\u00ed, skute\u010dn\u00e1 data vykresluj\u00ed zcela jin\u00fd obr\u00e1zek.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Renomovan\u00fd klimatick\u00fd analytik Paul Homewood ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>zve\u0159ejnil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0svou aktualizovanou grafiku trend\u016f lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f v ji\u017en\u00ed Evrop\u011b . V\u00fdsledky jsou pozoruhodn\u00e9:\u00a0<\/span>aktivita lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f ji\u017e druh\u00fdm rokem po sob\u011b kles\u00e1 a je pod dlouhodob\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem.<\/span><\/strong> Je\u0161t\u011b pozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed: celkov\u00fd trend vykazuje od 80. let jen malou zm\u011bnu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto skute\u010dnosti jsou v p\u0159\u00edkr\u00e9m rozporu s medi\u00e1ln\u00edm zobrazen\u00edm.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Britsk\u00fd Guardian nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0<\/span>uvedl, \u017ee<\/span><\/a>\u00a0po\u017e\u00e1ry v Portugalsku byly p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm \u201ed\u016fkazem zhroucen\u00ed klimatu\u201c. Krizov\u00fd komisa\u0159 EU Janez Lenarcic toto poselstv\u00ed pos\u00edlil dramatick\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm: \u201eGlob\u00e1ln\u00ed realita zhroucen\u00ed klimatu dorazila do ka\u017edodenn\u00edho \u017eivota Evropan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed inscenace versus statistick\u00e1 realita<\/span><\/h2>\n

Nesoulad mezi v\u00fdkazy a \u00fadaji m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span>Zat\u00edmco rok 2023 byl skute\u010dn\u011b nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdm rokem lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f, rok 2024 je ve spodn\u00edm p\u00e1smu historick\u00fdch rekord\u016f.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed je zejm\u00e9na to, \u017ee \u010dinnost lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f byla p\u0159ed p\u0159elomem tis\u00edcilet\u00ed \u010dasto intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dnes.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto ve vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed z prosince 2024 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 BBC ve sv\u00e9m vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed neochv\u011bjn\u00e1: \u201eV zem\u00edch v\u010detn\u011b \u0160pan\u011blska, Kanady a \u0158ecka zu\u0159\u00ed smrt\u00edc\u00ed lesn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry. A jak se Zem\u011b otepluje, jsou st\u00e1le b\u011b\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bji se s nimi bojuje.\u201c Homewood toto tvrzen\u00ed su\u0161e komentuje: \u201eBBC \u2013 m\u00edsto, kde um\u00edraj\u00ed fakta.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokonce i pro\u00a0<\/span>\u0158ecko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 je \u010dasto uv\u00e1d\u011bno jako hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s klimatem, \u00fadaje ukazuj\u00ed diferencovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obr\u00e1zek. Po t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9m roce 2023 se lesn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry v roce 2024 vr\u00e1tily k dlouhodob\u00e9mu pr\u016fm\u011bru. Vliv \u010dlov\u011bka na pravideln\u00e9 kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159eck\u00fdch lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f nen\u00ed z \u00fadaj\u016f bezprost\u0159edn\u011b patrn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Severoamerick\u00fd \u201epo\u017e\u00e1rn\u00ed deficit\u201c ot\u0159\u00e1s\u00e1 b\u011b\u017en\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy<\/span><\/h2>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou\u00a0v\u00fdsledky v\u00fdzkumu USDA Forestry Service, kter\u00e9 ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>zve\u0159ejnil Daily Sceptic.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>V\u011bdci zkoumali jizvy po po\u017e\u00e1rech na stromech z roku 1600 a zjistili, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Kanada maj\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s ned\u00e1vnou minulost\u00ed obrovsk\u00fd \u201epo\u017e\u00e1rn\u00ed deficit\u201c.<\/span><\/strong> Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 m\u00edra lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f je jen asi 23 procent historick\u00e9ho pr\u016fm\u011bru. Roky bez v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f se v sou\u010dasnosti vyskytuj\u00ed \u201ev\u00fdrazn\u011b \u010dast\u011bji\u201c ne\u017e v historick\u00e9m souboru dat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 n\u00e1lezy vyvol\u00e1valy neklid je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00edm.\u00a0<\/span>Jeden odborn\u00edk varoval p\u0159ed mo\u017enou instrumentalizac\u00ed ze strany \u201epop\u00edra\u010d\u016f zm\u011bny klimatu\u201c<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a doporu\u010dil: \u201eZva\u017ete p\u0159eformulov\u00e1n\u00ed tak, aby bylo kladeno men\u0161\u00ed d\u016fraz na sp\u00e1len\u00e9 oblasti a v\u00edce na dopady.\u201c Jin\u00fdmi slovy: m\u00e9n\u011b fakt\u016f, v\u00edce dramatu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nesporn\u00e9, \u017ee lidsk\u00fd z\u00e1sah zm\u011bnil p\u0159irozen\u00e9 procesy lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f \u2013 nikoli zm\u011bnou klimatu, ale zm\u011bnami ve vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed p\u016fdy, hospoda\u0159en\u00ed v les\u00edch a hospoda\u0159en\u00ed s po\u017e\u00e1ry.\u00a0<\/span>Dal\u0161\u00edm faktorem, kter\u00fd je \u010dasto podce\u0148ov\u00e1n, je n\u00e1r\u016fst po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch \u010dlov\u011bkem, a\u0165 u\u017e z nedbalosti nebo \u017eh\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k t\u00e9to slo\u017eitosti se zd\u00e1, \u017ee zjednodu\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159ipisov\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu je v\u011bdecky neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span>Dokonce i IPCC ve sv\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch vylou\u010dil jak\u00fdkoli v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vliv \u010dlov\u011bka na lesn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry, a to jak v minulosti, tak v budoucnosti a\u017e do p\u0159elomu stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u011bdeck\u00e1 sebekritika<\/span><\/h2>\n

V roce 2023 vyvolal klimatick\u00fd v\u011bdec Patrick Brown<\/span><\/a>\u00a0rozruch\u00a0, kdy\u017e p\u0159iznal, \u017ee ve sv\u00e9 studii o extr\u00e9mn\u00edch lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1rech publikovan\u00e9 v Nature vynechal kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 faktory. “\u00a0<\/span>Zatajil jsem celou pravdu, abych mohl zve\u0159ejnit svou studii o zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu<\/span><\/strong> ,“ vysv\u011btlil a dodal: „Up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, klimatick\u00e1 v\u011bda se m\u00e9n\u011b zab\u00fdv\u00e1 pochopen\u00edm slo\u017eitosti sv\u011bta a m\u00edsto toho slou\u017e\u00ed jako druh Cassandry, nal\u00e9hav\u011b varuj\u00edc\u00ed ve\u0159ejnost p\u0159ed nebezpe\u010d\u00edm zm\u011bny klimatu.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u00fd vzorec lze vid\u011bt ve \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e9 produkci olivov\u00e9ho oleje. Po dvou obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdch letech sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 sklizn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl Guardian<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v \u010dervenci 2023 \u201ea\u017e se zhor\u0161\u00ed klimatick\u00e1 krize\u201c chmurn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky do budoucna.\u00a0<\/span>BBC podpo\u0159ila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee zm\u011bna klimatu vych\u00e1zela z tradi\u010dn\u00edch p\u0159edpoklad\u016f, \u017ee po \u0161patn\u00e9 sklizni bude n\u00e1sledovat dobr\u00e1 \u201eu\u017e nen\u00ed jist\u00e1\u201c. Skute\u010dnost?\u00a0<\/span>Podle Olive Oil Times<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vedly ide\u00e1ln\u00ed zimn\u00ed podm\u00ednky \u2013 ani p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 zima, ani p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 horko \u2013 v kombinaci s \u201edokonal\u00fdmi\u201c sr\u00e1\u017ekami k v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b bohat\u00e9 sklizni oliv v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nesoulad mezi popla\u0161n\u00fdm hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm a m\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdmi fakty vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky.\u00a0<\/span>Zat\u00edmco mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia pokra\u010duj\u00ed ve vykreslov\u00e1n\u00ed katastrofick\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, data hovo\u0159\u00ed st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm jazykem<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 jazykem, kter\u00fd je ve vzru\u0161en\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 debat\u011b jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed sly\u0161et.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sez\u00f3na lesn\u00edch po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f v ji\u017en\u00ed Evrop\u011b v roce 2024 bude nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed od za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1znam\u016f v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73222,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,873,2323,96],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73221"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73221"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73221\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}