{"id":73113,"date":"2025-02-26T00:17:52","date_gmt":"2025-02-25T23:17:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=73113"},"modified":"2025-02-25T14:59:33","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T13:59:33","slug":"byvaly-analytik-cia-vysledky-nemeckych-voleb-poukazuji-na-dalsi-chaos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/26\/byvaly-analytik-cia-vysledky-nemeckych-voleb-poukazuji-na-dalsi-chaos\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA: V\u00fdsledky n\u011bmeck\u00fdch voleb poukazuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed chaos"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>V\u00fdsledky n\u011bmeck\u00fdch voleb poukazuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed chaos<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Volby maj\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e9st jasnost \u2013 ale kdo doufal, \u017ee ned\u011bln\u00ed feder\u00e1ln\u00ed volby v N\u011bmecku poskytnou jasno, byl zklam\u00e1n. M\u00edsto toho v\u00fdsledek ukazuje rozd\u011blenou zemi, kter\u00e1 \u010del\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdm a politick\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed p\u0159inesla\u00a0<strong>Alternativa pro N\u011bmecko (AfD)<\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00e1 z\u00edskala\u00a0<strong>19,5 a\u017e 20 procent hlas\u016f<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 historick\u00fd v\u00fdsledek pro stranu, kter\u00e1 se tak d\u00e1le etabluje v n\u011bmeck\u00e9 politice.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8222;Dos\u00e1hli jsme historick\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledku,&#8220;<\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekla\u00a0<strong>nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed kandid\u00e1tka AfD Alice Weidelov\u00e1<\/strong>\u00a0sv\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016fm v Berl\u00edn\u011b.\u00a0<em>&#8222;Na\u0161e strana je nyn\u00ed pevn\u011b ukotvena v politick\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed zem\u011b.&#8220;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Naproti tomu\u00a0<strong>SPD kancl\u00e9\u0159e Olafa Scholze<\/strong>\u00a0utrp\u011bla ho\u0159kou por\u00e1\u017eku. S\u00a0<strong>pouh\u00fdmi 16 a\u017e 16,5 procenty hlas\u016f<\/strong>\u00a0se strana dostala na t\u0159et\u00ed m\u00edsto.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8222;Mus\u00edme uznat, \u017ee jsme volby prohr\u00e1li&#8230; Tento v\u00fdsledek je hor\u0161\u00ed a za to m\u016f\u017eu i j\u00e1,&#8220;<\/em>\u00a0p\u0159ipustil Scholz.<\/p>\n<p>Volby ale nemaj\u00ed jasn\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bze. N\u011bmecko z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 politicky rozd\u011blen\u00e9 \u2013 tato situace vede zemi do nejist\u00e9 budoucnosti.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd \u00fapadek N\u011bmecka \u2013 krize, kterou si samo zp\u016fsobilo<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Odklon\u00a0<strong>od Ruska<\/strong>\u00a0m\u00e1 pro N\u011bmecko v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. Tato zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 byla\u00a0kdysi\u00a0<strong>vedouc\u00ed ekonomickou velmoc\u00ed v Evrop\u011b<\/strong>\u00a0, nyn\u00ed trp\u00ed\u00a0<strong>slab\u00fdm r\u016fstem<\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00fd je st\u00e1le nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>1. ekonomick\u00fd pokles<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\" style=\"list-style-type: circle;\">\n<li>\u2013\u00a0<strong>\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdznamn\u00fd r\u016fst po dobu p\u011bti let<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 dramatick\u00fd obrat pro n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku.<\/li>\n<li>\u2013\u00a0<strong>Odd\u011blen\u00ed od Ruska, zejm\u00e9na v energetick\u00e9m sektoru, p\u0159isp\u011blo ke stagnaci a recesi.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2. energetick\u00e1 krize<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u2013\u00a0<strong>Zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9ho plynu<\/strong>\u00a0po\u00a0<strong>sabot\u00e1\u017ei plynovodu Nord Stream podporovan\u00e9 USA<\/strong>\u00a0tvrd\u011b zas\u00e1hlo N\u011bmecko.<br \/>\n-P\u0159echod\u00a0<strong>na drah\u00fd zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn (LNG)<\/strong>\u00a0zp\u016fsobil explozi n\u00e1klad\u016f energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed.<br \/>\n\u2013\u00a0<strong>N\u00e1klady na pr\u016fmyslovou elekt\u0159inu:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\" style=\"list-style-type: circle;\">\n<li>N\u011bmecko:\u00a0<strong>203 eur za megawatthodinu<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>USA a \u010c\u00edna:\u00a0<strong>8,4 cent\u016f za megawatthodinu<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>V\u00fdsledek:\u00a0<\/strong><strong>kolaps n\u011bmeck\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u00fdroby.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>3. Pokles obchodu s Ruskem<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><strong>N\u011bmeck\u00fd export do Ruska klesl o 67 %<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\" style=\"list-style-type: circle;\">\n<li>2019:\u00a0<strong>32 miliard eur<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>2023:\u00a0<strong>10,6 miliardy eur<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>N\u011bmeck\u00fd dovoz z Ruska klesl o 85 %<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>2019:\u00a0<strong>32,5 miliardy eur<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>2023:\u00a0<strong>5 miliard eur<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nKolaps d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch exportn\u00edch odv\u011btv\u00ed:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\" style=\"list-style-type: circle;\">\n<li><strong>Automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl:<\/strong>\u00a0-94 %<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stroj\u00edrenstv\u00ed:<\/strong>\u00a0-76 %<\/li>\n<li><strong>Elektronika a IT vybaven\u00ed:<\/strong>\u00a0-88 %<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Rusko se nyn\u00ed stalo nez\u00e1visl\u00fdm na n\u011bmeck\u00e9m dovozu<\/strong>\u00a0a roz\u0161i\u0159uje svou vlastn\u00ed v\u00fdrobu v t\u011bchto odv\u011btv\u00edch.\u00a0<strong>N\u00e1vrat ke star\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm vztah\u016fm je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>4. Sankce zas\u00e1hly N\u011bmecko tvrd\u011bji ne\u017e Rusko<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Sankce\u00a0<strong>EU proti Rusku<\/strong>\u00a0se ukazuj\u00ed jako bumerang.<br \/>\n<strong>Odhady:<\/strong>\u00a0Zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed by mohlo\u00a0<strong>zv\u00fd\u0161it n\u011bmeck\u00fd HDP o 0,46 % a\u017e 0,86 %<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 ekonomick\u00fd zisk\u00a0<strong>19,3 a\u017e 36 miliard eur<\/strong>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>5. Mini recese m\u00edsto ekonomick\u00e9ho kolapsu<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>I kdy\u017e se ob\u00e1vali\u00a0<strong>v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 recese<\/strong>\u00a0ve v\u00fd\u0161i\u00a0<strong>6 a\u017e 12 % ztr\u00e1ty HDP<\/strong>\u00a0, zat\u00edm to z\u016fstalo jen\u00a0<strong>malou reces\u00ed (-0,5 % pokles HDP minulou zimu).<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Probl\u00e9m:<\/strong>\u00a0Ekonomick\u00e1 situace nen\u00ed natolik \u0161patn\u00e1, aby se voli\u010di shodli na stran\u011b, kter\u00e1 by mohla zachr\u00e1nit zemi.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Politick\u00e1 stagnace a hroz\u00edc\u00ed chaos<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Friedrich Merz<\/strong>\u00a0(CDU) vede volby, ale s pouh\u00fdmi\u00a0<strong>28 % hlas\u016f<\/strong>\u00a0mu chyb\u00ed mand\u00e1t na silnou vl\u00e1du.<br \/>\n<strong>Merz je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u0161tv\u00e1\u010de<\/strong>\u00a0a mohl by\u00a0<strong>d\u00e1le zintenzivnit protiruskou politiku<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 ale bez pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 podpory k prosazen\u00ed velk\u00fdch eskalace.<br \/>\n<strong>N\u011bmecku, kdysi ekonomick\u00e9 velmoci, hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se v Evrop\u011b stane politicky margin\u00e1ln\u00ed postavou.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Z\u00e1v\u011br: Dal\u0161\u00ed chaos, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jasn\u00e1 budoucnost<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Volby nep\u0159inesly N\u011bmecku stabiln\u00ed kurz \u2013 naopak:\u00a0<strong>politick\u00e1 propast se prohlubuje<\/strong>\u00a0, ekonomick\u00e1 krize z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevy\u0159e\u0161ena.<\/p>\n<p>Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed roky nab\u00edzej\u00ed malou nad\u011bji na skute\u010dnou zm\u011bnu \u2013 pokud se N\u011bmecko nerozhodne p\u0159ehodnotit svou ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou strategii.<\/p>\n<p><em>Larry C. Johnson<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/german-election-results-signals-more-chaos-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V\u00fdsledky n\u011bmeck\u00fdch voleb poukazuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed chaos Volby maj\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e9st jasnost \u2013 ale kdo doufal,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5017,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,84,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73113"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73113"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73113\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73114,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73113\/revisions\/73114"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}