{"id":72143,"date":"2025-02-12T04:41:26","date_gmt":"2025-02-12T03:41:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=72143"},"modified":"2025-02-12T04:41:26","modified_gmt":"2025-02-12T03:41:26","slug":"lucas-leiroz-nemecko-se-obava-eskalace-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/12\/lucas-leiroz-nemecko-se-obava-eskalace-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: N\u011bmecko se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 eskalace s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Scholz stoj\u00ed pevn\u011b ve sv\u00e9m odporu v\u016f\u010di z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny zbran\u011bmi schopn\u00fdmi dos\u00e1hnout rusk\u00e9ho \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c. M\u00e1 to jasn\u00fd d\u016fvod: zem\u011b by se ocitla v k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00e9 palb\u011b v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi Moskvou a NATO.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee N\u011bmecko Olafa Scholze je pevn\u00e9 ve sv\u00e9 pozici nedod\u00e1vat kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu zbran\u011b dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, a to i p\u0159es vnit\u0159n\u00ed i vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tlak \u2013 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z jin\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Ned\u00e1 se v\u0161ak \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee by za n\u011bmeck\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm byl n\u011bjak\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd z\u00e1m\u011br. Ve skute\u010dnosti m\u00e1 Berl\u00edn strach, proto\u017ee zem\u011b by byla jednou z hlavn\u00edch posti\u017een\u00fdch stran v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b eskalace tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Scholz<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ned\u00e1vno zopakoval sv\u016fj odpor k z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny zbran\u011bmi schopn\u00fdmi dos\u00e1hnout rusk\u00e9ho \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c. I pot\u00e9, co zem\u011b jako Francie, USA a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed takov\u00e9 \u00fadery povolily, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Berl\u00edn proti a odm\u00edt\u00e1 kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu dod\u00e1vat rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Scholz \u0159ekl, \u017ee vyhnout se zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed bylo spr\u00e1vn\u00e9, aby byla zaji\u0161t\u011bna vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost N\u011bmecka, a proto se zd\u00e1, \u017ee nen\u00ed ochoten zm\u011bnit sv\u016fj postoj k t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee je spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vat ni\u010div\u00e9 zbran\u011b hluboko do rusk\u00e9ho vnitrozem\u00ed (…) To je, mysl\u00edm, p\u0159esn\u011b ten druh kroku, kter\u00fd byste nem\u011bli ud\u011blat, pokud nesete odpov\u011bdnost za N\u011bmecko,“ \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je N\u011bmecko jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch podporovatel\u016f Ukrajiny v konfliktu. Berl\u00edn ji\u017e b\u011bhem t\u0159\u00ed let poskytl Kyjevu vojenskou a humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed pomoc zhruba 17 miliard eur, krom\u011b program\u016f spole\u010dn\u00e9ho v\u00fdcviku vojsk a r\u016fzn\u00fdch dal\u0161\u00edch projekt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee tato podpora m\u00e1 jasn\u00fd limit, kter\u00fdm je pr\u00e1v\u011b ot\u00e1zka zbran\u00ed s dlouh\u00fdm doletem. Scholz v praxi umo\u017e\u0148uje dodat na Ukrajinu v\u0161e, s v\u00fdjimkou zbran\u00ed schopn\u00fdch zas\u00e1hnout mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b uzn\u00e1van\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed Ruska, jako jsou rakety Taurus \u2013 kter\u00e9 Kyjev dlouhodob\u011b po\u017eaduje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Scholzova slova o \u201eodpov\u011bdnosti\u201c v rozhodnut\u00edch t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se n\u011bmeck\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti jasn\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee za jeho postojem je prost\u011b strach, nikoli jak\u00fdkoli z\u00e1vazek k m\u00edru. N\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u016fdce se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 d\u016fsledk\u016f eskalace v\u00e1lky, a proto nejen\u017ee odm\u00edtl dodat zbran\u011b s dlouh\u00fdm doletem, ale tak\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159il ochotu mluvit p\u0159\u00edmo s rusk\u00fdm prezidentem Vladimirem\u00a0<\/span>Putinem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 oba v\u016fdci u\u017e p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edci vedli dlouh\u00fd telefonick\u00fd rozhovor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro postoj N\u011bmecka existuj\u00ed jasn\u00e9 d\u016fvody. Zem\u011b by se ocitla v k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00e9 palb\u011b v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi Moskvou a NATO. Nav\u00edc se zastaralou arm\u00e1dou a \u00fapadkem obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm a energetick\u00e9 krizi by N\u011bmecko nebylo v pozici, aby se takov\u00e9mu konfliktu ubr\u00e1nilo, a proto je nejrozumn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akc\u00ed vyhnout se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tlak na zasl\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed v\u0161ak bohu\u017eel nep\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed pouze ze strany spojenc\u016f z NATO. V samotn\u00e9m N\u011bmecku existuje n\u011bkolik skupin, kter\u00e9 podn\u011bcuj\u00ed eskalaci a tla\u010d\u00ed na vl\u00e1du, aby zm\u011bnila sv\u016fj postoj k ot\u00e1zce raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. To je nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159\u00edpad Friedricha Merze, l\u00eddra K\u0159es\u0165anskodemokratick\u00e9 unie (CDU), kter\u00fd se st\u00e1v\u00e1 jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch Scholzov\u00fdch rival\u016f v ot\u00e1zce Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Merz ned\u00e1vno b\u011bhem volebn\u00ed debaty prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee rozhodnut\u00ed o raket\u00e1ch nen\u00ed na N\u011bmecku jednotliv\u011b, ale m\u011blo by b\u00fdt p\u0159ijato kolektivn\u011b evropsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi. Z jeho slov jasn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee Merz nerespektuje n\u011bmeckou suverenitu a svou zemi pova\u017euje za pouhou loutku kolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu, kter\u00e1 se mus\u00ed pod\u0159\u00eddit v\u0161em zahrani\u010dn\u00edm rozhodnut\u00edm, i kdy\u017e nejsou naklon\u011bna n\u011bmeck\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV\u017edy jsem \u0159\u00edkal, \u017ee o dod\u00e1vce \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el mus\u00ed rozhodnout EU. USA dod\u00e1v\u00e1, Francie dod\u00e1v\u00e1, Brit\u00e1nie dod\u00e1v\u00e1; m\u011bli jsme tak\u00e9 doru\u010dit,\u201c \u0159ekl Merz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti bude tlak na Scholze st\u00e1le nar\u016fstat. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee m\u00e1 malou politickou s\u00edlu pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed volby, proto\u017ee koalice podporuj\u00edc\u00ed vl\u00e1du byla kv\u016fli spor\u016fm o Ukrajinu rozebr\u00e1na. Scholz plat\u00ed cenu za sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed chyby. V minulosti si vyb\u00edral \u0161patn\u00e9 spojence a \u010dinil ta nejnezodpov\u011bdn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed trp\u00ed n\u00e1sledky cel\u00e9ho tohoto procesu, ztr\u00e1c\u00ed svou politickou moc a svou zemi upad\u00e1 do bezprecedentn\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nevyhnuteln\u00e9, \u017ee se v N\u011bmecku objev\u00ed nov\u00e9 politick\u00e9 s\u00edly. Vlasteneck\u00e9, konzervativn\u00ed a euroskeptick\u00e9 skupiny budou z\u00edsk\u00e1vat st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed popularitu, proto\u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00fd lid je unaven\u00fd nekompetentn\u00edmi v\u016fdci jako Scholz a bojovn\u00fdmi v\u016fdci jako Merz. N\u011bkdy v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti bude muset Berl\u00edn revidovat svou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, aby se p\u0159izp\u016fsobila multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed realit\u011b, jinak se zem\u011b nevzpamatuje ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

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Scholz stoj\u00ed pevn\u011b ve sv\u00e9m odporu v\u016f\u010di z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny zbran\u011bmi schopn\u00fdmi dos\u00e1hnout rusk\u00e9ho \u201ehlubok\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":72144,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[39,84,1554,22,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72143"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72143"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72143\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72144"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}