{"id":71457,"date":"2025-02-03T06:12:29","date_gmt":"2025-02-03T05:12:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=71457"},"modified":"2025-02-03T06:12:29","modified_gmt":"2025-02-03T05:12:29","slug":"zbynek-fiala-celni-valka-uz-je-tady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/03\/zbynek-fiala-celni-valka-uz-je-tady\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: Celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka u\u017e je tady"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud cht\u011bl Donald Trump pomoci americk\u00fdm automobilk\u00e1m, s\u00e1hl v \u0161upleti s ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1stroji vedle.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Donald Trump tedy opravdu napa\u0159il nov\u00e1 cla Mexiku, Kanad\u011b a \u010c\u00edn\u011b, nebyly to jen plan\u00e9 vyhr\u016f\u017eky. Argumentuje pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm drog, ale z\u00a0jeho d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed z\u00a0toho, co d\u011blal b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed od roku 2017, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee chce hlavn\u011b obnovit pr\u016fmyslovou v\u00fdrobu doma. M\u016f\u017ee to v\u0161ak dopadnout jako s ohn\u00ed\u010dkem u stohu. Po\u017e\u00e1r se za\u010dne rychle \u0161\u00ed\u0159it. Zadrh\u00e1vat za\u010dne cel\u00fd velk\u00fd motor globalizace propojen\u00e9 s\u00edt\u00ed subdod\u00e1vek sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed a mont\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed smysl, kdy\u017e je vytrhneme z\u00a0\u0159et\u011bzce k\u00a0fin\u00e1ln\u00edmu v\u00fdrobku.<\/p>\n

List Wall Street Journal si v\u0161\u00edm\u00e1 dopad\u016f na americk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kter\u00e9mu Trump sl\u00edbil pomoc proti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 a evropsk\u00e9 konkurenci jako odm\u011bnu za rozhoduj\u00ed volebn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v\u00a0Michiganu. Tohle je v\u0161ak sp\u00ed\u0161 r\u00e1na do zad. Jak WSJ p\u00ed\u0161e, americk\u00e9 i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed automobilky v\u00a0USA vytvo\u0159ily s\u00ed\u0165 z\u00e1vod\u016f rozeset\u00fdch jak po Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, tak po Kanad\u011b a Mexiku.\u00a0 Rozpracovan\u00e9 sou\u010d\u00e1stky a nehotov\u00e9 d\u00edly putuj\u00ed opakovan\u011b p\u0159es severn\u00ed i ji\u017en\u00ed hranici, jak vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed nejefektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed subdodavatele, ale pokud poka\u017ed\u00e9 chyt\u00ed z\u00e1sah nov\u00e9ho cla, p\u011bkn\u011b se to prodra\u017e\u00ed. V\u00a0dot\u010den\u00fdch z\u00e1vodech v\u00a0Kanad\u011b a Mexiku te\u010f vl\u00e1dne b\u011bs a d\u011bs a pracuj\u00ed p\u0159es\u010das, aby\u00a0 nad\u011blali z\u00e1soby ne\u017e najdou lep\u0161\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Mexiko i Kanada, na kter\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed sazba 25 procent, vyhro\u017euj\u00ed, \u017ee to Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm oplat\u00ed stejnou minc\u00ed. Zato \u010c\u00edna, kter\u00e1 vyfasovala jen 10 procentn\u00ed p\u0159ir\u00e1\u017eku, zat\u00edm odvetou nehroz\u00ed. M\u00e1 za to, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jsou tak z\u00e1visl\u00ed na j\u00edch dovozech, \u017ee se potrestaj\u00ed sami. Mobily, tablety, baterie, hra\u010dky, tam v\u0161ude m\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed na americk\u00e9m trhu drtivou p\u0159evahu, vesm\u011bs t\u0159\u00ed\u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00ed pod\u00edl. A to bude bolet, proto\u017ee Trump z\u00e1rove\u0148 zru\u0161il st\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdjimku z\u00a0celn\u00edch sazebn\u00edk\u016f, \u017ee cla se nemaj\u00ed t\u00fdkat cenovky pod 800 dolar\u016f. Tam se v\u011bt\u0161ina t\u00e9to spot\u0159ebn\u00ed ekonomiky vejde.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-02-01\/trump-hits-china-canada-mexico-with-tariffs-to-open-trade-war\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Z\u00a0Kanady poch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e polovina dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 nafty, z\u00a0Mexika jen n\u011bjak\u00fdch deset procent. Trump tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Amerika m\u00e1 dost sv\u00e9, jen ji t\u011b\u017eit, ale pom\u00edj\u00ed, \u017ee americk\u00e9 rafin\u00e9rie jsou nastaven\u00e9 na tu kanadskou, a to nejde rychle zm\u011bnit. Na tomto \u00faseku fronty celn\u00ed v\u00e1lky nakonec zavl\u00e1dne p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kdy\u017e v\u00fdjimka pro ropu sni\u017euje sazby jen na 10 procent. To se vejde do b\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed cen.<\/p>\n

Otev\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed je je\u0161t\u011b dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed investice, do kter\u00e9 m\u00e1lokdo p\u016fjde bez dlouhodob\u00e9 odb\u011bratelsk\u00e9 smlouvy. Do toho se nikdo nehrne, proto\u017ee v\u00fdvoj nezastav\u00ed\u0161, elektrick\u00e1 auta na americk\u00fdch ulic\u00edch p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed. Elon Musk, kter\u00fd bd\u00ed nad jejich osudem, m\u00e1 ke v\u0161emu p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u017eidli. Jako jedin\u00fd st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b odol\u00e1v\u00e1 drtiv\u00e9mu n\u00e1stupu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 konkurence, a tak nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee je siln\u00fd i politicky.<\/p>\n

Vyhro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kanadsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Justina Trudeoua, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u016fm zav\u0159e kohoutky s\u00a0naftou a vypne p\u0159\u00edvodn\u00ed veden\u00ed s\u00a0kanadskou elekt\u0159inou, Trumpa pobavilo: \u201eA co s\u00a0tou elekt\u0159inou cht\u011bj\u00ed d\u011blat??\u201c<\/p>\n

Komu to obr\u00e1tilo koutky \u00fast trochu nahoru, m\u016f\u017ee je zase klidn\u011b sv\u011bsit.\u00a0 Exportn\u00ed ekonomiky budou americk\u00fdmi cly bity, a\u0165 d\u011blaj\u00ed cokoliv. \u0158et\u011bzce se p\u0159etrhnou, priority se zm\u011bn\u00ed, z\u00a0ho\u0159\u00edc\u00edho domu se nepoda\u0159\u00ed vyn\u00e9st v\u0161echno. Zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed se tlak na v\u00fdrobu ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, na kter\u00fd mohou evropsk\u00e9 automobilky reagovat jen tak, \u017ee se zapoj\u00ed. Statisticky to m\u016f\u017ee dopadnout p\u0159ijateln\u011b, ale lidi doma p\u0159ijdou o pr\u00e1ci. V\u00a0koment\u00e1\u0159\u00edch se mihla \u00favaha, \u017ee b\u00fdt protivn\u00edkem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f je hodn\u011b riskantn\u00ed, ale b\u00fdt jejich spojencem, je je\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud cht\u011bl Donald Trump pomoci americk\u00fdm automobilk\u00e1m, s\u00e1hl v \u0161upleti s ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1stroji vedle. Donald…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70889,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,3965,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71457"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71457"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71457\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70889"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}