{"id":71350,"date":"2025-02-02T00:31:19","date_gmt":"2025-02-01T23:31:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=71350"},"modified":"2025-02-01T08:13:06","modified_gmt":"2025-02-01T07:13:06","slug":"2025-rok-kdy-se-rozplyne-globalni-rad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/02\/02\/2025-rok-kdy-se-rozplyne-globalni-rad\/","title":{"rendered":"2025: Rok, kdy se rozplyne glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong>T\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je ji\u017e v pln\u00e9m proudu, i kdy\u017e si to v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed neuv\u011bdomuje.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a jejich spojenci cht\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159em\u011bnit sou\u010dasn\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, kter\u00fd pod veden\u00edm USA existuje od konce druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, z unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho na multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed a zajistit si tak v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00edsto u stolu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>USA a jejich spojenci cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby zv\u00edt\u011bzil unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed status quo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka rozvinula v p\u0159\u00edmou kinetickou v\u00e1lku mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou, proto\u017ee by to mohlo v\u00e9st k oboustrann\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9mu jadern\u00e9mu Armagedonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u00edsto toho se t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 na n\u011bkolika \u00farovn\u00edch: z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, finan\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kybernetick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, biologick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, skryt\u00e9 sabot\u00e1\u017ee a informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tohle je t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. D\u011bje se to pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f a rychle eskaluje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rok 2025 by mohl b\u00fdt rokem, kdy cel\u00e1 v\u011bc vyvrchol\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>T\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je podle m\u011b konfliktem dvou geopolitick\u00fdch blok\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Prvn\u00ed blok tvo\u0159\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jejich spojenci, kte\u0159\u00ed se hl\u00e1s\u00ed k unipol\u00e1rn\u00edmu sv\u011btov\u00e9mu \u0159\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u00e1h\u00e1m nazvat tento blok \u201eZ\u00e1pad\u201c, proto\u017ee lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed jej ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed, p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed hodnoty, kter\u00e9 jsou v rozporu se z\u00e1padn\u00ed civilizac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1zev by byl\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>NATO &amp; Friends<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Druh\u00fd blok zahrnuje Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu, \u00cdr\u00e1n a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u0158\u00edkejme jim\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>BRICS+<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0, co\u017e je zkratka pro Braz\u00edlii, Rusko, Indii, \u010c\u00ednu, Ji\u017en\u00ed Afriku a dal\u0161\u00ed zainteresovan\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>BRICS+ nen\u00ed dokonal\u00fd n\u00e1zev, ale je to odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed reprezentace zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b nelze jednozna\u010dn\u011b za\u0159adit do jedn\u00e9 kategorie. Tyto zem\u011b jsem za\u0159adil do samostatn\u00e9 kategorie neza\u0159azen\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Jsou hlavn\u00edmi konkurenty NATO &amp; Friends a BRICS+.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u00ed\u017ee je hrub\u00e1 mapa geopolitick\u00e9 \u0161achovnice, jak ji vid\u00edm j\u00e1.\u00a0Pro zv\u011bt\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0klikn\u011bte\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/IMAGE-1-202501.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/IMAGE-1-202501.png\"><span>sem .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/internationalman.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/IMAGE-1-202501-2048x1079.png?resize=800%2C421&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"618\" height=\"325\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong><span>V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ur\u010d\u00ed, kdo vyhraje t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku a utvo\u0159\u00ed nov\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1stupn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je metoda, ve kter\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed mocnosti bojuj\u00ed ve sv\u00fdch bitv\u00e1ch nep\u0159\u00edmo, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1rody nebo skupiny jako z\u00e1stupce, ne\u017e aby st\u00e1ly p\u0159\u00edmo proti sob\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Velmoci podporuj\u00ed, vybavuj\u00ed a financuj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed skupiny nebo n\u00e1rody v z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v boji proti spole\u010dn\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli. Tato podpora m\u016f\u017ee zahrnovat vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdcvik, zbran\u011b, financov\u00e1n\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed zdroje. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed je, aby se hlavn\u00ed mocnosti p\u0159\u00edmo ne\u00fa\u010dastnily nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ve t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce doch\u00e1z\u00ed k \u010detn\u00fdm z\u00e1stupn\u00fdm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011b\u0159\u00edm v\u0161ak, \u017ee rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed budou v\u00e1lky na Tchaj-wanu, Ukrajin\u011b a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Ostatn\u00ed proxy v\u00e1lky jsou ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed bezv\u00fdznamn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na rozd\u00edl od Evropy (Rusko) nebo v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie (\u010c\u00edna) neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vysoce rozvinut\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 moc, kter\u00e1 by mohla NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tele odradit od agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch akc\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n je tedy slab\u00fdm \u010dl\u00e1nkem aliance BRICS+, kter\u00e1 prosazuje multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>Proto o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee NATO &amp; Friends u\u010din\u00ed sv\u016fj posledn\u00ed pokus zma\u0159it vznik multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du a zachovat sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d pod veden\u00edm USA na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod lze zhruba rozd\u011blit na dv\u011b r\u016fzn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 skupiny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Prvn\u00ed jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jejich spojenci \u2013 Izrael, Turecko, Jord\u00e1nsko, Egypt, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Kuvajt, Katar, Bahrajn a dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>(A\u010dkoli Egypt, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty jsou \u010dleny BRICS+, jejich skute\u010dn\u00e1 loajalita je k agend\u011b NATO &amp; Friends.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Druhou skupinu tvo\u0159\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n a jeho spojenci \u2013 H\u00fas\u00edov\u00e9 v Jemenu, Hizball\u00e1h v Libanonu, n\u011bkolik palestinsk\u00fdch skupin (v\u010detn\u011b Ham\u00e1su) a \u0159ada milic\u00ed v Ir\u00e1ku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm \u010dlenem BRICS+ a zast\u00e1ncem multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du. Proto Rusko a \u010c\u00edna podporuj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n ekonomicky, politicky i vojensky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2024 se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee geopolitick\u00e1 hybn\u00e1 s\u00edla na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b pat\u0159ila \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jeho spojenc\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To se v\u0161ak ned\u00e1vno zm\u011bnilo, proto\u017ee Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod za\u017eil nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed geopolitickou zm\u011bnu za posledn\u00ed generace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vyvrcholilo t\u00edm, \u017ee bojovn\u00edci podporovan\u00ed Tureckem, Izraelem a USA svrhli Ba\u0161\u00e1ra Asada v S\u00fdrii. To byla t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 r\u00e1na pro \u00cdr\u00e1n a jeho spojence, a tedy i pro multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed agendu BRICS+.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>D\u0159\u00edve to vypadalo, jako by se Turecko p\u0159ibli\u017eovalo k BRICS+. Ale po ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch ud\u00e1lostech je to nyn\u00ed jasn\u00e9. Turecko z\u00edskalo nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pro NATO a jeho p\u0159\u00e1tele za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed a nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee Turecko pln\u011b stoj\u00ed za jejich agendou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Turecko se stalo dominantn\u00ed mocnost\u00ed a kr\u00e1lem v S\u00fdrii a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ilo vliv NATO a jeho p\u0159\u00e1tel do nov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 oblasti v srdci Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ambice T\u00fcrkiye pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sahaj\u00ed daleko za hranice S\u00fdrie. Erdogan se nijak netajil sv\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem vytvo\u0159it novoosmanskou \u0159\u00ed\u0161i. Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1 jedine\u010dnou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost to uskute\u010dnit s pomoc\u00ed NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tureck\u00e9 dobyt\u00ed S\u00fdrie nen\u00ed bez obrovsk\u00fdch v\u00fdzev. Zem\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 a nestabiln\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ozbrojen\u00e9 kurdsk\u00e9 s\u00edly, prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 za nep\u0159\u00e1tele T\u00fcrkiye, ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed asi t\u0159etinu S\u00fdrie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Asadovi v\u011brn\u00ed se soust\u0159ed\u00ed v pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edm regionu a dal\u0161\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stech zem\u011b. Z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ece ozbrojen\u00ed a nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u0161t\u00ed v\u016f\u010di nov\u00fdm syrsk\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159ad\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Existuj\u00ed zbytky ISIS, kter\u00e9 se nepodrobily nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A pak je tu izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 zni\u010dila v\u0161echny kdysi p\u016fsobiv\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany S\u00fdrie. Izraelsk\u00e9 letectvo m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed nad syrsk\u00fdm nebem volnou ruku. Izraelsk\u00e9 tanky a voj\u00e1ci obsadili nov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nov\u00e9 syrsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady se zkr\u00e1tka mus\u00ed vypo\u0159\u00e1dat s gigantick\u00fdm chaosem. Nemaj\u00ed monopol na pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly v hranic\u00edch S\u00fdrie a je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se jim to v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti poda\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>S\u00fdrie proto m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i nad\u00e1le geopolitickou \u010dernou d\u00edrou, kter\u00e1 od\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 krev a pen\u00edze z ka\u017ed\u00e9ho, kdo se sna\u017e\u00ed stabilizovat situaci, kterou stabilizovat nelze.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee se S\u00fdrie poda\u0159\u00ed stabilizovat \u2013 co\u017e je velk\u00e9 kdyby \u2013 kdo zaplat\u00ed stovky miliard pot\u0159ebn\u00fdch k obnov\u011b zem\u011b po v\u00edce ne\u017e 14 letech v\u00e1lky?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nikdo nev\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Turecko a pota\u017emo NATO &amp; Friends oslavily svr\u017een\u00ed Asada \u0161ampa\u0148sk\u00fdm. Oslava ale m\u016f\u017ee brzy skon\u010dit, kdy\u017e si uv\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee si ukousli v\u00edc, ne\u017e mohou rozkousat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Turecko, USA a Izrael budou zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za chaos v S\u00fdrii, kter\u00fd pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povede k balkanizaci s nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi v\u00fdsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nepochybuji o tom, \u017ee NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 se pokus\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt rostouc\u00edho tureck\u00e9ho vlivu k p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 krajiny na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch, pokud sv\u00e9voln\u00e9 hranice (stanoven\u00e9 Sykes-Picotovou dohodou p\u0159ed stolet\u00edm), kter\u00e9 definuj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161ina modern\u00edch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b se hrout\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jin\u00fdmi slovy, NATO a jeho p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se neo-osmansk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e stala dominantn\u00ed mocnost\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. BRICS+ chce, aby se \u00cdr\u00e1n stal dominantn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nikdo nev\u00ed, kdo zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a t\u00edm i ve t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Situace je prom\u011bnliv\u00e1, nest\u00e1l\u00e1 a nejist\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je velk\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 prohraj\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a na Tchaj-wanu. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nebudou moci zabr\u00e1nit vzniku multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, pokud si nepodrob\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod. A to nemohou ud\u011blat, pokud nesvrhnou vl\u00e1du v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u00e1d Asada je pro BRICS+ p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou, ale ne rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017ekou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 usiluj\u00ed o rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, mus\u00ed svrhnout vl\u00e1du v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>Proto si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n bude rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm boji\u0161t\u011bm t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Zde je aktualizovan\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e1 mapa Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a okoln\u00edho regionu, jak ji vid\u00edm j\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/internationalman.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/IMAGE-2-202501.png?w=800&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"702\" height=\"369\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed spojenci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b utrp\u011bli v roce 2024 ni\u010div\u00e9 r\u00e1ny, maj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Izrael a jejich spojenci ty nejp\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n, jak\u00e9 za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed existovaly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u00e1m podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee si tuto p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost nenechaj\u00ed uj\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mohlo by tomu tak b\u00fdt v roce 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud dojde k \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n, bude to podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed bitva t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ale nebude to d\u011btsk\u00e1 hra\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na rozd\u00edl od v\u011bt\u0161iny ostatn\u00edch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b nen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n (p\u0159ed rokem 1935 zn\u00e1m\u00fd jako Persie) um\u011bl\u00fdm konstruktem. Z hlediska etnick\u00e9ho, n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9ho a soci\u00e1ln\u00edho je to n\u00e1rod. Evrop\u0161t\u00ed byrokrat\u00e9 nevynalezli \u00cdr\u00e1n kreslen\u00edm klikat\u00fdch \u010dar na map\u011b. Mapa odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed geografickou realitu zem\u011b s p\u0159irozen\u00fdmi horsk\u00fdmi hranicemi podobn\u00fdmi pevnosti. Na v\u00fdchod\u011b kon\u010dila \u0159\u00edmsk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e obecn\u011b tam, kde za\u010dala persk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jejich spojenci se p\u0159es 46 let pokou\u0161ej\u00ed svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du. Vyzkou\u0161eli skoro v\u0161echno krom\u011b \u00fapln\u00e9 invaze.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, NATO a jeho p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 maj\u00ed proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu jen m\u00e1lo dal\u0161\u00edch karet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud cht\u011bj\u00ed USA skute\u010dn\u011b podkopat agendu BRICS+ na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, musely by svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du. Aby tak u\u010dinili, museli by v\u00e9st komplexn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti v\u0161em \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm spojenc\u016fm a zah\u00e1jit pozemn\u00ed invazi do \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pamatujte, \u017ee b\u011bhem \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky (1980-1988) \u2013 tehdy to byl \u201edobr\u00fd chlap\u201c \u2013 Sadd\u00e1m prohodil p\u0159es 500 000 ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f p\u0159es \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ml\u00fdnek na maso, m\u011bl podporu USA A Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu a nastra\u017eil chemick\u00e9 zbran\u011b v m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, jak\u00e9 nebylo od prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky&#8230; a v \u00cdr\u00e1nu to sotva ud\u011blalo d\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Skute\u010dnost\u00ed je, \u017ee pokud by USA invazi do \u00cdr\u00e1nu myslely v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by po\u017eadovaly \u00faplnou mobilizaci a obnoven\u00ed brann\u00e9 povinnosti. To se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nestane, ale i kdyby se tak stalo, nezaru\u010dilo by to v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty napadnou, mohl by tak\u00e9 b\u011bhem t\u00fddn\u016f nebo d\u0159\u00edve vyvinout jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b jako odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek. Mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e m\u00e1 n\u011bjak\u00e9 tajn\u011b z\u00edskan\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k t\u011bmto nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdm vyhl\u00eddk\u00e1m se NATO &amp; Friends m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout preventivn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n si je dob\u0159e v\u011bdom toho, \u017ee by proti n\u011bmu USA nebo Izrael mohly pou\u017e\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. M\u00e1 p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 nouzov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny, aby zajistil p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zahrnuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 v\u00fdvoj vlastn\u00edho arzen\u00e1lu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, aby byl schopen reagovat v natur\u00e1li\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nav\u00edc je pochybn\u00e9, \u017ee by Rusko a \u010c\u00edna jednodu\u0161e sed\u011bly a ned\u011blaly nic, kdyby NATO &amp; Friends vzbudilo dojem, \u017ee by mohly zah\u00e1jit jadern\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Rusko by se nap\u0159\u00edklad mohlo rozhodnout rozm\u00edstit jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b a rusk\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b jako odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu by mohli v\u00e9st k nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 s\u00e9rii ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by se mohly rychle vymknout kontrole, tak\u017ee to nepova\u017euji za pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Kvintesence<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>NATO a p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 atraktivn\u00ed mo\u017enosti, pokud jde o jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Av\u0161ak vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee slunce zapad\u00e1 nad unipol\u00e1rn\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm \u0159\u00e1dem pod veden\u00edm USA a podm\u00ednkami, kter\u00e9 jsou pro \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jak\u00e9 byly za cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, mohou to pova\u017eovat za svou posledn\u00ed \u0161anci a za\u00fato\u010dit v roce 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Co se stane a kdo zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nikdo nem\u016f\u017ee s jistotou v\u011bd\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak ji\u017e bylo \u0159e\u010deno, mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee m\u016f\u017eeme o\u010dek\u00e1vat eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by mohla vyvrcholit v\u00e1lkou s \u00cdr\u00e1nem v roce 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>D\u016fsledky takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky lze jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ece\u0148ovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem by nepochybn\u011b zni\u010dila v\u0161echny modely energetick\u00e9ho trhu a zp\u016fsobila by glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd kolaps.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed si neuv\u011bdomuje, jak bl\u00edzko jsme na pokraji historick\u00e9 katastrofy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bezpo\u010det milion\u016f lid\u00ed bylo finan\u010dn\u011b zruinov\u00e1no \u2013 nebo je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159 \u2013 v minul\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch, proto\u017ee nedok\u00e1zali vid\u011bt \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed obraz a nepodniknout vhodn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nebu\u010fte jedn\u00edm z nich.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Proto jsem pr\u00e1v\u011b zve\u0159ejnil\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>nal\u00e9havou novou zpr\u00e1vu<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0se v\u0161emi podrobnostmi, v\u010detn\u011b toho, co mus\u00edte ud\u011blat pro p\u0159\u00edpravu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u0158\u00edk\u00e1 se tomu\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 krize za 100 let\u2026T\u0159i nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strategie, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed pot\u0159ebujete<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Anal\u00fdza od\u00a0\u00a0<span class=\"thrive-shortcode-content\" data-attr-id=\"acf_author\" data-attr-static-link=\"{&quot;className&quot;:&quot;tve-dynamic-link&quot;,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;tve-dynamic-link&quot;,&quot;data-css&quot;:&quot;tve-u-192b5283987&quot;,&quot;data-custom-shortcode&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;data-dynamic-link&quot;:&quot;thrive_custom_fields_shortcode_url&quot;,&quot;data-shortcode-id&quot;:&quot;acf_author_url&quot;,&quot;data-tcb_hover_state_parent&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;((thrive_custom_fields_shortcode_url id=acf_author_url))&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-extra_key=\"CFG\" data-option-inline=\"1\" data-shortcode=\"thrive_custom_fields_shortcode_data\" data-shortcode-name=\"[Custom Fields] acf_author\"><a class=\"tve-dynamic-link\" href=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/articles\/authors\/nick-giambruno\/\" data-css=\"tve-u-192b5283987\" data-custom-shortcode=\"\" data-dynamic-link=\"thrive_custom_fields_shortcode_url\" data-shortcode-id=\"acf_author_url\" data-tcb_hover_state_parent=\"\">Nicka Giambruna<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/articles\/2025-the-year-the-global-order-unravels\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je ji\u017e v pln\u00e9m proudu, i kdy\u017e si to v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed neuv\u011bdomuje&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71351,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,279,698,276,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71350"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71350"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71350\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}