{"id":71265,"date":"2025-01-31T00:40:37","date_gmt":"2025-01-30T23:40:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=71265"},"modified":"2025-01-31T05:44:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-31T04:44:39","slug":"slunecni-sok-evropska-obloha-bude-v-pristich-desetiletich-tmavsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/31\/slunecni-sok-evropska-obloha-bude-v-pristich-desetiletich-tmavsi\/","title":{"rendered":"Slune\u010dn\u00ed \u0161ok: Evropsk\u00e1 obloha bude v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch desetilet\u00edch tmav\u0161\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Skupina n\u011bmeck\u00fdch v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk\u016f zjistila, \u017ee obla\u010dnost v Evrop\u011b nez\u00e1vis\u00ed na obsahu CO2 ve vzduchu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e na teplot\u011b mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho povrchu severn\u00edho Atlantiku. Data tak\u00e9 nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee star\u00fd kontinent bude m\u00edt v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b hodin slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu. To m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro energetick\u00fd p\u0159echod.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Studie n\u011bmeck\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f, publikovan\u00e1 pod n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0St\u0159edoevropsk\u00e9 hodiny slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu, vztah k Atlantick\u00e9 multidekad\u00e1ln\u00ed oscilaci a p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f<\/a> \u201c v renomovan\u00e9m \u010dasopise Nature, odhaluje p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9 zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed: d\u00e9lka slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu v Evrop\u011b netancuje podle melodie. CO2, ale n\u00e1sleduje jej rytmus Atlantiku.<\/p>\n

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Graf 4 ze studie<\/a><\/em>\u00a0.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

V\u00fdzkumn\u00fd t\u00fdm veden\u00fd Horst-Joachimem L\u00fcdeckem analyzoval \u00fadaje o slune\u010dn\u00edm svitu a\u017e za 145 let na sedmi evropsk\u00fdch m\u00edstech \u2013 od Kodan\u011b po Trento. Jejich objev je stejn\u011b jednoduch\u00fd jako v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fd:\u00a0Atlantsk\u00e1 multidekad\u00e1ln\u00ed oscilace (AMO), p\u0159irozen\u00e9 kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed povrchov\u00e9 teploty mo\u0159e v severn\u00edm Atlantiku, v\u00fdznamn\u011b \u0159\u00edd\u00ed na\u0161e hodiny slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Data hovo\u0159\u00ed sama za sebe: na v\u0161ech zkouman\u00fdch m\u011b\u0159ic\u00edch stanic\u00edch existuje \u201emimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e1\u201c korelace mezi AMO a dobou slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu. Tyto znalosti poprv\u00e9 umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed spolehliv\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi \u2013 a jsou docela p\u016fsobiv\u00e9: do roku 2050 klesne ro\u010dn\u00ed d\u00e9lka slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 850 na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 600 hodin.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm severoji\u017en\u00ed p\u0159ed\u011bl ve v\u00fdvoji progn\u00f3zy. Zat\u00edmco Koda\u0148 mus\u00ed po\u010d\u00edtat s poklesem o 16 procent, ji\u017en\u00ed regiony jako Terst a V\u00edde\u0148 si po\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b lehce s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 9 procenty.<\/p>\n

„Tato zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed maj\u00ed dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro energetick\u00fd p\u0159echod<\/strong>\u00a0,“ vysv\u011btluje spoluautor Sebastian L\u00fcning. Studie p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u00fd pokles fotovoltaick\u00fdch v\u00fdnos\u016f v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech desetilet\u00edch \u2013 v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00fd ovlivn\u00ed zejm\u00e9na severn\u00ed N\u011bmecko.<\/p>\n

Stabilita AMO, kterou lze prok\u00e1zat nejm\u00e9n\u011b na 8 000 let, d\u00e1v\u00e1 progn\u00f3z\u00e1m zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost. P\u0159esto v\u011bdci varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed vyvozov\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 jednoduch\u00fdch z\u00e1v\u011br\u016f: d\u00e9lka slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu podl\u00e9h\u00e1 siln\u00fdm ro\u010dn\u00edm v\u00fdkyv\u016fm, i kdy\u017e je dlouhodob\u00fd trend jasn\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Tato v\u011bdeck\u00e1 pr\u00e1ce nejen zpochyb\u0148uje spole\u010dn\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 modely, ale m\u011bla by tak\u00e9 povzbudit k p\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed energetick\u00e9 politiky. V\u00fdsledky znovu ilustruj\u00ed slo\u017eitost klimatick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu \u2013 a jak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je zahrnout p\u0159irozen\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 faktory do na\u0161eho budouc\u00edho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

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Skupina n\u011bmeck\u00fdch v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk\u016f zjistila, \u017ee obla\u010dnost v Evrop\u011b nez\u00e1vis\u00ed na obsahu CO2 ve vzduchu, ale…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[8524,2700,3389,1561],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71265"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71265\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}