{"id":71092,"date":"2025-01-28T00:32:16","date_gmt":"2025-01-27T23:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=71092"},"modified":"2025-01-27T15:19:58","modified_gmt":"2025-01-27T14:19:58","slug":"stephen-bryen-trump-uz-vaha-se-svym-pristupem-k-putinovi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/28\/stephen-bryen-trump-uz-vaha-se-svym-pristupem-k-putinovi\/","title":{"rendered":"Stephen Bryen: Trump u\u017e v\u00e1h\u00e1 se sv\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem k Putinovi"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Trumpova d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost v Moskv\u011b ji\u017e kles\u00e1, proto\u017ee existuj\u00ed prvn\u00ed zn\u00e1mky toho, \u017ee se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed p\u0159\u00edru\u010dkou zm\u011bny re\u017eimu Bidena Deep State.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Prezident Donald Trump na\u00a0<\/span>Truth Social<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a v rozhovorech argumentuje t\u00edm, \u017ee Rusko si mus\u00ed posp\u00ed\u0161it a dohodnout se na Ukrajin\u011b, ne\u017e Trump vyu\u017eije rusk\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f a uval\u00ed na Rusko vysok\u00e1 cla a dal\u0161\u00ed sankce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby podtrhl sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed n\u00e1zor na nesmyslnost ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, Trump \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko utrp\u011blo p\u0159es milion ob\u011bt\u00ed a Ukrajina 800 000.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovy po\u010dty ob\u011bt\u00ed p\u0159evy\u0161uj\u00ed dokonce i divok\u00e9 odhady Ukrajiny o rusk\u00fdch ob\u011btech. \u201eOfici\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c \u00fadaj citovan\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fdm ministrem Zelensk\u00fdm je, \u017ee Rusko dosud utrp\u011blo 812 670 ob\u011bt\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Ukrajina podle Zelensk\u00e9ho utrp\u011bla 43 000 mrtv\u00fdch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obecn\u011b se uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>pom\u011br zran\u011bn\u00fdch a mrtv\u00fdch<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0v ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce je 3 ku 1, tak\u017ee podle Zelensk\u00e9ho \u010d\u00edsla ztratila Ukrajina celkem 129 000 lid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zelensk\u00e9ho \u010d\u00edsl\u016fm nev\u011b\u0159te, proto\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jsou vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e uv\u00e1d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany samoz\u0159ejm\u011b uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed nepravdiv\u00e9 informace o ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch. Rusov\u00e9 neuv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla, zat\u00edmco Ukrajinci zna\u010dn\u011b zveli\u010duj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, aby uklidnili vlastn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnost a p\u0159\u00edznivce NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejlep\u0161\u00ed informace o rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch m\u00e1 organizace s n\u00e1zvem Mediazona. Mediazona je nez\u00e1visl\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010dnost, kterou se rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pokusila ukon\u010dit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je rozhodn\u011b proti Putinovi.\u00a0<\/span>Zpr\u00e1va Mediazony<\/span><\/a>\u00a0o rusk\u00fdch \u201epotvrzen\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00edch\u201c mezi 24. \u00fanorem 2022 a 18. lednem 2025 \u010din\u00ed celkem 88 726. P\u0159i pou\u017eit\u00ed pom\u011bru 3:1 by to celkov\u00fd po\u010det rusk\u00fdch ob\u011bt\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161il na 266 178, co\u017e je asi \u010dtvrtina toho, co \u0159ekl Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovo hodnocen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 situace je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v souladu s t\u00edm, co mu \u0159ekly americk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 agentury. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 ekonomika je na pokraji kolapsu, co\u017e ho vede k tomu, aby vyzval Putina, aby si posp\u00ed\u0161il a uzav\u0159el dohodu nebo \u010delil n\u00e1sledk\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed tisk je pln\u00fd zpr\u00e1v, kter\u00e9 v\u0161echny \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed tot\u00e9\u017e. Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika je ve voln\u00e9m p\u00e1du a ve velk\u00e9 krizi. Toto \u201et\u00e9ma\u201c je doprov\u00e1zeno zpr\u00e1vami, \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 doma pot\u00ed\u017ee, zlob\u00ed se na sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 poradce a po\u017eaduje \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo vede n\u00e1kladnou v\u00e1lku, v n\u00ed\u017e hodnota n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny rapidn\u011b kles\u00e1, v n\u00ed\u017e jsou absurdn\u011b vysok\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby a inflace se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vymyk\u00e1 kontrole, by byl p\u0159irozen\u011b znepokojen a znepokojen. To ale neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Putin nebo jeho minist\u0159i propadaj\u00ed panice, ani to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da je na pokraji zhroucen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro v\u011bt\u0161inu t\u011bchto \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f, kter\u00e9 se objevuj\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch, neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zdroje. I kdy\u017e existuj\u00ed, jsou nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9. Nap\u0159\u00edklad proukrajinsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>Daily Mail<\/span><\/a>\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed , \u017ee Oleg Vyugin, b\u00fdval\u00fd m\u00edstop\u0159edseda rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee \u201eRusko m\u00e1 samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ekonomick\u00fd z\u00e1jem na vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed o diplomatick\u00e9m ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dosud nejlep\u0161\u00ed nevl\u00e1dn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vu z Ruska zve\u0159ejnila v\u00a0<\/span>\u010dasopise Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Alexandra Propenenko. Je \u010dlenkou Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center v Berl\u00edn\u011b. Do za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2022 pracovala v rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance. Jejich argumentem je, \u017ee \u201ePutin zat\u00edm nen\u00ed zoufal\u00fd\u201c a ekonomick\u00e1 bolest situaci na Ukrajin\u011b nezm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ed\u0161e: \u201eProbl\u00e9mem Z\u00e1padu je na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed. Politi\u010dt\u00ed v\u016fdci cht\u011bj\u00ed rychl\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici se tak\u00e9 domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee tlak na Rusko by mohl b\u00fdt v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch tak velk\u00fd, \u017ee Putin bude muset naj\u00edt cestu, jak stabilizovat ekonomiku a zajistit si moc.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAle z\u00e1padn\u00ed nad\u011bje jsou zalo\u017eeny na fale\u0161n\u00e9m p\u0159edpokladu. Ekonomick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Ruska je\u0161t\u011b nejsou tak akutn\u00ed, aby brzy v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovlivnily v\u00e1lku. Minim\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok by se Kremlu m\u011blo poda\u0159it zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se p\u0159eh\u0159\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed jeho ekonomiky stalo plnohodnotnou kriz\u00ed. Putin bude m\u00edt pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b st\u00e1le zdroje na udr\u017een\u00ed sv\u00e9 brut\u00e1ln\u00ed kampan\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e1 i motivaci po\u010dkat na Z\u00e1pad.<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je v Rusku nedostatek pracovn\u00edch sil a pln\u00e1 zam\u011bstnanost. Probl\u00e9mov\u00e1 ekonomika je typicky charakterizov\u00e1na nezam\u011bstnanost\u00ed, n\u00edzk\u00fdmi nebo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdmi mzdami a nedostatkem nab\u00eddky, zejm\u00e9na spot\u0159ebn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed. Rusko m\u00e1 spot\u0159ebn\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, a n\u011bkter\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkty (nap\u0159. m\u00e1slo a vejce) jsou drah\u00e9, ale nen\u00ed jich nedostatek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sankce otev\u0159ely pole \u010c\u00edn\u011b a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky jsou levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b aut. O tom, \u017ee v\u00e1lka p\u0159isp\u011bla k nedostatku pracovn\u00edch sil, nen\u00ed pochyb, t\u011b\u017eko v\u0161ak \u0159\u00edci, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry. Mzdy jsou vysok\u00e9 a st\u00e1le rostou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko je tak\u00e9 energeticky nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 a na rozd\u00edl od Evropy m\u016f\u017ee regulovat ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot ve vlastn\u00ed zemi. Kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm uvalen\u00fdm na Rusko a nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 tajn\u00e9mu ni\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00fdch ropovod\u016f (a um\u011bl\u00e9mu rozhodnut\u00ed neobnovovat smlouvy o tranzitu potrub\u00ed p\u0159es Ukrajinu) jsou evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky v hor\u0161\u00edm stavu, pokud jde o zam\u011bstnanost, nedostatek energie a n\u00e1klady ne\u017e Rusko. .<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmecko u\u017e je v recesi, ale Rusko ne. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 m\u011bna, euro, \u017eije\u00a0<\/span>z vyp\u016fj\u010den\u00e9ho \u010dasu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Dal\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 eroze v N\u011bmecku a Francii by mohla ovlivnit hodnotu eura.<\/span><\/p>\n

Energetick\u00e1 krize v Evrop\u011b by se mohla zhor\u0161it, pokud by se Rusko rozhodlo p\u0159eru\u0161it dod\u00e1vky plynu, ropy a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho plynu. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Putin m\u016f\u017ee ubl\u00ed\u017eit Evrop\u011b mnohem v\u00edce, ne\u017e Trump m\u016f\u017ee po\u0161kodit Rusko nov\u00fdmi sankcemi, cly nebo jin\u00fdmi ekonomick\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1plava zpr\u00e1v o rusk\u00e9 ekonomice a Putinov\u00fdch probl\u00e9mech je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00fd prosazuje Biden a jeho kolegov\u00e9 z hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu v myln\u00e9m p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee USA dok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159ipravit zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Rusku. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Trump tuto politiku podporuje. Bohu\u017eel je to kontraproduktivn\u00ed, proto\u017ee to jen posiluje rusk\u00e9 odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed ukon\u010dit a vyhr\u00e1t v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee to po\u0161kozuje Trumpovu d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost v\u016f\u010di Moskv\u011b p\u0159i dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Po n\u00e1stupu do \u00fa\u0159adu byl Trump relativn\u011b bez jak\u00e9hokoli spojen\u00ed s Bidenovou politikou hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Zd\u00e1lo se, \u017ee pochopil, \u017ee politika, kter\u00e1 se sna\u017eila svrhnout Moskvu a Putina, byla kontraproduktivn\u00ed a neinteligentn\u00ed. Jeho p\u0159\u00edstup mu dal v\u00fdhodu, proto\u017ee nastoupil do \u00fa\u0159adu bez Bidenovy zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee, o kterou nyn\u00ed riskuje ztr\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd telefon\u00e1t mezi Trumpem a Putinem se neuskute\u010dnil a B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm a Rada n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti nedos\u00e1hly s Rusy dohody o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed dialogu. D\u016fvod je z\u0159ejm\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

*<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Stephen Bryen<\/strong> je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed zpravodaj pro Asia Times a b\u00fdval\u00fd n\u00e1m\u011bstek americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1m\u011bstka ministra obrany pro politiku. Tento\u00a0<\/span>\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00fd se p\u016fvodn\u011b objevil v jeho zpravodaji Substack\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Weapons and Strategy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, je znovu publikov\u00e1n se svolen\u00edm.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Trumpova d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost v Moskv\u011b ji\u017e kles\u00e1, proto\u017ee existuj\u00ed prvn\u00ed zn\u00e1mky toho, \u017ee se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed p\u0159\u00edru\u010dkou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2960,59,22,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71092"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71092\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}