{"id":70412,"date":"2025-01-18T00:43:54","date_gmt":"2025-01-17T23:43:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=70412"},"modified":"2025-01-17T14:04:22","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T13:04:22","slug":"nemecka-ekonomika-se-riti-do-historicke-spiraly-recese","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/18\/nemecka-ekonomika-se-riti-do-historicke-spiraly-recese\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika se \u0159\u00edt\u00ed do historick\u00e9 spir\u00e1ly recese"},"content":{"rendered":"
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N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika je v hor\u0161\u00edm stavu, ne\u017e tomu bylo po dlouhou dobu. Hroz\u00ed, \u017ee sestupn\u00e1 spir\u00e1la se zrychl\u00ed a zas\u00e1hne tak cel\u00fd kontinent. Bez udr\u017eiteln\u00fdch struktur\u00e1ln\u00edch reforem a odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky se v\u011bci nezlep\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u00e1lokdy se v historii Spolkov\u00e9 republiky vyskytly okam\u017eiky, kter\u00e9 by tak jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee \u201enemocn\u00fd mu\u017e Evropy\u201c neza\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jen do\u010dasnou indispozici. S\u00a0<\/span>dal\u0161\u00edm poklesem<\/span><\/a> hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu o 0,2 procenta v roce 2024 \u2013 po minus 0,3 procenta v roce 2023 \u2013 N\u011bmecko p\u00ed\u0161e temnou kapitolu sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 historie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spolkov\u00e1 republika za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejdel\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi stagnace od roku 1945, konstatuje Timo Wollmersh\u00e4user z\u00a0<\/span>institutu Ifo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se st\u0159\u00edzlivost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jen podtrhuje v\u00e1\u017enost situace. To, co kdysi z\u00e1\u0159ilo jako \u201emistr sv\u011bta v exportu\u201c, se nyn\u00ed v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed nach\u00e1z\u00ed na konci \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace je slo\u017eit\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kter\u00fd st\u00e1le st\u00e9n\u00e1 pod n\u00e1sledky energetick\u00e9 krize, se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s demografickou zm\u011bnou, kter\u00e1 zp\u016fsobuje, \u017ee nedostatek kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edk\u016f (\u00a0<\/span>i v d\u016fsledku migrace vysoce kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edk\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) je chronick\u00fd. choroba. K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 byrokratick\u00fd apar\u00e1t, kter\u00fd se digit\u00e1ln\u00ed dobou vle\u010de s \u00fa\u010dinnost\u00ed parn\u00ed lokomotivy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Znepokojuj\u00edc\u00ed jsou p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>varov\u00e1n\u00ed Bundesbanky<\/span><\/a> o mo\u017en\u00e9m dal\u0161\u00edm poklesu v roce 2025. D\u016fvod: hrozba represivn\u00edch cel Donalda Trumpa, Evropa by m\u011bla p\u0159estat dov\u00e1\u017eet americkou ropu a plyn a investovat v\u00fdrazn\u011b v\u00edce pen\u011bz do zbrojen\u00ed. Hroziv\u00e1 kulisa, kter\u00e1 by mohla zni\u010dit ji\u017e tak nemocnou n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Klaus Borger z KfW Research to ve zkratce \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: \u201eHlavn\u00ed v\u00fdzvy zm\u011bny vy\u017eaduj\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 odpov\u011bdi.\u201c Jen\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b to se zat\u00edm nestalo. M\u00edsto toho se odhaluje toxick\u00fd koktejl zastaral\u00e9 infrastruktury, klesaj\u00edc\u00ed konkurenceschopnosti a st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed spole\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paralely s 50. l\u00e9ty \u2013 kdy se N\u011bmecko naposledy zmen\u0161ilo na dva po sob\u011b jdouc\u00ed roky \u2013 jsou \u010dist\u011b statistick\u00e9 povahy. Tehdy \u0161lo o obnovu zni\u010den\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda. N\u011bmecko dnes \u010del\u00ed v\u00fdzv\u011b p\u0159eprogramov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 DNA \u2013 ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00fd se rychle m\u011bn\u00ed a vy\u017eaduje rychl\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed vznikl\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

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N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika je v hor\u0161\u00edm stavu, ne\u017e tomu bylo po dlouhou dobu. Hroz\u00ed, \u017ee sestupn\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62528,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,1068,371,84],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70412"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70412\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}