{"id":70251,"date":"2025-01-16T00:39:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T23:39:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=70251"},"modified":"2025-01-15T14:33:53","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T13:33:53","slug":"vyzkum-klimatu-historicka-data-vyvraceji-teplotni-paniku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/16\/vyzkum-klimatu-historicka-data-vyvraceji-teplotni-paniku\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00fdzkum klimatu: Historick\u00e1 data vyvracej\u00ed teplotn\u00ed paniku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ve vzru\u0161en\u00e9 debat\u011b o klimatu poskytuj\u00ed t\u0159i nov\u00e9 v\u011bdeck\u00e9 studie zna\u010dn\u00fd materi\u00e1l k diskusi. Studie ze st\u0159edn\u00ed \u010c\u00edny, Ruska a Rumunska vykresluj\u00ed obr\u00e1zek, kter\u00fd nezapad\u00e1 do b\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu o zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9 jsou n\u00e1lezy ze st\u0159edn\u00ed \u010c\u00edny, kde v\u011bdci zkoumali zimn\u00ed teploty v letech 1606 a\u017e 2016. P\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd v\u00fdsledek: V obdob\u00ed od roku 1650 do roku 1750 byla zima v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 0,44 stupn\u011b Celsia teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve 20. stolet\u00ed \u2013 a to s obsahem CO2 skromn\u00fdch 278 ppm oproti 290 a\u017e 370 ppm v minul\u00e9m stolet\u00ed. stolet\u00ed .<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bdci kolem Jiang a spol. ve studii nazvan\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Anom\u00e1ln\u00ed tepl\u00e9 teploty zaznamenan\u00e9 pomoc\u00ed letokruh\u016f v horn\u00edm toku \u0159eky Jinsha b\u011bhem Mal\u00e9 doby ledov\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c sami p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed: \u201eNejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed zimn\u00ed teplota ve studovan\u00e9 oblasti v letech 1650-1750 byla p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b o 0,44 \u00b0C vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve 20. stolet\u00ed\u201c. V\u00fdrok, kter\u00fd diametr\u00e1ln\u011b odporuje b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed o \u201echladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c Mal\u00e9 dob\u011b ledov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nem\u00e9n\u011b pronikav\u00e1 je studie s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Dlouhodob\u00e1 rekonstrukce sucha zalo\u017een\u00e1 na datech letokruh\u016f izotop\u016f kysl\u00edku pro st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Evropy (Rumunsko)<\/span><\/a> \u201c z Rumunska, kter\u00e1 zkoum\u00e1 obdob\u00ed od roku 1803 do roku 2020. Nagavciuc\u016fv v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd t\u00fdm zjistil, \u017ee obdob\u00ed sucha v 19. stolet\u00ed byla v\u00fdrazn\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve stolet\u00ed 20. Ani posledn\u00ed such\u00e9 obdob\u00ed v letech 2007 a\u017e 2020 nedos\u00e1hlo intenzity historick\u00fdch such z let 1818 a\u017e 1835, 1845 a\u017e 1854 a 1882 a\u017e 1890.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed ve skupin\u011b je studie z rusk\u00e9ho poho\u0159\u00ed Altaj s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Chronologie letokruh\u016f z horn\u00ed hranice strom\u016f v poho\u0159\u00ed Altaj v Rusku odhaluj\u00ed siln\u00e9 a stabiln\u00ed sign\u00e1ly letn\u00edch teplot<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Teplotn\u00ed sign\u00e1ly zde vykazuj\u00ed pozoruhodnou stabilitu ji\u017e od 16. stolet\u00ed \u2013 bez v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zm\u011bn trendu mimo dlouhodob\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 hodnoty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky: Pokud bylo p\u0159ed industrializac\u00ed tepleji ne\u017e dnes, jak \u017eivotaschopn\u00e1 je teze o zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 \u010dlov\u011bkem? Pokud historick\u00e1 sucha p\u0159evy\u0161uj\u00ed ta dne\u0161n\u00ed, jak smyslupln\u00e9 jsou sou\u010dasn\u00e9 extr\u00e9mn\u00ed jevy po\u010das\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n

Studie vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed k v\u011bdeck\u00e9 st\u0159\u00edzlivosti v debat\u011b, kter\u00e1 je st\u00e1le v\u00edce charakterizov\u00e1na alarmismem. Znovu ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee klima se v\u017edy vyzna\u010dovalo p\u0159irozen\u00fdmi v\u00fdkyvy \u2013 co\u017e je fakt, kter\u00fd se v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 diskusi o klimatu \u010dasto ztr\u00e1c\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ve vzru\u0161en\u00e9 debat\u011b o klimatu poskytuj\u00ed t\u0159i nov\u00e9 v\u011bdeck\u00e9 studie zna\u010dn\u00fd materi\u00e1l k diskusi. Studie…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,2700,2648],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70251"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70251"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70251\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}