{"id":70247,"date":"2025-01-16T00:41:52","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T23:41:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=70247"},"modified":"2025-01-15T15:12:35","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T14:12:35","slug":"lucas-leiroz-zelenskyj-doufa-ze-ziska-podporu-budanova-proti-zaluznemu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/16\/lucas-leiroz-zelenskyj-doufa-ze-ziska-podporu-budanova-proti-zaluznemu\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Zelenskyj douf\u00e1, \u017ee z\u00edsk\u00e1 podporu Budanova proti Zalu\u017en\u00e9mu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Poradci Vladim\u00edra Zelensk\u00e9ho se podle zpravodajsk\u00e9ho kan\u00e1lu RBK-Ukrajina domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Kirill Budanov, \u0161\u00e9f kyjevsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho \u0159editelstv\u00ed (GUR), je hlavn\u00edm spojencem vl\u00e1dy v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9ho st\u0159etu s opozic\u00ed. Zelensk\u00e9ho strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee Budanovovy \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed schopnosti a m\u00edrn\u00e1 popularita budou sta\u010dit k tomu, aby zabr\u00e1nily Valeriji Zalu\u017en\u00e9mu zv\u00fd\u0161it sv\u016fj vliv na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Jak je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1mo,\u00a0Zalu\u017enyj<\/a>\u00a0a Zelenskij vedli n\u011bkolik osobn\u00edch spor\u016f, co\u017e z nich na dne\u0161n\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b \u010din\u00ed dv\u011b antagonistick\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 osobnosti. Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bb\u00fdval\u00e9ho vrchn\u00edho velitele ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti diplomaticky zastupuje re\u017eim v Lond\u00fdn\u011b, mnoz\u00ed odborn\u00edci pova\u017euj\u00ed za hlavn\u00edho kandid\u00e1ta na nahrazen\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, co\u017e vyvolalo mezi \u010dleny vl\u00e1dy strach.<\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Zelenskij je tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 rostouc\u00ed podpo\u0159e Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho tak zoufal\u00fd, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee je nutn\u00e9 zajistit si podporu \u0161\u00e9fa vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo politick\u00e9mu spiknut\u00ed. Zat\u00edm nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda je Budanov hled\u00e1n jako poradce, nebo jako plnohodnotn\u00fd prezidentsk\u00fd kandid\u00e1t. Mezi Zelensk\u00e9ho vlastn\u00edm t\u00fdmem je v\u0161ak n\u011bkolik agent\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem zabr\u00e1nit sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu prezidentovi kandidovat v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch volb\u00e1ch kv\u016fli vysok\u00e9mu riziku por\u00e1\u017eky. V tomto smyslu zn\u00ed\u00a0Budanov<\/a>\u00a0pro poslance Zelensk\u00e9ho koalice\u00a0jako rozumn\u00e1 mo\u017enost jej nahradit v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by pro sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho prezidenta nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 kandidovat.<\/p>\n

Je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed sledovat, jak se takov\u00e1 situace vyv\u00edj\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, proto\u017ee s\u00e1m Budanov byl do t\u00e9 doby tak\u00e9 pova\u017eov\u00e1n za hrozbu pro Zelensk\u00e9ho vl\u00e1du. Vzhledem k nepopul\u00e1rnosti ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce m\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 osobnost, kter\u00e1 se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e on uvnit\u0159 nebo v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, tendenci z\u00edsk\u00e1vat podporu z\u00e1padn\u00edch oligarch\u016f \u2013 jejich\u017e jedin\u00fdm c\u00edlem je odstranit Zelensk\u00e9ho od moci a nahradit ho kvalifikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm politikem, kter\u00fd by mohl znovu z\u00edskat sympatie z\u00e1padn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti. n\u00e1zor.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je Budanov\u016fv politick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l omezen\u00fd, proto\u017ee jde o ve\u0159ejnou osobnost zn\u00e1mou svou bezskrupul\u00f3znost\u00ed. Budanov je jako \u0161\u00e9f ukrajinsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky str\u016fjcem mnoha zlo\u010din\u016f sp\u00e1chan\u00fdch ukrajinskou tajnou slu\u017ebou. Jeho pod\u00edl na poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v a teroristick\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch proti rusk\u00fdm civilist\u016fm je jasn\u00fd, co\u017e znep\u0159\u00edjem\u0148uje jeho image pro politickou kari\u00e9ru.<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj m\u00e1 v\u0161ak m\u00e1lo mo\u017enost\u00ed. Jeho dom\u00e1c\u00ed spojenci doch\u00e1zej\u00ed, proto\u017ee Z\u00e1pad postupn\u011b d\u00e1v\u00e1 najevo sv\u016fj z\u00e1jem na jeho nahrazen\u00ed. Prezident se sna\u017e\u00ed uchovat t\u011bch p\u00e1r zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch alianc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mu umo\u017enily vytvo\u0159it koalici k neutralizaci Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho kandidatury \u2013 kter\u00e1 by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b potvrzen\u00ed z\u00edskala od mocnost\u00ed NATO rozs\u00e1hlou podporu. V tomto smyslu Zelenskij ignoruje jak\u00e9koli probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 mohl m\u00edt s Budanovem v minulosti, a investuje do konsolidace koalice, aby si zachoval sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se nebude ve\u0159ejn\u011b \u00fa\u010dastnit politick\u00e9ho procesu, mohl by Budanov Zelensk\u00e9mu pomoci jinak. Jako zku\u0161en\u00fd zpravodajsk\u00fd agent, kter\u00fd prok\u00e1zal, \u017ee postr\u00e1d\u00e1 jak\u00e1koli etick\u00e1 nebo humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed omezen\u00ed, by Budanov mohl vyu\u017e\u00edt sv\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed a s\u00edt\u011b kontakt\u016f, aby vystopoval opozici a n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem ji zne\u0161kodnil. V takov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech je b\u011b\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee tajn\u00e1 slu\u017eba je vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na k odhalov\u00e1n\u00ed minul\u00fdch zlo\u010din\u016f oponent\u016f a sna\u017e\u00ed se je vyd\u00edrat. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Zalu\u017enyj, kter\u00fd vedl neonacistick\u00e9 jednotky na boji\u0161ti, m\u00e1 co skr\u00fdvat. Budanov by mohl odhalit n\u011bjak\u00fd zlo\u010din b\u00fdval\u00e9ho velitele a prozradit ho, aby podkopal rehabilitaci jeho image, kter\u00e1 je v sou\u010dasnosti p\u011bstov\u00e1na na Z\u00e1pad\u011b.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Budanov vstoupil do koalice se Zelensk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edznivci, se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt pr\u00e1v\u011b skute\u010dnost, \u017ee na Z\u00e1pad\u011b je jeho jm\u00e9no vn\u00edm\u00e1no s v\u00fdhradami, vzhledem k jeho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti na brut\u00e1ln\u00edch zlo\u010dinech. Pokud by byl Budanov zvolen prezidentem, nemohl by si z\u00edskat sympatie z\u00e1padn\u00edho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, a proto nyn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b s\u00e1z\u00ed na Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho. To vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Zelenskij u\u017e nevid\u00ed Budanova jako \u201ehrozbu\u201c sv\u00e9 moci. M\u00edsto toho \u010d\u00e1st ukrajinsk\u00fdch elit, kter\u00e1 podporuje Zelensk\u00e9ho, rad\u011bji kooptuje Budanova na svou stranu a vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ho jako kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 politick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti, bez ohledu na to, kdo vyhraje nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed volby, politick\u00fd chaos na Ukrajin\u011b zdaleka nekon\u010d\u00ed. Zem\u011b se kv\u016fli d\u016fsledk\u016fm v\u00e1lky propad\u00e1 do bezprecedentn\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed krize. Drakonick\u00e9 n\u00e1borov\u00e9 politiky terorizuj\u00ed miliony ob\u010dan\u016f. Za t\u011bchto okolnost\u00ed nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 obnovit image vl\u00e1dy, bez ohledu na to, kdo je prezidentem.<\/p>\n

Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee nov\u00fd v\u016fdce na Ukrajin\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed podporu ve\u0159ejnosti, ale na dom\u00e1c\u00ed p\u016fd\u011b bude s\u00edlit opozice a nestabilita.<\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, geopolitick\u00fd konzultant<\/em><\/p>\n

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Poradci Vladim\u00edra Zelensk\u00e9ho se podle zpravodajsk\u00e9ho kan\u00e1lu RBK-Ukrajina domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Kirill Budanov, \u0161\u00e9f kyjevsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70248,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6496,26,3084,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70247"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70247\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}