{"id":70139,"date":"2025-01-14T00:39:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T23:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=70139"},"modified":"2025-01-13T17:36:25","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:36:25","slug":"francouzsky-politicky-domecek-z-karet-kolaps-je-nevyhnutelny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/14\/francouzsky-politicky-domecek-z-karet-kolaps-je-nevyhnutelny\/","title":{"rendered":"Francouzsk\u00fd politick\u00fd dome\u010dek z karet: kolaps je nevyhnuteln\u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Ve Francii vznik\u00e1 bezprecedentn\u00ed chaos, kter\u00fd hroz\u00ed strhnout do sv\u00e9ho v\u00edru celou euroz\u00f3nu. Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj odhaluje toxickou sm\u011bs dom\u00e1c\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f a vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch tlak\u016f, kter\u00e9 tla\u010d\u00ed zemi na pokraj neschopnosti vl\u00e1dnout.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Nov\u00fd premi\u00e9r Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fdm dilematem:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/france-pm-francois-bayrou-copy-paste-budget-michel-barnier-downfall\/\"><span>p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0p\u0159esn\u011b stejn\u00fd rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd pl\u00e1n, kter\u00fd svrhl jeho p\u0159edch\u016fdce Michela Barniera. Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed druh politick\u00e9ho d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu, kter\u00fd nemilosrdn\u011b odhaluje hlubokou krizi francouzsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. \u010c\u00edsla hovo\u0159\u00ed jasn\u011b: S rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm deficitem 6,1 procenta a st\u00e1tn\u00edm dluhem 112 procent HDP Francie masivn\u011b poru\u0161uje p\u0159edpisy EU. Ministr financ\u00ed Eric Lombard popisuje situaci jako \u201ev\u00e1\u017enou\u201c \u2013 podhodnocen\u00ed vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee i\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/europe\/french-finance-minister-says-eyes-2025-budget-deficit-5-55-range-2025-01-06\"><span>c\u00edlov\u00fd deficit 5 a\u017e 5,5 procenta<\/span><\/a><span> pro rok 2025 je v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad povolen\u00fdmi 3 procenty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Politick\u00e1 rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bnost v parlamentu d\u011bl\u00e1 situaci je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Po nov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch narychlo vypsan\u00fdch Macronem nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd ze t\u0159\u00ed hlavn\u00edch politick\u00fdch blok\u016f funguj\u00edc\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu: vede levicov\u00e1 Aliance se 182 mand\u00e1ty, n\u00e1sleduje Macron\u016fv soubor se 168 a pravicov\u00fd Rassemblement National se 143 mand\u00e1ty. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd ze t\u0159\u00ed blok\u016f nechce spolupracovat s t\u00edm druh\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ratingov\u00e1 agentura Moody&#8217;s ji\u017e reagovala sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm ratingu Francie. Jejich \u00favahy: Politick\u00e1 rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bnost br\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 konsolidaci. Jako by tato situace ji\u017e nebyla dostate\u010dn\u011b komplikovan\u00e1, Donald Trump nyn\u00ed vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu na 5 procent HDP \u2013 co\u017e je po\u017eadavek, kter\u00fd by pro ji\u017e tak klop\u00fdtaj\u00edc\u00ed Francii p\u0159edstavoval fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed um\u00edr\u00e1\u010dek. Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e v sou\u010dasnosti vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na arm\u00e1du kolem 45 miliard eur, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje 2 procenta HDP. Trumpovy po\u017eadavky by \u010dinily dodate\u010dn\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fddaje ve v\u00fd\u0161i 80 miliard eur. Francie si to prost\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace osudov\u011b p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 dome\u010dek z karet: jak\u00fdkoli dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161ok by mohl spustit naprost\u00fd kolaps. Francie ne\u010del\u00ed jen vl\u00e1dn\u00ed krizi, ale z\u00e1sadn\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed krizi, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l destabilizovat celou euroz\u00f3nu. Pokud by se druh\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomika v Evropsk\u00e9 unii (a euroz\u00f3n\u011b) zhroutila, n\u00e1sledky by byly fat\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ve Francii vznik\u00e1 bezprecedentn\u00ed chaos, kter\u00fd hroz\u00ed strhnout do sv\u00e9ho v\u00edru celou euroz\u00f3nu. Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70140,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[130,371,122],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70139"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70139\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}