{"id":70124,"date":"2025-01-14T00:31:03","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T23:31:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=70124"},"modified":"2025-01-13T17:10:08","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:10:08","slug":"thomas-roper-dojde-k-valce-mezi-eu-a-usa-pokud-trump-zautoci-na-gronsko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/14\/thomas-roper-dojde-k-valce-mezi-eu-a-usa-pokud-trump-zautoci-na-gronsko\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Dojde k v\u00e1lce mezi EU a USA, pokud Trump za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Gr\u00f3nsko?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Trump nevylou\u010dil p\u0159evzet\u00ed Gr\u00f3nska vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. Podle smlouvy o EU by pak ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty EU musely D\u00e1nsko podpo\u0159it. A co by to znamenalo pro NATO?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Donald Trump deklaroval n\u00e1roky na Gr\u00f3nsko a o\u010dividn\u011b to mysl\u00ed velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, proto\u017ee Gr\u00f3nsko je pro USA z r\u016fzn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f\u00a0<\/span>velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Trump v odpov\u011bdi na dotaz novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f v\u00fdslovn\u011b nevylou\u010dil pou\u017eit\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly k dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle. Srozumitelnou \u0159e\u010d\u00ed Trump pohrozil v\u00e1lkou D\u00e1nsku, ke kter\u00e9mu Gr\u00f3nsko pat\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee takov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj je velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd, ale i tak bych r\u00e1d vid\u011bl, jak\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky by to mohlo m\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1nsko je ohro\u017eeno imperialistickou mocnost\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

V Rusku je spousta vtip\u016f o D\u00e1nsku a v\u00e1lce, proto\u017ee pro D\u00e1nsko trvala druh\u00e1 sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka jen n\u011bkolik hodin. Nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0zpr\u00e1va rusk\u00e9 televize\u00a0<\/span>na<\/span><\/a>\u00a0toto t\u00e9ma na konci prosince ironicky \u0159\u00edkala:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eD\u00e1nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r dokonce vytvo\u0159il t\u0159\u00eddenn\u00ed z\u00e1sobu vody a konzerv pro p\u0159\u00edpad rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku doma, jak doporu\u010dily d\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady. Naposledy za\u017eilo D\u00e1nsko \u00fatok, \u00fatok Wehrmachtu, trval \u0161est hodin, pot\u00e9 byla d\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da rozpu\u0161t\u011bna, posl\u00e1na dom\u016f a \u017eivot pokra\u010doval jako obvykle. Ztr\u00e1ty kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed ve druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, s v\u00fdjimkou t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed se p\u0159ipojili k Waffen SS, byly 16 zabit\u00fdch a 20 zran\u011bn\u00fdch. Tak\u017ee t\u0159i dny jsou na d\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pom\u011bry hodn\u011b.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

D\u00e1nsko nav\u00edc v posledn\u00edch letech ud\u011blalo v\u0161e pro to, aby se zal\u00edbilo USA a na Ukrajinu poslalo prakticky cel\u00fd zbrojn\u00ed arzen\u00e1l.\u00a0<\/span>Zpr\u00e1va<\/span><\/a>\u00a0rusk\u00e9 televize v ned\u011bli uvedla\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eD\u00e1nov\u00e9 vynalo\u017eili velk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed na NATO. Na svou arm\u00e1du vy\u010dlenili 2,37 procenta HDP nad alian\u010dn\u00ed c\u00edle a nakoupili letadla F-35 a dodali Ukrajin\u011b tanky a d\u011blost\u0159electvo. To se d\u011bje s formulac\u00ed, \u017ee to r\u00e1di ud\u011blaj\u00ed, proto\u017ee oni, D\u00e1nov\u00e9, jsou vystaveni p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 hrozb\u011b nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 imperialistick\u00e9 mocnosti.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

D\u00e1nsko se zjevn\u011b pod\u00edvalo \u0161patn\u00fdm sm\u011brem, proto\u017ee hrozba pro D\u00e1nsko nep\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed z v\u00fdchodu, ale od imperialistick\u00e9 velmoci na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. Dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>zpr\u00e1va<\/span><\/a>\u00a0rusk\u00e9 televize\u00a0v ned\u011bli ironicky \u0159ekla :<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePolitico pouk\u00e1zalo na zaj\u00edmav\u00fd aspekt probl\u00e9mu: v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b americk\u00e9 invaze by se D\u00e1nsko nem\u011blo \u010d\u00edm br\u00e1nit, proto\u017ee v\u0161e p\u0159edalo Ukrajin\u011b. Na druhou stranu si Koda\u0148 a Kyjev vym\u011bnily bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky. „Kyjev by m\u011bl poslat pomoc.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Ironie, kter\u00e1 ve zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch o t\u00e9to problematice v Rusku p\u0159evl\u00e1d\u00e1, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00e9dnout. A je to pochopiteln\u00e9, proto\u017ee vl\u00e1dy EU st\u00e1le nech\u00e1pou, \u017ee nejsou ohro\u017eeny z V\u00fdchodu, kde Rusko m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem pouze o to, aby se NATO nedostalo na Ukrajinu a v\u017edy cht\u011blo p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jedno: hospod\u00e1\u0159skou a kulturn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci mezi Ruskem a Evropa.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u017edy to byly USA, kter\u00e9 Evropu ohro\u017eovaly stanoven\u00edm pravidel a sankc\u00ed za neposlu\u0161nost (viz nap\u0159. v\u00fdstavba Nord Streamu 2), kter\u00e9 bojovaly proti evropsk\u00fdm firm\u00e1m (viz mnohamiliardov\u00e9 pokuty uvalen\u00e9 v USA na evropsk\u00e9 firmy ) a nyn\u00ed l\u00e1kaj\u00ed evropsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl do USA miliardov\u00fdmi dotacemi pot\u00e9, co ceny energi\u00ed v Evrop\u011b explodovaly d\u00edky rusk\u00fdm sankc\u00edm uvalen\u00fdm pod tlakem USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nyn\u00ed Trump dokonce bezosty\u0161n\u011b vyhro\u017euje evropsk\u00e9mu \u201espojenci\u201c v\u00e1lkou. To, \u017ee to lidem v Rusku p\u0159ipad\u00e1 docela vtipn\u00e9 (samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bez ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enosti situace), lze jen t\u011b\u017eko vinit Rusov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nesmysln\u00e9 NATO<\/span><\/h3>\n

NATO by v takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nepomohlo, proto\u017ee USA by st\u011b\u017e\u00ed souhlasily s vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm obrann\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edpadu NATO proti sob\u011b podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 Smlouvy o NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale NATO je Evropan\u016fm stejn\u011b k ni\u010demu, jak jsem \u0159ekl p\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem v \u010dl\u00e1nku nazvan\u00e9m \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u010cl\u00e1nek 5 Smlouvy o NATO \u2013 St\u00e1ly by USA skute\u010dn\u011b zem\u011b NATO proti Rusku?<\/span><\/a>\u00a0„uk\u00e1zali. D\u016fvodem je to, \u017ee \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 Smlouvy o NATO nikoho k ni\u010demu nezavazuje, ale pouze po\u017eaduje, aby ka\u017ed\u00e1 smluvn\u00ed strana (tedy ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t NATO) p\u0159ijala takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 \u201epova\u017euje za nezbytn\u00e1 k obnoven\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti severoatlantick\u00e9 oblasti\u201c. a z\u00edskat\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u016f\u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t NATO prohl\u00e1sit, \u017ee nepova\u017euje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed za nezbytn\u00e1. Smlouva NATO neobsahuje \u017e\u00e1dnou povinnost pomoci st\u00e1tu NATO, kter\u00fd je napaden.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA to cht\u011bly p\u0159i zakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed NATO, proto\u017ee se necht\u011bly nechat zat\u00e1hnout do v\u00e1lky \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem proti sv\u00e9 v\u016fli. A to dodnes necht\u011bj\u00ed. NATO bylo zkonstruov\u00e1no USA tak, \u017ee USA k ni\u010demu nezavazuje, ale de facto nut\u00ed Evropany poskytovat potravu pro d\u011bla ve v\u00e1lce v Evrop\u011b cht\u011bn\u00e9 USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017eete s n\u00ed ot\u00e1\u010det a ot\u00e1\u010det, jak chcete, ale D\u00e1nsko nem\u016f\u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1vat \u017e\u00e1dnou pomoc od NATO, pokud by USA cht\u011blo Gr\u00f3nsko dob\u00fdt silou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale d\u00edky bohu st\u00e1le existuje Smlouva o EU, kter\u00e1 tak\u00e9 obsahuje obrannou dolo\u017eku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Smlouva o EU<\/span><\/h3>\n

M\u00e1lokdo mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u00ed, \u017ee smlouva EU obsahuje tak\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 dolo\u017eky, v\u010detn\u011b vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 povinnosti poskytnout podporu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b napaden\u00ed zem\u011b EU.\u00a0<\/span>\u010cl\u00e1nek 42 odst. 7<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Smlouvy zn\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ozbrojen\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na \u00fazem\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu mu ostatn\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dlu\u017e\u00ed ve\u0161kerou pomoc a pomoc, kterou maj\u00ed, v souladu s \u010dl\u00e1nkem 51 Charty Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f. T\u00edm nen\u00ed dot\u010dena zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed povaha bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch a obrann\u00fdch politik n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Formulace ve smlouv\u011b o EU je mimochodem mnohem z\u00e1vazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve smlouv\u011b NATO, kde by ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t m\u011bl d\u011blat jen to, co \u201euva\u017euje za nutn\u00e9\u201c. Podle Smlouvy o EU \u201eostatn\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dlu\u017e\u00ed\u201c napaden\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu \u201eve\u0161kerou pomoc a podporu, kterou maj\u00ed v jejich moci\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poj\u010fme si nyn\u00ed p\u0159edstavit teoretick\u00fd (ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b krajn\u011b nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd) p\u0159\u00edpad, \u017ee by Trump ve skute\u010dnosti dal D\u00e1nsku ultim\u00e1tum k p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed Gr\u00f3nska USA a pohrozil v\u00e1lkou, pokud by odm\u00edtl.<\/span><\/p>\n

To by znamenalo, \u017ee st\u00e1ty EU by byly povinny poskytnout D\u00e1nsku ve\u0161kerou \u201epomoc a podporu, kter\u00e1 je v jejich sil\u00e1ch\u201c proti USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nic z toho samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9. To, co se ji\u017e objevuje, je re\u00e1ln\u00e9. D\u00e1nsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nyn\u00ed mluv\u00ed o tom, \u017ee chce podpo\u0159it USA v jejich ambic\u00edch v Arktid\u011b, aby uklidnila Trumpa. Je pochybn\u00e9, \u017ee mu to sta\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1nsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da u\u017e mluv\u00ed o tom, \u017ee se Gr\u00f3nan\u00e9 sami rozhodnou, zda cht\u011bj\u00ed b\u00fdt sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed D\u00e1nska, nebo b\u00fdt nez\u00e1visl\u00ed. D\u00e1nsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da tak de facto otev\u00edr\u00e1 dve\u0159e referendu a Gr\u00f3n\u0161t\u00ed mohou svobodn\u011b pokl\u00e1dat nejen ot\u00e1zku nez\u00e1vislosti na D\u00e1nsku, ale i ot\u00e1zku p\u0159ipojen\u00ed k USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro USA se svou medi\u00e1ln\u00ed silou by m\u011blo b\u00fdt snadn\u00e9 z\u00edskat 56 000 Gr\u00f3nan\u016f na svou stranu sliby a n\u011bkolika miliardami dolar\u016f v investic\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pak si v\u0161ichni evrop\u0161t\u00ed vazalov\u00e9 USA mohli oddechnout a prohl\u00e1sit, \u017ee p\u0159ipojit se k USA byla svobodn\u00e1 v\u016fle Gr\u00f3\u0148an\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takhle by to m\u011blo b\u00fdt, nebo n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bpokud to Trump mysl\u00ed opravdu v\u00e1\u017en\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 hry mysli jsou z\u00e1bavn\u00e9, i kdy\u017e jsou vysoce nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Trump nevylou\u010dil p\u0159evzet\u00ed Gr\u00f3nska vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. Podle smlouvy o EU by…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70125,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,3484,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70124"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70124\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}