{"id":69871,"date":"2025-01-10T00:31:47","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T23:31:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69871"},"modified":"2025-01-09T10:52:24","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T09:52:24","slug":"thomas-roper-hrozi-valka-mezi-tureckem-a-izraelem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/10\/thomas-roper-hrozi-valka-mezi-tureckem-a-izraelem\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Hroz\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi Tureckem a Izraelem?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Situace v S\u00fdrii z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 a nyn\u00ed tureck\u00e1 i izraelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia informuj\u00ed, \u017ee by se jejich st\u00e1ty m\u011bly p\u0159ipravit na v\u00e1lku<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pot\u00e9, co v S\u00fdrii p\u0159evzali moc islamist\u00e9 z HTS, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 situace napjat\u00e1. Izrael obsadil \u010d\u00e1st S\u00fdrie pobl\u00ed\u017e Golansk\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in a zd\u016fvod\u0148uje to vytvo\u0159en\u00edm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00f3ny. Tato okupace, kter\u00e1 poru\u0161uje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo, je kritizov\u00e1na nez\u00e1padn\u00edmi zem\u011bmi, ale Izrael o to jako obvykle nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na severov\u00fdchod\u011b S\u00fdrie maj\u00ed USA st\u00e1le rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 jednotky v kurdsk\u00fdch oblastech S\u00fdrie, co\u017e je rovn\u011b\u017e v rozporu s mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem. Turecko hroz\u00ed vojenskou akc\u00ed proti Kurd\u016fm, pokud se nepod\u0159\u00edd\u00ed tureck\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b HTS a nedaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 zbran\u011b. Nen\u00ed vylou\u010den ani vojensk\u00fd st\u0159et mezi tureck\u00fdmi a americk\u00fdmi voj\u00e1ky v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Turecko chce, aby se S\u00fdrie, jej\u00ed\u017e novou vl\u00e1du de facto kontroluje, dostala pod plnou kontrolu HTS. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed potenci\u00e1l pro konflikt jak s USA, tak s Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tureck\u00e1 m\u00e9dia varuj\u00ed, \u017ee Izrael by mohl obsadit Dama\u0161ek<\/span><\/h3>\n

Rusk\u00e1 tiskov\u00e1 agentura TASS 7. ledna\u00a0<\/span>informovala<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee provl\u00e1dn\u00ed tureck\u00fd list Yeni \u015eafak v anal\u00fdze situace v regionu varoval, \u017ee Izrael by mohl usilovat o okupaci Dama\u0161ku, aby zachoval status quo a tak\u00e9 pozice Kurd\u016f. sdru\u017een\u00ed v severn\u00ed S\u00fdrii zachov\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zm\u011bna moci v S\u00fdrii a aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast Turecka na pokusech o sestaven\u00ed nov\u00e9 syrsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a zachov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti zem\u011b podle den\u00edku zma\u0159ily pl\u00e1ny Izraele, jeho\u017e sf\u00e9ra z\u00e1jmu le\u017e\u00ed na v\u00fdchod od Eufratu, kde se ti v Turecku P\u016fsob\u00ed kurdsk\u00e9 skupiny klasifikovan\u00e9 jako teroristick\u00e9 organizace. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 snahy Turecka eliminovat hrozbu, kterou p\u0159edstavuje PKK a k n\u00ed p\u0159idru\u017een\u00e9 S\u00edly lidov\u00e9 sebeobrany (YPG), by byly v rozporu se z\u00e1jmy Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yeni \u015eafak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee \u201eIzrael by mohl obsadit Dama\u0161ek, aby dal PKK a YPG man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed prostor t\u00edm, \u017ee by od nich odvedl pozornost Turecka.\u201c To je zase sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed dlouhodob\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f n\u011bkter\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f \u201ev bl\u00edzkosti ji\u017en\u00edch hranic\u201c. Vytvo\u0159it teroristick\u00fd p\u00e1s od \u00cdr\u00e1nu po St\u0159edozemn\u00ed mo\u0159e,\u201c kde by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a \u0159ada evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed m\u011bly sv\u00e9 odrazov\u00e9 m\u016fstky. Kv\u016fli mocensk\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b v Dama\u0161ku a vyhl\u00eddce na pos\u00edlen\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed jednoty S\u00fdrie jsou nyn\u00ed tyto pl\u00e1ny v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ohro\u017eeny, zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee je Turecko dosud ni\u010dilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yeni \u015eafak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee pokud se nov\u00e9mu veden\u00ed v Dama\u0161ku poda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout skute\u010dn\u00e9 jednoty v S\u00fdrii, ve\u0161ker\u00e1 pozornost se obr\u00e1t\u00ed na palestinskou ot\u00e1zku a Jeruzal\u00e9m. Proto by Izrael mohl \u201epodniknout nep\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9 kroky v S\u00fdrii\u201c. \u00cdr\u00e1n by naopak podle listu mohl podpo\u0159it vznik chaosu v S\u00fdrii vzhledem k po\u0161kozen\u00ed jeho z\u00e1jm\u016f po zm\u011bn\u011b moci v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00fcrriyet zase s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zdroje napsal, \u017ee v regionu prob\u00edh\u00e1 velk\u00e1 hra o ropu a S\u00fdrii. To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d USA a n\u011bkter\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b v regionu pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed milici, kterou mohou ovl\u00e1dat. To by bylo v z\u00e1jmu Izraele i \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Noviny p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee nen\u00ed n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee p\u0159edchoz\u00ed pokusy Turecka vy\u0159e\u0161it kurdskou ot\u00e1zku nep\u0159inesly v\u00fdsledky, proto\u017ee je Kurdov\u00e9 sabotovali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ankara zdvojn\u00e1sobila sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed kurdsk\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu a dokonce zkoum\u00e1 zp\u016fsoby, jak toho dos\u00e1hnout s pomoc\u00ed v\u011bzn\u011bn\u00e9ho v\u016fdce PKK Abdullaha \u00d6calana. Organizaci by pr\u00fd mohl donutit slo\u017eit zbran\u011b. Yeni \u015eafak je k tomu ale skeptick\u00e1 a v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee kurdsk\u00e9 milice v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci neslo\u017e\u00ed zbran\u011b, ale pokus\u00ed se proces sjednocen\u00ed co nejv\u00edce zt\u00ed\u017eit a prodlou\u017eit.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Izraeli se oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed v\u00fdzvy k v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edprav\u00e1m proti Turecku<\/span><\/h3>\n

Izrael se mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na mo\u017en\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed s Tureckem,\u00a0<\/span>uvedl Jerusalem Post<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s odkazem na zpr\u00e1vu Nagelova v\u00fdboru. Nagel\u016fv v\u00fdbor je komise z\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 izraelskou vl\u00e1dou v roce 2024 za \u00fa\u010delem anal\u00fdzy obrann\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu a rozvoje bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch strategi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee touha Turecka obnovit vliv Osmansk\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e povede ke konfrontaci s Izraelem, kter\u00e1 by pak mohla p\u0159er\u016fst ve vojensk\u00fd konflikt:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Hrozba, kterou p\u0159edstavuje S\u00fdrie, by se mohla vyvinout v n\u011bco nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 hrozba.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va nazna\u010duje, \u017ee syrsk\u00e9 s\u00edly podporovan\u00e9 Tureckem by mohly destabilizovat region. Zpr\u00e1va byla p\u0159edlo\u017eena premi\u00e9rovi Netanjahuovi, ministru obrany Katzovi a ministru financ\u00ed Smotrichovi v pond\u011bl\u00ed 6. ledna. Netanjahu zpr\u00e1vu komentoval podle den\u00edku slovy:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJsme sv\u011bdky z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zm\u011bny na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n byl dlouho na\u0161\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbou, ale nyn\u00ed se objevuj\u00ed nov\u00e9 s\u00edly a my mus\u00edme b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveni na neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9. Tato zpr\u00e1va je pl\u00e1nem pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed budoucnosti Izraele.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee c\u00edlem izraelsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy je vytvo\u0159it Velk\u00fd Izrael, kter\u00fd zahrnuje palestinsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed v Gaze a na Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu a tak\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti S\u00fdrie. Netanjahu se pova\u017euje za bl\u00ed\u017ee k tomuto c\u00edli ne\u017e kdy jindy od doby, kdy zalo\u017een\u00ed St\u00e1tu Izrael a izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem brut\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Palestinc\u016fm, zejm\u00e9na v Gaze, ale tak\u00e9 na Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu, aby je bu\u010f vyhnala, nebo zabila. . Izraeli zat\u00edm nikdo nebr\u00e1n\u00ed v tom, aby zde vytv\u00e1\u0159el fakta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1jmy T\u00fcrkiye za Erdogana a Izraele za Netanjahua se v\u0161ak st\u0159et\u00e1vaj\u00ed, proto\u017ee oba cht\u011bj\u00ed hr\u00e1t v regionu dominantn\u00ed roli.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00datok na kurdskou oblast?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Erdogan se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed pomoc\u00ed mrkve a bi\u010de z\u00edskat Kurdy na svou stranu, na jednu stranu jim nab\u00edz\u00ed m\u00edr a nevylu\u010duje ani rozhovory s PKK, ale na druhou stranu hroz\u00ed \u00fatokem na kurdsk\u00e9 oblasti v S\u00fdrii. Koncem prosince\u00a0<\/span>bylo ozn\u00e1meno<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee nov\u00e1 syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 s Kurdy, proti nim\u017e od n\u00e1stupu k moci na za\u010d\u00e1tku prosince aktivn\u011b bojuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tureck\u00fd prezident Erdogan p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny vystoupil s projevem, ve kter\u00e9m hovo\u0159il o pl\u00e1nech vl\u00e1dy v dom\u00e1c\u00ed i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice. \u010c\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho projevu v\u011bnoval situaci v S\u00fdrii. Podle Erdogana za\u010dala nov\u00e1 \u00e9ra v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch S\u00fdrie. Habert\u00fcrk jej citoval\u00a0<\/span>takto<\/span><\/a>\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVid\u00edme, \u017ee nov\u00e1 syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se sna\u017e\u00ed obnovit S\u00fdrii na z\u00e1klad\u011b \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti a jednoty zem\u011b, a je odhodl\u00e1na tak u\u010dinit. To je tak\u00e9 v na\u0161em z\u00e1jmu.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Erdogan tak\u00e9 zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Turecko nedovol\u00ed rozpad S\u00fdrie:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Pokud uvid\u00edme nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee by mohla b\u00fdt zni\u010dena jednotn\u00e1 struktura v t\u00e9to zemi, rychle podnikneme nezbytn\u00e9 kroky.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Bylo to varov\u00e1n\u00ed jak pro USA, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed Kurdy, tak pro Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tureck\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Fidan z\u00e1rove\u0148\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee je \u201ejen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu\u201c, kdy budou ozbrojen\u00e9 kurdsk\u00e9 skupiny v S\u00fdrii rozdrceny, a \u017ee Ankara nebude souhlasit se situac\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by YPG umo\u017enila udr\u017eet si tam p\u0159\u00edtomnost po p\u00e1du. z Asada. Na adresu Z\u00e1padu, v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku USA, Fidan \u0159ekl: \u201ePokud m\u00e1te v regionu jin\u00e9 c\u00edle, pokud chcete prosazovat jinou politiku pomoc\u00ed IS jako z\u00e1minky k motivaci PKK\u201c, pak Turecko tuto linii nep\u0159ijme. regionu.\u00a0<\/span>D\u00e1le \u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Dali jsme jasn\u00e9 po\u017eadavky. Pokud nechcete mo\u017enost vojensk\u00e9 operace, zahrani\u010dn\u00ed terorist\u00e9 mus\u00ed opustit S\u00fdrii, v\u016fdci mus\u00ed opustit zemi a zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 organizace (PKK) mus\u00ed slo\u017eit zbran\u011b a spolupracovat s novou syrskou vl\u00e1dou. Dama\u0161ek s nimi vede dialog. \u0158ekl to jednou a \u0159ekne to podruh\u00e9. Ale pokud nebudou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky, vojensk\u00e1 operace bude legitimn\u00ed volbou.<\/em><\/p>\n

Turecko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u010dek\u00e1 se zah\u00e1jen\u00edm vojensk\u00e9 operace, dokud nebude v \u00fa\u0159adu Trump, kter\u00fd byl v\u017edy proti americk\u00e9mu anga\u017em\u00e1 v S\u00fdrii a b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho posledn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed cht\u011bl americk\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky st\u00e1hnout. Trump, kter\u00fd je bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00fdm zast\u00e1ncem Izraele, by v\u0161ak na n\u00e1tlak Netanjahua mohl tak\u00e9 zm\u011bnit n\u00e1zor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad a Rusko<\/span><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1pad mezit\u00edm tak\u00e9 chyt\u00e1 do pasti novou syrskou vl\u00e1du a za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 ru\u0161it prvn\u00ed sankce proti S\u00fdrii. Podm\u00ednka, zejm\u00e9na v EU, v\u0161ak ji\u017e byla stanovena, \u017ee nov\u00e1 syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da mus\u00ed na\u0159\u00eddit uzav\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v S\u00fdrii. Syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da k tomu ale zat\u00edm nic nepodnikla, ale\u00a0<\/span>na konci prosince prohl\u00e1sila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee si nep\u0159eje, aby Rusko opustilo S\u00fdrii na \u00fakor vztah\u016f mezi zem\u011bmi, proto\u017ee S\u00fdrie m\u00e1 s Ruskem strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen je z\u0159ejm\u011b i v Erdoganov\u011b z\u00e1jmu, proto\u017ee Putina, s n\u00edm\u017e pl\u00e1nuje mnoho spole\u010dn\u00fdch projekt\u016f, nechce na\u0161tvat v\u00edc, ne\u017e je nutn\u00e9. Erdogan by mohl Putinovi u\u010dinit zm\u011bnu moci v S\u00fdrii, kter\u00e1 pro Rusko p\u0159edstavuje strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku, p\u0159ijatelnou t\u00edm, \u017ee by se zasadil o zachov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen a usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed Ruska s novou syrskou vl\u00e1dou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko a Turecko spojuje tak\u00e9 touha udr\u017eet st\u00e1t S\u00fdrie ve sv\u00fdch hranic\u00edch. Rusk\u00fd velvyslanec p\u0159i OSN proto kritizoval chov\u00e1n\u00ed Izraele p\u0159i okupaci \u010d\u00e1sti S\u00fdrie. V Rad\u011b bezpe\u010dnosti OSN\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eR\u00e1di bychom zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b upozornili na bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed hrozbu pro \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost S\u00fdrie, kterou p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 akce Izraele, kter\u00fd na okupovan\u00fdch Golansk\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in\u00e1ch prov\u00e1d\u00ed politiku fait accompli a ji\u017e si p\u0159ivlastnil 500 \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch kilometr\u016f syrsk\u00e9 p\u016fdy. Kroky Izraele jsou do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00edm poru\u0161en\u00edm rozhodnut\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va, v\u010detn\u011b \u010detn\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti a Valn\u00e9ho shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed. Vyz\u00fdv\u00e1me na\u0161e kolegy v Rad\u011b bezpe\u010dnosti a z\u00e1stupce sekretari\u00e1tu OSN, aby poctiv\u011b zhodnotili, co se stalo.<\/em><\/p>\n

Lid\u00e9 v Turecku a S\u00fdrii to r\u00e1di usly\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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Situace v S\u00fdrii z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 a nyn\u00ed tureck\u00e1 i izraelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia informuj\u00ed, \u017ee by se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69872,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,147,55],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69871"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69871"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69871\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69871"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69871"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69871"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}