{"id":69538,"date":"2025-01-05T00:41:34","date_gmt":"2025-01-04T23:41:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69538"},"modified":"2025-01-04T16:29:38","modified_gmt":"2025-01-04T15:29:38","slug":"nemecko-celi-nejdelsi-recesi-vubec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/05\/nemecko-celi-nejdelsi-recesi-vubec\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bmecko \u010del\u00ed nejdel\u0161\u00ed recesi v\u016fbec"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomika EU se bude v roce 2025 zmen\u0161ovat pot\u0159et\u00ed za sebou, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje nejdel\u0161\u00ed pokles od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika je na cest\u011b k nejdel\u0161\u00ed pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 recesi, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e t\u0159et\u00ed rok v \u0159ad\u011b se podle v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9ho institutu Handelsblatt p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 v roce 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Institut p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 pokles o 0,1 % v roce 2025 po kontrakc\u00edch o 0,3 % v roce 2023 a 0,2 % v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tento ekonomick\u00fd propad p\u0159ekon\u00e1v\u00e1 dvoulet\u00fd pokles z po\u010d\u00e1tku 21. stolet\u00ed a odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed slo\u017een\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinky energetick\u00e9 krize, p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed inflace a pandemie Covid-19.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eN\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika se nach\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed sv\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krize v pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 historii,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u0159ekl hlavn\u00ed ekonom HRI Bert Rurup.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Demografick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, jako je st\u00e1rnut\u00ed populace, zvy\u0161uj\u00ed tlak. HRI odhaduje, \u017ee r\u016fstov\u00fd potenci\u00e1l N\u011bmecka kles\u00e1 na pouh\u00fdch 0,5 % ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>&#8222;Ekonomika je na za\u010d\u00e1tku siln\u00e9ho st\u00e1rnut\u00ed,&#8220;<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0poznamenal Rurup. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed data Spolkov\u00e9ho statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu, o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 15. ledna, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b potvrd\u00ed kontrakci v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zat\u00edmco HRI p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 m\u00edrn\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed v roce 2026, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee r\u016fst dos\u00e1hne pouh\u00fdch 0,9 %, co\u017e je hluboko pod \u00farovn\u00ed p\u0159ed kriz\u00ed. N\u011bmeck\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka rovn\u011b\u017e upravila sv\u016fj v\u00fdhled r\u016fstu pro rok 2025, kdy\u017e jej v prosinci revidovala dol\u016f z 1,1 % na 0,2 %.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159echod N\u011bmecka od cenov\u011b dostupn\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho plynu k dra\u017e\u0161\u00edmu zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9mu zemn\u00edmu plynu (LNG) z USA zv\u00fd\u0161il n\u00e1klady na energii, co\u017e v\u00e1\u017en\u011b postihlo v\u00fdrobce a mal\u00e9 podniky. Rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1klady vedly k odst\u00e1vk\u00e1m a bankrot\u016fm nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdmi odv\u011btv\u00edmi, v\u010detn\u011b velk\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f, jako je Volkswagen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159ed eskalac\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu v roce 2022 spol\u00e9halo N\u011bmecko na rusk\u00fd plyn pro v\u00edce ne\u017e polovinu sv\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb. Po sankc\u00edch EU v\u016f\u010di Moskv\u011b byly dod\u00e1vky plynu drasticky omezeny nebo zcela p\u0159eru\u0161eny. V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 byly explozemi zni\u010deny plynovody Nord Stream, kter\u00e9 dopravovaly rusk\u00fd plyn do N\u011bmecka. 1. ledna 2025 bylo Rusko nuceno ofici\u00e1ln\u011b pozastavit tranzit plynu do EU p\u0159es Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmeck\u00fd exportn\u00ed sektor, zejm\u00e9na vysoce hodnotn\u00e1 v\u00fdroba, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jednou z m\u00e1la siln\u00fdch str\u00e1nek v ekonomice. \u010cel\u00ed v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 v\u00fdzv\u00e1m vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edm z glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistoty a vysok\u00fdch cen energi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ztr\u00e1ta dostupn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 energie a rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1klady zt\u00ed\u017eily obnovu. B\u00fdval\u00e1 kancl\u00e9\u0159ka Angela Merkelov\u00e1 ned\u00e1vno kritizovala rozhodnut\u00ed opustit rusk\u00fd plyn. V prosincov\u00e9m rozhovoru pro France 2 TV ozna\u010dila minul\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed za\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201esituaci v\u00fdhodnou pro ob\u011b strany\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0a uvedla, \u017ee poskytla N\u011bmecku levnou energii, zat\u00edmco nyn\u00ed ceny\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eexplodovaly\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize se pro N\u011bmce stala nal\u00e9hav\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem. Pr\u016fzkum, kter\u00fd v prosinci provedla ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed televize ARD, uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem voli\u010d\u016f je ekonomika. P\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u0161eobecn\u00e9 volby napl\u00e1novan\u00e9 na 23. \u00fanora po p\u00e1du st\u0159edolev\u00e9 koalice kancl\u00e9\u0159e Olafa Scholze v listopadu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomika EU se bude v roce 2025 zmen\u0161ovat pot\u0159et\u00ed za sebou,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69538"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69538\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}