{"id":69477,"date":"2025-01-04T00:43:41","date_gmt":"2025-01-03T23:43:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69477"},"modified":"2025-01-03T15:27:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-03T14:27:39","slug":"sest-scenaru-pro-syrii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/04\/sest-scenaru-pro-syrii\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160est sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f pro S\u00fdrii"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Situace v S\u00fdrii p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 chaos v Libyi, ale p\u016fsob\u00ed zde mnohem v\u00edce akt\u00e9r\u016f (m\u00edstn\u00edch i vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch), a to do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 p\u0159edv\u00eddat, co bude d\u00e1l.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Bylo by naivn\u00ed se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd re\u017eim v S\u00fdrii z\u016fstane na sv\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b \u2013 tak jak je \u2013 i v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch \u010dasech.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00fdrie v sou\u010dasnosti za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejist\u00fd p\u0159echod a politicko-vojensk\u00e1 situace z\u016fstane kol\u00edsav\u00e1, dokud se nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed konflikty mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi ozbrojen\u00fdmi a civiln\u00edmi skupinami.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obdob\u00ed arabsk\u00fdch povst\u00e1n\u00ed uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee zhroucen\u00ed re\u017eimu nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b v\u00e9st k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed stabiln\u00ed nebo demokratick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. V Tunisku demokratick\u00fd p\u0159echod skon\u010dil, kdy\u017e se sou\u010dasn\u00fd prezident rozhodl vylou\u010dit islamisty z moci a vl\u00e1dnout jako despota.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Egypt\u011b pomohly re\u017eimy Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie nastolit vojenskou vl\u00e1du vedenou gener\u00e1lem Abdal Fatt\u00e1hem al-S\u00eds\u00edm s c\u00edlem ukon\u010dit zvolenou vl\u00e1du Muslimsk\u00e9ho bratrstva. Konflikty v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch nejsou jen d\u016fsledkem vnit\u0159n\u00edho v\u00fdvoje, ale \u010dasto odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikty, spiknut\u00ed a soupe\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Turecko a Katar podporuj\u00ed vl\u00e1du Muslimsk\u00e9ho bratrstva, zat\u00edmco Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty podporuj\u00ed jejich vypuzen\u00ed a vylou\u010den\u00ed z vl\u00e1dy. Tento bod bude z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro pochopen\u00ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed bl\u00edzko k t\u00e1bor\u016fm Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a Emir\u00e1t\u016f, ale jsou tak\u00e9 bl\u00edzko Kataru a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Muslimsk\u00e9 bratrstvo dob\u0159e spolupracuje se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a dokonce se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed radik\u00e1ln\u00ed linie proti Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n

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16. \u010dervna 2012: Rue du Caire b\u011bhem druh\u00e9ho kola prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb, vyhr\u00e1l<\/span><\/em>
\nkandid\u00e1t Muslimsk\u00e9ho bratrstva Mohamed Morsi. (Jonathan Rashad, Flickr, CC BY-NC-SA 2.0)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Egyptsk\u00fd prezident Muhammad Murs\u00ed se nepokusil zru\u0161it m\u00edrovou smlouvu s Izraelem a dokonce umo\u017enil pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed koordinaci mezi arm\u00e1dou a zpravodajsk\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami t\u00e9to zem\u011b.<\/div>\n

Krom\u011b toho po sch\u016fzce ve Washingtonsk\u00e9m institutu pro politiku Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu (WINEP) ve Washingtonu Rashid Ghanoushi, v\u016fdce tunisk\u00fdch islamist\u016f, vyhov\u011bl p\u0159\u00e1n\u00edm Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a zmrazil iniciativu tunisk\u00e9ho parlamentu kriminalizovat normalizaci s Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00e1 a vojensk\u00e1 situace S\u00fdrie je slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z n\u011bkolika d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty udr\u017euj\u00ed okupaci v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti syrsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Kdy\u017e Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty rozm\u00edst\u00ed voj\u00e1ky do zem\u011b, jej\u00ed\u017e aktivity jsou mimo kontrolu m\u00edstn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, je tato zem\u011b (nebo alespo\u0148 jej\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st) de facto pod americkou okupac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Ir\u00e1ku si Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty udr\u017euj\u00ed n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f, ale nad\u00e1le maj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fd vliv na vl\u00e1du a odm\u00edtaj\u00ed v\u00fdzvy parlamentu ke sta\u017een\u00ed t\u011bchto jednotek.<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech jsme se dozv\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla v S\u00fdrii je dvakr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e bylo ve\u0159ejn\u011b ozn\u00e1meno, a \u017ee p\u0159\u00edtomnost by\u0165 mal\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho kontingentu vy\u017eaduje v\u00fdznamnou vojenskou podp\u016frnou s\u00edlu v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejen\u017ee nebojuj\u00ed proti ISIS (a p\u0159itom neuv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u010dasov\u00fd pl\u00e1n ani pl\u00e1n pro sv\u016fj nekone\u010dn\u00fd boj proti ISIS), ale tak\u00e9 poskytuj\u00ed podporu milic\u00edm pod jejich kontrolou v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty hl\u00e1saj\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed monopol na pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, s v\u00fdjimkou p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f, kdy v n\u011bjak\u00e9 zemi p\u016fsob\u00ed americk\u00e9 n\u00e1hradn\u00ed milice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Role Turecka a Izraele<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n

Turecko m\u00e1 v S\u00fdrii silnou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost a stejn\u011b jako Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty m\u016f\u017ee snadno ovliv\u0148ovat d\u011bn\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b, co\u017e usnad\u0148uje \u010di zt\u011b\u017euje jak\u00e9koli vl\u00e1d\u011b, kter\u00e1 by v S\u00fdrii mohla spat\u0159it sv\u011btlo sv\u011bta. Tureck\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 a zpravodajsk\u00e1 intervence sehr\u00e1la kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli p\u0159i svr\u017een\u00ed Ba\u0161\u00e1ra al-Asada.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il svou okupaci syrsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed a po svr\u017een\u00ed re\u017eimu provedl uvnit\u0159 zem\u011b stovky bombov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f. Stejn\u011b jako ostatn\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i chce Izrael utv\u00e1\u0159et sm\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed a politiku budouc\u00ed vl\u00e1dy a sna\u017e\u00ed se zabr\u00e1nit vzniku radik\u00e1ln\u00edho \u010di demokratick\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt dosud nebyl rozhodn\u011b vy\u0159e\u0161en.<\/span><\/p>\n

Osa Turecko-Katar-Izrael-USA zat\u00edm dos\u00e1hla v S\u00fdrii velk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f (d\u00edky jejich podpo\u0159e nebo shov\u00edvavosti v\u016f\u010di b\u00fdval\u00fdm milic\u00edm Al-K\u00e1idy, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed zemi vl\u00e1dnou), ale Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n se st\u00e1le mohou pokusit o pomstu nebo k pos\u00edlen\u00ed jejich postaven\u00ed jako region\u00e1ln\u00edch mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko ztratilo v\u00fdznamnou strategickou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v zemi, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n ztratil p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 spojen\u00ed s Hizball\u00e1hem, kter\u00fd proch\u00e1zel p\u0159es S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00edce ne\u017e v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Tuniska a Egypta p\u016fsob\u00ed v S\u00fdrii mnoho milic\u00ed a v\u0161echny maj\u00ed n\u011bkolik extern\u00edch organiz\u00e1tor\u016f. Na sestavov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v S\u00fdrii se budou pod\u00edlet vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mocnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace v S\u00fdrii p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 chaos v Libyi, ale akt\u00e9r\u016f (m\u00edstn\u00edch i vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch), kte\u0159\u00ed tam p\u016fsob\u00ed, je mnohem v\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Tureck\u00fd prezident Recep Erdogan v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\u0160est sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n

A\u010dkoli nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak m\u00edstn\u00ed a region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikty ovlivn\u00ed vznik nov\u00e9, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b stabiln\u00ed vl\u00e1dy v S\u00fdrii, jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e:<\/span><\/p>\n

1.\u00a0<\/strong>Libyjsk\u00fd model<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

S\u00fdrie by mohla velmi dob\u0159e n\u00e1sledovat p\u0159\u00edklad Libye. Stejn\u011b jako v Libyi mohou region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikty mezi t\u011bmi, kdo podporuj\u00ed islamisty, a t\u011bmi, kdo je nen\u00e1vid\u00ed, pokra\u010dovat po mnoho let.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obamova administrativa velmi nad\u0161en\u011b slibovala novou demokracii v Libyi a konec tyransk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy po \u00fatoku NATO v roce 2011.<\/span><\/p>\n

V S\u00fdrii m\u00e1 n\u011bkolik islamistick\u00fdch milic\u00ed za sebou masakr, kter\u00fd nemus\u00ed skon\u010dit jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee Hay’at Tahrir Sham (HTS) p\u0159evzal kontrolu nad \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed vl\u00e1dou \u2013 alespo\u0148 form\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Milice nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy nejsou p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 po\u010detn\u00e9 a mohly by \u010delit vojensk\u00fdm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m na n\u011bkolika front\u00e1ch. Pokud bude S\u00fdrie n\u00e1sledovat libyjsk\u00fd vzor, \u200b\u200bzapoj\u00ed se Rusko, Turecko, Katar, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Izrael, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 velk\u00fd z\u00e1jem na zaveden\u00ed klientsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v Dama\u0161ku, by se tak\u00e9 z\u00fa\u010dastnil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Masivn\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed S\u00fdrie od Asadova p\u00e1du bylo zam\u011b\u0159eno na zni\u010den\u00ed syrsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 infrastruktury a zastra\u0161en\u00ed nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. HTS rychle dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee jej\u00ed agenda nen\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Izraeli nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 a \u017ee se j\u00ed net\u00fdk\u00e1 \u2013 ani slovn\u011b \u2013 osvobozen\u00ed syrsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed od izraelsk\u00e9 okupace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Riziko rozpadu a fragmentace je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b vysok\u00e9, proto\u017ee S\u00fdrie je mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b homogenn\u00ed (etnicky a n\u00e1bo\u017eensky) ne\u017e Libye. Z\u00e1sah nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy proti alavit\u016fm vyvolal v alavitsk\u00e9m regionu pobou\u0159en\u00ed a vol\u00e1n\u00ed po sebeobran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

2.\u00a0<\/strong>Vojensk\u00fd p\u0159evrat<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie by mohly uspo\u0159\u00e1dat vojensk\u00fd p\u0159evrat, aby dosadily vojensk\u00e9ho despotu klienta, jako je egyptsk\u00e1 Sissi.<\/span><\/p>\n

SAE hr\u00e1ly kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli v egyptsk\u00e9m p\u0159evratu v roce 2013 a jejich m\u00e9dia byla jedin\u00e1, kter\u00e1 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila znepokojen\u00ed nad nov\u00fdm re\u017eimem v Dama\u0161ku. Koneckonc\u016f, v\u016fdce SAE byl a\u017e do konce v \u00fazk\u00e9m kontaktu s Asadem a dr\u017eel ho d\u00e1l od \u00cdr\u00e1nu a \u201eOsy odporu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti Asad od za\u010d\u00e1tku sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed se Spojen\u00fdmi arabsk\u00fdmi emir\u00e1ty omezoval cestov\u00e1n\u00ed a \u010dinnost \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f a d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f Hizball\u00e1hu. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pu\u010de by up\u0159ednost\u0148oval ustaven\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed aliance republik\u00e1nsk\u00fdch despotick\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f spojen\u00fdch se Sa\u00fady a Emir\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty byly zat\u00edm \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 v\u016fle v Som\u00e1lsku, Jemenu (jih), Libyi, S\u00fad\u00e1nu (s FAR) a Egypt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaveden\u00fd vojensk\u00fd re\u017eim by mohl b\u00fdt snadno za\u010dlen\u011bn do Abrahamov\u00fdch dohod, jakmile se Sa\u00fadov\u00e9 dohodnou s Izraelem na m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouv\u011b. Probl\u00e9m tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e je, \u017ee SAE jsou hlavn\u00edm protivn\u00edkem Muslimsk\u00e9ho bratrstva v regionu, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 v S\u00fdrii velk\u00fd vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

To by znamenalo uvalen\u00ed na n\u011b hrubou silou, jako v Egypt\u011b, z\u00e1kladn\u011b Muslimsk\u00e9ho bratrstva p\u0159ed a po p\u00e1du Husn\u00edho Mubaraka.<\/span><\/p>\n

3.\u00a0<\/strong>Demokracie<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n
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Hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed v syrsk\u00fdch prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v roce 2021 (Habib Kamran\/Wikimedia Commons)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da by mohla splnit o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed mnoha Sy\u0159an\u016f a zah\u00e1jit p\u0159echodn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, b\u011bhem kter\u00e9ho by se konaly svobodn\u00e9 volby a sepisovala by se nov\u00e1 \u00fastava. To by vedlo k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed demokratick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, co\u017e S\u00fdrie neza\u017eila od 50. let, kdy demokratick\u00fd syst\u00e9m trp\u011bl mnoha nedostatky a byl vystaven vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1sah\u016fm a manipulaci.<\/div>\n

Tento demokratick\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by znepokojoval Izrael i Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 si jsou dokonale v\u011bdomy toho, \u017ee lid\u00e9 \u2013 ponech\u00e1ni sv\u00e9mu osudu \u2013 by nemuseli nutn\u011b slou\u017eit z\u00e1padn\u00edm a izraelsk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm. Despotick\u00fd re\u017eim je v\u017edy v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Z\u00e1pad a Izrael. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dosud nezru\u0161ily sv\u00e9 nelidsk\u00e9 sankce proti syrsk\u00e9mu lidu (a\u010dkoli zru\u0161ily odm\u011bnu 10 milion\u016f dolar\u016f na hlavu v\u016fdce HTS, proto\u017ee je Washington m\u016f\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edt k vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed jak\u00e9koli budouc\u00ed syrsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n

4.\u00a0<\/strong>Dikt\u00e1torsk\u00fd re\u017eim HTS<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

HTS by monopolizovala politickou moc a vl\u00e1dla by sama, ignorovala by po\u017eadavky na \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed zastoupen\u00ed. Takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by znepokojil n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 men\u0161iny a \u017eeny vzhledem k ideologick\u00e9mu p\u016fvodu nov\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael by mohly tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat, pokud by to byla alternativa k uprchl\u00e9 demokracii pobl\u00ed\u017e Palestiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

5.\u00a0<\/strong>Rozbit\u00e1 S\u00fdrie<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

S\u00fdrie by mohla ztratit svou \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost a st\u00e1t se mozaikou polonez\u00e1visl\u00fdch sekt\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch enkl\u00e1v, kde Dr\u00fazov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dnou vlastn\u00ed provincii, Alawit\u00e9 a Kurdov\u00e9 tot\u00e9\u017e a tak d\u00e1le. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by byl p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 znepokojiv\u00fd pro Turecko, kter\u00e9 je p\u0159ipraveno pou\u017e\u00edt vojenskou s\u00edlu k rozdrcen\u00ed nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho kurdsk\u00e9ho ostrova v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad a Izrael by takov\u00fd v\u00fdsledek uv\u00edtali. Ostatn\u011b Joe Biden a Antony Blinken obhajovali rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ir\u00e1ku na t\u0159i enkl\u00e1vy po americk\u00e9 invazi v roce 2003. Pokud se tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 napln\u00ed, severn\u00ed Libanon (Tripolis a Akkar) by mohl po\u017e\u00e1dat o p\u0159ipojen\u00ed k sunnitsk\u00e9 enkl\u00e1v\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

6.\u00a0<\/strong>Catering<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

Nejnepravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em je obnoven\u00ed star\u00e9ho re\u017eimu s pomoc\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Hizball\u00e1hu. \u010clenov\u00e9 \u201eOsy odporu\u201c jsou na\u0161tvan\u00ed na Asada, \u017ee se tak rychle vzdal moci. Jsou tak\u00e9 pobou\u0159eni odhalen\u00edmi o jej\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e9 koordinaci se Spojen\u00fdmi arabsk\u00fdmi emir\u00e1ty, aby se S\u00fdrie odklonila od \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n a Hizball\u00e1h jsou oslabeny a nebudou riskovat svou s\u00edlu na obranu padl\u00e9ho re\u017eimu, pokud Asad prok\u00e1\u017ee svou ochotu vr\u00e1tit se. Jejich z\u00e1sah v S\u00fdrii v jej\u00edm jm\u00e9nu by vedl Izrael k tomu, aby se na n\u011b zam\u011b\u0159il.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edv\u00eddat politickou budoucnost S\u00fdrie je velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9. Vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed zem\u011b nebylo nikdy snadn\u00e9 a zku\u0161enost s \u017eivotem pod Asadovou vl\u00e1dou po desetilet\u00ed hluboce zas\u00e1hla mysl mnoha Sy\u0159an\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale ideologie, kterou nesou nov\u00ed syr\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci, je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vzd\u00e1len\u00e1 pluralitn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti s historick\u00fdmi sekul\u00e1rn\u00edmi tendencemi. V zemi je mnoho uchaze\u010d\u016f o moc a n\u011bkolik vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch mocnost\u00ed po\u017eaduje pod\u00edl na S\u00fdrii (obrazn\u011b nebo doslova).<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 se stane cokoli, dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze bude v\u0161echno, jen ne poklidn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0As’ada AbuKhalila<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Situace v S\u00fdrii p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 chaos v Libyi, ale p\u016fsob\u00ed zde mnohem v\u00edce akt\u00e9r\u016f (m\u00edstn\u00edch i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69478,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1794,147,2009],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69477"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69477"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69477\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69479,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69477\/revisions\/69479"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69478"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69477"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69477"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69477"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}