{"id":69411,"date":"2025-01-03T00:42:01","date_gmt":"2025-01-02T23:42:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69411"},"modified":"2025-01-02T16:24:58","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T15:24:58","slug":"jan-sedlacek-co-prinesl-alternative-rok-2024-a-co-si-z-toho-vzit-do-roku-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/03\/jan-sedlacek-co-prinesl-alternative-rok-2024-a-co-si-z-toho-vzit-do-roku-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Jan Sedl\u00e1\u010dek: Co p\u0159inesl alternativ\u011b rok 2024? A co si z toho vz\u00edt do roku 2025?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Aneb novoro\u010dn\u00ed zamy\u0161len\u00ed nad na\u0161\u00ed politickou sc\u00e9nou, zejm\u00e9na nad tou \u201evlasteneckou\u201c alternativou a nad t\u00edm, kdo tu alternativu v\u016fbec tvo\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Na za\u010d\u00e1tek je nutno podotknout, \u017ee v jednom ohledu byl tento rok \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd. Dok\u00e1zali jsme toti\u017e dostat do ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho prostoru mnoh\u00e1 na\u0161e t\u00e9mata a pos\u00edlit odpor ve\u0159ejnosti v\u016f\u010di Fialov\u011b vl\u00e1d\u011b i v\u016f\u010di \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 politice EU.\u00a0V informa\u010dn\u00edm prostoru jsme jasn\u011b v\u00edt\u011bzili nad fialov\u00fdmi svaz\u00e1ky a eurohujery<\/strong>, jejich\u017e podpora st\u00e1le klesala (a o to se jejich r\u00e9torika st\u00e1vala agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u2013 viz Folt\u00fdn a spol.).<\/p>\n

To v\u0161e se projevilo i na v\u00fdsledc\u00edch voleb.\u00a0Eurovolby<\/a>\u00a0i krajsk\u00e9 volby znamenaly\u00a0propad vl\u00e1dn\u00edch a eurohujersk\u00fdch stran<\/strong>\u00a0(zejm\u00e9na Pir\u00e1t\u016f). I v sen\u00e1tn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany zvl\u00e1daly levou zadn\u00ed, bylo zn\u00e1t, \u017ee jim doch\u00e1z\u00ed dech (zejm\u00e9na Pir\u00e1t\u016fm a ODS). To nakonec vedlo i k\u00a0vykopnut\u00ed Pir\u00e1t\u016f z vl\u00e1dy<\/a>\u00a0a ke smrsknut\u00ed fialov\u00e9 p\u011btikolky na \u010dty\u0159kolku.<\/p>\n

Zde ov\u0161em radostn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy kon\u010d\u00ed. Velkou \u010d\u00e1st hlas\u016f toti\u017e z\u00edskaly strany, kter\u00e9 mluvily hezky, nicm\u00e9n\u011b jejich \u010diny tomu neodpov\u00eddaj\u00ed a je zjevn\u00e9, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o tzv. hromosvody.<\/p>\n

Mal\u00e1 vsuvka:\u00a0Metoda hromosvodu<\/strong>\u00a0je jednou z nejpou\u017e\u00edvan\u011bj\u0161\u00edch praktik syst\u00e9mu proti alternativ\u011b. Pokud je ve spole\u010dnosti hodn\u011b nespokojen\u00fdch lid\u00ed a nelze je p\u0159im\u011bt, aby volili vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany, tak syst\u00e9m vytvo\u0159\u00ed (\u010di vyu\u017eije existuj\u00edc\u00ed) fale\u0161nou \u201eopozici\u201c a c\u00edlen\u011b ji vyzdvihne (zejm\u00e9na j\u00ed v\u011bnuje medi\u00e1ln\u00ed prostor), aby na sebe st\u00e1hla hlasy nespokojen\u00fdch lid\u00ed, m\u00edsto aby tito lid\u00e9 volili skute\u010dnou alternativu. Podobn\u011b jako hromosvod sv\u00e1d\u00ed blesky, aby neude\u0159ily p\u0159\u00edmo do budovy. Martin Koller tyto fale\u0161n\u00e9 \u201eopozice\u201c naz\u00fdv\u00e1 pon\u011bkud m\u00e9n\u011b kulantn\u00edm pojmem \u201ekan\u00e1ln\u00ed strany\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

Touto metodou hromosvodu bylo v roce 2013 um\u011ble vta\u017eeno do politiky hnut\u00ed ANO, v roce 2017 stejn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem vyzvedli SPD a letos takto prorazila hned dv\u011b nov\u00e1 uskupen\u00ed: Sta\u010dilo a Motorist\u00e9 \u2013 co\u017e jsou dal\u0161\u00ed, \u0159e\u010deno slovy Jaroslava Ha\u0161ka,\u00a0\u201estrany m\u00edrn\u00e9ho pokroku v mez\u00edch z\u00e1kona\u201c<\/em>\u00a0(a unijn\u00edch direktiv).<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoliv Kate\u0159ina Kone\u010dn\u00e1 cel\u00e9 roky plula v hlavn\u00edm proudu a\u00a0hlasovala pro \u0161\u00edenosti z EU<\/a>, marketingov\u00fdm m\u00e1g\u016fm se poda\u0159ilo z n\u00ed ud\u011blat \u201evlastenku\u201c a \u201eeuroskepti\u010dku\u201c. T\u00edm, \u017ee j\u00ed c\u00edlen\u011b d\u00e1vali medi\u00e1ln\u00ed prostor (vzpome\u0148te, jak p\u0159ed eurovolbami byla vid\u011bt v televizi snad ka\u017ed\u00fd den), na ni st\u00e1hli hlasy nespokojen\u00fdch lid\u00ed t\u00edhnouc\u00edch k levici.<\/p>\n

Tot\u00e9\u017e v bled\u011b modr\u00e9m (a hranat\u00e9m) nastalo u Motorist\u016f, kde m\u00e9dia \u201evyt\u00e1hla za u\u0161i\u201c Filipa Turka, d\u00e1vala mu zna\u010dn\u00fd prostor a dokonce mu p\u0159edhodila Danu\u0161i Dozimetrovnu Nerudovou jako\u00a0sparing-patrnera<\/a>.<\/p>\n

V Koncepci soci\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti je pops\u00e1no, \u017ee nejspolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem,\u00a0jak lidi odv\u00e9st od PRAVDY<\/strong>, je toto:\u00a0Nestav\u011bt lidi mezi PRAVDU a LE\u017d, n\u00fdbr\u017e mezi LE\u017d \u010d. 1 a LE\u017d \u010d. 2.<\/strong>\u00a0A p\u0159esn\u011b to se te\u010f d\u011bje.<\/p>\n

Neust\u00e1le sl\u00fdch\u00e1me, \u017ee m\u00e1me volit jen mezi t\u011bmi stranami, kter\u00e9 vid\u00edme v televizi a v pr\u016fzkumech. Ti, kdo to \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, n\u00e1m vlastn\u011b\u00a0vnucuj\u00ed, \u017ee se m\u00e1me vzd\u00e1t vlastn\u00ed volby<\/strong>\u00a0a rozhodovat se jen mezi n\u011bkolika vybran\u00fdmi stranami, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1m p\u0159edhod\u00ed vep\u0159opr\u00e1vn\u00ed \u010cT a dal\u0161\u00ed hlavnoproud\u00e1 m\u00e9dia. Jin\u00fdmi slovy \u2013 na\u0161e volba se m\u00e1 smrsknout na tyto mo\u017enosti:<\/p>\n

\u2013 Volit strany, kter\u00e9 zde budou rychle zav\u00e1d\u011bt Green Deal, migra\u010dn\u00ed pakty, LGBT a trans-\u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed (SPOLU, STAN, Pir\u00e1ti)<\/em>
\n\u2013 Nebo volit strany, kter\u00e9 zde budou zav\u00e1d\u011bt to sam\u00e9, jen lehce pomaleji a o n\u011bco l\u00e9pe to okecaj\u00ed (ANO, Sta\u010dilo, Motorist\u00e9 a v\u011bt\u0161ina SPD).<\/em><\/p>\n

Na toto fale\u0161n\u00e9 dilema nesm\u00edme sko\u010dit.<\/strong>\u00a0Je pot\u0159eba volit takov\u00e9 uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 bude jednozna\u010dn\u011b prosazovat zm\u011bnu syst\u00e9mu, \u00faplnou nez\u00e1vislost \u010cR a zejm\u00e9na\u00a0vystoupen\u00ed z EU, NATO a WHO<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e jsou z\u00e1kladn\u00ed kroky, bez nich\u017e zm\u011bna k lep\u0161\u00edmu nenastane. M\u016f\u017eeme se tu neust\u00e1le dohadovat, jak je Green Deal \u0161patn\u00fd \u2013 ale dokud budeme pod\u0159\u00edzeni EU, tak tu GD bude uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n. M\u016f\u017eeme tu mluvit o tom, jak jsme proti v\u00e1lce \u2013 ale dokud budeme pod\u0159\u00edzeni NATO, tak n\u00e1s Z\u00e1pad bude do v\u00e1lky zatahovat. M\u016f\u017eeme tu kritizovat kovidov\u00e9 \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed \u2013 ale dokud budeme pod\u0159\u00edzeni WHO, tak se ty \u201epandemick\u00e9 hry\u201c mohou kdykoliv zopakovat.<\/p>\n

Na podzim n\u00e1s \u010dekaj\u00ed\u00a0sn\u011bmovn\u00ed volby<\/strong>\u00a0(tedy pokud je \u201e\u00dastavn\u00ed soud\u201c\u00a0nezak\u00e1\u017ee jako v r. 2009<\/a>). Ji\u017e te\u010f lze vid\u011bt z\u00e1kladn\u00ed kontury politick\u00e9 situace, v n\u00ed\u017e volby prob\u011bhnou:<\/p>\n

ANO je ve veden\u00ed, ale jednobarevnou vl\u00e1du z\u0159ejm\u011b neslo\u017e\u00ed. SPD pad\u00e1 voln\u00fdm p\u00e1dem (podle m\u011b se do sn\u011bmovny u\u017e nedostane), ale opozi\u010dn\u00ed hlasy vychyt\u00e1vaj\u00ed dva hromosvody: zleva Sta\u010dilo a zprava Motorist\u00e9. Pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 lo\u010f m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm kurzem mimo sn\u011bmovnu, ale jejich hlasy luxuje STAN (co\u017e je takov\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed verze Pir\u00e1t\u016f s o n\u011bco lep\u0161\u00edm marketingem). SPOLU si naplno \u201evy\u017eere\u201c to v\u0161e, co Fialova vl\u00e1da dosud prov\u00e1d\u011bla. Podle m\u011b Fialu \u201eodst\u0159el\u00ed\u201c je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed volbami, ale i tak SPOLU propadne. Jejich hlasy z\u010d\u00e1sti posb\u00edr\u00e1 STAN a z\u010d\u00e1sti n\u011bjak\u00e1 nov\u00e1 strana \u201ekav\u00e1rny\u201c, kter\u00e1 bude \u00fa\u010delov\u011b vytvo\u0159ena jako \u201esv\u011b\u017e\u00ed v\u00edtr\u201c a nov\u00e1 v\u011bji\u010dka na \u201ekav\u00e1rensk\u00e9\u201c voli\u010de (u\u017e te\u010f k tomu zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed Kalouska).<\/p>\n

Klidn\u011b se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t, \u017ee p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed vl\u00e1du slo\u017e\u00ed STAN, Kalousek a Motorist\u00e9. Pokud v\u00e1m to p\u0159ijde nemo\u017en\u00e9, uv\u011bdomte si, \u017ee z podobn\u00e9ho materi\u00e1lu vznikla Ne\u010dasova vl\u00e1da, kam se p\u0159ipojily i alternativn\u011b se tv\u00e1\u0159\u00edc\u00ed V\u011bci ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 (nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee pokud bude\u00a0koresponden\u010dn\u00ed \u201evolba\u201c<\/a>, tak lep\u0161evick\u00fdm stran\u00e1m budou \u201ep\u0159ifouknuty\u201c hlasy). Dal\u0161\u00ed variantou je vl\u00e1da ANO a STAN (co\u017e se te\u010f stalo v Plze\u0148sk\u00e9m kraji) nebo ANO, Motorist\u00e9 a ODS, pokud by se modr\u00fd pt\u00e1k p\u0159ece jen doplazil do sn\u011bmovny. Relativn\u011b nejmen\u0161\u00edm zlem by byla vl\u00e1da ANO a Sta\u010dilo, nicm\u00e9n\u011b i to by vedlo jen k m\u00edrn\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed progresivn\u00ed agendy a nikoliv k jej\u00edmu konci.<\/p>\n

Na\u0161\u00edm \u00fakolem bude vytvo\u0159it siln\u00e9 uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se nespokoj\u00ed s d\u00edl\u010d\u00edmi kroky, ale naopak p\u016fjde do voleb s jasn\u00fdm c\u00edlem: Vystoupen\u00ed z EU, NATO a WHO.<\/strong>\u00a0V praxi to znamen\u00e1 spojit men\u0161\u00ed strany, uskupen\u00ed a osobnosti s t\u00edmto programem a naj\u00edt cesty, jak oslovit lidi. Situace je te\u010f o to slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 men\u0161\u00ed strany, kter\u00e9 toto prosazovaly (nap\u0159. Aliance n\u00e1rodn\u00edch sil) ukon\u010duj\u00ed svoji \u010dinnost. O to v\u00edce se my ostatn\u00ed mus\u00edme sna\u017eit, abychom ukon\u010dili sou\u010dasn\u00fd syst\u00e9m a nasm\u011brovali kormidlo \u010cR sm\u011brem k nez\u00e1vislosti.<\/p>\n

Nakro\u010deno m\u00e1me dob\u0159e. Jak uk\u00e1zaly lo\u0148sk\u00e9 volby,\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed ji\u017e odm\u00edt\u00e1 fialov\u00e9 a eurounijn\u00ed \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed. Te\u010f jde jen o to, abychom to dot\u00e1hli do konce a nenech\u00e1vali se sv\u00e9st na fale\u0161n\u00e9 cesty<\/strong>. Abychom nev\u00edt\u011bzili jen v bezstrukturn\u00edm \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, ale i v tom strukturn\u00edm. A abychom mohli p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed Nov\u00fd rok (nebo alespo\u0148 p\u0159esp\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed) slavit v nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 \u010cesk\u00e9 republice.<\/p>\n

RNDr. Jan Sedl\u00e1\u010dek<\/em><\/a>,\u00a0m\u00edstop\u0159edseda ND<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Aneb novoro\u010dn\u00ed zamy\u0161len\u00ed nad na\u0161\u00ed politickou sc\u00e9nou, zejm\u00e9na nad tou \u201evlasteneckou\u201c alternativou a nad t\u00edm,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,85,4170],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69411"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69411"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69411\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69413,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69411\/revisions\/69413"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}