{"id":69373,"date":"2025-01-02T06:12:30","date_gmt":"2025-01-02T05:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69373"},"modified":"2025-01-02T06:12:30","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T05:12:30","slug":"michael-svatos-snizte-spotrebu-plynu-prekvapila-1-ledna-nemecka-vlada-sve-obcany","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/01\/02\/michael-svatos-snizte-spotrebu-plynu-prekvapila-1-ledna-nemecka-vlada-sve-obcany\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Sni\u017ete spot\u0159ebu plynu, p\u0159ekvapila 1. ledna n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sni\u017ete spot\u0159ebu plynu, p\u0159ekvapila 1. ledna n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany! Nebude? Tvrd\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza americk\u00fdch profesor\u016f ukazuje, pro\u010d se \u010ce\u0161i mus\u00ed letos zbavit Fialy, i v\u0161ech jeho politick\u00fdch souputn\u00edk\u016f a n\u00e1sledovnic.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Prezident Petr Pavel<\/a>\u00a0i\u00a0premi\u00e9r Petr Fiala<\/a>\u00a0ve sv\u00fdch novoro\u010dn\u00edch projevech hlavn\u011b brojili proti \u0161i\u0159itel\u016fm \u201cblb\u00fdch n\u00e1lad\u201d, a varovali \u010desk\u00e9 voli\u010de, aby se jimi nenechali zm\u00e1st.\u00a0 \u201cBlb\u00e9 n\u00e1lady\u201d se v\u0161ak letos, navzdory jejich spole\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m, budou \u0161\u00ed\u0159it je\u0161t\u011b rychleji. D\u016fvod je prost\u00fd, \u0160i\u0159itel\u00e9 \u201cBlb\u00e9 n\u00e1lady\u201d jenom \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed, kde\u017eto Fiala i Pavel je svoj\u00ed deforma\u010dn\u00ed politikou vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Oba jsou tedy str\u016fjci \u201cBlb\u00fdch n\u00e1lad\u201d ve spole\u010dnosti, a je tak ve skute\u010dnosti\u00a0 nanejv\u00fd\u0161 komick\u00e9, \u017ee oba broj\u00ed proti \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed n\u011b\u010deho, co vlastn\u011b sami svoj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed chybnou politikou zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Srovn\u00e1me-li v\u00e1no\u010dn\u00ed projev \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1le Filipa s projevy na\u0161ich obou fialov\u00fdch pseudopolitik\u016f, \u017easneme. Zat\u00edm, co oba \u010de\u0161t\u00ed Pet\u0159i broj\u00ed hlavn\u011b proti \u0161i\u0159itel\u016fm blb\u00fdch n\u00e1lad, Filip \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: \u00a0Nelze se vyh\u00fdbat r\u016fznorodosti n\u00e1zor\u016f, kter\u00e1 je v demokracii legitimn\u00ed a nevyhnuteln\u00e1\u201d, (No para evitar la diversidad de opiniones, legitima y necesaria en democracia<\/a>), \u201cNem\u016f\u017eeme dovolit, aby n\u00e1m politick\u00fd konflikt, n\u011bkdy doslova h\u0159m\u00edc\u00ed, zabr\u00e1nil vysly\u0161et je\u0161t\u011b hlasit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po\u017eadavek klidu\u201d, (No podemos permitir que la contienda pol\u00edtica, en ocasiones atronadora, impida escuchar la demanda, a\u00fan m\u00e1s clamorosa, de serenidad<\/a>). P\u0159i\u010dem\u017e zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed Filip\u016fv v\u00fdraz pou\u017eit\u00fd v projevu, po\u017eadavek: \u201cklidu\/serenidad\u201d, \u0161pan\u011bl\u0161t\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i, vzhledem k celkov\u00e9mu obsahu projevu, v n\u011bm\u017e Filipe brojil za v\u00fdstavbu dostupn\u00fdch byt\u016f, z\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00ed lep\u0161\u00edch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst, a k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed prosperity chud\u0161\u00edm \u0160pan\u011bl\u016fm v t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch \u010dasech, vykl\u00e1daj\u00ed za jasn\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed kr\u00e1le politik\u016fm,\u00a0aby se p\u0159estali mezi sebou sprost\u011b ur\u00e1\u017eet slumovou r\u00e9torikou, a za\u010dali se v\u00edce zab\u00fdvat t\u00edm, co ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed \u0160pan\u011blsko nos\u00ed na sv\u00fdch bedrech, a kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed probl\u00e9m vyj\u00edt se sv\u00fdmi pen\u011bzi, ve skute\u010dnosti tr\u00e1p\u00ed<\/a>. Kr\u00e1l na rozd\u00edl od obou \u010desk\u00fdch Petr\u016f, shoduj\u00ed se \u0161pan\u011bl\u0161t\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i, na rozd\u00edl od \u010desk\u00fdch, pronesl velmi st\u00e1tnick\u00fd projev.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d ve \u0160pan\u011blsku kr\u00e1l nemus\u00ed h\u0159\u00edmat proti \u0161i\u0159itel\u016fm \u201cBlb\u00fdch n\u00e1lad\u201d, kde\u017eto v \u010cesku se oba fialov\u00ed Pet\u0159i na nic jin\u00e9ho nezm\u016f\u017eou, vysv\u011btlili ned\u00e1vno dva ameri\u010dt\u00ed profeso\u0159i. Profesor Huntigton (Stanford), a profesor Lidlle (Bethesda), provedli slo\u017eitou historickou anal\u00fdzu vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho vztahu r\u016fstu cen energi\u00ed a pokles\u016f r\u016fstu HDP,\u00a0a dok\u00e1zali, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed se projevuje poklesem r\u016fstu HDP o 0.15%<\/a>.\u00a0Ve \u0160pan\u011blsku jsou nyn\u00ed ceny elekt\u0159iny oproti \u010cR polovi\u010dn\u00ed, a \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e1 ekonomika roste z\u00e1vratn\u00fdm tempem 3.4%<\/a>. \u010cesk\u00e1 ekonomika v souladu se z\u00e1v\u011bry obou profesor\u016f roste jen o 1%. \u010cist\u00fd projev dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00fdch \u010desk\u00fdch cen energi\u00ed na zpomalen\u00ed r\u016fstu \u010desk\u00e9ho HDP, (prosperity i plat\u016f), \u010din\u00ed 0.75% ro\u010dn\u011b. To p\u0159edstavuje ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00ed kumulovanou ztr\u00e1tu 60 miliard, respektive 60 miliard za 1. rok, 120 miliard za 2. rok, atd. Proto\u017ee p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1\/3 \u010desk\u00e9ho HDP nakonec projde st\u00e1tn\u00edm a ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi rozpo\u010dty, Fiala, jen cenami energi\u00ed od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed sv\u00e9 dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00e9 zdra\u017eovac\u00ed energetick\u00e9 kampan\u011b, oproti \u0160pan\u011blsku, p\u0159ipravil za 3 roky sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy \u010desk\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty o 60 miliard CZK! (P.S. T\u011bchto 60 \u201cnevytvo\u0159en\u00fdch\u201d miliard ov\u0161em nezahrnuje dal\u0161\u00ed stovky miliard, kter\u00e9 byly za zdra\u017een\u00e9 energie utraceny.)<\/p>\n

Pokud porovn\u00e1te dlouhodob\u00fd r\u016fst \u010desk\u00e9ho HDP s obdobn\u00fdm dlouhodob\u00fdm r\u016fstem polsk\u00e9ho HDP rychle zjist\u00edte, \u017ee od doby, kdy \u010cR akceptovala lipsk\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny, a Polsko nikoli, a m\u011blo tak levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energie, polsk\u00e9 HPD roste o jedno dv\u011b procenta rychleji ne\u017e \u010desk\u00e9 HDP. V horizontu posledn\u00edch 8 let,\u00a0proto\u017ee n\u011bkdy byla polsk\u00e1 elekt\u0159ina i 3 kr\u00e1t levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u010cesk\u00e1<\/a>, jde o \u00factyhodn\u00fdch 5 a\u017e 10% sou\u010dtov\u00e9ho r\u016fstu \u010desk\u00e9ho HDP, kter\u00fd nenastal, tedy 400 a\u017e 800 miliard CZK HDP ro\u010dn\u011b, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u011b zoufale chyb\u00ed. Kdyby byly, st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det \u010cR by byl vyrovnan\u00fd!! Platy by u\u017e byly skoro n\u011bmeck\u00e9, a ne fialov\u00e9. Realita je prost\u00e1, a\u00a0v novoro\u010dn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku ji p\u0159esn\u011b popsal b\u00fdval\u00fd guvern\u00e9r \u010cNB Rusnok<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 \u010cR pot\u0159ebuje levn\u00e9 energie, ber, kde ber, jinak se na\u0161e ekonomika za\u010dne propadat do je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho fialov\u00e9ho marasmu, a nebude ani na v\u00fdstavbu nov\u00fdch byt\u016f, ani na d\u016fchody, ani na zdravotnictv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

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Ceny elekt\u0159iny v roce 2024 hovo\u0159\u00ed jasn\u011b \u2013 Fiala nezvl\u00e1d\u00e1 svou roli p\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1dy, a drastick\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny \u2013 \u010cR 4 nejhor\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 zem\u011b \u2013 devastuj\u00ed \u010deskou ekonomiku a v\u0161e zdra\u017euj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tento graf cen elekt\u0159iny ukazuje<\/a>,\u00a0\u017ee od z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2019 se cena elekt\u0159iny trvale zvedla nejm\u00e9n\u011b o 100%. To p\u0159edstavuje podle v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f americk\u00fdch profesor\u016f sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edho r\u016fstu \u010desk\u00e9ho HDP o 10 kr\u00e1t 0.15% kr\u00e1t pod\u00edl elekt\u0159iny na spot\u0159eb\u011b v\u0161ech energi\u00ed v \u010cR. Sv\u011bt \u010cR ut\u00edk\u00e1 m\u00edlov\u00fdmi kroky, proto\u017ee \u010cechy drt\u00ed vysok\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny, a Fiala se jen p\u0159ihlouple sm\u011bje, m\u00edsto aby proti vysok\u00fdm cen\u00e1m elekt\u0159iny zakro\u010dil, jako zakro\u010dili \u0160pan\u011bl\u00e9 i Pol\u00e1ci. Je\u0161t\u011b 26. \u0159\u00edjna 2020 se \u010de\u0161t\u00ed politici a ekonomov\u00e9 holedbali, \u017ee washingtonsk\u00fd MMF vyhl\u00e1sil,\u00a0\u017ee \u010ce\u0161i jsou u\u017e bohat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Italov\u00e9 a \u0160pan\u011bl\u00e9, a brzy p\u0159ekonaj\u00ed Japonsko a Nov\u00fd Z\u00e9land<\/a>.\u00a0Nastoupil v\u0161ak Fiala, a nyn\u00ed \u010ce\u0161i bojuj\u00ed, aby se nepropadli pod Polsko, Ma\u010farsko nebo zem\u011b Pobalt\u00ed. Bude-li Fiala \u0159\u00e1dit ve\u00a0Strakov\u011b akademii<\/a>\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b jedno volebn\u00ed obdob\u00ed, Zimbabwe bude proti \u010cR brzy bohat\u00e1 zem\u011b, zd\u00e1 se b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\u010cR \u010dekaj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u010dasy.\u00a0Reuters v prosinci 2024 ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee ceny plynu v roce 2025 budou trvale r\u016fst<\/a>. N\u011bmecko 1. ledna varovalo sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany,\u00a0aby za\u010dali \u0161et\u0159it plynem, proto\u017ee jeho spot\u0159eba letos p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vzrostla, a t\u00edm se v\u00fdrazn\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed jeho ceny<\/a>. Ukazuje se tak, \u017ee s cenami plynu i elekt\u0159iny letos op\u011bt nastanou probl\u00e9my. Jedin\u00fd, kdo si napjatou situaci na plynov\u00e9m trhu z\u0159ejm\u011b ne\u00fapln\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u011b uv\u011bdomuje,\u00a0je nep\u0159ekvapiv\u011b ministr obchodu \u010cR Vl\u010dek z Raku\u0161anovy party STAN<\/a>. Ten se je\u0161t\u011b 30. prosince holedbal, \u017ee \u201cD\u00edky strategick\u00fdm investic\u00edm, kter\u00e9 se pod veden\u00edm STAN na Ministerstvu pr\u016fmyslu a obchodu ud\u00e1ly,\u00a0<\/span>a robustn\u00ed infrastruktu\u0159e, je \u010cesko p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 na ukon\u010den\u00ed tranzitu plynu p\u0159es Ukrajinu.\u201d, a nab\u00edzel pomoc s jeho dod\u00e1vkami Slovensku. Vl\u010dek tak op\u011bt nepochopil, \u017ee probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 jako ministr vy\u0159e\u0161it, nen\u00ed dopravit do Evropy dostatek jak\u00e9hokoli plynu, ale dopravit dostatek levn\u00e9ho plynu. U profesora Huntingtona v Kalifornii by tak z\u0159ejm\u011b zkou\u0161ku neslo\u017eil, proto\u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm r\u016fstu prosperity nen\u00ed zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jak\u00e9koli dostupn\u00e9 energie, ale zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed dostatku levn\u00e9 energie. Co ve \u0160pan\u011blsku vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed politici pochopili, v Praze ch\u00e1pat st\u00e1le necht\u011bj\u00ed. A podle toho, to s \u010desk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem i dopad\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sni\u017ete spot\u0159ebu plynu, p\u0159ekvapila 1. ledna n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany! Nebude? Tvrd\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza americk\u00fdch…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48553,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,506,371,84,1008],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69373"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69373\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}