{"id":69114,"date":"2024-12-29T06:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-29T05:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69114"},"modified":"2024-12-29T06:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-29T05:25:00","slug":"michael-svatos-prekvapive-nizke-ztraty-ruske-armady-potvrzeny-nejvyssim-pohlavarem-nato-a-dalsi-sokujici-novinky-vcetne-ficovy-lapalie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/29\/michael-svatos-prekvapive-nizke-ztraty-ruske-armady-potvrzeny-nejvyssim-pohlavarem-nato-a-dalsi-sokujici-novinky-vcetne-ficovy-lapalie\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: P\u0159ekvapiv\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, potvrzeny nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm pohlav\u00e1rem NATO. A dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed novinky. V\u010detn\u011b Ficovy lap\u00e1lie"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze pomoc\u00ed cel\u00e9 \u0159ady tvrd\u00fdch dat postupn\u011b dok\u00e1\u017eeme, pro\u010d Rusko v roce 2025 donut\u00ed Ukrajinu ke kapitulaci podle Putinova dikt\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n

(1) P\u0159ekvapiv\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, potvrzeny nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm pohlav\u00e1rem NATO.\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

Zat\u00edmco \u010desk\u00fd mainstream neust\u00e1le mas\u00edruje sv\u00e9 \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdmi bajkami o d\u011bsiv\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na Ukrajin\u011b, (8.prosince \u2013\u00a01500 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b denn\u011b<\/a>; 27. prosince \u2013\u00a0jen zran\u011bn\u00fdch je 600 000<\/a>),\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed strat\u00e9g NATO admir\u00e1l Pierre Vandier 26. prosince 2024 na platform\u011b ur\u010den\u00e9 pro nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed profesion\u00e1ly s rozhodovac\u00ed pravomoc\u00ed, (world\u2019s defense decision-makers<\/a>), p\u0159iznal, \u017ee\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 t\u00fddenn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na Ukrajin\u011b \u010din\u00ed jen 1000 osob<\/a>. Tedy 52 000 ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Obdobn\u011b vy\u010d\u00edslil rusk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty 19. prosince 2024 i plukovn\u00edk Markus Reisner,\u00a0profesor Terezi\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akademie<\/a>.\u00a0Podle plukovn\u00edka Reisnera,\u00a0Rusko nyn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b rekrutuje 30 a\u017e 35 tis\u00edc dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f<\/a>, a p\u0159evis rekrutace nad ztr\u00e1tami umo\u017enil rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b za podzim 2024\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161it po\u010detn\u00ed stavy sv\u00fdch jednotek na boji\u0161ti ze 640 tis\u00edc na 700 tis\u00edc<\/a>. A z toho logicky vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 t\u00fddenn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ta ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 2000 mu\u017e\u016f i se zapo\u010dten\u00edm odchod\u016f ze slu\u017eby v d\u016fsledku uplynut\u00ed kontraktu jeho vypr\u0161en\u00edm, a pot\u0159ebou takto nahrazovat i uplynut\u00e9 kontrakty cca 800 tis\u00edc mu\u017e\u016f rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, kte\u0159\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b nebojuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Sou\u010det ztr\u00e1t podle admir\u00e1la Vandiera \u010din\u00ed 13 tis\u00edc od \u0159\u00edjna do prosince 2024. Sou\u010det n\u00e1boru dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f podle plukovn\u00edka Reisnera za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed \u010din\u00ed 90 a\u017e 105 tis\u00edc. N\u00e1r\u016fst bojov\u00e9 s\u00edly rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na boji\u0161ti za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed \u010din\u00ed 60 tis\u00edc. Rozd\u00edl 17 a\u017e 32 tis\u00edc, kter\u00fd se neprojevil na vzr\u016fstu bojov\u00e9 s\u00edly, ani ve ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch, bude z \u010d\u00e1sti nahrazovat uplynut\u00e9 kontrakty nebojuj\u00edc\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, z \u010d\u00e1sti m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159edstavovat dodate\u010dn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b je n\u00e1r\u016fst po\u010dt\u016f rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil bez mobilizace, kter\u00e1 v Rusku u\u017e dva roky neprob\u00edh\u00e1, jasn\u00fdm d\u016fkazem, \u017ee Rusko bude svoji p\u0159evahu v \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edle nad Ukrajinou p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok stup\u0148ovat, a n\u011bkdy v letn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch u\u017e nabude takov\u00e9 po\u010detn\u00ed p\u0159evahy, \u017ee za\u010dne arm\u00e1du Ukrajiny vyh\u00e1n\u011bt z dr\u017een\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed tempem ukrajinsk\u00e9 pozdn\u011b letn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvy 2022.<\/p>\n

(2) Putinova past, ze kter\u00e9 Zelenskyj nem\u00e1 \u00faniku!\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

Na Ukrajin\u011b bylo letos podp\u00e1leno 341 vozidel vojensk\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy<\/a>. Celkem 184 Ukrajinc\u016f u\u017e bylo za tyto \u00fatoky proti vozidl\u016fm mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch komisa\u0159\u016f, ke kter\u00fdm je\u0161t\u011b loni doch\u00e1zelo velmi v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b, obvin\u011bno. Leto\u0161n\u00ed rozmach \u017eh\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f proti symbolu n\u00e1siln\u00e9 mobilizace \u2013 vozidlu vojensk\u00e9ho komisa\u0159e \u2013 maj\u00ed na sv\u011bdom\u00ed hlavn\u011b mlad\u00ed lid\u00e9. A\u010dkoli se Biden, pohlav\u00e1\u0159i NATO, i ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed ultranacionalist\u00e9 letos na podzim shodn\u011b dom\u00e1hali sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v\u011bku mobilizovan\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f z 25 na 18 let, Zelenskyj tomuto tlaku odm\u00edtl ustoupit, a nad\u00e1le tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina tyto mlad\u00e9 mu\u017ee nesm\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce ztratit, proto\u017ee jsou nutnou podm\u00ednkou pro jej\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou pov\u00e1le\u010dnou budoucnost.<\/p>\n

Existuje v\u0161ak i jin\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed, pro\u010d se Zelenskyj tak urputn\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v\u011bku mobilizace. A\u010dkoli\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby a provl\u00e1dn\u00ed m\u00e9dia vytrvale zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed<\/a>, \u017ee \u017eh\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na ukrajinsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 vozidla jsou d\u00edlem rusk\u00fdch \u0161pion\u016f,\u00a0nebo\u0165 ti pomoc\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00ed blbnou mlad\u00fdm Ukrajinc\u016fm hlavy<\/a>, zd\u00e1 se sp\u00ed\u0161, \u017ee budou d\u00edlem dramaticky rostouc\u00edho po\u010dtu mlad\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch odp\u016frc\u016f v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 slu\u017eby na kursk\u00fdch a don\u011bck\u00fdch bitevn\u00edch pol\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Mlad\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f ve v\u011bku 18 a\u017e 25 let je extr\u00e9mn\u011b m\u00e1lo, proto\u017ee se kv\u016fli neust\u00e1l\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdm kriz\u00edm v zemi tak\u0159ka nerodili. Nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed porodnosti Ukrajina dos\u00e1hla v roce 2003, a\u00a0po\u010det jedin\u00e1\u010dk\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b dosahuje 76%<\/a>, (ve velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii 40%).\u00a0Jedin\u00e1\u010dci jsou podle v\u00fdzkum\u016f proti sourozenc\u016fm mnohem v\u00edce fixovan\u00ed na sv\u00e9 rodi\u010de i dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00e9<\/a>, a tato vz\u00e1jemn\u00e1 fixace plat\u00ed i obr\u00e1cen\u011b. Ztr\u00e1ta jedin\u00e9ho potomka znamen\u00e1 pro rodi\u010de i prarodi\u010de obrovskou bolest. Mlad\u00ed Ukrajinci ve v\u011bku 18 a\u017e 25 sice nepodl\u00e9haj\u00ed mobilizaci, ale mohou dobrovoln\u011b nastoupit do arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee se tak ned\u011bje, a proto\u017ee rostou \u00fatoky na vozidla mobiliza\u010dn\u00edch komisa\u0159\u016f, i odpor k samotn\u00e9 mobilizaci, je nasnad\u011b, \u017ee sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mobiliza\u010dn\u00edho v\u011bku by mohlo vyvolat n\u00e1hl\u00e9 vzplanut\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b lidov\u00e9ho odporu proti v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 slu\u017eb\u011b. A ten by mohl p\u0159ivodit rozpad cel\u00e9 krajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, proto\u017ee,\u00a0jak jsme analyzovali v MAP 2119<\/a>,\u00a0 sou\u010dasn\u00ed n\u00e1sil\u00edm odveden\u00ed sta\u0159\u00ed branci veskrze tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee nejdou, by\u0165 z donucen\u00ed, na frontu bojovat za vlast, re\u017eim, nebo svobodu, ale pouze za svoji rodinu = za sv\u00e9 d\u011bti a vnou\u010data, respektive, aby ony na frontu narukovat nemusely. Ztr\u00e1ta t\u00e9to posledn\u00ed motivace ukrajinsk\u00e9ho voj\u00e1ka, ochota ob\u011btovat se za sv\u00e9 potomky, by kyjevskou arm\u00e1du okam\u017eit\u011b rozlo\u017eila, podobn\u011b jako ned\u00e1vno rozlo\u017eila syrskou, ve kter\u00e9 men\u0161inov\u00ed, ale re\u017eimem tak\u0159ka v\u00fdhradn\u011b do bitev odv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed Al\u00e1vit\u00e9, u\u017e nad\u00e1le odm\u00edtli pro vysok\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty sv\u00e9 populace za Asada bojovat.<\/p>\n

Serhiy Gorba\u010dov, Ve\u0159ejn\u00fd Ombudsman Ukrajiny pro vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159iznal 18. prosince 2024 nov\u00fd leto\u0161n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd fenom\u00e9n \u2013 masovou emigraci rodin se st\u0159edo\u0161kol\u00e1ky ve v\u011bku p\u0159ed dovr\u0161en\u00edm 18 let z Ukrajiny. Podle Gorba\u010dova, i dal\u0161\u00edch sociolog\u016f, je tato nov\u00e1 masov\u00e1 emigrace hn\u00e1na strachem o \u017eivot dosp\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00edho, \u010dasto jedin\u00e9ho potomka, kter\u00fd by po dovr\u0161en\u00ed 18 roku \u017eivota u\u017e nemohl Ukrajinu leg\u00e1ln\u011b opustit, a hrozila by mu mobilizace a n\u00e1sledn\u00e1 rychl\u00e1 smrt na rusk\u00e9 front\u011b. \u201cMnoho rodi\u010d\u016f je ve stavu neust\u00e1l\u00e9 \u00fazkosti, proto\u017ee vyhl\u00eddka jejich d\u011bt\u00ed na vojenskou slu\u017ebu vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 strach o jejich budoucnost. To plat\u00ed zejm\u00e9na pro rodiny s chlapci st\u0159edo\u0161kolsk\u00e9ho v\u011bku<\/a>.<\/em>\u201c, p\u0159iznal Gorba\u010dov. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 Ukrajinsk\u00e1 poslankyn\u011b a b\u00fdval\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumnice\u00a0US UNI Stanford<\/a>,\u00a0Oleksandra Ustinova<\/a>,\u00a0se k t\u00e9matu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mobiliza\u010dn\u00edho v\u011bku vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila 11. prosince 2024 je\u0161t\u011b ost\u0159eji: \u201eNe! Takov\u00fd krok by vyvolal na Ukrajin\u011b obrovsk\u00fd odpor a donutil tis\u00edce rodin vz\u00edt sv\u00e9 d\u011bti do zahrani\u010d\u00ed.<\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim je tak ve dvojit\u00e9 pasti, z n\u00ed\u017e nen\u00ed \u00faniku.\u00a0 Bu\u010f dopln\u00ed svoji ztr\u00e1tami pro\u0159\u00eddlou arm\u00e1du \u010derstvou krv\u00ed mlad\u00fdch jedin\u00e1\u010dk\u016f, a Ukrajina povstane, a zhrout\u00ed se ve vnit\u0159n\u00edm chaosu, a v\u0161ichni mlad\u00ed i s rodi\u010di ute\u010dou, a d\u011bdov\u00e9 dezertuj\u00ed z fronty, aby si to se Zelensk\u00fdm v Kyjev\u011b vy\u0159\u00eddili osobn\u011b.\u00a0 A nebo nech\u00e1 svoji arm\u00e1du bez dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed postupn\u011b vykrv\u00e1cet, a\u017e se nakonec fronta zhrout\u00ed, a re\u017eim padne. Putinovi m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt lhostejn\u00e9, kter\u00e1 varianta nastane, neb ob\u011b mu spolehliv\u011b otev\u00edraj\u00ed dve\u0159e k zisku k\u00fd\u017een\u00e9ho historick\u00e9ho ocen\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0\u0412\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0438\u043c\u0438\u0440\u00a0<\/span>\u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0439!<\/p>\n

(3) Pro\u010d nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Ficova lap\u00e1lie s ukrajinsk\u00fdm plynem a se slovenskou elekt\u0159inou tak k smrti vyd\u011bsila v\u0161echny \u010desk\u00e9 Fialy? A pro\u010d Polsko p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok vraz\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b n\u016f\u017e do zad?\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

Neboj\u00e1cn\u00fd slovensk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Robert Fico vyrazil do Moskvy jednat s Putinem o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch plynu, a\u00a0ex-pir\u00e1t Lipavsk\u00fd za\u010dal ihned je\u010det<\/a>, \u017ee se v Moskv\u011b plaz\u00ed p\u0159ed masov\u00fdm vrahem, a tvrdit, \u017ee se \u010cesk\u00e1 fialov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da plazit nemus\u00ed a nebude. Kam na sv\u00e9 tweety Lipavsk\u00fd chod\u00ed, je z\u00e1hadou.\u00a0\u010cR letos dovezla 50% ropy z Ruska, proto\u017ee je 21% levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e alternativn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky z \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu<\/a>. Podle \u00fadaj\u016f, kter\u00e9 na z\u00e1klad\u011b \u00fadaj\u016f\u00a0Eurostatu<\/a>\u00a0zve\u0159ejnilo 21. \u0159\u00edjna 2024 analytick\u00e9 centrum GMK\u00a0se stala \u010cesk\u00e1 republika za prvn\u00edch 8 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f leto\u0161n\u00edho roku 4 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dovozce rusk\u00e9 oceli<\/a>, (Belgie \u2013 819,4 tis. tun, It\u00e1lie \u2013 467,9 tis. tun, D\u00e1nsko \u2013 344,9 tis. tun a \u010cesk\u00e1 republika \u2013 324 tis.) v celkov\u00e9 hodnot\u011b dovozu 1.87 miliardy EUR, (cca 47 miliard korun). Co Robert Fico d\u011bl\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u011b, Fialova vl\u00e1da nech\u00e1v\u00e1 konat postrann\u00edmi cesti\u010dkami.\u00a0 Pro\u010d v\u0161ak p\u0159itom Ficovi nad\u00e1vaj\u00ed, je zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 republika pat\u0159\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b s N\u011bmeckem, D\u00e1nskem, Belgi\u00ed a It\u00e1lii k tzv. gangu p\u0159ekupn\u00edk\u016f rusk\u00e9 oceli<\/a>. Podstatou \u010dinnosti tohoto gangu je dov\u00e9zt do sv\u00e9 zem\u011b sankciovanou ruskou ocel ve specifick\u00e9 form\u011b bram a sochor\u016f, kter\u00e9 sankce obch\u00e1zej\u00ed, a p\u0159epracovat je na plechy, a ty potom vyv\u00e9zt za dumpingov\u00e9 ceny do Polska. Tento gang u\u017e rafinovan\u00fdm p\u0159ekupnictv\u00edm s ruskou levnou ocel\u00ed letos ovl\u00e1dnul 44% polsk\u00e9ho trhu a drt\u00ed polsk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1rny a nemilosrdn\u011b je \u017eene do krachu. Pol\u00e1ci zu\u0159\u00ed jako pominut\u00ed, proto\u017ee gang p\u0159ekupn\u00edk\u016f rusk\u00fdch plech\u016f ni\u010d\u00ed polsk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 odv\u011btv\u00ed v\u00fdroby plech\u016f nutn\u00fdch pro pot\u0159eby polsk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu, a pro stavebnictv\u00ed. Cel\u00e1 \u010dinnost gangu p\u0159ekupn\u00edk\u016f rusk\u00fdch plech\u016f m\u00e1 plnou podporu Bruselu, proto\u017ee ten povolen\u00edm \u010dinnosti gangu sleduje vlastn\u00ed c\u00edl, z\u00e1chranu pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst hlavn\u011b v Italsk\u00fdch a Belgick\u00fdch ocel\u00e1rn\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 se specializuj\u00ed na p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch polotovar\u016f na plechy a dal\u0161\u00ed produkty z oceli. Toto p\u0159epracov\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch polotovar\u016f je energeticky zna\u010dn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9, ne\u017e v\u00fdroba stejn\u00fdch produkt\u016f z rudy a z uhl\u00ed a z elekt\u0159iny, jakou provozuje Polsko, a provozovalo \u010cesko. Proto\u017ee obdobn\u00e1 v\u00fdroba nen\u00ed na Z\u00e1pad\u011b d\u00edky extr\u00e9mn\u00edm cen\u00e1m elekt\u0159iny vyvolan\u00fdm politikou Green Deal a poplatky CO2 absolutn\u011b mo\u017en\u00e1, Brusel na\u0159\u00eddil p\u0159ekupov\u00e1n\u00edm rusk\u00e9 oceli zachr\u00e1nit z\u00e1padn\u00ed ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta likvidac\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u00edch ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. \u00da\u010dast \u010desk\u00fdch ocel\u00e1\u0159\u016f na \u010dinnosti gangu Pol\u00e1ci pova\u017euj\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e za zoufalou snahu zachr\u00e1nit si vlastn\u00ed k\u016f\u017ei vyvolanou bruselskou diskrimina\u010dn\u00ed politikou proti v\u00fdchodn\u00edm ocel\u00e1\u0159\u016fm. (Jak konkr\u00e9tn\u011b Fiala likviduje \u010desk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1\u0159e, ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b, kdy Brusel zachra\u0148uje italsk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1\u0159e,\u00a0viz MAP 2174.)<\/a><\/p>\n

Polsko je vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00fd spojenec kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu. Le\u010d \u010dasy se m\u011bn\u00ed. Polsk\u00e1 ekonomika se za\u010dala letos na podzim hroutit d\u011bsiv\u00fdm tempem.\u00a0V\u00fdznamn\u00fd polsk\u00fd poslanec Pawe\u0142 Jab\u0142o\u0144ski v\u010dera varoval<\/a>, \u017ee v Polsku se rychle vrac\u00ed d\u011bsiv\u00e1 krize z let 2007 a\u017e 2015, a \u017ee 39% Pol\u00e1k\u016f je u\u017e op\u011bt tak vystresovan\u00fdch drahotou a hromadn\u00fdmi propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edmi ze zam\u011bstn\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee op\u011bt uva\u017euj\u00ed o imigraci. \u010c\u00edsla poslance Jab\u0142o\u0144ski potvrzuj\u00ed i analytici pracovn\u00edho trhu. Podle nich za\u010dalo v Polsku na podzim leto\u0161n\u00edho roku masov\u00e9 propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ze zam\u011bstn\u00e1n\u00ed v ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m, automobilov\u00e9m, a v energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu. Pol\u00e1ci se maj\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na masov\u00fd p\u0159esun v\u00fdroby z Polska do zem\u00ed s ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi cenami elekt\u0159iny, energi\u00ed, plynu, a ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi n\u00e1klady na pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu. (Seznam sv\u011btov\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fdch zna\u010dek, kter\u00e9 v Polsku podle z\u00e1kona dop\u0159edu ozn\u00e1mily hromadn\u00e9 propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b expertn\u00ed anal\u00fdzy d\u016fvod\u016f propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed najdete zde<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

Polsko se 1. ledna 2025 ujme po Ma\u010farsku p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed EU. Ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b se mus\u00ed vyjednat nov\u00e9 zn\u011bn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed dohody EU \u2013 Ukrajina. A jak ned\u00e1vno p\u0159iznal\u00a0Aleksander Smolar<\/a>\u00a0\u010dlen p\u0159edstavenstva ost\u0159e\u00a0protirusk\u00e9 bruselsk\u00e9 neziskovky ECFR<\/a>,\u00a0polsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Donald Tusk\u00a0m\u00e1 p\u0159ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdmi prezidentsk\u00fdmi volbami, a bude se p\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed dohody s Ukrajinou \u0159\u00eddit polsk\u00fdmi z\u00e1jmy, a bude up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat n\u00e1zory polsk\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed nyn\u00ed maj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0strach z v\u00e1lky, a boj\u00ed se o bezpe\u010dnost hranic, a o ekonomickou stabilitu. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee Tusk, zn\u00e1m\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee udr\u017euje v chodu \u201cBruselem v\u00fdslovn\u011b zak\u00e1zan\u00e1\u201d opat\u0159en\u00ed na zna\u010dn\u00e9 omezen\u00ed dovozu ukrajinsk\u00fdch potravin a zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f, vytvo\u0159\u00ed p\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edch o podob\u011b nov\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody mezi\u00a0 EU a Ukrajinou, kter\u00e1 bude \u0159\u00eddit, koalici s Ficem a Orb\u00e1nem, a bude viditeln\u011b hr\u00e1t na strunu polsk\u00fdch zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016f, a br\u00e1nit otev\u0159en\u00ed trhu EU pro Ukrajinu. Proto\u017ee Macron pot\u0159ebuje spojence, aby mohl shodit dohodu Mercosur,\u00a0(viz MAP 2159<\/a>), o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee koalici proti Ukrajin\u011b podpo\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9.<\/p>\n

(4) Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/h3>\n

Ukrajina bude v roce 2025 \u010delit rostouc\u00ed s\u00edle rusk\u00fdch vojsk, jej\u00ed arm\u00e1da se bude zmen\u0161ovat, a sankcemi na levn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 suroviny a energie zdevastovan\u00e1 evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika, je\u0161t\u011b ke v\u0161emu likvidovan\u00e1 stupidn\u00ed bruselskou politikou Green Deal, a poplatky za vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed CO2 se zhrout\u00ed. V\u00fdsledn\u00fd mix p\u0159\u00ed\u010din pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159ivod\u00ed p\u00e1d Zelensk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu, pokud ne rovnou cel\u00e9 Ukrajiny. M\u00edrov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky tak budou diktov\u00e1ny tak\u0159ka v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b Putinem.<\/p>\n

(5) Nov\u00fd po\u0159ad\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

V pond\u011bl\u00ed 30. prosince na TV Bure\u0161 ve 20 hodin vystoup\u00edm s nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzou.\u00a0Po\u0159ad najdete zde.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Je ned\u011ble 29. prosinec 05.29 r\u00e1no \u2013 P\u0159eji kr\u00e1sn\u00fd den. Dnes jsem p\u0159etahoval, abych anal\u00fdzu dot\u00e1hnul a\u017e na konec. Snad to st\u00e1lo za to. Komu dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza p\u0159ipadala u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee vznik dal\u0161\u00ed podpo\u0159it darem na \u00fa\u010det na konci tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku. M\u011bjte se. Posledn\u00ed po\u0159ady moje vystoupen\u00ed na\u00a0TV Protiproud \u2013 27.11. zde<\/a>.\u00a0Na TV Bure\u0161 \u2013 20.12. zde<\/a>.\u00a0Na LOS 10 \u2013 7.12. zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze pomoc\u00ed cel\u00e9 \u0159ady tvrd\u00fdch dat postupn\u011b dok\u00e1\u017eeme, pro\u010d Rusko v roce 2025…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":63892,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,122,31,22,26,2369],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69114"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69114"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69114\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69115,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69114\/revisions\/69115"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63892"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}