{"id":69073,"date":"2024-12-29T00:38:51","date_gmt":"2024-12-28T23:38:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69073"},"modified":"2024-12-28T17:45:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-28T16:45:00","slug":"lucas-leiroz-energeticka-krize-se-v-evrope-prohlubuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/29\/lucas-leiroz-energeticka-krize-se-v-evrope-prohlubuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Energetick\u00e1 krize se v Evrop\u011b prohlubuje"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Protirusk\u00e9 sankce maj\u00ed nad\u00e1le extr\u00e9mn\u011b negativn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro samotn\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, zejm\u00e9na v Evrop\u011b, kde se zd\u00e1, \u017ee energetick\u00e1 krize zdaleka neskon\u010dila. Podle ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ji\u017e sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby plynu vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed a v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch maj\u00ed vysok\u00e9 riziko masivn\u00edho nedostatku. To jasn\u011b ukazuje, jak se EU chovala nezodpov\u011bdn\u011b a antistrategicky p\u0159i zav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed donucovac\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 nepostihla Moskvu, ale hluboce po\u0161kodila samotnou Evropu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle\u00a0<\/span>Financial Times<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(FT) EU roz\u0161i\u0159uje sv\u00e9 t\u011b\u017eby ze z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu a tak\u00e9 zahajuje bezprecedentn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o akumulaci nov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob vzhledem k vysok\u00e9mu riziku nedostatku. Noviny uvedly, \u017ee mno\u017estv\u00ed plynu na sklad\u011b kleslo o 19 % a dos\u00e1hlo nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b od energetick\u00e9 krize v roce 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0klesla \u00farove\u0148 z\u00e1sob plynu v EU na 75 % ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s 90 % v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. Toto \u010d\u00edslo je pova\u017eov\u00e1no za n\u00edzk\u00e9 a mezi \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edky vzbuzuje obavy, proto\u017ee se zem\u00edm d\u016frazn\u011b doporu\u010duje udr\u017eovat obrovsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby plynu, zejm\u00e9na v zim\u011b, kdy je spot\u0159eba energie vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eEU vyprazd\u0148uje sv\u00e9 z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu nejrychlej\u0161\u00edm tempem od energetick\u00e9 krize p\u0159ed t\u0159emi lety, proto\u017ee chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed zvy\u0161uje popt\u00e1vku a kontinent se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s poklesem dovozu po mo\u0159i (…) Naposledy byly z\u00e1soby plynu na kontinentu vypr\u00e1zdn\u011bny letos rychle do poloviny prosince bylo v roce 2021, kdy Rusko za\u010dalo omezovat dod\u00e1vky plynu z plynovodu p\u0159ed svou plnou invaz\u00ed na Ukrajinu, z\u00e1soby v EU jsou nyn\u00ed na 75 procentech (…) Z\u00e1soby \u00farovn\u011b byly v polovin\u011b prosince lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku bl\u00edzko 90 procent\u016fm,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161e se v \u010dl\u00e1nku FT.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed experti ozna\u010dili za hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinu energetick\u00e9 krize tuhou zimu v Evrop\u011b, co\u017e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt myln\u00fdm argumentem. Spot\u0159eba energie v zim\u011b samoz\u0159ejm\u011b stoup\u00e1, proto\u017ee chladn\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed s sebou p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed pot\u0159ebu intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed elektronick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a topn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f \u2013 oboj\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed na plynu. To v\u0161ak k vysv\u011btlen\u00ed d\u016fvod\u016f krize nesta\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m plynu v Evrop\u011b spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v nedostatku vydatn\u00e9ho a levn\u00e9ho zdroje t\u00e9to komodity. D\u0159\u00edve d\u00edky energetick\u00e9mu partnerstv\u00ed s Ruskem m\u011bly evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, zejm\u00e9na pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 velmoci jako N\u011bmecko, bezpe\u010dn\u00fd, levn\u00fd a neomezen\u00fd zdroj plynu, kter\u00fd umo\u017e\u0148oval ob\u010dan\u016fm a spole\u010dnostem spot\u0159ebov\u00e1vat energii ve velk\u00e9m bez obav z probl\u00e9m\u016f s dod\u00e1vkami. . Tato situace se v\u0161ak zm\u011bnila v roce 2022, kdy se EU rozhodla p\u0159ipojit k nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 vln\u011b protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed prosazovan\u00fdch USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159eru\u0161en\u00edm spolupr\u00e1ce s Ruskem zem\u011b EU ztratily p\u0159\u00edstup k nejbezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu zdroji energie na evropsk\u00e9m kontinentu a staly se z\u00e1visl\u00fdmi na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u00edch \u2013 z nich\u017e mnoh\u00e9 p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed dlouh\u00fdmi a drah\u00fdmi cestami, jako je americk\u00fd plyn. Nav\u00edc, jak zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed experti Financial Times, za\u010dlen\u011bn\u00ed Evropy do glob\u00e1ln\u00edho trhu s plynem z n\u00ed tak\u00e9 ud\u011blalo jen dal\u0161\u00edho kupce v konkuren\u010dn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, kde n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u011b usiluje o p\u0159\u00edstup ke komodit\u011b. Evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed kv\u016fli sou\u010dasn\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm pot\u00ed\u017ee konkurovat v n\u00e1kupu plynu, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o dovoz z asijsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, co\u017e situaci je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161uje.<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi je evropsk\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize za\u010darovan\u00fdm kruhem: bez rusk\u00e9ho plynu nemaj\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b dostatek energie k z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, co\u017e vede k poklesu ekonomick\u00e9 situace. Bez pr\u016fmyslu nejsou pen\u00edze na dovoz plynu v dostate\u010dn\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed, tak\u017ee nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 uniknout z cyklu krize. V\u0161echny sou\u010dasn\u00e9 alternativy dovozu jsou drah\u00e9 a nespl\u0148uj\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky stejn\u011b jako Rusko p\u0159ed sankcemi. Tato situace se od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim sl\u00edbil, \u017ee zak\u00e1\u017ee dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9ho plynu do Evropy p\u0159es sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm\u017e jednou prov\u017edy uhas\u00ed to, co zb\u00fdv\u00e1 z energetick\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed mezi Moskvou a EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Budoucnost Evropy skute\u010dn\u011b vypad\u00e1 nejist\u011b a nebezpe\u010dn\u011b. EU trp\u00ed d\u016fsledky sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch chyb, i kdy\u017e se zd\u00e1, \u017ee to nedok\u00e1\u017ee pochopit a podniknout pragmatick\u00e9 kroky k n\u00e1prav\u011b chyb. Dokud nebudou sankce zru\u0161eny, nedojde v Evrop\u011b k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu pokroku a soci\u00e1ln\u00edmu zlep\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen BRICS Journalists Associations, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017eete sledovat Lucas o X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter) a Telegram<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Protirusk\u00e9 sankce maj\u00ed nad\u00e1le extr\u00e9mn\u011b negativn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro samotn\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, zejm\u00e9na v Evrop\u011b,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69074,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,371],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69073"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69073"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69073\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}