{"id":69035,"date":"2024-12-28T00:35:09","date_gmt":"2024-12-27T23:35:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69035"},"modified":"2024-12-27T13:22:09","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T12:22:09","slug":"hororova-predpoved-nemecka-ekonomika-bude-take-v-roce-2025-v-krizovem-rezimu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/28\/hororova-predpoved-nemecka-ekonomika-bude-take-v-roce-2025-v-krizovem-rezimu\/","title":{"rendered":"Hororov\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f: N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika bude tak\u00e9 v roce 2025 v krizov\u00e9m re\u017eimu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>\u010c\u00edsla jsou st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e1 jako zimn\u00ed \u0161ed\u00e1 realita republiky: ze 49 dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch podnikatelsk\u00fdch svaz\u016f jich 31 hodnot\u00ed sou\u010dasnou situaci jako je\u0161t\u011b pochmurn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v ji\u017e tak katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce. N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika neza\u017eila tak slo\u017eitou krizi za cel\u00e9 stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Michael H\u00fcther, \u0159editel N\u011bmeck\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho institutu (IW), pro to nach\u00e1z\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.n-tv.de\/wirtschaft\/Deutsche-Wirtschaft-sieht-fuer-2025-schwarz-article25454409.html\"><span>jednozna\u010dn\u00e1 slova<\/span><\/a><span> : \u201eSou\u010dasn\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 situace byla jen z\u0159\u00eddka tak znepokojiv\u00e1. Situace je toxick\u00e1: astronomick\u00e9 ceny energi\u00ed, byrokratick\u00e9 monstrum historick\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed trhy, kter\u00e9 se staly stejn\u011b nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi jako krach akciov\u00e9ho trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zat\u00edmco zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed koalice semafor\u016f v Berl\u00edn\u011b se zamot\u00e1v\u00e1 do mali\u010dkost\u00ed rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 katastrofy, n\u011bmeck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl st\u00e9n\u00e1 pod zdrcuj\u00edc\u00edm trojn\u00e1sobn\u00fdm b\u0159emenem tlaku na n\u00e1klady, regula\u010dn\u00edho vzteku a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistoty. \u201ePr\u00e1ce, materi\u00e1ly a energie jsou tu drah\u00e9, p\u0159ehnan\u00e1 byrokracie paralyzuje, nejist\u00e1 situace na sv\u011btov\u00e9m trhu oslabuje export a politick\u00fd chaos doma oslabuje investice,\u201c analyzuje b\u00eddu H\u00fcther.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Progn\u00f3zy pro rok 2025 zn\u00ed jako sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ekonomick\u00e9ho hororu: 20 asociac\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 klesaj\u00edc\u00ed produkci, zat\u00edmco 13 dal\u0161\u00edch lp\u00ed na nad\u011bji, \u017ee alespo\u0148 udr\u017e\u00ed sou\u010dasnou \u00farove\u0148. Je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9, \u017ee spole\u010dnosti na likvidaci odpadu jsou jedny z m\u00e1la v\u00edt\u011bz\u016f krize \u2013 cynick\u00fd koment\u00e1\u0159 ke stavu n\u00e1roda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Trh pr\u00e1ce \u010del\u00ed dramatick\u00e9mu ot\u0159esu: 25 pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed oznamuje propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed. I tradi\u010dn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159e n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky \u2013 stroj\u00edrenstv\u00ed, automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a stavebnictv\u00ed \u2013 znepokojiv\u011b kol\u00edsaj\u00ed. R\u016fstov\u00e9 ambice st\u00e1le signalizuje pouze farmaceutick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a konstrukce letadel a kosmick\u00fdch lod\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmecko zabloudilo ve vlastnoru\u010dn\u011b vytvo\u0159en\u00e9m labyrintu p\u0159ehnan\u00fdch regulac\u00ed, ideologick\u00e9 z\u00e1kopov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a nedostatku inovac\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco jin\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 zem\u011b d\u011blaj\u00ed pragmatick\u00fd pokrok, Spolkov\u00e1 republika se ztr\u00e1c\u00ed v m\u00e1nii regulace a byrokratick\u00e9ho perfekcionismu. \u201eP\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed feder\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1da stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed hlavn\u00edm \u00fakolem vytvo\u0159it udr\u017eitelnou ekonomickou perspektivu,\u201c varuje \u0159editel IW H\u00fcther. Rok 2025 by mohl b\u00fdt zlomem \u2013 nebo dal\u0161\u00edm miln\u00edkem v bezprecedentn\u00edm hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m poklesu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010cty\u0159i osam\u011bl\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed st\u00e1le zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed r\u016fst: likvidace odpadu, poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, veletrhy a nemovitosti. Skrovn\u00fd v\u00fdnos pro ekonomiku, kter\u00e1 byla kdysi pova\u017eov\u00e1na za \u201eekonomickou \u0159\u00ed\u0161i div\u016f\u201c. N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje uniknout z regula\u010dn\u00ed pasti a modernizace. Jinak hroz\u00ed definitivn\u00ed sestup do druh\u00e9 ligy glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u010c\u00edsla jsou st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e1 jako zimn\u00ed \u0161ed\u00e1 realita republiky: ze 49 dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch podnikatelsk\u00fdch svaz\u016f jich 31&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69035"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}