{"id":69032,"date":"2024-12-28T00:33:11","date_gmt":"2024-12-27T23:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=69032"},"modified":"2024-12-27T13:16:37","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T12:16:37","slug":"nova-studie-ukazuje-ze-ubytek-antarktickeho-ledu-je-normalni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/28\/nova-studie-ukazuje-ze-ubytek-antarktickeho-ledu-je-normalni\/","title":{"rendered":"Nov\u00e1 studie ukazuje, \u017ee \u00fabytek antarktick\u00e9ho ledu je norm\u00e1ln\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Ze v\u0161ech hororov\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, kter\u00e9 si klimati\u010dt\u00ed apokalyptist\u00e9 l\u00e9ta vym\u00fd\u0161leli, je \u00fadajn\u011b dramatick\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta ledu v Antarktid\u011b jedn\u00edm z jejich obl\u00edben\u00fdch. Ale jak u\u017e to tak b\u00fdv\u00e1, tato hysterie se ukazuje jako v\u011bdecky neudr\u017eiteln\u00e1. Proto\u017ee negativn\u00ed titulky nemaj\u00ed s realitou moc spole\u010dn\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Zcela nov\u00e1 studie MacKieho a koleg\u016f (2024) nazvan\u00e1 \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1029\/2024GL112235\"><span>47 let velk\u00fdch antarktick\u00fdch otelen\u00ed: Insights From Extreme Value Theory<\/span><\/a><span> \u201c nyn\u00ed d\u016fkladn\u011b rozptyluje poh\u00e1dku o \u201ebezprecedentn\u00ed\u201c ztr\u00e1t\u011b ledu na ji\u017en\u00edm p\u00f3lu. V\u011bdci analyzovali zlomy ledovc\u016f od roku 1976 \u2013 a ejhle: velikost odlomen\u00fdch ledovc\u016f se od t\u00e9 doby dokonce m\u00edrn\u011b zmen\u0161ila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9: I tolik citovan\u00e1 megademolice na ledov\u00e9m \u0161elfu Larsen C v roce 2017, kter\u00e1 se v t\u00e9 dob\u011b dostala do apokalyptick\u00fdch titulk\u016f, se ukazuje jako statisticky zcela neok\u00e1zal\u00e1. Se sv\u00fdmi \u201euboh\u00fdmi\u201c 5 800 kilometry \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edmi nedosahoval ani \u010dtvrtiny toho, co by bylo nutn\u00e9 pro skute\u010dn\u011b mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou ud\u00e1lost jednoho stolet\u00ed \u2013 toti\u017e 40 000 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch. &#8222;Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed otelen\u00ed by nem\u011blo b\u00fdt automaticky interpretov\u00e1no jako zn\u00e1mka nestability ledov\u00e9ho \u0161elfu,&#8220; varuj\u00ed v\u011bdci. M\u00edsto toho jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed zcela p\u0159irozen\u00e9ho cyklu r\u016fstu a rozpadu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tak\u00e9 velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9: V obdob\u00ed holoc\u00e9nu p\u0159ed tis\u00edci lety doch\u00e1zelo k mnohem dramati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m ledu ne\u017e dnes \u2013 a to v\u0161e bez SUV a uheln\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren. Mimochodem, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed m\u00edra p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9ho ukon\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0161koln\u00ed doch\u00e1zky za posledn\u00edch 47 let byla nam\u011b\u0159ena v letech 1986 a\u017e 2000 a od t\u00e9 doby je trend klesaj\u00edc\u00ed. Co se z toho u\u010d\u00edme? Mo\u017en\u00e1 bychom m\u011bli p\u0159estat vyhla\u0161ovat konec sv\u011bta poka\u017ed\u00e9, kdy\u017e se odlom\u00ed ledovec. P\u0159\u00edroda se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed sv\u00fdmi vlastn\u00edmi z\u00e1kony \u2013 i kdy\u017e to n\u011bkter\u00fdm klimatick\u00fdm aktivist\u016fm mo\u017en\u00e1 do jejich pohledu na sv\u011bt nezapad\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Studie je dal\u0161\u00edm d\u016fkazem toho, \u017ee realita je \u010dasto slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jednoduch\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy dobra a zla. Nebo jak to auto\u0159i v\u011bcn\u011b uvedli: Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 zm\u011bny v Antarktid\u011b nejsou \u201estatisticky v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e9\u201c a nelze je nutn\u011b p\u0159ipisovat zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ze v\u0161ech hororov\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, kter\u00e9 si klimati\u010dt\u00ed apokalyptist\u00e9 l\u00e9ta vym\u00fd\u0161leli, je \u00fadajn\u011b dramatick\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta ledu&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66364,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1648,873,1102],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69032"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69032"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69032\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}