{"id":6894,"date":"2021-12-15T16:50:50","date_gmt":"2021-12-15T15:50:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=6894"},"modified":"2021-12-15T16:51:30","modified_gmt":"2021-12-15T15:51:30","slug":"globalni-plynove-valky-zabava-teprve-zacina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/12\/15\/globalni-plynove-valky-zabava-teprve-zacina\/","title":{"rendered":"Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed plynov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky: z\u00e1bava teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>M\u00e1me v\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee dod\u00e1vka plynu bude fungovat i bez Nord Streamu 2. P\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eeno je ale to, \u017ee po sv\u011bt\u011b je p\u00e1r dal\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1jemc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou mo\u017en\u00e1 ochotni zaplatit daleko v\u00edce.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed spotov\u00e1 cena zemn\u00edho plynu v Evrop\u011b prolomila psychologicky d\u016fle\u017eitou hranici 1000 dolar\u016f za tis\u00edc metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, neboli jeden dolar za metr krychlov\u00fd.\u00a0To ji\u017e m\u011blo n\u011bkter\u00e9 jasn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b.\u00a0Ve Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed ji\u017e tov\u00e1rny na hnojiva nemohou fungovat za tyto ceny a byly uzav\u0159eny.\u00a0To p\u0159irozen\u011b pozd\u011bji povede k r\u016fstu cen potravin, ale okam\u017eit\u00fdm efektem je, \u017ee spot\u0159ebitel\u016fm bude chyb\u011bt balen\u00e9 maso a pivo kv\u016fli nedostatku such\u00e9ho ledu, kter\u00fd je vedlej\u0161\u00edm produktem v\u00fdroby hnojiv.<\/p>\n<p>Mezit\u00edm, na \u00fapln\u011b druh\u00e9 stran\u011b toho, co zb\u00fdv\u00e1 jako Evropsk\u00e1 unie, jsou nyn\u00ed ceny elekt\u0159iny v pobaltsk\u00fdch miniaturn\u00edch st\u00e1tech desetkr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e za hranicemi v Rusku. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b jsou v\u00edt\u00e1ni, kdy\u017e si v Rusku nakoup\u00ed levnou a vydatnou elekt\u0159inu, ale to by muselo p\u0159ij\u00edt p\u0159es B\u011blorusko a Litvu a Litevci strategicky zni\u010dili sv\u00e9 vztahy s B\u011bloruskem t\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159ijali uprchlou Sv\u011btlanu Tichanovskou, kter\u00e1 je jakousi B\u011bloruskou Juan Guaid\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b B\u011bloruska je Ukrajina, kde jsou v\u011bci je\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1bavn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Na ja\u0159e 2019 Ukrajina odm\u00edtla velkorysou nab\u00eddku Ruska prodat sv\u016fj plyn za 240\u2013260 dolar\u016f za tis\u00edc metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch (\u010dtvrtina spotov\u00e9 ceny v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed) a rozhodla se jej m\u00edsto toho koupit na spotov\u00e9m trhu.\u00a0V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee Ukrajina pot\u0159ebuje ve sv\u00fdch skladovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch 13 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch plynu, aby zvl\u00e1dla topnou sez\u00f3nu, ale m\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 5.\u00a0Ale v\u017edy si m\u016f\u017ee koupit, co pot\u0159ebuje, na spotov\u00e9m trhu, ne?\u00a0Nespr\u00e1vn\u00e9!\u00a0Ukrajina je na mizin\u011b a na tyto \u00fa\u010dely m\u00e1 nulov\u00fd rozpo\u010det.\u00a0Na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed st\u00e1le m\u016f\u017ee nakupovat levnou elekt\u0159inu v Rusku \u2013 alespo\u0148 do doby, ne\u017e se ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 rozhodnou vyhodit do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed veden\u00ed do Ruska,<\/p>\n<p>Ale na rozd\u00edl od Ukrajiny, kter\u00e1 je v bankrotu, zem\u011b v EU nemus\u00ed mrznout, proto\u017ee si mohou plyn, kter\u00fd pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed, jednodu\u0161e koupit na spotov\u00e9m trhu ve form\u011b LNG, ne?\u00a0Nespr\u00e1vn\u00e9!\u00a0Trh LNG je glob\u00e1ln\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdchodoasij\u0161t\u00ed konkurenti \u2013 \u010c\u00edna, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea a Japonsko \u2013 je mohou v\u017edy p\u0159ekonat, pokud jde o dostupn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky.\u00a0Tyto t\u0159i zem\u011b budovaly struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed deficity se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty po desetilet\u00ed a nahromadily nezdrav\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed americk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho dluhu.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e se USA bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00edmu bankrotu anebo spou\u0161t\u00ed dolarovou hyperinflaci t\u00edm, \u017ee umo\u017en\u00ed jejich st\u00e1tn\u00edmu dluhu p\u0159ekonat hranici 30 bilion\u016f, cht\u011bj\u00ed se zbavit co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho mno\u017estv\u00ed tohoto pokladu t\u00edm, \u017ee je p\u0159im\u011bje vym\u011bnit za po\u017eadovan\u00e9 suroviny, jako je nap\u0159. zemn\u00ed plyn. Je jim jedno, kolik stoj\u00ed plyn, proto\u017ee kone\u010dn\u00e1 hodnota americk\u00e9ho dluhu je nulov\u00e1 a v\u017edy je n\u011bco lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e nic.\u00a0Je tedy velk\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee se EU bude tuto zimu chv\u011bt ve tm\u011b solid\u00e1rn\u011b s Ukrajinou.<\/p>\n<p>Ale mnohem l\u00e9pe je to ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, kter\u00e9 jsou koneckonc\u016f hrd\u00fdmi v\u00fdvozci zemn\u00edho plynu d\u00edky tomu, co zbylo z jejich frakov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Op\u011bt \u0161patn\u011b!\u00a0Industrial Energy Consumers of America (IECA), lobby skupina pro chemick\u00fd a potravin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, pr\u00e1v\u011b vyzvala americk\u00e9 ministerstvo energetiky, aby omezilo export LNG.\u00a0V opa\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by podle nich velmi vysok\u00e9 ceny zemn\u00edho plynu znamenaly, \u017ee mnoho americk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed by ji\u017e nebylo konkurenceschopn\u00fdch a byly by nuceny zav\u0159\u00edt.\u00a0Ceny ji\u017e vzrostly o v\u00edce ne\u017e 41 procent oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu roku.\u00a0Na o\u017eiven\u00ed t\u011b\u017eby to ale nesta\u010d\u00ed: t\u011b\u017eba zemn\u00edho plynu v USA kles\u00e1 s po\u010dtem vrt\u016f a mno\u017estv\u00ed zemn\u00edho plynu v z\u00e1sobn\u00edc\u00edch je 7,4 procenta pod pr\u016fm\u011brem p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let.<\/p>\n<p>Mezit\u00edm by se v EU dalo skute\u010dn\u011b ud\u011blat n\u011bco, co by mohlo tuto krizi okam\u017eit\u011b odvr\u00e1tit: zapnout Nord Stream 2, kter\u00fd je ji\u017e postaven, odlo\u017een\u00edm byrokratick\u00e9ho, p\u0159etahovan\u00e9ho evropsk\u00e9ho protokolu, kter\u00fd protahuje certifika\u010dn\u00ed proces, a odstran\u011bn\u00edm opravdu idiotsk\u00e9 omezen\u00ed, \u017ee jej lze pou\u017e\u00edvat pouze na polovi\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu.\u00a0Rusk\u00fd Gazprom by byl naprosto p\u0159ipraven podepsat dlouhodobou smlouvu o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch za rozumnou cenu, jako to ud\u011blal s Ma\u010farskem.\u00a0Ale v tuto chv\u00edli se takov\u00e1 zm\u011bna n\u00e1zoru zd\u00e1 nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1.\u00a0Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b jsou fundamentalist\u00e9 voln\u00e9ho trhu st\u00e1le zaslepeni v\u00edrou, \u017ee voln\u00fd trh zachr\u00e1n\u00ed jejich obyvatelstvo p\u0159ed mrazem;\u00a0a na druhou stranu se zd\u00e1, \u017ee ekologov\u00e9 v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee smrt umrznut\u00edm je ctnostn\u00fd \u010din, kter\u00fd pom\u00e1h\u00e1 zachr\u00e1nit planetu p\u0159ed p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00edm. Taj\u00edc\u00ed sn\u00edh nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho jara m\u016f\u017ee odhalit politickou krajinu posetou zmrzl\u00fdmi t\u011bly ekolog\u016f a fanatik\u016f voln\u00e9ho trhu.\u00a0V\u0161ichni bychom jim samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u011bli p\u0159\u00e1t to nejlep\u0161\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e si to zaslou\u017e\u00ed nebo ne.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dmitrij Orlov<\/strong>\u00a0je po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00fd in\u017een\u00fdr, autor n\u011bkolika knih (k dispozici v n\u011bm\u010din\u011b: The Doctrine of Collapse)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00e1me v\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee dod\u00e1vka plynu bude fungovat i bez Nord Streamu 2. P\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eeno je ale&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1861,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,371,1008,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6894"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1861"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}