{"id":68651,"date":"2024-12-22T00:31:36","date_gmt":"2024-12-21T23:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=68651"},"modified":"2024-12-21T15:28:01","modified_gmt":"2024-12-21T14:28:01","slug":"iran-dalsi-americka-valka-volby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/22\/iran-dalsi-americka-valka-volby\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n: Dal\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka volby"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA riskuj\u00ed, \u017ee budou zata\u017eeny do krvav\u00e9 v\u00e1lky za region\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159eskupen\u00ed po rozpadu S\u00fdrie.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edr na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b nen\u00ed v dohledu a izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Netanjahu je st\u00e1le odhodl\u00e1n eskalovat v\u00e1lku. Faktick\u00e9 rozd\u011blen\u00ed S\u00fdrie na izraelsk\u00e1 a tureck\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed je p\u0159edehrou k \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Jak minul\u00fd t\u00fdden informoval Times of Israel, izraelsk\u00e9 letectvo (IAF) \u201epokra\u010dovalo ve zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 p\u0159ipravenosti a p\u0159\u00edprav\u201c na \u201emo\u017en\u00e9 \u00fadery v \u00cdr\u00e1nu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahuovou nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou je zni\u010den\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ne\u017e Rusko dos\u00e1hne sv\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a S\u00fdrie se stane nov\u00fdm boji\u0161t\u011bm pro Turky a Izraelce. Toto nen\u00ed jen konec washingtonsk\u00e9ho \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c. Je to za\u010d\u00e1tek chaosu. Izraelsk\u00e9 s\u00edly a tureck\u00e9 pomocn\u00e9 jednotky (tj. islamisti\u010dt\u00ed terorist\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed drancovali S\u00fdrii) u\u017e stoj\u00ed proti sob\u011b na demarka\u010dn\u00ed linii, kter\u00e1 vede v\u00fdchodoz\u00e1padn\u011b ji\u017en\u011b od Dama\u0161ku. Netanjahu si ned\u011bl\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 iluze o konfliktu mezi dlouhodob\u00fdmi strategick\u00fdmi c\u00edli Ankary v regionu a odhodl\u00e1n\u00edm Jeruzal\u00e9ma n\u00e1rokovat si syrskou v\u00e1le\u010dnou ko\u0159ist.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f a spole\u010densk\u00e9 nespokojenosti na dom\u00e1c\u00ed front\u011b nyn\u00ed nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd prezident Donald Trump \u010del\u00ed nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9mu rozpt\u00fdlen\u00ed v\u00e1lek, kter\u00e9 neza\u010dal a kter\u00e9 jeho administrativ\u011b a jeho zemi nep\u0159inesou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd strategick\u00fd p\u0159\u00ednos. Americk\u00e1 podpora roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se Netanjahuovy v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b ohroz\u00ed americkou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost a zaru\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee Washington, jeho ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly a americk\u00e1 ekonomika budou dr\u017eeny jako rukojm\u00ed bez ohledu na to, jak\u00fd strategick\u00fd sm\u011br si Netanjahu zvol\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Netanjahua je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, aby v\u00e1lku zah\u00e1jil rad\u011bji d\u0159\u00edve ne\u017e pozd\u011bji. V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem stav\u00ed Trumpa p\u0159ed strategickou hotovou v\u011bc. Pokud by se Trump rozhodl distancovat Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty od dal\u0161\u00ed krveprolit\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed konflikt Izraele s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a mo\u017en\u00e1 konfrontace Turecka s Izraelem znemo\u017en\u00ed sta\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dt\u00ed pl\u00e1nova\u010di politik mus\u00ed pochopit \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kontext, ve kter\u00e9m se to v\u0161echno d\u011bje \u2013 a pro\u010d v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nakonec zahub\u00ed n\u00e1s a na\u0161e domn\u011bl\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1tele. Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem americk\u00fdch pl\u00e1nova\u010d\u016f zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky by m\u011blo b\u00fdt p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed americk\u00e9 ekonomiky a vojensk\u00e9ho establishmentu multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmu sv\u011btu a otev\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch trh\u016f, nikoli vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1tel. Odm\u00edtnut\u00ed Washingtonu uznat z\u00e1sadn\u00ed posuny v moci a bohatstv\u00ed je ko\u0159enem selh\u00e1n\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky Bidenovy administrativy.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dnut\u00ed zm\u011bn by se vyhnulo konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem; pokojn\u011b by to urovnalo konkuren\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1roky na region\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii, jak to ned\u00e1vno ud\u011blali \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 p\u0159i zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed historick\u00e9ho sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi Kr\u00e1lovstv\u00edm Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a \u00cdr\u00e1nskou isl\u00e1mskou republikou. O\u017eivilo by to mnohostrann\u00e9 organizace, jako je Rada bezpe\u010dnosti OSN a Organizace pro bezpe\u010dnost a spolupr\u00e1ci v Evrop\u011b. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed by podpo\u0159ila vznik nov\u00fdch mocensk\u00fdch konstelac\u00ed po vzoru Metternicha a Castlereaghova Evropsk\u00e9ho koncertu z roku 1815. Stejn\u011b jako nelze vy\u0159e\u0161it \u017e\u00e1dnou ot\u00e1zku strategick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti v Evrop\u011b bez \u00fa\u010dasti Ruska, nem\u016f\u017ee Washington vytvo\u0159it stabilitu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou podporou \u00fazemn\u00edch ambic\u00ed Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neschopnost Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f zvl\u00e1dnout sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed p\u0159echod k multipolarit\u011b povede k je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu chaosu a vyvol\u00e1 velkou v\u00e1lku na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, nemluv\u011b o tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce s Ruskem a nakonec i \u010c\u00ednou. T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159i desetilet\u00ed nejist\u00e9ho veden\u00ed v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice mus\u00ed nahradit perspektiva, kter\u00e1 up\u0159ednost\u0148uje vyh\u00fdb\u00e1n\u00ed se konflikt\u016fm p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm konflikt\u016f nov\u00fdch. Nov\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed v obrann\u00e9 a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice by m\u011blo up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat diplomacii a m\u00edrovou spolupr\u00e1ci p\u0159ed vyu\u017eit\u00edm vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bonaparte \u017eertoval, \u017ee ve v\u00e1lce je pravda prvn\u00ed ob\u011bt\u00ed. Od t\u00e9 doby se nic nezm\u011bnilo. Washington je skute\u010dnou studnic\u00ed l\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e1 \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed nekone\u010dn\u00fd proud fale\u0161n\u00fdch narativ\u016f o skute\u010dn\u00e9 povaze d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00fdch hord pusto\u0161\u00edc\u00edch S\u00fdrii. Pro na\u0161e \u00fa\u010dely je v\u0161ak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bt, jak\u00e9 s\u00edly stoj\u00ed za islamistick\u00fdmi skupinami, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed drancuj\u00ed a terorizuj\u00ed S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Washington jednodu\u0161e ignoruje zni\u010den\u00ed S\u00fdrie a vznik spole\u010dn\u00e9 izraelsko-tureck\u00e9 hegemonie na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Rozpad S\u00fdrie v\u0161ak d\u00e1v\u00e1 Tel Avivu kr\u00e1tkou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Jak poznamenala zpr\u00e1va Times of Israel, IAF nemohlo d\u0159\u00edve l\u00e9tat p\u0159\u00edmo nad Dama\u0161ek, kdy\u017e \u00fato\u010dilo na c\u00edle spojen\u00e9 s \u00cdr\u00e1nem v hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b, ale nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahu v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee m\u00e1 v\u00edtr v z\u00e1dech: povzbuzen p\u00e1dem Asadova re\u017eimu obr\u00e1t\u00ed svou pozornost na Libanon, ji\u017en\u00ed S\u00fdrii a Z\u00e1padn\u00ed b\u0159eh Jord\u00e1nu. P\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n bude upevn\u011bn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsko-sa\u00fadsk\u00e9ho sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e9ho \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 a p\u0159itvrzen\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch blok\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n, podporovan\u00fd Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed, vytvo\u0159\u00ed do\u010dasnou izraelsko-tureckou alianci. \u010delit bloku podporovan\u00e9mu Washingtonem a jeho evropsk\u00fdmi vazaly.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed Ir\u00e1k: s 90 miliony obyvatel m\u00e1 dvakr\u00e1t v\u00edce obyvatel ne\u017e Ir\u00e1k, jeho ekonomika je rozvinut\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a m\u00e1 mocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed spojence, ne\u017e kdy m\u011bl Sadd\u00e1m Husajn. Na rozd\u00edl od o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed neokonzervativc\u016f se na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 proch\u00e1zky nekonaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedinou jistotou uprost\u0159ed chaosu je, \u017ee velk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b pr\u00e1v\u011b za\u010dala, a to d\u00edky souhlasu Bidena, Netanjahua a Erdogana. V\u00e1lka, kter\u00e9 budeme litovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Douglas Macgregor, James W. Carden<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA riskuj\u00ed, \u017ee budou zata\u017eeny do krvav\u00e9 v\u00e1lky za region\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159eskupen\u00ed po rozpadu S\u00fdrie. M\u00edr…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":68652,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68651"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68651\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}