{"id":68621,"date":"2024-12-21T00:46:15","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T23:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=68621"},"modified":"2024-12-20T17:13:13","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T16:13:13","slug":"jiri-paroubek-stane-se-eu-kolonii-spojenych-statu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/21\/jiri-paroubek-stane-se-eu-kolonii-spojenych-statu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Stane se EU koloni\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump u\u017e v p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed kampani s velkou chut\u00ed a \u010dasto hovo\u0159il o tom, \u017ee pot\u00e9, co se stane prezidentem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, zavede dodate\u010dn\u00e1 cla, tedy dal\u0161\u00ed cla k t\u011bm ji\u017e zaveden\u00fdm. A to na dovoz zbo\u017e\u00ed zejm\u00e9na z \u010c\u00edny, ale tak\u00e9 ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy a mo\u017en\u00e1 i z jin\u00fdch region\u016f sv\u011bta (ur\u010dit\u011b z Kanady a Mexika).<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jeho p\u0159edstavou je dramaticky sn\u00ed\u017eit schodky obchodn\u00ed bilance Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a tedy zv\u00fd\u0161it hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt USA. Vedlej\u0161\u00edm produktem ov\u0161em, pokud jde o nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel, bude utlumen\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu v\u00a0t\u011bch zem\u00edch, ze kter\u00fdch budou dovozy do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159ich\u00e1zet a tak\u00e9 inflace. Inflace v\u00a0tom p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, pokud dojde k\u00a0odvetn\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm, tedy k\u00a0uvalen\u00ed cel, recipro\u010dn\u011b na americk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. \u010c\u00edna u\u017e konec konc\u016f omezila v\u00fdvozy n\u011bkter\u00fdch sv\u00fdch produkt\u016f a surovin do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Bez dovozu vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny (a z\u00a0Ruska) budou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty t\u011b\u017eko zaji\u0161\u0165ovat ur\u010dit\u00e9 typy zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fdroby. Mus\u00ed nal\u00e9zt n\u00e1hradn\u00ed zdroje t\u011bchto surovin.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho se Donald Trump na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch pr\u00e1v\u011b nechal sly\u0161et, \u017ee alternativou nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdch cel pro Evropu je, pokud Evropa bude odeb\u00edrat vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed americk\u00e9ho plynu (LNG) a ropy ne\u017eli dosud. Je to takov\u00e9 drobn\u00e9 vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 vylep\u0161it schodkovou obchodn\u00ed bilanci Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a vylep\u0161it jejich hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst a pota\u017emo na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b dojde k\u00a0poklesu p\u0159ebytk\u016f obchodn\u00ed bilance na stran\u011b z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy (zejm\u00e9na N\u011bmecka, s\u00a0n\u00edm\u017e je \u010desk\u00e1 ekonomika spjata tis\u00edcer\u00fdmi pouty) a tak\u00e9 k\u00a0poklesu HDP v EU. A rezult\u00e1t je jasn\u00fd. V\u00a0bohat\u00fdch Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech vzroste \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0d\u016fsledku t\u011bchto faktor\u016f a naopak v\u00a0z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b bu\u010f klesne anebo neporoste.<\/p>\n

Bude zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 porovnat, jak\u00e9 jsou ceny americk\u00e9 ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG), ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0t\u011bmi rusk\u00fdmi cenami. Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm se d\u00edky v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 operaci na Ukrajin\u011b poda\u0159ilo brilantn\u011b vy\u0159adit ze hry sv\u00e9ho konkurenta v\u00a0dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu do Evropy, tedy Rusko.<\/p>\n

A k\u00a0tomu je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ipo\u010dteme \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 po\u017eadavky na zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed procenta pod\u00edlu zbrojn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f na HDP ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 2% (kter\u00e9 dob\u0159e 2\/3 st\u00e1t\u016f NATO nepln\u00ed) na 3%. To by v\u00a0na\u0161em p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b znamenalo, \u017ee by se zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fddaje zv\u00fd\u0161ily z\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00fdch t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 160 miliard K\u010d na 240 miliard K\u010d. Ne sice z\u00a0roku na rok, ale v\u00a0podstat\u011b do konce dek\u00e1dy, tedy do roku 2030. Tak alespo\u0148 o tom uva\u017euj\u00ed pl\u00e1nova\u010di NATO. Budou p\u0159itom stra\u0161it Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou.<\/p>\n

Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f \u010ceska ve st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu o dal\u0161\u00ed des\u00edtky miliard korun p\u0159i o\u010dek\u00e1vateln\u00e9m velmi n\u00edzk\u00e9m hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m r\u016fstu nebo dokonce stagnaci hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, bude znamenat dal\u0161\u00ed omezov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f do ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. Tedy zejm\u00e9na do zdravotnictv\u00ed, \u0161kolstv\u00ed, do soci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de atd. To bude jenom d\u00e1le zvy\u0161ovat nap\u011bt\u00ed v \u010desk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti a zejm\u00e9na to bude znamenat, \u017ee se nebude zvy\u0161ovat \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 lid\u00ed a v\u00a0nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b bude \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 stagnovat. A vyrovnat stra\u0161liv\u00fd propad re\u00e1ln\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f z\u00a0let 2022 a 2023 se nem\u016f\u017ee v\u00a0nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch letech v\u016fbec poda\u0159it. Nelze o tom re\u00e1ln\u011b uva\u017eovat.<\/p>\n

Pokud Donald Trump pom\u016f\u017ee ukon\u010dit rychle v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b, a j\u00e1 v\u00a0to pevn\u011b douf\u00e1m, bude to velmi pozitivn\u00ed krok z\u00a0jeho strany. Bohu\u017eel, ale jeho prezidentstv\u00ed bude doprov\u00e1zeno uplatn\u011bn\u00edm p\u0159edstavy, \u017ee r\u016fst \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b americk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f, p\u016fjde na \u00fakor jejich spojenc\u016f v\u010detn\u011b \u010ceska a jeho ob\u010dan\u016f.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump u\u017e v p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed kampani s velkou chut\u00ed a \u010dasto…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":55203,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[41,1566,1503,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68621"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68621\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}