{"id":68574,"date":"2024-12-20T06:37:43","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T05:37:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=68574"},"modified":"2024-12-20T06:48:32","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T05:48:32","slug":"michael-svatos-asi-nejlepsi-zapadni-vojensky-analytik-soucasnosti-plukovnik-markus-reisner-vcera-pozde-vecer-prednesl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/20\/michael-svatos-asi-nejlepsi-zapadni-vojensky-analytik-soucasnosti-plukovnik-markus-reisner-vcera-pozde-vecer-prednesl\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Asi nejlep\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00fd analytik sou\u010dasnosti plukovn\u00edk Markus Reisner v\u010dera pozd\u011b ve\u010der p\u0159ednesl…"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Asi nejlep\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00fd analytik sou\u010dasnosti plukovn\u00edk Markus Reisner v\u010dera pozd\u011b ve\u010der p\u0159ednesl vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ku o sou\u010dasn\u00e9 Rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b a jej\u00edch schopnostech. Nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b proti Rus\u016fm naprosto selhaly! Video + anal\u00fdza<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed\u00a0no\u010dn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu plukovn\u00edka Markuse Reisnera najdete v angli\u010dtin\u011b zde.<\/a>\u00a0N\u00ed\u017ee v textu rozeberu jej\u00ed hlavn\u00ed body, pro ty, kdo neovl\u00e1daj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b dob\u0159e \u201crakouskou angli\u010dtinu\u201d. \u010casy tvrzen\u00ed Reisnera jsem doplnil do textu.\u00a0Moji v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzu na podobn\u00e9 t\u00e9ma s Josefem Sk\u00e1lou a Petrem Bure\u0161em najdete zde<\/a>. P\u0159eji p\u0159\u00edjemnou z\u00e1bavu, a kr\u00e1sn\u00e9 v\u00e1noce. Byl to pro mn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd den, TV Bure\u0161 a je\u0161t\u011b Reisner, tak snad st\u00e1l za to.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edchoz\u00ed anal\u00fdzy Markuse Reisnera, kter\u00e9 jsme rozeb\u00edrali jsou MAP 2002, MAP 2107, MAP 1522.<\/p>\n

V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdza plukovn\u00edka Reisnera, (v\u00fdb\u011br dopln\u011bn\u00fd o dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fadaje):<\/span><\/h3>\n

Extra pou\u010den\u00ed pro Pavla, \u010cernochovou a \u0158ehku, kte\u0159\u00ed naprosto ignoruj\u00ed protivzdu\u0161nou a protiraketovou obranu \u010cR. Reisner tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee v\u00e9st dlouhodobou v\u00e1lku, naprosto nelze, pokud nen\u00ed vybudov\u00e1na mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u00e1 protiraketov\u00e1 a protiletadlov\u00e1 obrana vlastn\u00edho \u00fazem\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na jeho strategick\u00e9ho t\u00fdlu! Jde o prvn\u00ed a naprosto z\u00e1sadn\u00ed po\u017eadavek sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky!!! \u010cas 03:18 (Ani jeden z poslucha\u010d\u016f d\u016fstojnick\u00e9ho kurzu rakousk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy proti tomuto z\u00e1v\u011bru neprotestoval, v\u0161ichni souhlasili!!! Asi by to cht\u011blo rychle vym\u011bnit \u010desk\u00e9 gener\u00e1ly za rakousk\u00e9 kadety!!!)<\/p>\n

(1)<\/strong><\/span> Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se dokonale adaptovala na nov\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho boji\u0161t\u011b, a proto nyn\u00ed vede \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku podzimu na boji\u0161ti proti Ukrajin\u011b bojovalo 640 tis\u00edc rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Nyn\u00ed bojuje 670 tis\u00edc, a do konce roku m\u00e1 tento po\u010det vzr\u016fst na 700 tis\u00edc. Rusko nyn\u00ed disponuje mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed kapacitou (pouze na dobrovoln\u00e9 b\u00e1zi) 30 a\u017e 35 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Rusko tedy m\u00e1 dostate\u010dnou kapacitu, aby nejen nahrazovalo ztr\u00e1ty, ale i zvy\u0161ovalo po\u010dty sv\u00fdch vojsk bojuj\u00edc\u00edch proti Ukrajin\u011b. Podle Reisnera, tak m\u00e1 Rusko nyn\u00ed k dispozici \u201cvelmi mnoho voj\u00e1k\u016f, oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edm let\u016fm v\u00e1lky<\/em>\u201c. Ukrajinskou mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu Reisner komentoval s povzdechem. Podle posledn\u00edch Ukrajinsk\u00fdch ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f (viz MAP 2118<\/a>) je Ukrajina schopna na boji\u0161t\u011b zmobilizovat m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b jen 20 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, (a z nich 88% n\u00e1sil\u00edm, a 12% dobrovoln\u011b). M\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed pom\u011br Rusko 35 000 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f \/ Ukrajina 2400 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f a 17600 n\u00e1sil\u00edm odvle\u010den\u00fdch znamen\u00e1, \u017ee t\u00edmto tempem se rozd\u00edl v po\u010detn\u00edch stavech Rusk\u00e9 a Ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na front\u011b rychle m\u011bn\u00ed v siln\u00fd rusk\u00fd prosp\u011bch. Z Ukrajinsk\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy vycvi\u010den\u00e9 ve Francii dezertovalo 1000 voj\u00e1k\u016f okam\u017eit\u011b, jakmile byla v listopadu posl\u00e1na na frontu. Podle po\u010detn\u00edho stavu ukrajinsk\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy 4000 mu\u017e\u016f tak dezertovala 1\/4 tabulkov\u00fdch po\u010dt\u016f.<\/p>\n

(2)<\/strong><\/span> Mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e1 schopnost rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy nahrazovat ztr\u00e1ty podle Reisnera znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u201cztr\u00e1ty pro ruskou arm\u00e1du nep\u0159edstavuj\u00ed probl\u00e9m\u201d, kter\u00fd by jej\u00ed bojov\u00e9 schopnosti sni\u017eoval, a na rozd\u00edl od \u201cZ\u00e1padu\u201d tyto ztr\u00e1ty nevyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u201cani \u017e\u00e1dnou diskusi\u201d, kterou by na Z\u00e1pad\u011b vyvolali. Rusko je tedy ochotn\u00e9 na rozd\u00edl od z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty akceptovat bez ztr\u00e1ty mor\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n

(3)<\/strong><\/span> Rusko zna\u010dn\u011b zdokonalilo svou obrn\u011bnou techniku proti dron\u016f (\u017eelv\u00ed tanky), ale hlavn\u011b m\u00e1 p\u016fsobivou schopnost elektronick\u00e9ho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. Podle Reisnera Rusko disponuje takovou po\u010detn\u00ed silou radioelektronick\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f, radar\u016f, ru\u0161i\u010dek, a \u010didel, \u017ee na linii 1000 km fronty vybudovalo impozantn\u00ed radioelektronickou z\u00f3nu vlastn\u00ed elektronick\u00e9 dominance a\u017e na hloubku 100 km od linie fronty ob\u011bma sm\u011bry.<\/p>\n

(4)<\/strong><\/span> A\u010dkoli Ukrajina jako prvn\u00ed na boji\u0161ti pou\u017e\u00edvala \u201czabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 oper\u00e1tory nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 drony, (FPV drony), Rusov\u00e9 ji velmi rychle p\u0159ed\u010dili jejich \u201cmasovou pr\u016fmyslovou v\u00fdrobou ve velk\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku\u201d. Reisner je tak dal\u0161\u00ed, kdo p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1 naprostou dominanci Ruska ve v\u00e1lce dron\u016f \u2013 viz. na\u0161e p\u0159edchoz\u00ed anal\u00fdzy o nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 vele\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 taktice \u201cdominance a izolace\u201d.\u00a0Plukovn\u00ed Reisner v \u010dase 06:30 videa<\/a>\u00a0ukazuje model nejsmrteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho prost\u0159edku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, dron s hlavic\u00ed st\u0159ely z RPG, v 06:49 ukazuje tlou\u0161\u0165ku panc\u00ed\u0159e, kter\u00fd tato n\u00e1lo\u017e proraz\u00ed, v 07:05 p\u0159ehr\u00e1v\u00e1 jak tyto drony ni\u010d\u00ed tanky.<\/p>\n

(5)<\/strong><\/span> Podle Reisnera Severn\u00ed Korea poslala do Ruska sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky hlavn\u011b, aby z\u00edskali zku\u0161enosti z modern\u00ed v\u00e1lky, proto\u017ee v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti jsou pro arm\u00e1dy nenahraditeln\u00e9. Reisener tedy oponuje tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee Rus\u016fm \u201cdoch\u00e1zej\u00ed voj\u00e1ci\u201d, kter\u00e1 r\u00e1d \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed \u010desk\u00fd mainstream. (Viz \u010das 10:00 +)<\/p>\n

(6)<\/strong> <\/span>Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se proti Ukrajinsk\u00fdm dron\u016fm rychle adaptovala, a vytvo\u0159ila rychl\u00e9 mobiln\u00ed skupiny na motork\u00e1ch a bugin\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 po boji\u0161ti man\u00e9vruj\u00ed tak rychle, aby ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed oper\u00e1to\u0159i dron\u016f nestihli reagovat. V 11:07 dokazuje Reisner sv\u00fdm student\u016fm, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 byli na tento zp\u016fsob v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed man\u00e9vrem na motork\u00e1ch u\u017e d\u00e1vno p\u0159ipraveni, a ukazuje historick\u00e9 fotky a hovo\u0159\u00ed o p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch manu\u00e1lech. Rusov\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edvali historicky a\u017e 100 motocykl\u016f v jednom speci\u00e1ln\u00edm praporu pro rychl\u00fd man\u00e9vr a pr\u016fzkum. \u00dakolem t\u011bchto rychl\u00fdch jednotek je naj\u00edt slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta v ukrajinsk\u00e9 obran\u011b a rychle jimi proniknout do jejich t\u00fdlu. Reisnerovy \u00favahy potvrzuj\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z boji\u0161t\u011b, od l\u00e9ta Rusov\u00e9 tyto nov\u00e9 rychl\u00e9 jednotky usilovn\u011b bojuj\u00ed. Jakmile se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed po\u010detn\u00ed rozd\u00edl mezi ukrajinskou a ruskou arm\u00e1dou, rusk\u00e9 rychl\u00e9 jednotky na motocyklech a bugin\u00e1ch rychle proniknout ukrajinskou obranou, a p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok zna\u010dn\u011b zrychl\u00ed rusk\u00fd postup vp\u0159ed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

(7)<\/strong><\/span> Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ni\u010d\u00ed tanky Leopard a obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla Bradley p\u0159esn\u011b podle manu\u00e1lu na 15 km z vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, prov\u00e1d\u011bt za t\u00e9to situace \u00fadery touto technikou bez eliminace rusk\u00fdch vrtuln\u00edk\u016f je hol\u00e1 sebevra\u017eda.<\/p>\n

(8)<\/strong><\/span> Ukrajinci maj\u00ed v boji proti Rus\u016fm velmi vysok\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (video 13:56).<\/p>\n

(9)<\/strong> <\/span>POZOR! Z\u00e1padn\u00ed p\u0159esn\u00e9 zbran\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b naprosto zkrachovaly a ztratily svoji \u00fa\u010dinnost! Kolem \u010dasu 15:00 Reisner ukazuje d\u016fkazy, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad pom\u00e1hal Ukrajinc\u016fm za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky velmi intenzivn\u011b zab\u00edjet rusk\u00e9 gener\u00e1ly. K zab\u00edjen\u00ed byly Z\u00e1padem pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 st\u0159ely a gran\u00e1ty. Jen\u017ee Rusov\u00e9 b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f zcela ovl\u00e1dli nebo naru\u0161ily nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed t\u011bchto z\u00e1padn\u00edch gran\u00e1t\u016f i st\u0159el, tak\u017ee jestli na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b byl US gran\u00e1t Excalibur \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd z 95%, nyn\u00ed u\u017e zas\u00e1hne rusk\u00fd c\u00edl pouze ze 6%! P\u0159i cen\u00e1ch gran\u00e1t\u016f, a jejich z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch, to je katastrofa, proto\u017ee 6% je \u00fa\u010dinnost oby\u010dejn\u00e9ho nenav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9ho gran\u00e1tu. Rusov\u00e9 tak zcela vy\u0159adili tzv. v\u00fdhodu Z\u00e1padu v p\u0159esn\u00e9 munici!!! Nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 rakety Taurus (N\u011bmecko je u\u017e nechce dod\u00e1vat) a SCALP (Brit\u00e1nie\/Francie) jsou u\u017e \u00fapln\u011b k ni\u010demu. Maj\u00ed nyn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost u\u017e pouze 25%. (Jist\u011b u\u017e ch\u00e1pete, pro\u010d se jich Brit\u00e1nie i Francie sna\u017e\u00ed zbavit, a Ukrajinci je vyst\u0159eluj\u00ed jako smysl\u016f zbaven\u00ed \u2013 je to drah\u00e9 haramp\u00e1d\u00ed, kter\u00e9 u\u017e nedok\u00e1\u017ee trefit rusk\u00fd c\u00edl na boji\u0161ti!!! Iskandery touto ztr\u00e1tou \u00fa\u010dinnosti netrp\u00ed!!. ) HIMARS ztratil tak\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinnost, nyn\u00ed 10%, mo\u017en\u00e1 ale i 30-40%, a to je velmi m\u00e1lo!<\/p>\n

(10)<\/strong> <\/span>V z\u00e1v\u011bru p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ky Reisner p\u0159iznal, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad \u201cztratil Afriku\u201d a ta nyn\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed do \u201cRusk\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry vlivu\u201d. Podobn\u011b i v na\u0161ich posledn\u00edch anal\u00fdz\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011br: Z\u00e1padu se na Ukrajin\u011b neda\u0159\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako v Africe. Na\u0161i politici m\u00edsto, aby z ne\u00fasp\u011bch\u016f vyvodili d\u016fsledky, rad\u011bji podporuj\u00ed medi\u00e1ln\u00ed kampan\u011b, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit ob\u010dany o opaku, o rusk\u00e9 slabosti, a bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se por\u00e1\u017ece. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed slabinou sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho Z\u00e1padu jsou tak jeho vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed politici. (Net\u00fdk\u00e1 se zat\u00edm Trumpa, to se teprve uvid\u00ed, ani Fica, nebo Orb\u00e1na, ti jsou od za\u010d\u00e1tku realist\u00e9.)<\/p>\n

Je p\u00e1tek 20. prosinec 04.23 r\u00e1no \u2013 V\u010dera jsem byl hostem na TV Bure\u0161, proto dnes jen kr\u00e1tk\u00fd v\u00fdtah z p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ky Reisnera. P\u0159eji v\u0161em kr\u00e1sn\u00fd den, a komu dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza p\u0159ipadala u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee vznik dal\u0161\u00ed podpo\u0159it darem na \u00fa\u010det na konci tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku. M\u011bjte se. Posledn\u00ed po\u0159ady moje vystoupen\u00ed na\u00a0TV Protiproud \u2013 27.11. zde<\/a>.\u00a0Na TV Bure\u0161 \u2013 5.12. zde<\/a>.\u00a0Na LOS 10 \u2013 7.12. zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Asi nejlep\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00fd analytik sou\u010dasnosti plukovn\u00edk Markus Reisner v\u010dera pozd\u011b ve\u010der p\u0159ednesl vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ku…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,80,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68574"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68574"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68574\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68575,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68574\/revisions\/68575"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10077"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}