{"id":68502,"date":"2024-12-20T00:31:09","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T23:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=68502"},"modified":"2024-12-19T14:49:27","modified_gmt":"2024-12-19T13:49:27","slug":"thomas-roper-boj-zapadu-proti-ruskym-vojenskym-zakladnam-v-syrii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/20\/thomas-roper-boj-zapadu-proti-ruskym-vojenskym-zakladnam-v-syrii\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Boj Z\u00e1padu proti rusk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m v S\u00fdrii"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jednou z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek kolem S\u00fdrie je, co se stane s rusk\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi z\u00e1kladnami v S\u00fdrii. Z\u00e1pad chce, aby zmizeli, ale zpr\u00e1vy o jejich osudu jsou st\u00e1le rozporupln\u00e9.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Jednou z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek v tuto chv\u00edli je, zda se Z\u00e1padu po p\u00e1du Asada poda\u0159\u00ed vys\u00eddlit rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v S\u00fdrii, proto\u017ee Rusko tam m\u00e1 svou jedinou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu ve St\u0159edozemn\u00edm mo\u0159i a vojenskou leteckou z\u00e1kladnu, p\u0159es kterou rusk\u00e9 aktivity v Africe se tak\u00e9 prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed . Ztr\u00e1ta z\u00e1kladen by byla pro Rusko v\u00e1\u017enou ranou a mohla by zam\u00edchat karty v n\u011bkter\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v S\u00fdrii<\/span><\/h3>\n

Rusko m\u011blo v S\u00fdrii t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy: za prv\u00e9 cht\u011blo udr\u017eet sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v S\u00fdrii, za druh\u00e9 cht\u011blo podpo\u0159it sv\u00e9ho dlouholet\u00e9ho spojence Asada a za t\u0159et\u00ed cht\u011blo bojovat proti islamist\u016fm, proto\u017ee mnoho radik\u00e1l\u016f p\u0159i\u0161lo do S\u00fdrie Muslimsk\u00e9 oblasti Ruska a b\u00fdval\u00fdch sov\u011btsk\u00fdch republik. Putin po rusk\u00e9 intervenci v S\u00fdrii velmi otev\u0159en\u011b \u0159ekl, \u017ee Rusko tyto lidi v S\u00fdrii rad\u011bji zni\u010d\u00ed, ne\u017e aby \u010dekalo, a\u017e v S\u00fdrii zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed, a pak se ozbrojen\u00e9 a bojem zocelen\u00e9 vr\u00e1tilo do sv\u00fdch domovsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

S p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm \u00fatokem islamist\u016f mohla rusk\u00e1 politika v S\u00fdrii selhat a tento ne\u00fasp\u011bch je v Rusku uzn\u00e1v\u00e1n a diskutov\u00e1n velmi kriticky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Rusko je nyn\u00ed heslem t\u00e9to hodiny omezen\u00ed \u0161kod a pokus o udr\u017een\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen. Rusko je nav\u00edc v kontaktu s nov\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dci v S\u00fdrii, se kter\u00fdmi ned\u00e1vno bojovalo. Rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee nyn\u00ed je \u010das na pragmatismus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko nevede prohranou bitvu<\/span><\/h3>\n

A zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Rusko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 prvn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bchy, proto\u017ee zat\u00edmco v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00ed islamist\u00e9 po invazi do syrsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta Dama\u0161ku vyplenili \u00edr\u00e1nskou ambas\u00e1du, nov\u00ed vl\u00e1dci poskytli rusk\u00fdm diplomat\u016fm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky a zat\u00edm nen\u00ed nic zn\u00e1mo o excesech proti mnoha rusk\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm. , kte\u0159\u00ed v d\u016fsledku syrsko-sov\u011btsk\u00e9 a pot\u00e9 syrsko-rusk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed \u017eij\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroj rusk\u00e9 tiskov\u00e9 agentury TASS 9. prosince uvedl, \u017ee den p\u0159edt\u00edm ozbrojen\u00e9 formace Asadov\u00fdch odp\u016frc\u016f zcela ovl\u00e1dly syrsk\u00e9 provincie Latakia a Tartus, kde se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny. Na rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny ale nepronikly. M\u00edsto toho bylo ozn\u00e1meno, \u017ee bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky nov\u00fdch vl\u00e1dc\u016f se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily tak\u00e9 na rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a operace tam proto prob\u00edhaj\u00ed norm\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

13. prosince zdroj obezn\u00e1men\u00fd s postupem vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>agentu\u0159e TASS \u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Rusko vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 s novou syrskou vl\u00e1dou o udr\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dne 17. prosince emir\u00e1tsk\u00fd port\u00e1l The National s odkazem na zdroj ze skupiny HTS, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed chopila moci v S\u00fdrii, informoval, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Ruskem a novou syrskou vl\u00e1dou o zachov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v \u201epozitivn\u00edm atmosf\u00e9ru \u201eztratit se. Podle zdroje jsou \u201ev prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi jedn\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c o rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v S\u00fdrii. Z\u00e1stupce rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil \u0159ekl port\u00e1lu, jeho\u017e novin\u00e1\u0159i nav\u0161t\u00edvili leteckou z\u00e1kladnu Hmeimim, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da udr\u017euje \u201edobr\u00e9 vztahy\u201c s novou syrskou vl\u00e1dou. Existuje \u201ekontakt s nov\u00fdm \u0161\u00e9fem vl\u00e1dy a ani jedna strana neprovokuje tu druhou,\u201c citoval ho The National.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd zdroj nav\u00edc port\u00e1lu \u0159ekl, \u017ee nov\u00e1 syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nehodl\u00e1 poru\u0161it smlouvu, podle n\u00ed\u017e si Rusko pronaj\u00edm\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstav Tart\u00fas. HTS podle zdroje nem\u016f\u017ee jednostrann\u011b vypov\u011bd\u011bt n\u00e1jemn\u00ed smlouvu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zda je tento optimismus p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00fd, se teprve uvid\u00ed, proto\u017ee EU ji\u017e podm\u00ednila poskytnut\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed podpory nov\u00e9 syrsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b uzav\u0159en\u00edm rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v S\u00fdrii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko a isl\u00e1m<\/span><\/h3>\n

Na druhou stranu by se nem\u011blo podce\u0148ovat Rusko, kde je kolem 25 procent muslimsk\u00e9 populace a kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 v isl\u00e1msk\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b mnohem lep\u0161\u00ed pov\u011bst ne\u017e Z\u00e1pad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prost\u0159edn\u00edkem z Ruska, kter\u00e9ho uzn\u00e1vaj\u00ed i radik\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed muslimov\u00e9, je \u010de\u010densk\u00fd prezident Kadyrov, v jeho\u017e rusk\u00e9 autonomii sice neplat\u00ed pr\u00e1vo \u0161ar\u00eda, ale mnoh\u00e1 pravidla isl\u00e1mu maj\u00ed s\u00edlu z\u00e1kona. Kadyrov zve\u0159ejnil\u00a016. prosince\u00a0<\/span>v Telegramu svou fotku s Putinem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, na kter\u00e9 mu Putin daroval luxusn\u011b vyroben\u00fd Kor\u00e1n a navrhl zah\u00e1jit proces k vylou\u010den\u00ed skupiny Hayat Tahrir ash-Sham (HTS), kter\u00e1 se dostala k moci v S\u00fdrii. odstran\u011bny ze seznamu teroristick\u00fdch organizac\u00ed. Kadyrov to od\u016fvodnil t\u00edm, \u017ee humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed katastrof\u011b v S\u00fdrii lze zabr\u00e1nit a napsal:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eD\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je bez \u010dek\u00e1n\u00ed na za\u010d\u00e1tek nebo konec tohoto procesu okam\u017eit\u011b zorganizovat pr\u00e1ci kontaktn\u00ed skupiny obou zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 bude schopna nav\u00e1zat prvn\u00ed spojen\u00ed a za\u010d\u00edt \u0159e\u0161it probl\u00e9my. To je celosv\u011btov\u00e1 praxe, jak se dostat z krize co nejrychleji a pomoci obyvatelstvu.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

Rozhodnut\u00ed nov\u00e9 syrsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy zastavit pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1n\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f a \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f a odzbrojit v\u0161echny ozbrojen\u00e9 skupiny by p\u0159isp\u011blo ke \u201estabiln\u00edmu a m\u00edrov\u00e9mu \u017eivotu\u201c obyvatel S\u00fdrie, ale bylo by \u201eobt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9\u201c tuto iniciativu realizovat bez partner\u016f. Kadyrov tak\u00e9 \u0159ekl, \u017ee je p\u0159ipraven vyslat \u010de\u010densk\u00e9 policisty, aby hl\u00eddkovali v S\u00fdrii, a vyu\u017e\u00edt instruktory z Rusk\u00e9 univerzity speci\u00e1ln\u00edch sil k \u201ep\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed jedine\u010dn\u00fdch zku\u0161enost\u00ed a znalost\u00ed\u201c. Vzhledem k dlouh\u00e9 tradici rusko-syrsk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce si je jist\u00fd:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJak\u00e1koli rusk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost v S\u00fdrii bude sledovat c\u00edl stability a bezpe\u010dnosti pro obyvatelstvo. Opakovan\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti s rusk\u00fdmi ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami podporuj\u00edc\u00edmi obyvatelstvo: to zahrnuje pomoc p\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f a podporu ob\u011bt\u00ed zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed. Tyto zku\u0161enosti budou velk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00ednosem pro obnovu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktury zem\u011b.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

\u010ce\u010densko je a z\u016fstane \u201ev\u011brn\u00fdm pomocn\u00edkem a p\u0159\u00edtelem dlouho trp\u00edc\u00edho syrsk\u00e9ho lidu,\u201c uzav\u0159el Kadyrov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd pragmatick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup nen\u00ed pro Rusko novinkou, proto\u017ee zat\u00edmco Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 dvoj\u00ed metr a nad\u00e1le izoluje Taliban a z\u00e1rove\u0148 roztahuje \u010derven\u00fd koberec pro islamisty v S\u00fdrii, Rusko ji\u017e nav\u00e1zalo kontakty s Talibanem a p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed o odstran\u011bn\u00ed Talibanu z nich podle teroristick\u00e9ho seznamu. Delegace Talibanu se dokonce v l\u00e9t\u011b z\u00fa\u010dastnila petrohradsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra, kde diskutovala o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed tedy vylou\u010deno, \u017ee se Rusko d\u00edky sv\u00fdm dobr\u00fdm kontakt\u016fm v isl\u00e1msk\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b dohodne s nov\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dci v S\u00fdrii, i kdy\u017e \u0161ance na to aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nevypadaj\u00ed dob\u0159e a Z\u00e1pad d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e pro to, aby tomu zabr\u00e1nil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jednou z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek kolem S\u00fdrie je, co se stane s rusk\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi z\u00e1kladnami v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":68503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[22,147,1737],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68502"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68502"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68502\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68503"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68502"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68502"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68502"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}