{"id":6820,"date":"2021-12-12T05:35:55","date_gmt":"2021-12-12T04:35:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=6820"},"modified":"2021-12-12T05:35:55","modified_gmt":"2021-12-12T04:35:55","slug":"kdyz-ukrajinu-prijmou-do-nato-jaka-bude-odpoved-ruska-co-obnasi-ona-cervena-linie-putina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/12\/12\/kdyz-ukrajinu-prijmou-do-nato-jaka-bude-odpoved-ruska-co-obnasi-ona-cervena-linie-putina\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy\u017e Ukrajinu p\u0159ijmou do NATO, jak\u00e1 bude odpov\u011b\u010f Ruska? Co obn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed ona \u201c\u010derven\u00e1 linie Putina\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V t\u011bchto dnech n\u00e1\u0161 prezident navrhl uskute\u010dnit se Z\u00e1padem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o\u00a0p\u00edsemn\u00e9m zakotven\u00ed jasn\u00fdch z\u00e1ruk ohledn\u011b neroz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO na v\u00fdchod. Toti\u017e z\u00e1ruk, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b, a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 Gruzii, nakonec p\u0159estanou slibovat, \u017ee je n\u011bkdy vezmou do NATO a\u00a0nav\u017edy jim zam\u00edtnou toto p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Sami ch\u00e1pete, jak je pro Z\u00e1pad t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 s\u00a0n\u011b\u010d\u00edm takov\u00fdm souhlasit. V\u017edy\u0165 pr\u00e1v\u011b nad\u011bje Ukrajiny na vstup do aliance NATO ji \u010din\u00ed tak agresivn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku. P\u0159ijmout dan\u00fd n\u00e1vrh znamen\u00e1 ztratit Ukrajinu jako pohodlnou p\u00e1ku pro tlak na Rusko.<\/p>\n

A p\u0159ijmout nakonec Ukrajinu do NATO znamen\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce p\u0159itla\u010dit na Kreml \u00a0rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm na Ukrajin\u011b, \u00fapln\u011b bl\u00edzko k\u00a0Moskv\u011b, \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je v\u00a0s\u00e1zce pov\u011bst \u2013 jestli slibovali, tak je t\u0159eba bu\u010f nakonec p\u0159ijmout nebo alespo\u0148 sl\u00edbit n\u011bco dal\u0161\u00edho. Jinak to tak n\u011bjak nevypad\u00e1 hezky.<\/p>\n

Cel\u00fd sv\u011bt m\u016f\u017ee uvid\u011bt, \u017ee rozhodnut\u00ed o\u00a0vstupu n\u011bjak\u00e9 zem\u011b do NATO ovliv\u0148uje Rusko. Proto se tedy \u0161\u00e9f aliance Stoltenberg tak ost\u0159e vyj\u00e1d\u0159il v\u00a0odpov\u011b\u010f na toto a\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee rozhodnut\u00ed o\u00a0tom, zda vstoup\u00ed Ukrajina do NATO, budou p\u0159ij\u00edmat v\u00a0alianci a\u00a0Rusko tam \u201cnem\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo hlasu\u201d.<\/p>\n

Jak vid\u00edte, Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 velk\u00e9 poku\u0161en\u00ed Ukrajinu do NATO p\u0159ijmout.<\/p>\n

Ale z\u0159ejm\u011b jsou u\u00a0tohoto rozhodnut\u00ed i\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky, kdy\u017e dosud Ukrajinu do NATO zat\u00edm nep\u0159ijali. Nikdo v\u0161ak ale nepochopil jak\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b. Co m\u00e1 Putin na mysli onou \u201c\u010dervenou lini\u00ed\u201d?<\/p>\n

Posledn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy nakonec umo\u017enily u\u010dinit domn\u011bnky, co nastane, kdy\u017e Ukrajinu p\u0159esto p\u0159ijmou do NATO \u2013 pod z\u00e1minkou, \u00fadajn\u011b, \u201c\u00fatoku Ruska\u201d nebo kv\u016fli riziku, \u017ee v\u00a0Kyjev\u011b se roz\u010daruj\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159estanou b\u00fdt \u201cantiRuskem\u201d, a\u00a0mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u016fbec, jako B\u011blorusko, vstoup\u00ed do Svazov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0odvetn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed na vstup Ukrajiny do NATO se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed na\u0161ich syst\u00e9m\u016f S-400, S-500, a\u00a0tak\u00e9 Iskander\u016f v\u00a0B\u011blarusi, co\u017e ned\u00e1vno zm\u00ednil s\u00e1m Luka\u0161enko ve sv\u00e9m interview.<\/p>\n

To vytvo\u0159\u00ed velkou hrozbu z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m NATO v\u00a0regionu, kter\u00e9 bude mo\u017en\u00e9 zni\u010dit za p\u00e1r minut. A\u00a0tak\u00e9 bude mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve objevit nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 rakety, kdy\u017e se tam um\u00edst\u00ed stanice varov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0komunikace.<\/p>\n

A je\u0161t\u011b, podle toho, \u017ee p\u0159ed setk\u00e1n\u00edm s\u00a0Bidenem Putin odcestoval nejprve na n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu do Indie, lze usuzovat, \u017ee Rusko se chyst\u00e1 na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed vlastn\u00ed aliance, kter\u00e1 bude v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e NATO, dokonce i\u00a0p\u0159i\u00a0za\u010dlen\u00ed Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Do na\u0161\u00ed aliance m\u016f\u017ee vstoupit Indie, \u010c\u00edna, \u00cdr\u00e1n, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n a\u00a0zem\u011b ODKB. \u010cili skoro cel\u00e1 Eurasie, ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0\u010d\u00edm\u017e bude NATO trpasl\u00edkem. A\u00a0nejen \u00fazem\u00edm a\u00a0obyvatelstvem, ale tak\u00e9 rozsahem ekonomiky.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1 zat\u00edm je\u0161t\u011b Z\u00e1pad podstatn\u00fd pod\u00edl na sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomice. Co\u017e mu zat\u00edm umo\u017e\u0148uje utr\u00e1cet relativn\u011b hodn\u011b pen\u011bz za zbran\u011b. Ale \u201c\u010derven\u00e1 linie Putina\u201d m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 zahrnout omezen\u00ed na v\u00fdvoz na\u0161ich energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, na nich\u017e se p\u0159ece dr\u017e\u00ed ekonomika Z\u00e1padu.<\/p>\n

My m\u00e1me kam prodat svou ropu a\u00a0plyn, pokud bude Evropa i\u00a0nad\u00e1le protahovat spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed SP-2 a\u00a0Ukrajinu p\u0159ijmou do NATO. M\u016f\u017eeme za\u010d\u00edt prod\u00e1vat v\u00edce plynu do \u010c\u00edny, m\u00edsto drah\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho LPG.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee kdy\u017e se vytla\u010d\u00ed z\u00a0asijsk\u00e9ho trhu Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a\u00a0vytvo\u0159\u00ed se schodek na evropsk\u00e9m, Evrop\u011b a\u00a0USA nez\u016fstane nic jin\u00e9ho, ne\u017e za\u010d\u00edt importovat americk\u00fd LPG do Evropy. Ale ten je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 drah\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e bude v\u00a0Evrop\u011b plyn je\u0161t\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed, a\u00a0v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b naopak zlevni, u\u010din\u00ed to \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, a\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 je\u0161t\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed beztak ka\u017ed\u00fd rok vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0konkurenci se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi v\u00fdrobci. Ale v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b to bude pro Evropu je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

To siln\u011b sni\u017euje vyhl\u00eddky na vstup Ukrajiny do NATO. Jeliko\u017e pro p\u0159ijet\u00ed do aliance je t\u0159eba souhlasu v\u0161ech jeho \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f, a\u00a0N\u011bmecko kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b m\u00e1 u\u017e i\u00a0tak probl\u00e9my s\u00a0plynem a\u00a0m\u016f\u017ee s\u00a0takov\u00fdmi sazbami na plyn v\u016fbec pozb\u00fdt svou v\u00fdrobu . Odtud i\u00a0takov\u00e9 zpo\u017e\u010fov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

N\u011bmecko nejen vystupuje proti Ukrajin\u011b v\u00a0NATO a\u00a0ned\u00e1v\u00e1 tomu sv\u016fj hlas, ale tak\u00e9 vyv\u00edj\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed, aby se zbavilo jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed USA na\u00a0 sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. Ale jak tedy vyhro\u017eovat Rusku? Cht\u011bli je u\u017e p\u0159esunout do Polska, ale k\u00a0tomu Luka\u0161enko ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee rozm\u00edst\u00ed v\u00a0tom p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b na\u0161e jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b v\u00a0B\u011blarusi. A\u00a0to je bl\u00edzko k\u00a0Evrop\u011b a\u00a0nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pro NATO.<\/p>\n

Kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b v\u00a0NATO se probl\u00e9my dotknou i\u00a0samotn\u00fdch USA. Nyn\u00ed St\u00e1ty od n\u00e1s kupuj\u00ed zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed druh \u201ct\u011b\u017ek\u00e9\u201d ropy, pot\u0159ebn\u00fd pro provoz sv\u00fdch rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed ropy. Takov\u00e1 ropa je p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b v\u00a0Rusku a\u00a0Venezuele. Ale venezuelsk\u00e1 ropa je rovn\u011b\u017e pod kontrolou na\u0161ich spole\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

USA nakupuj\u00ed u\u00a0n\u00e1s lehk\u00fd topn\u00fd olej pro p\u0159epravu. P\u0159i\u010dem\u017e nakupuji po\u00a0cel\u00fdch tankerech. Ned\u00e1vno byly z\u00a0Ruska, nap\u0159\u00edklad,\u00a0 vypraveny do USA 4 tankery s\u00a02 mili\u00f3ny barel\u016f lehk\u00e9ho topn\u00e9ho oleje. Ale kv\u016fli Ukrajin\u011b St\u00e1ty mohou p\u0159ij\u00edt o\u00a0tyto cenn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky a\u00a0paralyzovat dopravu ve sv\u00e9 zemi.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee za p\u0159ijet\u00ed Ukrajiny do NATO se Z\u00e1pad m\u016f\u017ee ocitnout v\u00a0hled\u00e1\u010dku na\u0161ich syst\u00e9m\u016f v\u00a0B\u011blarusi s\u00a0letovou dobou p\u011bt minut, m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt o\u00a0levn\u00fd rusk\u00fd plyn pro sv\u00e9 podniky, ropu pro sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vody na zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed ropy, lehk\u00fd topn\u00fd olej a\u00a0tak\u00e9 st\u0159etne se s\u00a0novou\u00a0 hrozbou \u2013 alianc\u00ed n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u011b mocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e samotn\u00e9 NATO.<\/p>\n

Nikdo z\u00a0aliance, kterou zanedlouho m\u016f\u017ee d\u00e1t dohromady Rusko proti NATO, nechov\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou oblibu k\u00a0Z\u00e1padu. Ani \u010c\u00edna, kterou USA ve\u0159ejn\u011b naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed sv\u00fdm hlavn\u00edm soupe\u0159em, ani Indie, kter\u00e1 si dob\u0159e pamatuje na svou koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed minulost a\u00a0dobr\u00e9 vztahy SSSR, ani \u00cdr\u00e1n, \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed roky pod sankcemi USA, ani t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e Rusko, z\u00a0podobn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/p>\n

Proto m\u00e1 Putin docela re\u00e1ln\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky domluvit se se Z\u00e1padem na tom, aby se v\u00a0NATO ani nepomyslelo na Ukrajinu a\u00a0Gruzii. A\u00a0aby to ozn\u00e1mili ve\u0159ejn\u011b. Ale nejen \u00fastn\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 p\u00edsemn\u011b. Jinak u\u00a0n\u00e1s vznikne vlastn\u00ed aliance \u2013 s\u00a0ropou, plynem a\u00a0norm\u00e1ln\u00edmi zem\u011bmi. Tehdy n\u00e1m NATO s\u00a0v\u011btrn\u00fdm pohonem, slune\u010dn\u00edmi panelky a\u00a0rozkradenou Ukrajinou bude dost obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b \u010delit. Zejm\u00e9na b\u011bhem tich\u00fdch po\u0161mourn\u00fdch dn\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 republika vybrala a p\u0159elo\u017eila PhDr. Vladim\u00edra Grulichov\u00e1<\/em><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V t\u011bchto dnech n\u00e1\u0161 prezident navrhl uskute\u010dnit se Z\u00e1padem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o\u00a0p\u00edsemn\u00e9m zakotven\u00ed jasn\u00fdch z\u00e1ruk ohledn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4871,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[39,22,37,1571],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6820"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6820\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4871"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}