{"id":68143,"date":"2024-12-14T06:37:03","date_gmt":"2024-12-14T05:37:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=68143"},"modified":"2024-12-14T06:37:03","modified_gmt":"2024-12-14T05:37:03","slug":"nemecko-celi-ekonomicke-stagnaci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/14\/nemecko-celi-ekonomicke-stagnaci\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bmecko \u010del\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 stagnaci"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee HDP letos poklesne o 0,2 %, co\u017e je prudk\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed oproti d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 expanzi Bundesbank o 0,3 %.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmeck\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka sn\u00ed\u017eila v\u00fdhled r\u016fstu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomiky EU a p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee se letos sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed a v roce 2025 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u016fbec neporoste, a to kv\u016fli prohlubuj\u00edc\u00edm se struktur\u00e1ln\u00edm probl\u00e9m\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bundesbank ve sv\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 v p\u00e1tek uvedla, \u017ee se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee HDP se letos sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed o 0,2 % kv\u016fli trvalej\u0161\u00ed slabosti v pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9m sektoru. Progn\u00f3za je prudk\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 expanze o 0,3 %.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Slabost pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho sektoru je nyn\u00ed z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pova\u017eov\u00e1na za struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed tlak na export a investice, uvedla centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka. Ovlivn\u011bn je tak\u00e9 trh pr\u00e1ce, co\u017e zase tlum\u00ed soukromou spot\u0159ebu, uv\u00e1d\u00ed zpr\u00e1va.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eV tomto kontextu bude n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika v zimn\u00edm pololet\u00ed 2024\u20132025 stagnovat a v pr\u016fb\u011bhu roku 2025 se za\u010dne pomalu zotavovat,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0uvedla Bundesbanka.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Produkce se m\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce zv\u00fd\u0161it o 0,2 % oproti d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fdm 1,1 %. Pro roky 2026 a 2027 Bundesbank p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 r\u016fst o 0,8 % a 0,9 %.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eN\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 nejen s p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmi cyklick\u00fdmi protiv\u011btry, ale tak\u00e9 se struktur\u00e1ln\u00edmi probl\u00e9my,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0uvedl ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b prezident Bundesbank Joachim Nagel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jako d\u016fvod uvedl nejistotu kolem geopolitick\u00fdch konflikt\u016f, dopad struktur\u00e1ln\u00edch zm\u011bn a orientaci budouc\u00ed fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky po volb\u00e1ch do Bundestagu v \u00fanoru.\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eCelkov\u011b v sou\u010dasnosti p\u0159eva\u017euj\u00ed rizika je\u0161t\u011b slab\u0161\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflace,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u0159ekl Nagel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zpr\u00e1va uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee dom\u00e1c\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 podniky by se m\u011bly p\u0159izp\u016fsobit dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dopad\u016fm krize cen energi\u00ed vyvolan\u00e9 ukrajinskou kriz\u00ed, jako\u017e i po\u017eadavk\u016fm zelen\u00e9ho p\u0159echodu a d\u016fsledk\u016fm demografick\u00fdch zm\u011bn, mimo jin\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bundesbank tak\u00e9 varovala, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka s USA by mohla n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku dostat do recese. Pokud nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd prezident Donald Trump dodr\u017e\u00ed svou hrozbu uvalen\u00ed plo\u0161n\u00fdch cel na ve\u0161ker\u00fd dovoz do USA, mohlo by to p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok sn\u00ed\u017eit n\u011bmeck\u00fd HDP o 0,2 a\u017e 0,6 procentn\u00edho bodu, uvedla Bundesbank.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomika euroz\u00f3ny v posledn\u00edch letech zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za sv\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli dlouhodob\u00e9mu poklesu v\u00fdroby. N\u011bmecko bylo jedinou ekonomikou skupiny Group of Seven, kter\u00e1 v roce 2023 poklesla.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee HDP letos poklesne o 0,2 %, co\u017e je prudk\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed oproti d\u0159\u00edve&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37658,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84,8318],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68143"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68143"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68143\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}