{"id":6803,"date":"2021-12-11T06:52:35","date_gmt":"2021-12-11T05:52:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=6803"},"modified":"2021-12-11T06:52:35","modified_gmt":"2021-12-11T05:52:35","slug":"data-z-nemecka-ukazuji-ze-cim-vyssi-proockovanost-tim-vyssi-nadmerna-umrti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/12\/11\/data-z-nemecka-ukazuji-ze-cim-vyssi-proockovanost-tim-vyssi-nadmerna-umrti\/","title":{"rendered":"Data z N\u011bmecka ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkovanost, t\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrt\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00fdzkumn\u00edci Prof.\u00a0Dr.\u00a0Rolf Steyer a Dr.\u00a0Gregor Kappler provedli anal\u00fdzu nadm\u011brn\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed ve v\u0161ech 16 spolkov\u00fdch st\u00e1tech N\u011bmecka za obdob\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f 36 a\u017e 40. Anal\u00fdza porovn\u00e1vala \u00famrtnost ve st\u00e1tech s vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed a ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkopvanost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011br byl p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b takov\u00fd, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkovanost, t\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrt\u00ed.\u00a0Jin\u00fdmi slovy, nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrt\u00ed jsou zp\u016fsobena pr\u00e1v\u011b vakc\u00ednami.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bdci z\u016fstali zasko\u010deni z\u00e1v\u011bry, kter\u00e9 v\u016fbec ne\u010dekaly<\/span><\/h2>\n

Profesor Steyer je emeritn\u00edm profesorem na Univerzit\u011b Friedricha Schillera a sv\u016fj v\u00fdzkum zam\u011b\u0159uje na teorii p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinnosti a teorii latentn\u00edch prom\u011bnn\u00fdch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dr.\u00a0Kappler je p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00edc\u00edm v\u00edcerozm\u011brn\u00fdch statistick\u00fdch metod, star\u0161\u00edm datov\u00fdm v\u011bdc\u016fm a softwarov\u00fdm v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dr.\u00a0Ute Berner, experiment\u00e1ln\u00ed fyzik a \u010dlen Durynsk\u00e9ho parlamentu, pov\u011b\u0159il tyto dva statistick\u00e9 v\u011bdce, aby zjistili, zda existuje souvislost mezi o\u010dkovanost\u00ed proti onemocn\u011bn\u00ed Covid-19 a nadm\u011brnou \u00famrtnost\u00ed v N\u011bmecku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza byla provedena na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat z\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Institutu Roberta Kocha<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(obdoba na\u0161eho \u00da\u0159adu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho zdravotnictv\u00ed).<\/span><\/p>\n

Auto\u0159i anal\u00fdzy uvedli:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eKorelace je +0.31, co\u017e je \u00fa\u017easn\u011b hodn\u011b a hlavn\u011b v ne\u010dekan\u00e9m sm\u011bru.\u00a0Podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bla b\u00fdt korelace minusov\u00e1, co\u017e by znamenalo, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkovanost, t\u00edm ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrtnost.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dnost je v\u0161ak p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1, co\u017e vy\u017eaduje urgentn\u00ed objasn\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Nadm\u011brnou \u00famrtnost m\u016f\u017eeme sledovat v ka\u017ed\u00e9m ze 16 spolkov\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Po\u010dty covidov\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00fdch Institutem Roberta Kocha za sledovan\u00e9 obdob\u00ed p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed konzistentn\u011b jen relativn\u011b malou \u010d\u00e1st \u00famrtnosti a nedok\u00e1\u017eou vysv\u011btlit zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkovanost, t\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrtnost<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed tohoto jevu jsou:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

1. \u017de kompletn\u00ed zao\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed zvy\u0161uje riziko \u00famrt\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

2. \u017de \u010d\u00edm je v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl star\u00fdch lid\u00ed v populaci, t\u00edm je vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed proo\u010dkovanost a tedy i \u00famrtnost.\u00a0Proto o\u010dkovanost a nadm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00famrtnost tak\u00e9 koreluj\u00ed.\u00a0Toto od\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed je v\u0161ak nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, proto\u017ee to by se pod\u00edl star\u00fdch lid\u00ed musel v\u00fdrazn\u011b zm\u011bnit mezi lety 2016-2020 na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b a v roce 2021 na stran\u011b druh\u00e9.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

V \u00favahu p\u0159ipadaj\u00ed i jin\u00e1 zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0N\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich mohou b\u00fdt podlo\u017eeny daty a m\u011bly by se d\u00e1le vy\u0161et\u0159it.\u00a0Budeme r\u00e1di za ka\u017ed\u00fd n\u00e1vrh v tomto sm\u011bru.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Diskriminace neo\u010dkovan\u00fdch je bezd\u016fvodn\u00e1<\/span><\/h2>\n

Dne 17. listopadu 2021 prezentovala Dr.\u00a0Bergnerov\u00e1 anal\u00fdzu zadanou n\u011bmeckou ministerskou zdravotnictv\u00ed Heike Wernerovou.\u00a0Jak uvedla, re\u017eim 2G (analogie slovensk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu OP \u2013 o\u010dkov\u00e1n\/p\u0159ekon\u00e1n) je diskrimina\u010dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto 2G pravidlo se v N\u011bmecku uplat\u0148uje nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159i vstupu do restaurac\u00ed, kin, divadel, muze\u00ed \u010di galeri\u00ed.\u00a0Neo\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed maj\u00ed na tato m\u00edsta vstup zak\u00e1z\u00e1n (tedy v podstat\u011b tot\u00e9\u017e jako na Slovensku).<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1znam z jej\u00edho vystoupen\u00ed si m\u016f\u017eete prohl\u00e9dnout zde:<\/span><\/p>\n