{"id":67508,"date":"2024-12-05T05:58:07","date_gmt":"2024-12-05T04:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67508"},"modified":"2024-12-05T05:58:07","modified_gmt":"2024-12-05T04:58:07","slug":"velka-proticinska-hra-co-trump-planuje-proti-pekingu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/05\/velka-proticinska-hra-co-trump-planuje-proti-pekingu\/","title":{"rendered":"Velk\u00e1 proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 hra: co Trump pl\u00e1nuje proti Pekingu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Donald Trump si dlouhodob\u011b vyslou\u017eil pov\u011bst nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho a impulzivn\u00edho v\u016fdce, jeho\u017e \u010diny jsou n\u011bkdy t\u011b\u017eko p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 i pro ty nejzku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed analytiky. Jeho postava je spojena s \u201edivokou kartou\u201c – kdy\u017e neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed mohou dramaticky zm\u011bnit b\u011bh ud\u00e1lost\u00ed. Ponechme v\u0161ak stranou charakterologick\u00e9 nuance, pokusme se pochopit jeho mo\u017enou\u00a0<\/span>politiku<\/span><\/a> v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombinace ekonomick\u00e9ho a politick\u00e9ho tlaku<\/span><\/h3>\n

Trump\u016fv proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd kurz bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b postaven na kombinaci dvou strategi\u00ed: <\/span>ekonomick\u00e9ho<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a politick\u00e9ho tlaku, s d\u016frazem na tu prvn\u00ed. V americk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>spole\u010dnosti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0roste popt\u00e1vka po konfrontaci s Pekingem, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e hlavn\u00ed obvin\u011bn\u00ed se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f. \u010c\u00edna je d\u00e9monizov\u00e1na jako s\u00edla, kter\u00e1 podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 americkou ekonomiku, ni\u010d\u00ed pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta a manipuluje sm\u011bnn\u00fdm kurzem. Tyto argumenty se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1kladem pro formov\u00e1n\u00ed agresivn\u00ed r\u00e9toriky proti Pekingu jak v r\u00e1mci administrativy, tak v politick\u00e9 komunit\u011b kolem Trumpa.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdmluvn\u00e9, \u017ee boj o tvrd\u00fd boj s \u010c\u00ednou se stal n\u011b\u010d\u00edm jako sout\u011b\u017e\u00ed mezi Trumpov\u00fdmi intelektu\u00e1ln\u00edmi a politick\u00fdmi spojenci. Ekonom Todd Buchholz tedy navrhl obvinit Peking z podhodnocen\u00ed j\u00fcanu a po\u017eadovat odeps\u00e1n\u00ed 90 miliard dolar\u016f dluhu dr\u017een\u00e9ho v americk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluhopisech. Takov\u00e1 my\u0161lenka v\u0161ak krom\u011b pr\u00e1vn\u00edch p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek (14. dodatek Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f zakazuje zpochyb\u0148ovat legitimitu st\u00e1tn\u00edho dluhu) ignoruje z\u0159ejm\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky: pro\u010d by se \u010c\u00edna m\u011bla p\u0159iznat k m\u011bnov\u00fdm manipulac\u00edm nebo souhlasit s takov\u00fdmi \u201ereparacemi\u201c?<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto n\u00e1vrhy odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e n\u00e1ladu v Trumpov\u011b t\u00e1bo\u0159e ne\u017e skute\u010dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n. Nazna\u010duj\u00ed v\u0161ak vysokou m\u00edru nespokojenosti s v\u00fdkonem \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky a rostouc\u00ed obavy z jej\u00edho glob\u00e1ln\u00edho vlivu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Velk\u00e1<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna jako strategick\u00e1 hrozba<\/span><\/h3>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou spojeni s nastupuj\u00edc\u00ed Trumpovou administrativou, je zn\u00e1m\u00e1 svou ne\u00fastupnost\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Pekingu. Nap\u0159\u00edklad potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Michael Waltz vid\u00ed v \u010c\u00edn\u011b existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u010cKS ji\u017e vstoupila do \u201estuden\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u201c s Amerikou ve snaze podkopat liber\u00e1ln\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d vytvo\u0159en\u00fd po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Waltz nav\u00edc pova\u017euje \u010c\u00ednu za je\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e SSSR kv\u016fli kombinaci ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly. Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz vlastnil pouze to druh\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u00fd postoj zast\u00e1v\u00e1 sen\u00e1tor Marco Rubio, o kter\u00e9m se uva\u017euje jako o uchaze\u010di o post ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Ji\u017e dlouho je pod osobn\u00edmi sankcemi ze strany \u010c\u00edny a jeho pozn\u00e1mky zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed ekonomickou povahu konfliktu s Pekingem. \u010c\u00edna podle jeho n\u00e1zoru ohro\u017euje Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ekonomick\u00fdm tlakem a vlivem na americkou spole\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto proti\u010d\u00ednskou linii lze vysledovat v jedn\u00e1n\u00ed samotn\u00e9ho Trumpa. B\u011bhem jeho prvn\u00edho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed p\u0159ijala jeho administrativa \u0159adu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch dokument\u016f, jako je N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrann\u00e1 strategie a N\u00e1\u010drt strategie USA pro indicko-pacifick\u00fd region. P\u0159\u00edmo ozna\u010dili \u010c\u00ednu za strategick\u00e9ho konkurenta a vyzvali Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, aby bojovaly s \u201epred\u00e1torskou ekonomikou\u201c Pekingu a zdiskreditovaly iniciativu P\u00e1s a stezka.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovo veden\u00ed a t\u00fdmov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup<\/span><\/h3>\n

Proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd n\u00e1bor by mohl b\u00fdt jak taktick\u00fdm man\u00e9vrem, tak odrazem Trumpova vlastn\u00edho p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1 hodl\u00e1 pou\u017e\u00edt \u201etvrd\u00e9 vyjednava\u010de\u201c jako f\u00f3lii, proti n\u00ed\u017e bude jeho vlastn\u00ed postoj p\u016fsobit um\u00edrn\u011bn\u011bji. Nebo se mo\u017en\u00e1 Trumpovi prost\u011b l\u00edb\u00ed, kdy\u017e jeho t\u00fdm sd\u00edl\u00ed jeho n\u00e1zory, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 zbyte\u010dn\u00fdm kontroverz\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovy \u010diny jsou ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b t\u011b\u017eko vypo\u010d\u00edtateln\u00e9. Jeho prvn\u00ed funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed demonstrovalo z\u00e1libu ve spont\u00e1nn\u00edch, n\u011bkdy impulzivn\u00edch rozhodnut\u00edch jak v geopolitice, tak v ekonomice. Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se b\u011bhem t\u00e9to doby n\u011bco v jeho p\u0159\u00edstupech radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bnilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 politika bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b agresivn\u00ed s d\u016frazem na ekonomickou konfrontaci. Jeho kurz se formuje pod vlivem ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 popt\u00e1vky zn\u00e1soben\u00e9 rigiditou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed jeho nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho okol\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jan Karnick\u00fd<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Donald Trump si dlouhodob\u011b vyslou\u017eil pov\u011bst nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho a impulzivn\u00edho v\u016fdce, jeho\u017e \u010diny jsou n\u011bkdy t\u011b\u017eko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67508"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67508"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67508\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67510,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67508\/revisions\/67510"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}