{"id":67506,"date":"2024-12-05T05:53:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-05T04:53:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67506"},"modified":"2024-12-05T05:53:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-05T04:53:00","slug":"michael-svatos-%d0%b4%d0%b0%d0%b5%d1%88%d1%8c-%d0%ba%d0%b8%d0%b5%d0%b2-general-gerasimov-zahajil-pripravy-k-prekroceni-dnepru-kyjev-ceka-potupna-kapitulace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/05\/michael-svatos-%d0%b4%d0%b0%d0%b5%d1%88%d1%8c-%d0%ba%d0%b8%d0%b5%d0%b2-general-gerasimov-zahajil-pripravy-k-prekroceni-dnepru-kyjev-ceka-potupna-kapitulace\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: \u201c\u0414\u0430\u0435\u0448\u044c \u041a\u0438\u0435\u0432!\u201d Gener\u00e1l Gerasimov zah\u00e1jil p\u0159\u00edpravy k p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed Dn\u011bpru! Kyjev \u010dek\u00e1 potupn\u00e1 kapitulace!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btluje,\u00a0pro\u010d Putin\u016f mluv\u010d\u00ed Dimitrij Peskov 3. prosince sebejist\u011b vyhl\u00e1sil<\/a>, \u017ee \u201cNeexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fvody, aby Rusko uzav\u0159elo s Ukrajinou p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201d, a \u017ee \u201cRusk\u00e1 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed operace bude pokra\u010dovat, dokud Kyjev nep\u0159ijme v\u0161echny rusk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky\u201d, tedy dokud nekapituluje. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 mapa je na konci anal\u00fdzy. Doporu\u010duji nejprve prohl\u00e9dnout mapu, a potom teprve \u010d\u00edst text anal\u00fdzy.<\/p>\n

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\u201c\u0414\u0430\u0435\u0448\u044c \u041a\u0438\u0435\u0432!<\/a>\u201d \u2013 Slavn\u00e1 sov\u011btsk\u00e1 fotografie z roku 1943, kter\u00e1 tehdy oblet\u011bla sv\u011bt, a kter\u00e1 zachycuje \u017eenisty Rud\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy p\u0159i n\u00e1siln\u00e9m p\u0159echodu Dn\u011bpru sm\u011brem na Kyjev, bude m\u00edt pr\u00fd brzy nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed verzi. Gener\u00e1l Gerasimov u\u017e nechal shrom\u00e1\u017edit 300 \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f, a analytici z toho vyvozuj\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fd p\u0159echod Dn\u011bpru u\u017e je na po\u0159adu dne!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

N\u00e1siln\u00fd p\u0159echod Dn\u011bpru, stejn\u011b jako ka\u017ed\u00e9 velk\u00e9 \u0159eky, m\u00e1 jednoduch\u00e9 pravidlo \u2013 \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed strana mus\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b p\u0159echodu \u0159eky bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b vytvo\u0159it naprostou palebnou p\u0159evahu a shrom\u00e1\u017edit \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 \u010dluny k p\u0159eprav\u011b sv\u00fdch vojsk na nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd b\u0159eh. \u0160t\u00e1bn\u00edm vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00edm opovrhuj\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed a kyjevsk\u00e1 generalita v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce Dn\u011bpr p\u0159ekro\u010dila bez zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed naprost\u00e9 palebn\u00e9 p\u0159evahy v m\u00edst\u011b p\u0159echodu ve vesnici Krynky, a v souladu s na\u0161imi progn\u00f3zami i s historick\u00fdmi zku\u0161enostmi skon\u010dil lo\u0148sk\u00fd kyjevsk\u00fd p\u0159echod Dn\u011bpru d\u011bsiv\u00fdm masakrem jeho elitn\u00edch brig\u00e1d. Natvrdl\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edci nedok\u00e1zali ani vyu\u017e\u00edt v\u00fdhody z\u00e1padn\u00edho vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Dn\u011bpr, o kter\u00e9 se u\u017e dv\u011b st\u011b let p\u00ed\u0161e ve v\u0161ech \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edru\u010dk\u00e1ch, a neum\u00edstili na n\u011bm \u201cv krytech za kope\u010dky\u201d dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo a jednotky dron\u016f, aby jejich palbou a n\u00e1lety zdecimovali Rusy br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed se na ploch\u00e9m rovn\u00e9m a n\u00ed\u017ee polo\u017een\u00e9m ter\u00e9nu v\u00fdchodn\u00edho b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru.<\/p>\n

Vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e1 tupost Zelensk\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch velitel\u016f st\u00e1la zbyte\u010dn\u011b \u017eivoty tis\u00edc\u016f mlad\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0 Ti se utopili, zmrzli v bahn\u011b, vykrv\u00e1celi po zran\u011bn\u00edch, proto\u017ee je nebylo, jak p\u0159epravit p\u0159es \u0159eku zp\u011bt, a nebo byli Rusy prost\u011b rozst\u0159\u00edleni, a jejich drony roztrh\u00e1ni na padr\u0165. A v\u0161ichni ti mlad\u00ed, Zelensk\u00e9ho egu a z\u00e1padn\u00edmu mainstreamu, aby se mohli vychloubat heroick\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy a p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dovat masy z\u00e1padn\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f, \u017ee Ukrajinci nad Rusy v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed, nesmysln\u011b ob\u011btovan\u00ed voj\u00e1ci te\u010f re\u017eimu citeln\u011b chyb\u00ed na Donbasu, u Charkova, i v kursk\u00e9m v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eku. N\u00e1siln\u00fd p\u0159echod velk\u00e9 \u0159eky skon\u010d\u00ed bu\u010f velk\u00fdm masakrem, a nebo velk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm, u\u010d\u00ed se na v\u0161ech v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch akademi\u00edch. P\u0159echod Ukrajinc\u016f skon\u010dil jejich masakrem. P\u0159echod Rus\u016f skon\u010d\u00ed jejich velk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm. Kdy Rusov\u00e9, a Pro\u010d Dn\u011bpr p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed, dnes rozebereme podrobn\u011bji.<\/p>\n

(1)<\/strong><\/span> Ve st\u0159edu 27. listopadu velkolep\u00fdm gestem \u201ckup\u0159edu\u201d, (zde v \u010dase 00.10<\/a>), \u041c\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0442 \u0425\u0443\u0441\u043d\u0443\u043b\u043b\u0438\u043d, m\u00edstop\u0159edseda rusk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy zprovoznil novou d\u00e1lnici z rusk\u00e9ho Rostova na Donu do b\u00fdval\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho Mariupolu. Tzv. ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed partyz\u00e1ni, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed podle Kyjeva na tomto \u00fazem\u00ed operovat, se z\u0159ejm\u011b u\u017e definitivn\u011b vypa\u0159ili, pokud v\u016fbec existovali, proto\u017ee Rusov\u00e9 bez pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed za p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f vybudovali velkou logistickou tepnu vedouc\u00ed do chersonsk\u00e9 gubernie, a ta jim nyn\u00ed umo\u017en\u00ed z\u00e1sobovat svou nejji\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bojovou skupinu v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho stoj\u00edc\u00ed na Dn\u011bpru v\u0161\u00edm pot\u0159ebn\u00fdm, ani\u017e je u\u017e t\u0159eba vyu\u017e\u00edvat komplikovanou logistickou trasu p\u0159es Putin\u016fv most na Krym, a z n\u011bj na Dn\u011bpr.<\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva je mo\u017en\u00e1 pouze po zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed logistick\u00fdch tras k jej\u00edmu zabezpe\u010den\u00ed, zn\u00ed jedna ze z\u00e1kladn\u00edch pou\u010dek vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho opera\u010dn\u00edho pl\u00e1novan\u00ed. Rusov\u00e9 27. listopadu tuto podm\u00ednku splnili. Nov\u00fd logistick\u00fd hub Mariupol se tak kone\u010dn\u011b stal velk\u00fdm arm\u00e1dn\u00edm distribu\u010dn\u00edm skladem, a v\u0161echny nutn\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby se z n\u011bj budou moci za\u010d\u00edt rozv\u00e1\u017eet a\u017e do\u00a0 prvosledov\u00fdch jednotek.<\/p>\n

(2)<\/strong><\/span> V\u010dera 4. prosince\u00a0potvrdili kyjevsk\u00fdm m\u00e9di\u00edm prost\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed sold\u00e1ti br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed se ve m\u011bst\u011b\u00a0<\/a>\u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0451\u043b\u043a\u0430, \u017ee v\u0161echny 3 ze v\u0161ech 3 z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch cest do m\u011bsta jsou u\u017e pod p\u0159\u00edmou ruskou palbou z ru\u010dn\u00edch zbran\u00ed, a z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed obr\u00e1nc\u016f m\u011bsta je u\u017e prakticky nemo\u017en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obkli\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bsta\u00a0<\/span>\u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0451\u043b\u043a\u0430, p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou 5500 obyvatel, \u0159\u00edd\u00ed rusk\u00fd gener\u00e1l San\u010dik, velitel opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny Jih, p\u0159ezd\u00edvan\u00fd \u201cMistr obkli\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201d.\u00a0<\/span>\u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0451\u043b\u043a\u0430<\/a>\u00a0le\u017e\u00ed 100 km severoz\u00e1padn\u011b od m\u011bsta Mariupol. V roce 2023 slou\u017eila\u00a0<\/span>\u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0451\u043b\u043a\u0430 jako v\u00fdchoz\u00ed m\u00edsto a hlavn\u00ed logistick\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna zpackan\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy gener\u00e1la Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho vymy\u0161len\u00e9 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi pohlav\u00e1ry NATO. C\u00edlem ofenz\u00edvy bylo dob\u00fdt Mariupol, a nebo jej aspo\u0148 d\u011blost\u0159electvem vy\u0159adit z funkce hlavn\u00edho logistick\u00e9ho uzlu pro rusk\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00ed skupiny Dn\u011bpr gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho, a Jih gener\u00e1la San\u010dika. <\/span><\/p>\n

Rok od d\u011bsiv\u00fdch masakr\u016f n\u011bkolika \u010deln\u00edch zte\u010d\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016f na \u0159ece Mokri Jaly ji\u017en\u011b od \u0412\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0451\u043b\u043a\u0430 je situace p\u0159esn\u011b obr\u00e1cen\u00e1. Rusov\u00e9 do n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo t\u00fddn\u016f zlikviduj\u00ed zbytky tzv. \u201cvremiansk\u00e9ho\u201d v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eku, ze kter\u00e9ho generalita NATO vys\u00edlala loni Ukrajince do jejich sebevra\u017eedn\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f proti Mariupolu, a Mariupol bude od frontov\u00e9 linie vzd\u00e1len p\u0159es 120 km, a bude jej tak mo\u017en\u00e9 zas\u00e1hnout u\u017e pouze raketami ATACMS, nikoli st\u0159elami HIMARS, d\u011bly 155mm a lehk\u00fdmi a st\u0159edn\u00edmi drony. Z Mariupolu se tak stane velk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna se sklady a ubikacemi poschov\u00e1van\u00fdmi v relativn\u011b anonymn\u00edm prost\u0159ed\u00ed p\u016flmilionov\u00e9ho m\u011bsta, a tuto z\u00e1kladnu u\u017e Ukrajinci nebudou m\u00edt \u010d\u00edm, ani jak, v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kodit, nato\u017e vy\u0159adit z provozu, jak pl\u00e1novali loni \u201cnaivn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed chytr\u00e1ci\u201d z \u00fast\u0159ed\u00ed NATO.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

(3)<\/strong><\/span> Rusov\u00e9 tedy \u201cvybudov\u00e1n\u00edm d\u00e1lnice do Mariupolu\u201d a \u201cvyhn\u00e1n\u00edm Ukrajinc\u016f z vremiansk\u00e9ho v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eku\u201d vybudovali a zabezpe\u010dili \u201cstrategick\u00fd logistick\u00fd uzel\u201d nutn\u00fd pro n\u00e1siln\u00fd p\u0159echod Dn\u011bpru. Ukrajinci budou v \u0159\u00e1du n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f vyhn\u00e1ni i z Kurachova, a efektivn\u00ed vzd\u00e1lenost pro bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed raket a dron\u016f na Mariupol se tak zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed na 150 km. Ukrajinci tak sice budou je\u0161t\u011b schopni rusk\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b v Mariupolu sem tam \u0161kodit, ale podstatn\u011bji redukovat jej\u00ed provoz a kapacity u\u017e bude mimo jejich mo\u017enosti.<\/p>\n

(4)<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0Podle posledn\u00edch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed tzv. ukrajinsk\u00e9ho starosty Mariupolu \u041f\u0435\u0442\u0440a \u0410\u043d\u0434\u0440\u044e\u0449\u0435\u043d\u043aa<\/a>, kter\u00fd \u0159\u00edd\u00ed sv\u016fj \u00fa\u0159ad z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho kyjevsk\u00e9ho bunkru na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru, Rusov\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u011b po napojen\u00ed Mariupolu na d\u00e1lni\u010dn\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165, zah\u00e1jili v\u00fdcvik nov\u00fdch z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edch jednotek na polygonech\u00a0\u0411\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0445-\u0422\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043c\u0456<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0\u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0442\u0440\u0456\u0432\u0446\u0456<\/a>, kter\u00e9 le\u017e\u00ed u m\u011bsta\u00a0Ber\u010fansk<\/a>, 100 tis\u00edc obyvatel, na p\u016fl cesty mezi Mariupolem a Dn\u011bprem na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Azovsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esunut\u00ed v\u00fdcviku rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1loh na polygony v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Mariupolu sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o zna\u010dn\u00e9m vylep\u0161en\u00ed rusk\u00e9 logistiky v prostoru p\u0159il\u00e9haj\u00edc\u00edm ji\u017en\u00edmu toku Dn\u011bpru, a o rostouc\u00ed nemohoucnosti ukrajinsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci naru\u0161ovat raketami i drony rusk\u00fd v\u00fdcvik v t\u00e9to oblasti, podobn\u011b jako tomu bylo v posledn\u00edch dvou letech, kdy Ukrajinci \u0159adu cvi\u010d\u00edc\u00edch jednotek trefili kazetovou munic\u00ed HIMARS a zp\u016fsobili Rus\u016fm slu\u0161n\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty na \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edle a demoralizovali m\u00edst\u00ed obyvatelstvo, kter\u00e9 na tato cvi\u010di\u0161t\u011b dod\u00e1valo hlavn\u00ed kontingenty voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

Shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 cvi\u010d\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1lohy v prostoru mezi m\u011bsty Mariupol \u2013 Ber\u010fansk za\u010daly vytv\u00e1\u0159et na ukrajinsk\u00e9 uskupen\u00ed za Dn\u011bprem a p\u0159ed Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00edm stejn\u00fd tlak, jak\u00fd vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed tzv. \u201cpodivn\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina Z\u00e1pad\u201d gener\u00e1la Nikiforova na ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly jihov\u00fdchodn\u011b od Charkova. Pouh\u00e1 existence a sporadick\u00e9 \u00fatoky Nikiforovy skupiny nut\u00ed Ukrajince na tomto terci\u00e1ln\u00edm boji\u0161ti kumulovat zna\u010dn\u00e9 s\u00edly, a ty potom chyb\u00ed jinde.<\/p>\n

17. listopadu 2024\u00a0jsme v MAP 2142 detailn\u011b popsali brilantn\u00ed pr\u016fnik Nikiforov\u00fdch jednotek<\/a>\u00a0do centra pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny ve m\u011bst\u011b Kupjansk a analyzovali, \u017ee Kyjev bu\u010f Nikiforovy prapory z m\u011bsta vytla\u010d\u00ed zu\u0159iv\u00fdmi \u010deln\u00edmi zte\u010demi, a nebo jeho p\u00e1r brig\u00e1d jihov\u00fdchodn\u011b od m\u011bsta padne do obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed a bude zni\u010deno, kdy\u017e nebudou sta\u017eeny.\u00a0 Gener\u00e1l Syrskyj podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed zvolil prvn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, a vyslal proti Nikiforov\u011b p\u011bchot\u011b sv\u00e9 elitn\u00ed z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00ed brig\u00e1dy Azov, a ty v krvav\u00fdch t\u00fddenn\u00edch boj\u00edch za cenu obrovsk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t ruskou p\u011bchotu z pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny vypudily. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 elitn\u00ed p\u011bchota a obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla tak op\u011bt v\u00e1l\u010dila na t\u0159eti\u0159ad\u00e9m boji\u0161ti, a chyb\u011bla u Kurachova, Velike Novosilky a u Kursku, a tam v\u0161ude Rusov\u00e9 snadno postupovali vp\u0159ed.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed krom \u201cpodivn\u00e9 skupiny Z\u00e1pad\u201d gener\u00e1la Nikiforova v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Charkova vznikla nov\u00e1 \u201cpodivn\u00e1 skupina Dn\u011bpr\u201d gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho mezi m\u011bsty Ber\u010fansk a Mariupol. U\u017e pouh\u00e1 existence t\u00e9to skupiny donut\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 velen\u00ed akumulovat s\u00edly za Dn\u011bprem a u Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Jakmile Teplinsk\u00e9ho skupina Dn\u011bpr za\u010dne diverzn\u00edmi \u00fatoky, podobn\u011b jako Nikiforova skupina Z\u00e1pad, naru\u0161ovat ukrajinskou obranu a prolamovat ji, efekt \u201cpo\u017e\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil k obran\u011b lini\u00ed t\u0159et\u00edho v\u00fdznamu\u201d za\u010dne nab\u00fdvat intenzity, a od\u010derp\u00e1vat st\u00e1le slab\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy z obrany \u00fasek\u016f prvn\u00edho v\u00fdznamu. Tato efektivn\u00ed rusk\u00e1 taktika je projevem vysok\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho um\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 generality a d\u016fsledkem jasn\u00e9 kvalitativn\u00ed i kvantitativn\u00ed nad\u0159azenosti profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy nad po\u010detn\u011b slab\u0161\u00edm sborem sice zarputil\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016f ale vyzbrojen\u00fdch pouze velmi slab\u011b a pouze pod\u0159adnou z\u00e1padn\u00ed a starou sov\u011btskou v\u00fdzbroj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Naopak \u0161t\u00e1bn\u011b vzd\u011blan\u00e1 a ost\u0159\u00edlen\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 generalita se hodl\u00e1 p\u0159i sv\u00e9m vlastn\u00edm p\u0159echodu Dn\u011bpru \u0159\u00eddit ust\u00e1len\u00fdmi pravidly, a jak se zd\u00e1, v\u0161e pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k p\u0159echodu Dn\u011bpru u\u017e m\u00e1 shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bno.<\/p>\n

(5)<\/strong> <\/span>Proto\u017ee man\u00e9vr drony a dalekonosn\u00fdmi raketami je rychlej\u0161\u00ed a ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e man\u00e9vr obrn\u011bn\u00e9 p\u011bchoty mohou Rusov\u00e9 m\u00edrn\u011b riskovat a\u00a0na 300 shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00fdch \u010dlunech p\u0159epravit Teplinsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159e p\u0159es Dn\u011bpr,<\/a>\u00a0aby obsadili \u00fazk\u00e9 p\u0159edmost\u00ed. Lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee kyjevsk\u00e1 generalita, kter\u00e1 krom zarputil\u00e9 obrany praktikuje pouze dv\u011b formy v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed \u2013 sebevra\u017eednou \u010deln\u00ed zte\u010d, (Zauhl\u00e1, l\u00e9to 2022. Zau\u017enyj, l\u00e9to 2023), a nebo rychl\u00fd mobiln\u00ed diverzn\u00ed \u00fatok proti \u0159\u00eddk\u00e9 obran\u011b, (Zalu\u017enyj, podzim 2022, Syrskyj, Kursk 2024), vrhne proti rusk\u00fdm v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159\u016fm na p\u0159edmost\u00ed v\u0161echny dostupn\u00e9 mobiln\u00ed obrn\u011bn\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy, aby se je pokusila zahnat do \u0159eky, a Zelenskyj a z\u00e1padn\u00ed mainstream mohli j\u00e1sat.<\/p>\n

Teplinskyj v\u0161ak je na tuto sebevra\u017eednou ukrajinskou \u010deln\u00ed zte\u010d dokonale p\u0159ipraven. Jako 3. rusk\u00fd gener\u00e1l v po\u0159ad\u00ed, za Mordvi\u010devem a Lapinem, u\u017e disponuje \u201cbrig\u00e1dou zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f\u201d jako organickou bojovou silou. Teplinsk\u00e9ho drony nyn\u00ed v r\u00e1mci v\u00fdcviku sv\u00fdch oper\u00e1tor\u016f, a vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed budouc\u00edho p\u0159edmost\u00ed na Dn\u011bpru od v\u0161ech Ukrajinc\u016f, prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed masivn\u00ed hony na v\u0161e, co se na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu doln\u00edho toku \u0159eky pohne. Drony pro svou efektivn\u00ed \u010dinnost pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed jasn\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed. To na Dn\u011bpru nast\u00e1v\u00e1 bu\u010f s p\u0159\u00edchodem zimy, nebo l\u00e9ta. P\u0159echod Dn\u011bpru tak nastane v jednom z t\u011bchto obdob\u00ed, proto\u017ee jakmile Ukrajinci na p\u0159ech\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159e za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed, snesou se na n\u011b mraky dron\u016f a raket, aby je vyhladily. Pokud je nevyhlad\u00ed, mohou b\u00fdt ru\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159i zahn\u00e1ni do \u0159eky stejn\u011b nemilosrdn\u011b, jako byli ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edci zahn\u00e1ni v bitv\u011b o Krynky p\u0159es zimu 2024. Faktem v\u0161ak je, \u017ee Ukrajince ani nenapadlo p\u0159i bitv\u011b o Krynky pokusit se zorganizovat masivn\u00ed n\u00e1lety dron\u016f na Rusy \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru na p\u0159eplaven\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edky, a Rusov\u00e9 rad\u011bji profesion\u00e1ln\u011b m\u00edsto \u010deln\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edky hubily drony a d\u011bly.<\/p>\n

(6)<\/strong><\/span> \u201cNov\u00e1 podivn\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina Dn\u011bpr\u201d gener\u00e1la Teplinsk\u00e9ho, kter\u00e1 za\u010dala soust\u0159e\u010fovat a cvi\u010dit z\u00e1lohy v prostoru mezi m\u011bsty Mariupol a B\u011br\u010fansk z hlediska geografie ji\u017en\u00edho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b bude operovat na \u201ctzv. vnit\u0159n\u00edch lini\u00edch\u201d, a ty umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed rychl\u00fd p\u0159esun t\u011bchto z\u00e1loh po vnit\u0159n\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti oblouku boji\u0161t\u011b, kde\u017eto Ukrajinci v tomto prostoru budou muset operovat na \u201cvn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch lini\u00edch\u201d, a man\u00e9vrov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich z\u00e1loh po vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti oblouku boji\u0161t\u011b tak bude d\u00e9le trvat, a je\u0161t\u011b bude komplikov\u00e1no nutnost\u00ed p\u0159i p\u0159esunu z jednoho konce oblouku na druh\u00fd p\u0159ekra\u010dovat \u0159eku Dn\u011bpr severn\u011b od Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Tato star\u00e1 strategie v\u00fdhody man\u00e9vr\u016f po vnit\u0159n\u00edch lini\u00edch umo\u017en\u00ed Rus\u016fm vybrat si rychle sm\u011br \u00fatoku \u2013 bu\u010f se Teplinskyj p\u0159eplav\u00ed p\u0159es Dn\u011bpr, nebo San\u010dik za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Z\u00e1lohy z prostoru Ber\u010fansk \u2013 Mariupol umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed jejich rychl\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed v obou sm\u011brech.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Na map\u011b jsou vysv\u011btleny \u201cvnit\u0159n\u00ed linie\u201d = \u017elut\u00e1 linie a \u0161ipky. Rusk\u00e9 nov\u00e9 \u201cpodivn\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy\u201d z polygon\u016f\u00a0\u0411\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0445-\u0422\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043c\u0456<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0\u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0442\u0440\u0456\u0432\u0446\u0456<\/a>, mohou rychle p\u0159ej\u00edt jak Dn\u011bpr, tak za\u00fato\u010dit na Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy mus\u00ed p\u0159itom na jejich pohyb reagovat man\u00e9vrem \u201cpo vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch lini\u00edch\u201d a je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159i n\u011bm p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr. Jde o silnou ruskou strategickou v\u00fdhodu na ji\u017en\u00edm v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti. \u010cern\u00e1 linie je nov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 d\u00e1lnice, kter\u00e1 umo\u017e\u0148uje z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017en\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b. Zelen\u00e1 linie je \u201cpodivn\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina Z\u00e1pad\u201d gener\u00e1la Nikiforova, kter\u00e1 pln\u00ed obdobn\u00fd strategick\u00fd \u00fakol, jako \u201cnov\u00e9 podivn\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy\u201d na polygonech\u00a0\u0411\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0445-\u0422\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043c\u0456<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0\u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0442\u0440\u0456\u0432\u0446\u0456<\/a>. Podrobn\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed v textu anal\u00fdzy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(7)<\/strong><\/span> Kter\u00e9 z obou ofenz\u00edv daj\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159ednost se teprve uk\u00e1\u017ee. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed rychl\u00e1 dezorganizace a rozpad koheze ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy Rus\u016fm umo\u017en\u00ed prov\u00e9st operace ob\u011b, a Gosudar si je jist sv\u00fdm velk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm, a jak p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny potvrdil jeho mluv\u010d\u00ed Peskov,\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed uzav\u00edrat nebude, proto\u017ee k n\u011bmu nen\u00ed d\u016fvod<\/a>. Pokud m\u00e1 Kyjev kapitulovat, mus\u00ed bu\u010f Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159ekro\u010dit Dn\u011bpr na jihu, nebo p\u0159it\u00e1hnout na jeho v\u00fdchodn\u00ed b\u0159eh a\u017e ke Kyjevu, a nam\u00ed\u0159it na m\u011bsto d\u011bla, a vyhro\u017eovat srovn\u00e1n\u00edm Kyjeva se zem\u00ed, a nebo se mus\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 mor\u00e1lka klesnout na bod 0. Jak\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed povede ke Gosudarovu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed se teprve uvid\u00ed. Jist\u00e9 v\u0161ak je, \u017ee bu\u010f NATO napochoduje na Ukrajinu a vypukne III. sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, nebo Gosudar zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed a Ukrajina kapituluje. Zmra\u017een\u00ed konfliktu nep\u0159ipad\u00e1 p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m pom\u011bru sil v \u00favahu.<\/p>\n

Je \u010dtvrtek 5. prosinec 05.24 r\u00e1no.\u00a0 P\u0159eji v\u0161em kr\u00e1sn\u00fd den, a komu dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza p\u0159ipadala u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee vznik dal\u0161\u00ed podpo\u0159it darem na \u00fa\u010det na konci tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku. M\u011bjte se.\u00a0Posledn\u00ed moji debatu u H\u00e1jka na Protiproudu ze 27.11.2024 najdete zde<\/a>. Posledn\u00ed debatu na TV Bure\u0161 ze 23. listopadu\u00a0najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btluje,\u00a0pro\u010d Putin\u016f mluv\u010d\u00ed Dimitrij Peskov 3. prosince sebejist\u011b vyhl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201cNeexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62300,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1917,22,26,7678],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67506"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67506"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67506\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67507,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67506\/revisions\/67507"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}