{"id":67448,"date":"2024-12-04T08:00:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T07:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67448"},"modified":"2024-12-04T08:00:01","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T07:00:01","slug":"michael-svatos-syrska-svodka-putinuv-kavkazsky-gambit-nabira-necekane-rozmery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/04\/michael-svatos-syrska-svodka-putinuv-kavkazsky-gambit-nabira-necekane-rozmery\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Syrsk\u00e1 svodka. Putin\u016fv kavkazsk\u00fd gambit nab\u00edr\u00e1 ne\u010dekan\u00e9 rozm\u011bry"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Syrsk\u00e1 svodka. Putin\u016fv kavkazsk\u00fd gambit nab\u00edr\u00e1 ne\u010dekan\u00e9 rozm\u011bry. \u0160\u00e9f NATO Marc Rutte v\u010dera v Bruselu vyd\u011bsil kr\u00e1le Abdall\u00e1ha II n\u00e1padem, \u017ee \u201cn\u011bkdo\u201d m\u00e1 na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b sehr\u00e1t roli Zelensk\u00e9ho na Ukrajin\u011b. Kr\u00e1l\u016fv vrchn\u00ed diplomat okam\u017eit\u011b vyhledal rusk\u00e9ho diplomata \u010d.2 Sergeje Vere\u0161ina, a vedl i dal\u0161\u00ed \u201cd\u016fv\u011brn\u00e9 rozhovory\u201d s rusk\u00fdmi spojenci.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lky o S\u00fdrii je zat\u00edm t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 predikovat, nicm\u00e9n\u011b se po v\u010derej\u0161ku zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt u\u017e definitivn\u011b jasn\u00e9, \u017ee jde o pokus rozpoutat nov\u00fd velk\u00fd glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt \u201cukrajinsk\u00e9ho typu\u201d mezi Z\u00e1padem a V\u00fdchodem na nov\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n

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\u201cTeflonov\u00fd\u201d Marc Rutte v\u010dera ve sv\u00e9m bruselsk\u00e9m s\u00eddle NATO p\u0159iv\u00edtal jord\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1le Abdall\u00e1ha II a pov\u011b\u0159il ho nov\u00fdmi \u00fakoly v pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti Rus\u016fm a \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u016fm roztahuj\u00edc\u00edm se na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. (Zdroj: Marc Rutte \u2013 X<\/a>)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\u201cTeflonov\u00fd\u201d Mark Rutte, nov\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO, toti\u017e v\u010dera p\u0159iv\u00edtal ve sv\u00e9m bruselsk\u00e9m s\u00eddle hlavn\u00edho arabsk\u00e9ho vazala NATO na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, jord\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1le\u00a0Abdullaha II<\/a>,\u00a0a bez okolk\u016f mu sd\u011blil<\/a>, (1) \u017ee NATO nehodl\u00e1 p\u0159enechat Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod Rus\u016fm, ani \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u016fm. (2) A \u017ee pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 zavle\u010den\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u00edch bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch spojenc\u016f NATO do boj\u016f proti m\u00edstn\u00edm rusk\u00fdm a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm exponent\u016fm nebude pro tyto spojence NATO v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b znamenat ochranu podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 o kolektivn\u00ed sebeobran\u011b NATO. Stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u201ckyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu\u201d tak podle Rutteho i na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b maj\u00ed b\u00fdt lok\u00e1ln\u00ed vazalov\u00e9 Z\u00e1padu i jejich ob\u010danstvo ob\u011btov\u00e1ni ve v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch v z\u00e1jmu Z\u00e1padu proti c\u00edl\u016fm V\u00fdchodu, ale Brusel i Washington si v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hodlaj\u00ed nad kone\u010dn\u00fdm osudem sv\u00fdch vazal\u016f nahnan\u00fdch do v\u00e1lky v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nutnosti \u201cum\u00fdt sv\u00e9 \u010dist\u00e9 ruce\u201d.<\/p>\n

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Vpravo Bassam Sabbagh ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed S\u00fdrie, vlevo Ahmed Attafa ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Al\u017e\u00edrska, si v noci na dne\u0161ek spole\u010dn\u011b notovali, \u017ee terorist\u016fm \u201cFronty Al-Nusra\u201d, kte\u0159\u00ed nyn\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00ed v S\u00fdrii, spole\u010dn\u011b zatnou tipec.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

I druh\u00e1 strana syrsk\u00e9ho konfliktu (BRICS) d\u00e1vala v\u010dera okat\u011b najevo, \u017ee nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed operace terorist\u016f podporovan\u00fdch NATO nebude tolerovat. (1) Al\u017e\u00edrsko, aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1da Afriky\u00a0se 48 odpalovac\u00edmi za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi Iskander-M<\/a>\u00a0a dal\u0161\u00ed pov\u00e1\u017elivou modern\u00ed ruskou v\u00fdzbroj\u00ed, v\u010dera ve\u010der\u00a0d\u016frazn\u011b podpo\u0159ilo boj S\u00fdrie proti terorist\u016fm<\/a>. (2) Vl\u00e1dce Ameri\u010dany okupovan\u00e9ho Ir\u00e1ku Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani\u00a0v\u010dera na tureck\u00e9ho Erdogana vyk\u0159ikoval<\/a>, \u017ee Ir\u00e1k nebude tolerovat terorismus ani etnick\u00e9 \u010distky a r\u00e1zn\u011b zakro\u010d\u00ed proti v\u0161em spojenc\u016fm \u201csionistick\u00e9 entity, kter\u00e1 z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b bombardovala pozice syrsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd p\u0159ipravil p\u016fdu pro kontrolu dal\u0161\u00edch oblast\u00ed S\u00fdrie teroristy\u201d, a po\u017eadoval jednotu v\u0161ech muslim\u016f v syrsk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce. Al-Sudani u\u017e v pond\u011bl\u00ed vyslal na pomoc Asadovi 300 elitn\u00edch ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch bojovn\u00edk\u016f uskupen\u00ed Badr a Nubaaja. Jejich kolony tajn\u011b obe\u0161ly USA str\u00e1\u017en\u00ed body na hranici Ir\u00e1k-S\u00fdrie, a u\u017e vstoupily do boj\u016f proti terorist\u016fm. (Foto dole.)<\/p>\n

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Ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy Badr a Nubaaja v pond\u011bl\u00ed p\u0159elstily US jednotky st\u0159e\u017e\u00edc\u00ed syrsko-ir\u00e1ckou hranici<\/a>\u00a0a podle tureck\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed u\u017e nest\u0159e\u017een\u00fdmi pou\u0161tn\u00edmi cestami vstoupily do boj\u016f na stran\u011b Asadova re\u017eimu proti z\u00e1padem podporovan\u00fdm terorist\u016fm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Obdobn\u011b bojovn\u011b ve prosp\u011bch S\u00fdrie se vyj\u00e1d\u0159ily jak Rusko, tak Ir\u00e1n, a dal\u0161\u00ed arabsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. I Erdogan u\u017e zm\u011bnil r\u00e9toriku, a za\u010dal nahlas tvrdit, \u017ee je pro jednotnou S\u00fdrii, a proti terorist\u016fm. Jakou roli v Erdoganov\u011b n\u00e1hl\u00e9m medi\u00e1ln\u00edm obratu hr\u00e1l tlak ostatn\u00edch muslimsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, Ruska a \u010c\u00edny, je nejasn\u00e9, nicm\u00e9n\u011b Erdogan\u016fv obrat se \u010dasov\u011b kryje s n\u00e1letem US letectva (video zde<\/a>) na pozice syrsk\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch sil, po kter\u00e9m \u201ckurd\u0161t\u00ed rebelov\u00e9\u201d vytla\u010dily Asadovy s\u00edly z posledn\u00ed mal\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti syrsk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jeho re\u017eim je\u0161t\u011b kontroloval. Erdogan ze v\u0161eho nejv\u00edc nesn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed Kurdy, a po jejich ofenz\u00edv\u011b podporovan\u00e9 US letectvem za\u010dal nab\u00edzet Ir\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd Kurdy nesn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc, \u017ee by ob\u011b zem\u011b m\u011bly vyu\u017e\u00edt situace a s Kurdy jednou pro v\u017edy zato\u010dit. USA chr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed Kurdov\u00e9 nav\u00edc pod tlakem USA podporovan\u00fdch terorist\u016f za\u010dali vykl\u00edzet sv\u00e9 pozice v severn\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stech dobyt\u00e9ho syrsk\u00e9ho Aleppa.\u00a0Erdogan v\u010dera telefonoval Putinovi a ujistil ho<\/a>, \u017ee Turecko podporuje v syrsk\u00e9m konfliktu v\u00fdhradn\u011b syrsk\u00e9 opozi\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 vy\u010distily od Kurd\u016f oblast\u00a0Tal Rifaat<\/a>\u00a0(severn\u00ed Aleppo), a bude podporovat Asadovu S\u00fdrii v boji proti terorist\u016fm Tahrir al-Sham, kte\u0159\u00ed obsadili Aleppo a tla\u010d\u00ed se na jih.<\/p>\n

Putin, tak v\u010dera eliminoval potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho spojence terorist\u016f. Jakou roli v tom hr\u00e1la US leteck\u00e1 podpora ofenz\u00edvy Kurd\u016f, nebo pot\u0159eba Turecka,\u00a0kter\u00e9 trp\u00ed vysokou inflac\u00ed<\/a>,\u00a0prod\u00e1vat Izraeli<\/a>\u00a0a EU ropu Turkish Blend, m\u00edchanou z rusk\u00e9 a \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy,\u00a0aby nepodl\u00e9hala sankc\u00edm<\/a>, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e tureck\u00fd extra-zisk je v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b generov\u00e1n pod\u00edlem rusk\u00e9 ropy, \u010di \u0161ok Turecka, \u017ee se na jeho \u00fazem\u00ed op\u011bt za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed valit 50-ti tis\u00edcov\u00e9 kolony nov\u00fdch syrsk\u00fdch uprchl\u00edk\u016f, je nejasn\u00e9, stejn\u011b jako, zda Erdogan mysl\u00ed sv\u00e1 slova v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, \u010di pouze k uklidn\u011bn\u00ed rozjit\u0159en\u00fdch muslim\u016f, \u017ee obchoduje se sionisty, a ti by bez jeho ropy Turkish Blend nemohli tak snadno provozovat sv\u00e9 tanky v Libanonu a v Gaze. (Kompletn\u00ed rozbor tureck\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek \u201c\u00e1zerbajd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy\u201d Izraeli i se satelitn\u00edmi fotografiemi a n\u00e1kresy zde.<\/a>) USA v\u010dera pop\u0159ely, \u017ee by letadly \u00fato\u010dily na syrsk\u00e9 jednotky, aby podpo\u0159ily \u00fatoky syrsk\u00fdch terorist\u016f,\u00a0ale dodaly<\/a>, \u017ee na syrsk\u00e9 jednotky vybaven\u00e9 tanky T-64 letecky \u00fato\u010dily, proto\u017ee pr\u00fd p\u0159edstavovaly potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozbu pro americk\u00e9 jednotky. Podle t\u00e9to nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podivn\u00e9 US r\u00e9toriky by mohl Putin na \u010desk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed rozbombardovat tanky Leopard II A\u010cR, a tvrdit p\u0159itom podle americk\u00e9ho vzoru, \u017ee tak\u00e9 p\u0159edstavovaly potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozbu pro rusk\u00e9 jednotky. Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tvrzen\u00ed Washingtonu, pro\u010d bombardoval syrsk\u00e9 tanky na syrsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, tak nep\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nejlep\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1pad, jak situaci vysv\u011btlit, nebo\u0165 Putin je bezesporu tvor mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b u\u010denliv\u00fd.<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli\u00a0syrsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0a r\u016fzn\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia v\u010dera v\u00edt\u011bzn\u011b tvrdila, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 letectvo zni\u010dilo a rozpr\u00e1\u0161ilo kolony terorist\u016f Tahrir al-Sham, kter\u00e9 postupuj\u00ed z Aleppa na jih, dne\u0161n\u00ed no\u010dn\u00ed teroristick\u00e1 videa ukazovala p\u016fsobiv\u00e9 kolony d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f, kter\u00e9 i s rozsv\u00edcen\u00fdmi reflektory t\u00e1hnou na Ham\u00e1 \u2013\u00a0video zde<\/a>. Ham\u00e1, br\u00e1na k Dama\u0161ku na map\u011b dole v \u010dern\u00e9m Pentagonu. Rusk\u00e9 vlaje\u010dky na map\u011b, men\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 jednotky podporuj\u00edc\u00ed obranu Asadov\u00fdch vojsk.<\/p>\n

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Velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00fd je prvn\u00ed d\u016fsledek v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed sch\u016fzky \u0161\u00e9fa NATO Marca Rutte s jord\u00e1nsk\u00fdm kr\u00e1lem Abdall\u00e1hem II, na n\u00ed\u017e mu bylo vysv\u011btleno, \u017ee NATO nehodl\u00e1 beztrestn\u011b nechat Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu se roztahovat na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, ale \u017ee vazalov\u00e9 NATO, kte\u0159\u00ed to maj\u00ed za\u0159\u00eddit, nemohou po\u010d\u00edtat s ochranou NATO v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b rusko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zloby. Jord\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Ajm\u00e1n al-Safad\u00ed se nejprve v K\u00e1hi\u0159e\u00a0setkal s n\u00e1m\u011bstkem rusk\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergejem Vere\u0161inem<\/a>, a vedl s n\u00edm \u201cd\u016fv\u011brn\u00e9 rozhovory\u201d, a potom se \u201cstejn\u011b d\u016fv\u011brn\u011b\u201d\u00a0telefonicky radil s tureck\u00fdm ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed Hakanem Fidanem<\/a>\u00a0o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u201csyrsk\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu\u201d. Z n\u00e1hl\u00e9 d\u016fv\u011brn\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 aktivity Ajm\u00e1na al-Safad\u00edho lze vyvodit, \u017ee jeho panovn\u00edk Abdall\u00e1h II byl v Bruselu Markem Rutte \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vyd\u011b\u0161en, \u017ee by mohl b\u00fdt vybr\u00e1n pro roli Zelensk\u00e9ho Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n

V\u0161echny tyto aktivity nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze syrsk\u00e9 ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky bude \u201cvelmi hork\u00e1\u201d, a NATO se bude sna\u017eit konflikt, co nejv\u00edce rozdm\u00fdchat, a pokus\u00ed se vyhnat z regionu jak Rusy, tak \u010c\u00ed\u0148any. Rusk\u00e9 ani Ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 s\u00edly v S\u00fdrii zat\u00edm nemaj\u00ed situaci pod kontrolou, a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 v dlouhodob\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu tentokr\u00e1te sp\u00ed\u0161e hledat diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u201cnakrmit Erdogana\u201d pod\u00edlem na \u201ctureck\u00e9m vlivu v S\u00fdrii\u201d, ne\u017e vybojovat krvavou bitvu s pro-tureck\u00fdmi rebely, jak si p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed Brusel a Washington.<\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od let 2015 \u2013 2018 u\u017e Turek nen\u00ed zavil\u00fdm nep\u0159\u00edtelem S\u00fdrie a Rus\u016f, a po Putinov\u011b kavkazsk\u00e9m gambitu, (podrobn\u011b\u00a0MAP 1789<\/a>,\u00a0MAP 1884<\/a>\u00a0 a\u00a0MAP 2069<\/a>), p\u0159i n\u011bm\u017e vym\u011bnil rusk\u00fd vliv v Arm\u00e9nii za rusk\u00fd vliv na \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, a za\u010dal kout spojenectv\u00ed Turecka, Ir\u00e1nu, \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a Ir\u00e1ku, a umetat cesti\u010dky Erdoganovi, aby vstoupil do BRICS, je zat\u00edmn\u00ed podivn\u00e1 ne\u010dinnost rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy i ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch milic\u00ed v S\u00fdrii projevem nov\u00e9 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b rusk\u00e9 geopolitiky v muslimsk\u00e9m bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b. Jord\u00e1nsko, jak mohli v Bruselu o\u010dek\u00e1vat, u\u017e projevilo nechu\u0165 sehr\u00e1t roli ob\u011btn\u00edho ber\u00e1nka jako Ukrajina, a bude zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, a o rozlo\u017een\u00ed sil hodn\u011b napov\u00ed, jak dopadne dne\u0161n\u00ed zased\u00e1n\u00ed OSN k S\u00fdrii.\u00a0V\u010dera se za tureck\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti uskute\u010dnilo v Teher\u00e1nu zased\u00e1n\u00ed skupiny ECO<\/a>, kter\u00e1 sdru\u017euje na 10 muslimsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed \u2013\u00a0mapa zde<\/a>, a Turecko bude m\u00edt z\u00e1jem sp\u00ed\u0161e s touto skupinou kooperovat, nikoli se jm\u00e9nem Z\u00e1padu s n\u00ed b\u00edt.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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