{"id":67428,"date":"2024-12-04T07:10:41","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T06:10:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67428"},"modified":"2024-12-04T07:10:41","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T06:10:41","slug":"marat-khairullin-nato-chce-pesti-do-ksichtu-zase-se-dostavaji-do-problemu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/12\/04\/marat-khairullin-nato-chce-pesti-do-ksichtu-zase-se-dostavaji-do-problemu\/","title":{"rendered":"Marat Khairullin: NATO chce p\u011bst\u00ed do ksichtu. Zase se dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed do probl\u00e9m\u016f…"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s ud\u00e1lostmi kolem ostrova Yeonpyeong je skute\u010dn\u011b na m\u00edst\u011b, proto\u017ee NATO pr\u00e1v\u011b nyn\u00ed pokra\u010duje v projevov\u00e1n\u00ed naprosto stejn\u00fdch agresivn\u00edch z\u00e1m\u011br\u016f. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b Severoatlantick\u00e1 aliance letos provedla rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed \u201eSteadfast Defender 2024\u201c, kter\u00e9 simulovalo \u00fatok na Rusko. V r\u00e1mci cvi\u010den\u00ed simulovali tak\u00e9 jadern\u00fd \u00fader na p\u011bt p\u0159\u00edhrani\u010dn\u00edch oblast\u00ed na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b Moskevsk\u00e9 a Leningradsk\u00e9 oblasti. Prozat\u00edm v\u0161ak ponechme jadernou slo\u017eku stranou a zam\u011b\u0159me se na konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edm se n\u00e1s Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 sna\u017eili vystra\u0161it na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2024? \u201eSteadfast Defender\u201c byl rozd\u011blen do dvou etap. Prvn\u00ed zahrnovala p\u0159esun vojsk ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a Kanady. Druh\u00e1 zahrnovala osm cvi\u010den\u00ed v r\u016fzn\u00fdch sm\u011brech: \u201eJoint Warrior\u201c \u2013 cvi\u010den\u00ed v anglick\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch; \u201aCrystal Arrow\u2018 \u2013 cvi\u010den\u00ed hodnot\u00edc\u00ed bojeschopnost jedin\u00e9 loty\u0161sk\u00e9 p\u011b\u0161\u00ed brig\u00e1dy; \u201aNordic Response\u2018 \u2013 cvi\u010den\u00ed, p\u0159i n\u011bm\u017e se v loty\u0161sk\u00e9m<\/p>\n

pokus o koordinaci sil Finska, \u0160v\u00e9dska, Norska a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f; \u201eBrilliant Jump\u201c \u2013 cvi\u010den\u00ed hodnot\u00edc\u00ed schopnost nasazen\u00ed sil rychl\u00e9 reakce NATO; a kone\u010dn\u011b \u201eDragon 24\u201c \u2013 cvi\u010den\u00ed hodnot\u00edc\u00ed schopnost nasazen\u00ed dvou polsk\u00fdch diviz\u00ed. Celkem se cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO m\u011blo z\u00fa\u010dastnit 90 tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f z 31 zem\u00ed, 80 letadel a vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, 50 lod\u00ed a 166 tank\u016f.<\/p>\n

S\u00edly, kter\u00e9 na pap\u00ed\u0159e vypadaly impozantn\u011b, se v\u0161ak ve skute\u010dnosti uk\u00e1zaly jako fiktivn\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v r\u00e1mci cvi\u010den\u00ed \u201eBrilliant Jump\u201c m\u011blo b\u00fdt z Brit\u00e1nie do Polska p\u0159esunuto 600 vozidel. Nakonec jich bylo z ostrov\u016f vysl\u00e1no pouze 100. Do Polska se jich dostala m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e polovina. A tak je to se v\u0161\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Nov\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO \u0160v\u00e9dsko a Finsko mohli na spole\u010dn\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed vyslat pouze p\u011bt tank\u016f Leopard. A vypadalo to velmi komicky: tanky p\u0159ijely na p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 m\u00edsto bitvy po asfaltu, a kdy\u017e se z n\u011bj pokusily vyjet na m\u011bkkou zem, okam\u017eit\u011b uv\u00edzly. Tak\u017ee cvi\u010dili na asfaltu.<\/p>\n

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Je\u0161t\u011b vtipn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bylo nasazen\u00ed americk\u00e9 a britsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty v rusk\u00fdch sn\u011bz\u00edch (roli t\u00e9 druh\u00e9 hr\u00e1ly norsk\u00e9 sn\u011bhy). Dv\u011b roty Ameri\u010dan\u016f, Brit\u016f a k nim p\u0159id\u011blen\u00fdch Nor\u016f musely dva t\u00fddny jednodu\u0161e \u017e\u00edt ve stanech v zimn\u00edm lese. Uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee voj\u00e1ci prost\u011b nev\u011bd\u011bli, jak rozpustit sn\u00edh na ohni, aby z\u00edskali vodu. A t\u0159et\u00ed den dostalo 54 lid\u00ed omrzliny na penisu (opravdu to nen\u00ed vtip).<\/p>\n

Stalo se to kv\u016fli nekvalitn\u00edmu vybaven\u00ed. Stany m\u011bly d\u00edry a praskliny a druh\u00fd den se porouchaly oh\u0159\u00edva\u010de. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed a brit\u0161t\u00ed mari\u0148\u00e1ci se v zimn\u00edm lese nedok\u00e1zali zakopat ani zah\u0159\u00e1t. T\u0159et\u00ed den cvi\u010den\u00ed skon\u010dilo \u2013 mari\u0148\u00e1ci porazili konven\u010dn\u00ed \u201eRusko\u201c a vr\u00e1tili se do sv\u00fdch tepl\u00fdch ubikac\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pros\u00edm, d\u00e1vejte pozor je\u0161t\u011b jednou! Tihle chlapi v\u016fbec nebojovali! Oni si tak\u0159\u00edkaj\u00edc vy\u0161li na piknik a utrp\u011bli takov\u00e9 monstr\u00f3zn\u00ed \u201eztr\u00e1ty\u201c. Co od nich m\u016f\u017eeme \u010dekat, a\u017e dojde na skute\u010dn\u00fd boj!<\/p>\n

O letadlech a lod\u00edch ani nemluv\u00edm. Z deklarovan\u00fdch osmdes\u00e1ti, v\u010detn\u011b bojov\u00fdch vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, jich chv\u00edli l\u00e9talo jen patn\u00e1ct. A i to bylo n\u011bjak nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9. Toti\u017e ve t\u0159et\u00edm roce ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se NATO rozhodlo vyzkou\u0161et sv\u00e9 re\u00e1ln\u00e9 schopnosti p\u0159i nasazen\u00ed Sil rychl\u00e9 reakce (RRF) a uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee (krom\u011b Ameri\u010dan\u016f) jen Pol\u00e1ci v ne\u00fapln\u00e9m slo\u017een\u00ed n\u011bjak dok\u00e1zali urazit po\u017eadovan\u00fdch t\u0159i sta kilometr\u016f. Dv\u011bma brig\u00e1d\u00e1m ze \u0161esti se poda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho c\u00edle (ve standardn\u00ed divizi NATO jsou t\u0159i brig\u00e1dy \u2013 ka\u017ed\u00e1 o \u010dty\u0159ech tis\u00edc\u00edch lidech).<\/p>\n

V roce 2002 NATO vytvo\u0159ilo takzvan\u00e9 s\u00edly rychl\u00e9 reakce \u2013 v\u011bt\u0161inou na pap\u00ed\u0159e. Z\u00e1m\u011brem bylo, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 do 48 hodin vyslat do oblasti konfliktu nejm\u00e9n\u011b 40 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f. V roce 2022, z\u0159ejm\u011b aby vyd\u011bsilo Rusko, NATO ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee m\u00e1 v Sil\u00e1ch rychl\u00e9 reakce 300 000 lid\u00ed. Pak o tom p\u016fl roku p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161leli a zv\u00fd\u0161ili po\u010det na p\u011bt set tis\u00edc. To jsou, znovu zd\u016fraz\u0148uji, s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed reagovat do 48 hodin.<\/p>\n

T\u0159e\u0161ni\u010dkou na dortu bylo vytvo\u0159en\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00edch sil vysok\u00e9 p\u0159ipravenosti v r\u00e1mci t\u011bchto SBR \u2013 a\u017e p\u011bt tis\u00edc lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011bli dorazit na m\u00edsto konfliktu do p\u011bti dn\u016f. Ned\u011bl\u00e1m si legraci. Pot\u00e9, co NATO p\u016fvodn\u011b psalo o 48 hodin\u00e1ch, pak poctiv\u011b p\u0159iznalo, \u017ee by bylo dobr\u00e9 vyslat prvn\u00ed jednotky alespo\u0148 do dvou a\u017e t\u0159\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f. Proto muselo vytvo\u0159it tyto speci\u00e1ln\u00ed jednotky \u2013 superrychlou reakci… Celkov\u011b v\u00fdsledky cvi\u010den\u00ed Steadfast Defender 2024 uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee NATO bude schopno do p\u016fl roku nasadit na rusk\u00e9 hranice maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 20-30 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. A ne v\u00edce ne\u017e 30-50 tank\u016f z deklarovan\u00fdch 166. A to v\u0161e s rozpo\u010dtem na cvi\u010den\u00ed ve v\u00fd\u0161i t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159\u00ed miliard dolar\u016f (v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00edch rozpo\u010dt\u016f) \u2013 tomu se te\u010f \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 zpronev\u011bra. 3 metry a 54 omrzl\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f \u2013 to zn\u00ed, jako by se skv\u011ble bavili…<\/p>\n

A te\u010f si spo\u010d\u00edtejme, kolik voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u016f\u017ee NATO re\u00e1ln\u011b nasadit do boje s Ruskem b\u011bhem prvn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Za t\u0159i zem\u011b s nejbojeschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi arm\u00e1dami v Evrop\u011b jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny Francie, Brit\u00e1nie a N\u011bmecko. Francie m\u00e1 pouze jednu bojeschopnou p\u011b\u0161\u00ed divizi, z n\u00ed\u017e sotva polovina bude schopna opustit kas\u00e1rna do 24 hodin.<\/p>\n

Brit\u00e1nii zbyly t\u0159i divize a 47 tank\u016f. Z nich 14 bylo p\u0159ed\u00e1no Ukrajin\u011b. Britov\u00e9 byli schopni p\u0159ev\u00e9st na zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed pouze t\u0159i tis\u00edce lid\u00ed z deklarovan\u00fdch 20 tis\u00edc. Existuje podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee i zde podv\u00e1d\u011bli, proto\u017ee \u010d\u00edsla byla pouze na pap\u00ed\u0159e. Ze t\u0159\u00ed diviz\u00ed v N\u011bmecku je za nejl\u00e9pe bojeschopnou pova\u017eov\u00e1na 10. tankov\u00e1 divize. Ofici\u00e1ln\u011b zahrnuje dv\u011b n\u011bmeck\u00e9 a jednu nizozemskou brig\u00e1du. Nyn\u00ed z\u016fstala zcela bez tank\u016f \u2013 ty, kter\u00e9 mohly jezdit, byly p\u0159ed\u00e1ny Ukrajin\u011b. Museli na to myslet \u2013 odebrat bojeschopn\u00e9 tanky bojov\u00e9 brig\u00e1d\u011b. Celkov\u011b z 270 \u201epap\u00edrov\u00fdch\u201c tank\u016f nem\u011bl Bundeswehr (n\u011bmeck\u00e1 arm\u00e1da) v\u00edce ne\u017e 14 provozuschopn\u00fdch. Zbytek byl d\u00e1n do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

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Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm vtipem v Evrop\u011b je nyn\u00ed iniciativa n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho ministra obrany trvale rozm\u00edstit brig\u00e1du (5 000 mu\u017e\u016f) z 10. divize v Pobalt\u00ed. Popravd\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, bez tank\u016f. V\u0161echny tanky byly na Ukrajin\u011b zni\u010deny a nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo, kdy budou vyrobeny nov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b se ministr po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b roz\u010d\u00edlil, proto\u017ee po\u017eadoval vytvo\u0159it celou brig\u00e1du pro Bundeswehr od nuly. Dlouho mu tleskali a rozhodli se, \u017ee to ud\u011blaj\u00ed do roku 2029.<\/p>\n

Srovnejte: Rusko vytvo\u0159ilo b\u011bhem dvou let (2023-2024) nejm\u00e9n\u011b 70 nov\u00fdch diviz\u00ed A pl\u00e1nuje vytvo\u0159it dal\u0161\u00edch t\u0159icet a\u017e \u010dty\u0159icet v roce 2025. A to nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me jedno letectvo od nuly. Nyn\u00ed jsou ji\u017e divize na front\u011b, vybaven\u00e9 a skute\u010dn\u011b bojuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pokud se Polsku s velk\u00fdmi obt\u00ed\u017eemi poda\u0159\u00ed nasadit dv\u011b bojeschopn\u00e9 divize a Skandin\u00e1vci mohou poslat po jedn\u00e9, co potom ud\u011blaj\u00ed Rumuni, Bulha\u0159i, Ma\u010fa\u0159i, \u0160pan\u011bl\u00e9 a \u0158ekov\u00e9?<\/p>\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jich v Evrop\u011b nasadili asi 80 tis\u00edc. Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak v r\u00e1mci Sil rychl\u00e9 reakce NATO byli schopni nasadit maxim\u00e1ln\u011b t\u0159i brig\u00e1dy (15 tis\u00edc) a 5 p\u0159edsunut\u00fdch velitelstv\u00ed. A kvalita americk\u00fdch expedi\u010dn\u00edch sil je samostatn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh (54 omrzl\u00fdch idiot\u016f je jen \u0161pi\u010dkou ledovce). Hegemonie zasadila bojeschopnosti americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy velmi silnou r\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

A oni s n\u00e1mi budou bojovat?!<\/p>\n

Cht\u011bl bych upozornit zejm\u00e9na na to, \u017ee v\u0161echny v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 jednotky NATO jsou tak\u00e9 poddimenzovan\u00e9. Nap\u0159\u00edklad stejn\u011b bojeschopn\u00e1 10. divize Bundeswehru nem\u00e1 v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo. Kam se pod\u011blo, nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo. Proto je nesm\u00edrn\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 sledovat bojov\u00fd st\u0159et mezi jednotkami NATO a ruskou arm\u00e1dou. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je jasn\u00e9, kdo dostane po\u0159\u00e1dnou r\u00e1nu do obli\u010deje.<\/p>\n

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NATO wants a punch in the face. They’re running into trouble again…<\/a> vy\u0161el 29.11.2024 na maratkhairullin.substack.com. P\u0159eklad\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s ud\u00e1lostmi kolem ostrova Yeonpyeong je skute\u010dn\u011b na m\u00edst\u011b, proto\u017ee NATO pr\u00e1v\u011b nyn\u00ed pokra\u010duje…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22,1597],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67428"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67428"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67428\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}