{"id":67077,"date":"2024-11-28T06:45:41","date_gmt":"2024-11-28T05:45:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67077"},"modified":"2024-11-28T06:45:41","modified_gmt":"2024-11-28T05:45:41","slug":"zasoby-plynu-v-evrope-taji-eu-ocekava-nejchladnejsi-zimu-od-zacatku-severoatlanticke-aliance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/28\/zasoby-plynu-v-evrope-taji-eu-ocekava-nejchladnejsi-zimu-od-zacatku-severoatlanticke-aliance\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1soby plynu v Evrop\u011b taj\u00ed: EU o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 nejchladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zimu od za\u010d\u00e1tku Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"lead\"><strong>P\u0159ed rokem byly ceny plynu v Evrop\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e nyn\u00ed. Pak ale \u0161ly uvozovky prudce dol\u016f a zem\u011b EU pro\u0161ly topnou sez\u00f3nou d\u00edky tepl\u00e9 zim\u011b celkem snadno. Letos je v\u0161echno jinak. Evropa \u010del\u00ed nov\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 krizi. Meteorologov\u00e9, odborn\u00edci a plyna\u0159i nesd\u00edlej\u00ed optimismus evropsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f. Chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zima a zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9ho plynu by mohly osv\u011b\u017eit vzpom\u00ednky EU na energetickou krizi z roku 2022. V listopadu byly z evropsk\u00fdch sklad\u016f odebr\u00e1ny rekordn\u00ed objemy paliva pro tento m\u011bs\u00edc.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Po\u010das\u00ed v Evrop\u011b bude leto\u0161n\u00ed zimu chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e b\u011bhem p\u0159edchoz\u00edch dvou topn\u00fdch sez\u00f3n. Informuje o tom agentura Bloomberg s odkazem na \u00fadaje Evropsk\u00e9ho centra pro st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi po\u010das\u00ed. Po\u010das\u00ed z\u016fstane nad sez\u00f3nn\u00edmi normami, ale Maxar Technologies p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee popt\u00e1vka po vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed dos\u00e1hne nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b od za\u010d\u00e1tku zimn\u00ed sez\u00f3ny na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ji\u017e v listopadu se Evropa pot\u00fdkala s klidn\u00fdm po\u010das\u00edm a chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm po\u010das\u00edm, co\u017e si vynutilo sta\u017een\u00ed rekordn\u00edch 8,5 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch ze sklad\u016f za dan\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc. Oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edm dv\u011bma let\u016fm rozd\u00edl p\u0159esahuje 4x a podobn\u00e1 spot\u0159eba v p\u0159edposledn\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci roku byla v GIE zaznamen\u00e1na pouze jednou &#8211; v roce 2018.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1soby plynu v EU z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed vysok\u00e9, 95,5 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, ale sou\u010dasn\u00e1 spot\u0159eba a p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f po\u010das\u00ed vzbuzuj\u00ed na trhu obavy, \u017ee Evropa skon\u010d\u00ed zimu s n\u00edzk\u00fdmi dod\u00e1vkami, kter\u00e9 bude nutn\u00e9 kompenzovat zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdmi n\u00e1kupy za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159ed rokem byly ceny plynu v Evrop\u011b dokonce vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 510 dolar\u016f za tis\u00edc metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch. Pak ale \u0161ly prudce dol\u016f, k \u010demu\u017e letos zat\u00edm nen\u00ed d\u016fvod. A po\u010das\u00ed nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm d\u016fvodem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9ho plynovodu do Evropy se za posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolik let sn\u00ed\u017eily t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u011btin\u00e1sobn\u011b, ale jejich pod\u00edl na celkov\u00e9m dovozu do EU je st\u00e1le 9\u201310 %. A riziko zastaven\u00ed v\u00fdvozu Gazpromu je nyn\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdy jindy. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b se m\u016f\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd tranzit zastavit k 1. lednu 2025, proto\u017ee smlouva kon\u010d\u00ed a st\u00e1le nen\u00ed rozhodnuto o jej\u00edm prodlou\u017een\u00ed. Na druhou stranu jsou v\u0161echny dod\u00e1vky Gazpromu do Evropy ohro\u017eeny kv\u016fli americk\u00fdm sankc\u00edm v\u016f\u010di Gazprombank, kter\u00e1 je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm \u010dl\u00e1nkem p\u0159i platb\u00e1ch evropsk\u00fdm spot\u0159ebitel\u016fm za rusk\u00fd plyn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eSt\u00e1le m\u00e1me probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami plynu. Chceme-li b\u00fdt skute\u010dn\u011b nez\u00e1visl\u00ed na rusk\u00e9m palivu, pot\u0159ebujeme m\u00edt v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dovozn\u00ed kapacitu a tuto zimu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zaznamen\u00e1me probl\u00e9my, proto\u017ee z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu se pom\u011brn\u011b rychle vyprazd\u0148uj\u00ed \u2013 m\u00e1me studen\u00fd start do zimy.\u201c<span class=\"after-quote\"><strong>&#8211; Markus Krebber,<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel n\u011bmeck\u00e9 RWE, \u0159ekl na energetick\u00e9 konferenci\u00a0, uv\u00e1d\u00ed Bloomberg.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Hlavn\u00ed analytik Global Risk Management\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>Arne Lohmann Rasmussen<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0uvedl, \u017ee situace se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 podobat sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i z roku 2022, kdy EU nakupuje plyn za ka\u017edou cenu: \u201eMohlo by se to st\u00e1t p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok kv\u016fli siln\u00e9 popt\u00e1vce v Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Spot\u0159eba LNG v Asii zat\u00edm za\u010dala klesat, proto\u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b omezuj\u00ed n\u00e1kupy kv\u016fli vysok\u00fdm cen\u00e1m a \u010d\u00e1st n\u00e1kladu m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed do Evropy kv\u016fli ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m v Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201ePlyn je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ropa, co\u017e samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zp\u016fsobuje probl\u00e9my jeho spot\u0159ebitel\u016fm a dovozc\u016fm, zejm\u00e9na v rozvojov\u00fdch a chud\u00fdch zem\u00edch. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed dovozci mohou nav\u00edc preferovat dal\u0161\u00ed prodej plynu za p\u0159\u00edplatek a pokryt\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00edch pot\u0159eb uhl\u00edm nebo topn\u00fdm olejem. Ale pokud bude zima, popt\u00e1vka po plynu tam st\u00e1le poroste,\u201c<span class=\"after-quote\">\u00a0\u2014 bere na v\u011bdom\u00ed z\u00e1stupce \u0159editele N\u00e1rodn\u00edho fondu pro energetickou bezpe\u010dnost (NESF)\u00a0<strong>Alexey Grivach<\/strong> .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 ceny 510 dolar\u016f za tis\u00edc metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch p\u0159evy\u0161uj\u00ed ceny plynu v N\u011bmecku p\u0159ed kriz\u00ed 2,8kr\u00e1t. A i jejich udr\u017een\u00ed na t\u00e9to \u00farovni bude pro n\u011bmeck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl dal\u0161\u00ed ranou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eNejv\u00edce utrp\u00ed op\u011bt energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomiky v \u010dele s N\u011bmeckem, kter\u00e9 utrp\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody,\u201c<span class=\"after-quote\"> &#8211; Ole Hansen, \u0159ekl vedouc\u00ed komoditn\u00ed strategie Saxo Bank AS,\u00a0 Bloombergu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmecko od energetick\u00e9 krize stagnuje a prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst inflace by mohl p\u0159isp\u011bt ke zklam\u00e1n\u00ed voli\u010d\u016f p\u0159ed p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00fdmi volbami v \u00fanoru, uvedla agentura.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eExistuje zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 riziko, \u017ee Evropa v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zim\u011b skon\u010d\u00ed \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed s m\u00edrn\u00fdm po\u010das\u00edm. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, jsme nuceni spol\u00e9hat na dovoz LNG a s t\u00edm i nutnost z\u016fstat konkurenceschopn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Asii,\u201c<span class=\"after-quote\">\u00a0&#8211; dodal Ole Hansen.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159ed rokem byly ceny plynu v Evrop\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e nyn\u00ed. Pak ale \u0161ly uvozovky prudce&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67078,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,1008,4123],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67077"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67077\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}