{"id":67014,"date":"2024-11-28T00:31:51","date_gmt":"2024-11-27T23:31:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=67014"},"modified":"2024-11-27T16:40:22","modified_gmt":"2024-11-27T15:40:22","slug":"povrchove-teploty-gronska-klesaji-jiz-20-let-dalsi-rana-do-narativu-klimatickeho-alarmu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/28\/povrchove-teploty-gronska-klesaji-jiz-20-let-dalsi-rana-do-narativu-klimatickeho-alarmu\/","title":{"rendered":"Povrchov\u00e9 teploty Gr\u00f3nska klesaj\u00ed ji\u017e 20 let \u2013 dal\u0161\u00ed r\u00e1na do narativu klimatick\u00e9ho alarmu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Skupina thajsk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f a matematik\u016f ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnila dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkazy, \u017ee povrchov\u00e9 teploty v Gr\u00f3nsku se ochlazuj\u00ed u\u017e asi 20 let. Kdy\u017e vyhodnotili 31 464 satelitn\u00edch z\u00e1znam\u016f z let 2000 a\u017e 2019 v cel\u00e9 oblasti, zjistili, \u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 teplota\u00a0klesla\u00a0<\/span>o 0,11 \u00b0C<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. To je indikace \u201enev\u00fdznamn\u00e9 zm\u011bny LST [teplota zemsk\u00e9ho povrchu]\u201c. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy skute\u010dn\u00e9ho ochlazen\u00ed ve v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Arktidy nebudou ve v\u011bdeck\u00fdch kruz\u00edch novinkou, proto\u017ee potvrzuj\u00ed p\u0159edchoz\u00ed zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch poklesech teplot. Ale tyto informace jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b dr\u017eeny mimo hlavn\u00ed proud, proto\u017ee zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed strach spole\u010dnosti Net Zero ze zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed hladiny mo\u0159e v d\u016fsledku katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edho t\u00e1n\u00ed gr\u00f3nsk\u00e9ho ledovce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thaj\u0161t\u00ed auto\u0159i zjistili, \u017ee gr\u00f3nsk\u00e9 podoblasti bez ledu jsou teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jeho podoblasti pokryt\u00e9 ledem \u2013 jen mal\u00e1 \u00fat\u011bcha pro alarmisty. Ale mo\u017en\u00e1 ne \u2013 auto\u0159i to p\u0159ipisovali \u201ehustot\u011b obyvatelstva\u201c. M\u011bstsk\u00e1 vedra op\u011bt zkresluj\u00ed teplotn\u00ed \u00fadaje, a to i v Gr\u00f3nsku. N\u00ed\u017ee uveden\u00fd obr\u00e1zek ukazuje teplotn\u00ed rekordy pro v\u0161echny oblasti Gr\u00f3nska.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 f\u00f3rum ned\u00e1vno informovalo o studii, kter\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u00eddala \u201e\u00a0<\/span>tot\u00e1ln\u00ed kolaps<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c gr\u00f3nsk\u00e9ho ledov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edkrovu b\u011bhem m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Toto tvrzen\u00ed je jen o n\u011bco sm\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e stra\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je b\u011b\u017en\u011b zve\u0159ej\u0148ov\u00e1no, aby poslalo populaci do masov\u00e9 psych\u00f3zy s c\u00edlem prosadit kolektivistick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed Net Zero velen\u00ed a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 fra\u0161ka kolem COP v Baku uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee spiknut\u00ed funguje tajn\u011b. Cht\u011bj\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se sv\u011bt rozv\u00edjel pomoc\u00ed uhlovod\u00edk\u016f, a pak vym\u00fd\u0161lej\u00ed \u0159adu fale\u0161n\u00fdch obav, jako jsou ostrovn\u00ed n\u00e1rody mizej\u00edc\u00ed pod vlnami. Ka\u017ed\u00fd v\u00ed, \u017ee tyto a v\u011bt\u0161ina dal\u0161\u00edch obav jsou fale\u0161n\u00e9, jak v\u011bdci mnohokr\u00e1t prok\u00e1zali, ale na tom nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed. Vymysl\u00edte sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 slo\u017een\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo \u2013 \u0159ekn\u011bme 250 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, nebo 1,3 bilionu dolar\u016f do roku 2035 \u2013 a pak se chov\u00e1te, jako byste mohli vyt\u00e1hnout pen\u00edze z kapes da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f, i kdy\u017e je to jedin\u00e1 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 si to m\u016f\u017ee dovolit, opustili jste stranu v Leden.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e9 pokusy vysv\u011btlit v\u011bdu kolem zm\u011bny klimatu uv\u00edzly v \u201epevn\u00e9m\u201c p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu. Kor\u00e1ly na Velk\u00e9m bari\u00e9rov\u00e9m \u00fatesu mohou r\u016fst v rekordn\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed a obnova arktick\u00e9ho mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho ledu m\u016f\u017ee trvat deset let. Mezit\u00edm mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia a politici rad\u011bji berou p\u0159\u00edklad z postav jako \u201eJim\u201c Dale, kter\u00fd se d\u00edv\u00e1 z okna a p\u0159ipisuje ka\u017ed\u00fd z\u00e1van v\u011btru lidsk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00ed\u010din\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikde nen\u00ed tento nedostatek v\u011bdeck\u00e9ho b\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed zjevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e na dvou p\u00f3lech Zem\u011b. Antarktida se za 70 let podrobn\u00fdch pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed sotva oteplila, zat\u00edmco situace v Arktid\u011b, jak vid\u00edme, je slo\u017eit\u00e1 a otev\u0159en\u00e1 mnoha v\u00fdklad\u016fm. Thaj\u0161t\u00ed matematici se v\u011bt\u0161inou dr\u017e\u00ed sv\u00fdch statistik a nenach\u00e1zej\u00ed \u201e\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed v oblastech bez ledu a pokryt\u00fdch ledem\u201c. Poukazuj\u00ed v\u0161ak na p\u0159edchoz\u00ed pr\u00e1ci skupiny japonsk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f (\u00a0<\/span>Matsumura<\/span><\/em>\u00a0et al.\u00a0<\/span>2021<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0), kter\u00e1 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee \u201ekl\u00ed\u010dovou roli\u201c v ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch letn\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn\u00e1ch v Arktid\u011b sehr\u00e1lo\u00a0d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 propojen\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00ed tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 ji\u017en\u00ed oscilace\u00a0<\/span>El Ni\u00f1o .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Matsumur\u016fv t\u00fdm zjistil, \u017ee \u00fastup ledu v Gr\u00f3nsku a oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed se v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b zpomalilo. M\u00e1 se tak\u00e9 za to, \u017ee \u00faloha\u00a0<\/span>El Ni\u00f1o<\/span><\/em>\u00a0p\u0159isp\u011bla k ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 v\u0161eobecn\u00e9 obnov\u011b arktick\u00e9ho mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho ledu. Zm\u011bny kolem Gr\u00f3nska jsou zp\u016fsobeny \u201ep\u0159irozen\u00fdmi v\u00fdkyvy sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e antropogenn\u00edmi vlivy,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed v\u011bdci. \u201eV\u011bt\u0161ina klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f nebyla schopna rozumn\u011b simulovat nevynucenou p\u0159irozenou variabilitu nad Gr\u00f3nskem,\u201c dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak vid\u00edme, Antarktida je dal\u0161\u00edm m\u00edstem, kde je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u0161\u00ed\u0159it opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00fd strach, proto\u017ee po desetilet\u00ed nedo\u0161lo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. Po p\u0159irozen\u00e9m t\u00e1n\u00ed a rozpadu ledu v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Antarktid\u011b se \u010dasto objevuj\u00ed obavy z \u201ebodu zlomu\u201c. Ale koncem lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku\u00a0<\/span>Daily Skeptic<\/span><\/em>\u00a0pouk\u00e1zal na studii skupiny mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch v\u011bdc\u016f, kter\u00e1 zjistila\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ochlazen\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v cel\u00e9m regionu. Studii zve\u0159ejnila Americk\u00e1 meteorologick\u00e1 spole\u010dnost a zjistila pokles o 2 \u00b0C za 20 let do roku 2018. Na ja\u0159e byl pokles 1,84 \u00b0C za dek\u00e1du, zat\u00edmco zimn\u00ed teploty za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed klesly o 1,19 \u00b0C. Jako obvykle, kdy\u017e teploty klesnou, vina na oxid uhli\u010dit\u00fd jde stranou a odpov\u011bdi se hledaj\u00ed v p\u0159irozen\u00fdch v\u00fdkyvech klimatu. V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b bylo zji\u0161t\u011bno, \u017ee teploty v rovn\u00edkov\u00e9 oblasti v\u00fdchodn\u00edho Pacifiku se za posledn\u00edch 20 let sn\u00ed\u017eily.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ani zde se ned\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee by klimatick\u00e9 modely m\u011bly velkou p\u0159edstavu o tom, co se d\u011bje ve skute\u010dn\u00e9 atmosf\u00e9\u0159e. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee neexistuje „\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 pevn\u00e1 shoda“ mezi modely o d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch teplot\u00e1ch oce\u00e1n\u016f, kter\u00e9 ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed teploty vzduchu v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Antarktid\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Skupina thajsk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f a matematik\u016f ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnila dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkazy, \u017ee povrchov\u00e9 teploty v Gr\u00f3nsku se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67015,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[3484,873,851,5257],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67014"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67014"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67014\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67015"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}